Daily Notes: Top Prospect Tyler Skaggs to Debut

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Featured Game: Miami at Arizona, 15:40 ET
2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Featured Game: Miami at Arizona, 15:40 ET
Regarding This Game, Why It’s Notable
This game between Miami and Arizona is notable mostly on account of it represents the major-league debut of top prospect Tyler Skaggs.

Regarding Tyler Skaggs, Who That Is
Tyler Skaggs is a 21-year-old left-hander (although, because of his July birthday, one currently in just his age-20 season) originally taken 40th overall by the Angels in 2009 from a California high school. He came to the Diamondbacks as part of the trade that sent Dan Haren to Anaheim in 2010.

Regarding Tyler Skaggs, His Place in Various Rankings
Our Marc Hulet ranked Skaggs 11th overall among all prospects in March and 11th overall among all prospects on his midseason top-50 list. Baseball America ranked Skaggs 13th overall on their preseason list and seventh on their midseason list. John Sickels of Minor League Ball ranked Skaggs 23rd overall in February and then 20th overall on his midseason review.

Regarding Tyler Skaggs, What He Throws
Per Mike Newman, who saw Skaggs at Chattanooga in early May, Skaggs’ best pitch is his curveball — an offering that features, in Newman’s words, “big, true 12/6 break and late biting action.” Per Newman, Skaggs also throws a fastball at 90-92 mph and a decent, but uninspiring, changeup.

Regarding Tyler Skaggs, His Numbers This Season
Here’s Skaggs’ line from 13 Double-A starts: 69.2 IP, 9.17 K/9, 2.71 BB/9, 1.03 HR/9, 3.60 FIP. And from nine starts at Triple-A Reno: 52.2 IP, 7.69 K/9, 2.73 BB/9, 0.68 HR/9, 3.45 FIP.

Regarding This Game, A Second Reason Why It’s Notable
The other reason why this game’s notable is on account of 21-year-old right-hander Jacob Turner is making his Marlins debut in it.

Regarding Jacob Turner, Who That Even Is
Turner was the main piece Detroit sent to Miami in return for Omar Infante and Anibal Sanchez in July. He was ranked first overall among Tigers prospects this preseason by FanGraphs’ Marc Hulet and by Minor League Ball’s John Sickels and also by Baseball America.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
Per the results of our offseason crowdsourcing project, FanGraphs readers prefer Arizona Radio (link).

Other Notable Games
Pittsburgh at San Diego | 18:35 ET
Left-hander Andrew Werner, who starts for the Padres tonight, makes his major-league debut. Here’s his line between Double- and Triple-A this year: 126.1 IP, 7.77 K/9, 2.21 BB/9, 0.50 HR/9, 2.93 FIP. Also, per Minor League Central, here’s his ground-ball rate over the last 262.2 minor-league innings (1097 batters faced): 61.3%.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Neither, Really.

Houston at St. Louis | 20:15 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Here’s Tyler Greene‘s line (not including last night) since his recent trade to Houston from St. Louis: 32 PA, .355/.344/.645 (.450 BABIP), 156 wRC+, 0.5 WAR. Here’re his plate-discipline stats: 0.0% walk rate, 31.3% strikeout rate.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Houston Television or St. Louis Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.7.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Luis Mendoza KC 3 8 4 4 8 TB James Shields 13:10
Travis Wood CHN 2 2 2 8 6 MIL Yovani Gallardo 14:10
Liam Hendriks MIN 4 4 4 6 6 OAK Tommy Milone 15:35
Zach McAllister CLE 7 3 4 4 5 SEA Hisashi Iwakuma 15:40
Jacob Turner* MIA 9 3 9 7 13 AZ Tyler Skaggs* 15:40
James McDonald PIT 5 4 6 5 8 SD Andrew Werner* 18:35
Kris Medlen ATL 8 8 5 6 5 WAS Ross Detwiler 19:05
Bronson Arroyo CIN 4 5 3 5 5 PHI Vance Worley 19:05
Aaron Laffey TOR 2 6 4 4 7 DET Anibal Sanchez 19:05
Jered Weaver LAA 4 8 4 6 4 BOS Clay Buchholz 19:10
Jeff Francis COL 4 8 5 2 10 NYN Matt Harvey 19:10
Tommy Hunter BAL 4 1 4 7 6 TEX Derek Holland 20:05
Phil Hughes NYA 5 7 6 4 10 CHA Chris Sale 20:10
Bud Norris HOU 6 4 5 9 4 STL Kyle Lohse 20:15
Wade LeBlanc MIA 3 3 4 7 7 AZ Wade Miley 21:40
Matt Cain SF 7 3 6 1 6 LAN Chris Capuano 22:10

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

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15 Responses to “Daily Notes: Top Prospect Tyler Skaggs to Debut”

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  1. Matty Brown says:

    My girlfriend describes my performance in bed the same way you describe Skaggs’ changeup; decent, yet uninspiring.

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  2. Eminor3rd says:

    Chris Sale Day! Woo!

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  3. Robert D says:

    AZ’s radio broadcaster is now the TV play-by-play guy because Darron Sutton has been suspended for insubordination. Kind of messes up your rankings, huh?

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    • JuanBobo says:

      Truth. And Munn, the guy who replaced Schulte on the radio side, has an incredible knack for calling home runs like routine fly balls. Guy is human ambien.

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  4. Steve says:

    Matt Cain SF 7 3 6 1 6 LAN Chris Capuano 22:10

    Really? A 1-2 division battle and the game only garners a 6? How is LA a 1 team NERD factor? This isn’t like the Nationals and Braves either, where both look to be getting in and the Nats far ahead. SF and LA are within a game of each other and the loser may not make the playoffs.

    Silly fangraphs…

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    • Dodger Fan here, the Dodgers offense is boring to watch. They deserve the 1.

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    • Aaron (UK) says:

      poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment

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    • Ian R. says:

      In fairness, that “only” 6 is tied for first place among all of the non-arbitrary NERD rankings. Miami/Arizona is an outlier because the (very handsome) author decided to give Turner and Skaggs very high scores.

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    • Aaron (UK) says:

      http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB.html is our friend here.

      According to their calculations, the Giants’ playoff chances* vary from 77.7% with a win to 64.8% with a loss, and the Dodgers’ numbers are 42.5% and 28.6%.

      Shouldn’t an average “leverage” of 13.9% on one game feed more highly into NERD than at present?

      * includes both WCs, ideally I’d count a WC as half a playoff-spot, otherwise games like ATL @ WSH don’t get enough credit.

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      • Aaron (UK) says:

        Further to this, here are all today’s “Playoff Leverage Uniform Scores” to help Carson create NERD(PLUS):

        SF @ LAN 13.4%
        TOR @ DET 5.3%
        HOU @ STL 5.2%
        MIN @ OAK 5.2%
        PIT @ SD 4.9%
        BAL @ TEX 4.1%
        KC @ TB 3.9%
        ATL @ WAS 2.6%
        NYA @ CHA 2.5%
        LAA @ BOS 2.5%
        MIA @ AZ 1.9%
        CLE @ SEA 0.3%
        CIN @ PHI 0.3%
        COL @ NYN 0.0%
        CHN @ MIL 0.0%

        These seem to accord with my general sense of which games are most important, and I think we are all agreed that importance is part of watchability.

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  5. Bill Nye says:

    How is Tyler Greenes line possible? His OBP is less than his batting average?

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  6. Crazy Jorge says:

    “This game between Miami and Arizona is notable mostly on account of it represents the major-league debut of top prospect Tyler Skaggs.”

    Thanks, Beav

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