Daily Notes: Totally on Fiers

Table of Contents

1. The Mike Trout Leaderboard
2. Michael Fiers in a Notable Game of the Day, Among Other Such Games
3. Complete Schedule of Today’s Games

The Mike Trout Leaderboard
Why Does the Mike Trout Leaderboard Appear Today of All Days?
Because no one besides me is going to do it.

And because it’s Mike Trout’s birthday; he turns 21 today.

Where Might Mr. Trout Choose to Imbibe Legally, Now That He’s 21?
Why, quite fittingly at Trout River Brewing.

Which Other 20- or 21-Year-Old Has Done What Mike Trout Has Done?


The Mike Trout Leaderboard

As you can see, no 20- or 21- year old in the history of Major League Baseball has hit at least 19 HR, 21 doubles, and stolen at least 35 bases while posting an OPS over 1.000.

Eliminate the OPS requirement and it’s still only one other player who’s done what Trout has done: in 1972, as a 21-year-old centerfielder* for the Astros, Cesar Cedeno hit 39 doubles, 22 HR, and stole 55 bases while posting an OPS of .921 in 625 PA. Cedeno posted 8.8 WAR that year, but was out-fielded* by a couple of Reds that year and thus missed out in the MVP voting.

Trout should surpass Cedeno’s HR total and could approach his SB total. However, one would be remiss not to note that Cedeno was caught stealing 21 times in 1972; Trout has been caught just three times so far this year.

What Should You Do With the Mike Trout Leaderboard?
I recommend printing off several copies and distributing them around the office, or during show and tell at your next family reunion.

What Should You Do With the Printed Copies of the Mike Trout Leaderboard After Your Family and Co-Workers Are “Done” With Them?
You might papier-mâché them into a piñata to serve as a centerpiece of a party that celebrates the birth, life, and young achievements of Mike Trout.

Why Throw Such a Party?
For the enjoyment of said.

*These items were edited based on reader comments below. Thanks!
 
Michael Fiers and Bartolo Colon in Today’s Notable Games
Cincinnati at Milwaukee | 20:10 EDT

Wade Miley pitched well again last night, strengthening his case for NL Rookie of the year: in 132.2 IP this year now, Miley has posted over 3 WAR, the most by any NL rookie. Meanwhile, Michael Fiers, who takes the hill tonight for the BrewCrew, has pitched just over half that number of innings — 72, to be exact — and has already posted 2.4 WAR going into tonight’s contest.

While Fiers’s 1.88 ERA is probably not “for real,” his advanced metrics suggest that he’s been a well above average player this year nevertheless (2.31 FIP, 3.44 xFIP, 3.28 SIERA). His .298 BABIP isn’t helping him too much, but, as the difference between his FIP and xFIP might suggest, he has been getting a bit lucky with the gophers, posting a well below league average 3.7% HR/FB.

That said, Fiers retuned his repertoire from last year: he’s relying more on a new cut fastball that ranks third amongst rookie cutters (per the weighted PitchFx values) and less on what seems to be, at best, and average change-up (per the same measure).

It’s possible — though highly unlikely given Miley’s huge lead in IP — that Fiers could work his way into serious discussion for Rookie of the Year, should he keep pitching like he has so far. Despite the fact that Fiers was a 27-year-old with two major league innings pitched coming into 2012, the preseason ZiPs loved him, and they still love him, calling for a 3.47 the rest of the season. Today’s the first day of the rest of the season for Fiers.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio.

 
Los Angeles AL at Oakland | 22:05 EDT

Bartolo Colon, at least in this edition of the Daily Notes, is a man of zeros: he scores a zero in my version of the NERD Scores, and he has given up zero runs in the last 15.2 innings he’s thrown. That’s not a historical streak by any means, but it’s still pretty impressive considering his modest repertoire (he throws either a two- or four-seam fastball 90% of the time), and he is capable amazing things, like when he threw a record 38 consecutive strikes, or the fact that he is an oblate spheroid in shape.

Oh yeah, this is also a notable game because Mike Trout is playing in it, and IT’S HIS BIRTHDAY (he’s turning 21), and he leads all Major Leaguers in WAR despite having played in fewer games than many of the other leaders.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Oakland Radio.

 
Today’s Complete Schedule
And now for the requisite list of all of today’s games. The chart below includes my version of NERD, which indicates a completely different type of “watchability” than that which Carson normally indicates through his NERD scores. My scores are visually based: the Team Scores consider the relative fugliness/comeliness of each team’s uniform; the pitcher scores reflect the handsomeness of the pitcher’s face — or the complete lack thereof in the case of Aaron Harang and Bartolo Colon. Game Scores take into account the above mentioned scores and also the aesthetic pleasure of the home park. If C.J. Wilson was pitching for the Red Sox at Fenway tonight, oh boy. Hoh boy.

Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com; the photos there are the ones that I used to judge handsomeness of pitcher faces, except in the case of Brooks Raley, for whom I used this image. All scores are entirely my doing.

Note: the following table can be sorted, by category, using the magic “mouse” wand in your Internet Wizard Hand.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Patrick Corbin ARZ 6 3 7 8 1 PIT Jeff Karstens 19:05 EDT
Mike Minor ATL 5 6 5 6 8 PHI Cole Hamels 19:05 EDT
Sam Deduno MIN 5 6 4 3 5 CLE Corey Kluber 19:05 EDT
Phil Hughes NYY 4 9 6 8 5 DET Rick Porcello 19:05 EDT
Blake Beavan SEA 5 3 6 10 3 BAL Zach Britton 19:05 EDT
Wade LeBlanc MIA 4 7 6 6 6 NYM Jon Niese 19:10 EDT
Ryan Dempster TEX 3 4 7 9 2 BOS Jon Lester 19:10 EDT
J.A. Happ TOR 7 8 5 7 6 TB James Shields 19:10 EDT
Ross Detwiler WAS 4 7 5 0 6 HOU Jordan Lyles 20:05 EDT
Johnny Cueto CIN 3 5 5 6 6 MIL Mike Fiers 20:10 EDT
Bruce Chen KC 9 5 5 3 8 CHW Jake Peavy 20:10 EDT
Barry Zito SF 7 8 7 8 1 STL Lance Lynn 20:15 EDT
C.J. Wilson LAA 10 2 4 9 0 OAK Bartolo Colon 22:05 EDT
Brooks Raley CHC 8 5 5 0 4 SD Ross Olendorf 22:05 EDT
Alex White COL 3 0 2 6 0 LAD Aaron Harang 22:10 EDT




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30 Responses to “Daily Notes: Totally on Fiers”

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  1. Frank says:

    Yesterday I was going to complain that the Orioles, in (albeit mainly technically) a playoff race, remained a zero-NERD team, and today they are at TEN! It may be a mistake, but it feels like justice. Orioles magic!

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    • Mike M says:

      I wanted to post the exact same thing. The last time Britton pitched, we got obliterated in New York. If Fangraphs gives us a 10 in NERD because we’re outplaying our wonderful run differential, then “Orioles Magic” is it.

      Two words regarding Kevin Gregg: grand slam.

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    • Robert J. Baumann says:

      Not a mistake: going back to the old logo/hat was a great move, and warrants a 10.

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  2. Eminor3rd says:

    Carson, I don’t mean to be critical, but if your two “notable broadcasts” appear on the bottom half of your watchability table — which is instead topped by Karstens vs. Corbin and Zito vs. Lynn — there may be an issue with the table.

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    • Jack says:

      Good to know we read the whole thing, including the author’s name….

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      • Eminor3rd says:

        Fair criticism, Jack — even with the passive-aggressive sarcasm.

        But to be equally fair, does anyone actually read these whole things? Everyone knows Carson puts about 85% more words in than are necessary for the point.

        To Mr. Baumann — my sincerest apologies for missing your name. You know how habits go, right?

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      • Robert J. Baumann says:

        I’m not offended in the least, Eminor.

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    • Robert J. Baumann says:

      Yes, as Jack indicates, I wrote this and I am not Carson.

      Also, my NERD Scores are meant to guide viewers on the (probable) visual aesthetics of each game. The notable games are notable for other reasons.

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    • matt w says:

      It’s sorted in order of time (and in fact, in order of the “Probable Pitchers” page at MLB.com).

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  3. Cliff says:

    I wouldn’t say Cedeno was outhit by a couple of Reds, maybe he was outfielded (higher wRC+, wOBA).

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  4. Angelsjunky says:

    I just had yet another troutgasm.

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  5. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    Q. What would one find inside a Mike Trout piñata?

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  6. matt w says:

    ” the pitcher scores reflect the handsomeness of the pitcher’s face ”

    How.

    The.

    Hell.

    Did.

    Jeff.

    Karstens.

    Get.

    A.

    Point.

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  7. Baltar says:

    Rating games on the handsomeness of the pitchers?
    It’s about time for baseball writers to come out of the closet.

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  8. Drakos says:

    Maybe a 0 NERD uniform attractiveness score will be the factor that finally leads to the Padres fixing their uniforms. We can only hope.

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  9. salvo says:

    Cesar Cedeno was a Gold Glove-winning CF at age 21, not a shortstop.

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  10. Westo says:

    AL pitchers might want to fill up on a different beer:
    http://www.bigskybrew.com/Trout%20Slayer%20wheat%20ale

    I would just use it to drink away the pain, though. There’s no magical potion that can save you from Mike Trout.

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  11. This is the best Daily Notes ever, on any topic, from any source, in any dimension and universe.

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  12. Jason says:

    Hey! I work about 3 miles from the Trout River Brewery! It’s Red Sox country up here, but it would still be great to see Mike Trout in the area, I’ll even buy his first beer!

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