Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.
Various Stolen-Base Leaderboards
A Thing That’s Possible
It’s entirely within the realm of the possible that one — a curious reader, for example — that such a one might ask himself, “Who’s the best base-stealer in the majors?”
A Thing That’s a Fact
It’s entirely a fact that there are at least three criteria by which one might determine the league’s best base-stealer — specifically, by identifying either (a) the league’s leader by stolen-base runs or (b) the league’s leader by stolen-base frequency (i.e. attempts per opportunity) or (c) the league’s leader as measured by stolen-base runs per opportunity (or X number of opportunities, as the case may be).
Another Thing That’s a Fact
Another thing that’s a fact is how the author has compiled three leaderboards (below) corresponding to the three criteria mentioned above. To say that he (i.e. the author) found data from Baseball Reference helpful in so doing would be the very picture of accuracy. To say that all numbers are current through Saturday would be equally precise.
Leaderboard: Stolen-Base Runs
Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base runs, in which .2 runs are assigned for every successful stolen base and -.4 runs for every caught stealing (per the current linear-weight values for 2012, which themselves are derived by dividing the wOBA stolen-base and caught-stealing constants by this year’s wOBA Scale figure):
Leaderboard: Stolen-Base Attempts per Opportunity
Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base attempts per opportunity — which is to say, the players who attempt stolen bases most often (minimum 25 stolen-base opportunities):
Leaderboard: Stolen-Base Runs per Hundred Opportunities
Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base runs per every 100 opportunies — or, in effect, the most efficient base-stealers this year (minimum 25 stolen-base opportunities):
Today’s Notable Games
Milwaukee at Washington | 13:05 ET
In addition to offering another chapter in Milwaukee’s unlikely pursuit of the NL’s second wild-card spot, this game also features probably the best pitching matchup of Monday: Marco Estrada (126.1 IP, 89 xFIP-, 2.3 WAR) versus Jordan Zimmermann (182.2 IP, 97 xFIP-, 3.3 WAR)
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio.
Kansas City at Detroit | 19:05 ET
Despite losing both ends of Sunday’s doubleheader against Minnesota, Detroit remains just a single game behind the Chicago White Sox in the AL Central. With their 31.7% chance of making the postseason (per Cool Standings), the Tigers’ playoff odds remain are almost identical to where they were on opening day. The very talented Justin Verlander (223.1 IP, 81 xFIP-, 6.2 WAR) starts for Detroit.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.
Toronto at Baltimore | TBD ***MLB.TV Free Game***
This is the second game of Toronto and Baltimore’s Monday doubleheader. What the author would prefer to discuss, however, is the first game of said doubleheader. Starting that game for Baltimore is Steve Johnson (28.1 IP, 81 xFIP-, 0.5 WAR), who’s pitched quite well both in relief and also in a pair of starts. Starting that game for Toronto is Henderson Alvarez (175.2 IP, 109 xFIP-, 0.4 WAR), who appeared to throw his changeup both differently and more effectively in his most recent start.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Toronto Radio.
Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.6.
Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.
|Marco Estrada||MIL||8||9||7||7||8||WAS||Jord. Zimmermann||13:05|
|Henderson Alvarez||TOR||5||4||4||2||9||BAL||Steve Johnson*||16:05|
|Ricky Romero||TOR||2||4||2||2||5||BAL||Wei-Yin Chen||TBD|
|Luke Hochevar||KC||5||7||7||5||10||DET||Justin Verlander||19:05|
|Kyle McPherson*||PIT||7||4||4||2||6||NYN||Jenrry Mejia*||19:10|
|Dan Straily||OAK||2||6||3||7||6||TEX||Derek Holland||20:05|
|Lance Lynn||STL||8||8||5||4||4||HOU||Fernando Abad||20:05|
|Zach McAllister||CLE||6||2||6||4||10||CHA||Chris Sale||20:10|
|Andy Pettitte||NYA||9||7||4||4||2||MIN||Liam Hendriks||20:10|
|Trevor Cahill||AZ||6||7||4||7||4||COL||Tyler Chatwood||20:40|