Daily Notes: Sunday’s Games, Considered for Your Pleasure

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. An Invitation to Curse the Author
2. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

An Invitation to Curse the Author
As the reader will note while inspecting the table below of Sunday’s scheduled games and probable pitchers, today offers what can only be called — or can only be called, at least, by someone affecting the airs of a 19th century flaneur — a “panoply of delights.”

The delights are so ubiquitous, in fact, that the task (for the author) of selecting merely two or three so-called “notable” games has proven quite a chore. A very reasonable person could make a very reasonable case that the author’s choices are the work of a lunatic — or, at the very least, the work of someone typing with one hand while preparing and busily consuming mimosas with the other. I make no apologies, of course*: my biases (for starting pitchers making a debut or something close to a debut) are clear.

*With regard to the present exercise, that is. I make apologies for a number of other things. Most other things, really.

Even so, certain readers will feel slighted by the author’s decisions — either on behalf of their team, or simply on behalf of the abstract concept of justice. Certain of those certain readers will feel compelled to render their dissatisfaction in the form of pointed comments directed at the author.

What this is, is an invitation to do that — with the caveat, that is, that said curses are well crafted and serve, ideally, to invoke audible laughter (or at least a mild chuckle) from other readers.

Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Washington at Cincinnati | 13:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Stephen Strasburg (7.0 IP, 3 K, 3.03 xFIP in his first start) faces Johnny Cueto (7.0 IP, 9 K, 2.17 xFIP). Cueto, the reader will remember, has distinguished himself these last couple seasons for preventing runs above and beyond what is accounted for by WAR — a topic considered by Dave Cameron in some depth last August.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Washington Radio.

Miami at New York NL | 13:10 ET
Very prized and quite young right-hander Jose Fernandez makes his major-league debut for Miami. Here’s where, for example, he ranked on Marc Hulet’s top-100 prospect list: 8th. And on John Sickels’ list: also 8th. And on Baseball America’s list: 5th, actually. And Jason Parks’ list at Baseball Prospectus: 6th. And Bullpen Banter’s: 11th.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: New York NL Television.

Pittsburgh at Los Angeles NL | 16:10 ET
While this game lacks some of the obvious pleasures of some of today’s other contests, it offers the opportunity for spectators to learn the most, probably — about young Pittsburgh left-hander Jeff Locke (on the one hand) and Los Angeles left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (on the other). Locke, 25, posted this pretty excellent line in eight appearances (six of them starts) last season: 34.1 IP, 23.0% K, 7.4% BB, 49.0% GB, 3.51 SIERA, 95 xFIP-, 0.1 WAR. Ryu, for his part, was entirely competent in his first major-league start. To wit (box): 6.1 IP, 26 TBF, 5 K, 0 BB, 11 GB on 20 batted-balls (55.0% GB), 1.94 xFIP.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Los Angeles NL Television.

Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages
Here — for purposes entirely of entertainment and not for gambling, which is a Scourge of Propriety — are all of today’s games with moneyline odds (from relatively “sharp” sportsbook Pinnacle Sports) translated into projected winning percentages (and adjusted to account for the vigorish).

Games are listed in Eastern Time, as the author has recently bothered to learn how to convert time zones in Excel. Game presented in order, first, of National League and then American League and, finally, then interleague play.


Game Teams Starters Line Win%
13:10 Miami Marlins Jose Fernandez 2.33 42.1%
ET New York Mets Aaron Laffey 1.69 57.9%
13:10 Washington Nationals Stephen Strasburg 1.89 52.0%
ET Cincinnati Reds Johnny Cueto 2.04 48.0%
13:35 Chicago Cubs Jeff Samardzija 2.31 42.5%
ET Atlanta Braves Tim Hudson 1.70 57.5%
14:10 Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy 1.96 50.0%
ET Milwaukee Brewers Yovani Gallardo 1.96 50.0%
16:05 St. Louis Cardinals Adam Wainwright 2.26 43.4%
ET San Francisco Giants Matt Cain 1.73 56.6%
16:10 Pittsburgh Pirates Jeff Locke 2.47 39.7%
ET Los Angeles Dodgers Hyun-Jin Ryu 1.63 60.3%
16:10 San Diego Padres Edinson Volquez 2.40 40.9%
ET Colorado Rockies Jhoulys Chacin 1.66 59.1%
13:05 New York Yankees CC Sabathia 2.61 37.6%
ET Detroit Tigers Justin Verlander 1.57 62.4%
13:05 Boston Red Sox Jon Lester 2.23 44.0%
ET Toronto Blue Jays R.A. Dickey 1.75 56.0%
13:35 Minnesota Twins Pedro Hernandez 2.56 38.3%
ET Baltimore Orioles Jason Hammel 1.59 61.7%
13:40 Cleveland Indians Justin Masterson 2.65 37.0%
ET Tampa Bay Rays David Price 1.56 63.0%
14:10 Seattle Mariners Hisashi Iwakuma 2.52 38.9%
ET Chicago White Sox Chris Sale 1.61 61.1%
14:10 Oakland Athletics Brett Anderson 1.66 59.1%
ET Houston Astros Lucas Harrell 2.40 40.9%
20:05 LAA Angels Jered Weaver 2.26 43.4%
ET Texas Rangers Yu Darvish 1.73 56.6%
13:35 Kansas City Royals James Shields 2.20 44.6%
ET Philadelphia Phillies Cole Hamels 1.77 55.4%



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Carson Cistulli has just published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.


Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
poohbear
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poohbear
3 years 3 months ago

11 Cy Young pitchers starting today

Stuart
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Stuart
3 years 3 months ago

Sabathia, Verlander, Price, Dickey. That’s four

Iudtiutfiygfhgcyggc
Guest
Iudtiutfiygfhgcyggc
3 years 3 months ago

He was counting the future Cy Youngs awarded to Fernandez, Darvish, Samardzija, Strasburg, Hamels, Anderson and Cain.

CB
Guest
CB
3 years 3 months ago

Just out of curiosity, how is it determined which broadcast is the “readers’ preferred broadcast”? Not that I at all doubt Carson’s ability to peer into our collective baseball-consuming souls. In fact I assume that’s how it works.

Mike Flak
Guest
Mike Flak
3 years 3 months ago

I’m assuming it’s a culmination of the link below and their radio rankings. Quite helpful when on MLB.TV and choosing between feeds. Carson peering into my soul wouldn’t bother me either.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/broadcaster-rankings-tv-10-1/

A Certain Reader
Guest
A Certain Reader
3 years 3 months ago

Yu have the brains of a Saifu ant, the sobriety of a Dervish, the originality of the name Jeff, the education of a basket Weaver, Yu have no better Angels, Yur writing is less interesting then an episode of power Rangers, you are, in short, a short feeble mountebank.

Baltar
Guest
Baltar
3 years 3 months ago

Curse you, Carson Cistulli, may all of your potatoes become zombies.

Brian Reinhart
Member
Member
3 years 3 months ago

Reds TV announcers are not impressing me. They just stated that Stephen Strasburg has been a dominant pitcher since age 12 and never faced adversity in high school or college.

I thought everybody knew Strasburg’s bio. He is kind of a superstar.

CB
Guest
CB
3 years 3 months ago

But they’ve given us such astute analysis about the Reds’ magic powers in getaway games!

sggutierrez
Member
sggutierrez
3 years 3 months ago

Thank you for the weekend content! I’d personally like to see more. Lots of baseball on Saturdays and Sundays! Maybe a rotating chat on one of the days? Just a thought..

65Kyle08
Member
65Kyle08
3 years 3 months ago

Ra Dickeys gettin hammered

jfree
Member
jfree
3 years 3 months ago

Your mother was a hamster and your father smelt of elderberries!

Ben
Guest
Ben
3 years 3 months ago

Whatever happened to NERD? I miss NERD.

Jay29
Member
Jay29
3 years 3 months ago

Dickey + Strasburg + Price + Hamels = 29 ER today. Did not see that coming.

Jay29
Member
Jay29
3 years 3 months ago

Add Cain’s 9 ER to that. Just wow.

isavage30
Guest
isavage30
3 years 3 months ago

And the two teams starting the reigning Cy Young winners both lost 13-0.

RL
Guest
RL
3 years 3 months ago

I vote for Carson Cistulli to do the Daily Notes every weekend. This weekend’s Daily Notes have some of the funniest and best writing I’ve seen on Fangraphs.

Jeff
Guest
Jeff
3 years 3 months ago

It’s hilarious that a team could start Aaron Laffey and have a +50% chance of winning. Sucks to be the Marlins.

Hank
Guest
Hank
3 years 3 months ago

I swear this comment was not here when I posted below!

Apparently great minds (or terrible minds?) think alike….

Hank
Guest
Hank
3 years 3 months ago

Random late night thought:

How bad are the Marlins when Aaron Laffey had a 57.9% win %?

Don Mynack
Guest
Don Mynack
3 years 3 months ago

Wow, that Jed Lowrie trade has worked out GREAT for the Astros so far.

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