Daily Notes: Very Emergent Rick Porcello to Start Today

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Featured Game: Detroit at Baltimore, 13:35pm ET
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Featured Game: Detroit at Baltimore, 13:35pm ET
Regarding This Game, Who’s Starting It for Detroit
Starting this game for Detroit, in terms of a pitcher, is right-hander Rick Porcello.

Regarding Rick Porcello, What Notable About Him
What’s notable about Rick Porcello, of course, is how — over just the last month, really — how he’s transformed himself from a promising and still mostly young pitcher with a good sinker into very literally one of the league’s best starters.

Rick Porcello: April vs. May
Here’s a table including an assortment of metrics which reveal Porcello’s improvement in May relative to April (April’s line more closely resembling his previously established levels):

Month G IP TBF K% BB% GB% BABIP ERA- FIP- xFIP- WAR
Apr 5 19.1 88 9.1% 5.7% 57.3% .347 210 121 110 0.0
May 5 31.2 123 26.0% 4.1% 54.2% .284 74 79 58 0.7

Rick Porcello: His Leaderboard Companions
By way of illustrating Porcello’s monthly performances relative to other pitchers in the league, here’s the portion which features Porcello from the April leaderboard for park-adjusted xFIP*:

Rank Name Team G IP TBF K% BB% GB% xFIP-
77 C.J. Wilson Angels 5 29.1 133 20.3% 12.8% 51.7% 109
78 Mark Buehrle Blue Jays 5 28.1 130 14.6% 4.6% 39.2% 110
79 Rick Porcello Tigers 5 19.1 88 9.1% 5.7% 57.3% 110
80 Wily Peralta Brewers 5 28.2 126 11.9% 9.5% 59.4% 111
81 Bronson Arroyo Reds 6 41.0 164 11.0% 3.1% 43.2% 111

*Among qualified starters — had Porcello thrown enough innings to qualify, even.

And now here’s the same thing, except for the May leaderboard:

Rank Name Team G IP TBF K% BB% GB% xFIP-
1 Anibal Sanchez Tigers 6 37.1 155 31.0% 5.8% 44.6% 56
2 Felix Hernandez Mariners 6 40.2 161 26.7% 5.6% 56.9% 57
3 Rick Porcello Tigers 5 31.2 123 26.0% 4.1% 54.2% 58
4 Alex Cobb Rays 5 32.1 130 26.9% 5.4% 64.4% 59
5 Yu Darvish Rangers 5 35.2 141 33.3% 6.4% 42.7% 62

More Reading on Porcello
Last Monday, the present author reviewed Porcello’s most recent start. That same day, Jeff Sullivan considered what we know for sure is different about Porcello’s approach.

Finally, Regarding This Game
It ought to be noted, regarding this game, that Porcello is opposed by very promising Baltimore right-hander Kevin Gausman. Gausman’s first couple of starts have not been brilliant (9.0 IP, 126 xFIP-, -0.3 WAR), but he continues to sit at 96 mph and throw an impressive changeup or split-change or split-fingered fastball or forkball.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
Per the results of our crowdsourcing project from the 2011-2012 offseason, FanGraphs readers prefer Baltimore or Detroit Radio (link).

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Kansas City at Texas | 15:05 ET
Ervin Santana (70.1 IP, 87 xFIP-, 0.8 WAR) faces Yu Darvish (74.1 IP, 59 xFIP-, 2.2 WAR). The latter struck out 14 in his most recent start, during the course of which he (i.e. Darvish) threw this pitch, just because he felt like it, probably:

Darvish Cahill

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Texas Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.8.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Jer. Hellickson TB 8 7 7 9 4 CLE Zach McAllister 13:05
Matt Harvey NYN 10 6 6 0 4 MIA Kevin Slowey 13:10
Mat Latos CIN 7 6 5 6 3 PIT Jeanmar Gomez 13:35
Rick Porcello DET 9 7 8 9 7 BAL Kevin Gausman* 13:35
Mike Fiers* MIL 4 5 5 2 7 PHI Cliff Lee 13:35
Nate Karns* WAS 7 2 6 9 4 ATL Paul Maholm 13:35
Jer. Bonderman* SEA 7 6 5 3 3 MIN Scott Diamond 14:10
Chad Gaudin* SF 5 5 6 2 8 STL Tyler Lyons* 14:15
Patrick Corbin AZ 7 3 6 6 6 CHN Edwin Jackson 14:20
Ervin Santana KC 7 6 8 4 10 TEX Yu Darvish 15:05
Jordan Lyles HOU 5 4 5 5 4 LAA C.J. Wilson 15:35
Chris Sale CHA 9 0 5 6 3 OAK Jarrod Parker 16:05
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAN 7 3 5 8 2 COL Jorge de la Rosa 16:10
Clay Buchholz BOS 7 7 6 5 4 NYA Hiroki Kuroda 20:00
Undecided TOR 5 6 4 7 1 SD Ed. Volquez 22:10

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.



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gump
Member
Member
gump

UNDECIDED has a NERD of 6?

Oscar
Guest
Oscar

It should be higher. The suspense is killing me.

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