Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 4/14/14

12:01
Dan Szymborski: After 2 weeks of no FanGraphs chats (ESPN Chat and then away), Dan Szymborski returns, just as terrible as ever.
12:01
Comment From Steve
So… should i be starting Bailey against pitt today??
12:02
Dan Szymborski: Obviously depends on what your choices are, but Bailey’s generally a safe play even with his poor start.
12:03
Comment From Los
Where the hell have you been? I’ve needed someone to tell me if Emilio Bonifacio and Michael Morse can be the best players in the league!!!!
12:03
Dan Szymborski: The answer to 60% of questions this month is “Because April.”
12:03
Comment From Steve
My monday mornings have sucked for two weeks because of you.

12:03
Dan Szymborski: If it makes you feel better, my monday morning this week sucks because I’m coughing up a lung it seems.
12:04
Comment From Rob
ROS: Jason Castro or Devin Mesoraco?
12:04
Dan Szymborski: Feel better about Castro.
12:04
Comment From Los
In other news, Mike Trout leads in the AL in WAR.
12:04
Dan Szymborski: You want to read a terrible article about Mike Trout and sabermetrics? Lemme find the link
12:05
Dan Szymborski: http://t.co/dJzLK7I9Ci
12:05
Comment From Chris
Will Drew Hutchison be 12 team relevant going forward?
12:05
Dan Szymborski: 12-team mixed? That’s tough. Relevant, but I think that’s pushing his value
12:05
Comment From Rob
Why can’t this be the Justin Upton we get ALL OF THE TIME?
12:06
Dan Szymborski: Because Upton thrives on a specific axial tilt of the earth. When we get into summer, it’s too late
12:06
Comment From toot toot
is the AL East race more open now, due to injuries?
12:06
Dan Szymborski: It was already quite open. There is no team that would surprise me by winning the AL East
12:06
Comment From Kyle
Thoughts on John Axford? How long until Cody Allen takes his job?
12:07
Dan Szymborski: Fairly quickly, I imagine. Axford’s already lost closer jobs before and he wasn’t a huge $ signing, so I think they’ll be fairly quick to demote him out of the 9th if his command keeps sucking
12:07
Comment From Vic
Live from Istanbul! In a 14 team 1 catcher 5 x 5 league, I drafted Posey for $19, Yadier for $13, and Wieters for $7 simply because I thought they were going too cheap. Did I make a mistake? It’s a 5 year keeper league with $3 penalty. Who should I move?
12:08
Dan Szymborski: I’d keep Posey as he’s the best. Whether it was a mistake depends on how trade-friendly your league is
12:08
Comment From Rob
If Pedroia is out for a while, how much will that affect Papi’s value?
12:09
Dan Szymborski: Don’t think it’s a *huge* deal – people tend to overestimate the effect of a loss of a single player
12:09
Dan Szymborski: and we really don’t know the severity of it yet
12:09
Comment From quinceleather
Curious of your take on Kazmir’s triceps injury. just what does billy beane feed his pitchers anyway?
12:10
Dan Szymborski: It’s supposedly just a minor annoyance, but I’d be worried because Kazmir.
12:10
Dan Szymborski: And now, time for our little side event, the Electoral Brawllege!
12:11
:
12:11
:
12:12
Comment From John
Which side of trade do you like, Fielder and Masterson for Chris Davis?
12:12
Dan Szymborski: Pretty even. Though remember, I’ve been more down on Fielder than most analysts
12:12
Comment From Jon
Why do the Diamondbacks not start Chris Owings everyday? He hits for average (no power though so far). and do you think they will continue the pseudo-platoon?
12:14
Dan Szymborski: I think it’s residue of poor decision-making. They’re trying to put off making the tough decision of who their primary SS is, leaving an awkward mess that’s poorly utilizing their assets
12:14
Comment From GSon
Jose Abreu: Playah!!.. or smoke and mirrors/result of hot early start by the rest of the pale hose?
12:15
Dan Szymborski: Well, he’s probably not going to slug .600, but all the projection systems were very high on him.
12:16
Dan Szymborski: I believe his ZiPS ROS is over .500 now for SLG
12:17
Comment From Jeff
Who sticks in Nats rotation – Roark or Jordan? I have both right now, and I’m looking to drop one for a Holds reliever.
12:18
Dan Szymborski: They haven’t really separated themselves on the field (or in expectations), but I suspect they’re more likely to keep Jordan in.
12:18
Comment From Zachary
Your MLB team is pitching in a game tied up with 1 out in the bottom of the ninth and Billy Hamilton on third base. Assuming all other players are perfectly average, what do you do with your 9 defenders?
12:21
Dan Szymborski: I probably intentionally walk the next hitter, so at least there’s a shot at getting a double play on two mortals. I don’t typically like walking the bases loaded, simply becuase the margin for error is so small.
12:21
Comment From Anthony
When Hamels returns from injury, who should i be dropping: Porcello, Kluber, Quintana?
12:21
Dan Szymborski: Kluber’s probably my least favorite
12:22
Comment From Rated Rookie
Dee Gordon: “because April” or because he is better at getting on base?
12:22
Dan Szymborski: Because April. If he’s still doing this in May,c all me.
12:22
Comment From KilleBrews
Better potential Pedroia replacement 5×5. Dietrich, Espinosa or pass on both?
12:23
Dan Szymborski: Your other options are probably worse, so probably Espinosa unless you can’t absorb the likely low BA
12:24
Comment From Ryan
Think Daniel Webb can take the closer role from Lindstrom? I know they had an error last night to blow the save, but Lindstrom did not do himself any favors after that. With Jones’ health in question, I think Ventura needs to wise up and stop putting the worst possible pitcher in for the 9th.
12:26
Dan Szymborski: Webb’s certainly the most interesting, but given Jones won’t be out forever, I suspect it would be short-term, even if Webb turns out to better than Jones
12:26
Comment From Reddickulous
Shelby Miller is going to be useful in an 8-team 5×5 Roto this year? Do I stream him against good matchups or what?
12:26
Dan Szymborski: I’m a little worried about him right now, his stuff in first 2 starts wasn’t folling anybody
12:26
Comment From The Red Viper
Skaggs/Richards are pitching like top prospects, Wilson looks like he knows what he’s doing, hitters lead MLB in bombs… can the Angels pull off a win in the West?
12:27
Dan Szymborski: Certainly possible – while I didn’t project the Angels to be very good on average, they have been underestimated by many. I’ve been a fan of Skaggs and thought he was an excellent pickup
12:27
Comment From Slowpoke
What should one make of the early velocity drops of some of the preseason sleeper darlings (namely Erasmo Ramirez and Taylor Jordan)?
12:28
Dan Szymborski: Always worry about velocity drops – in Ramirez’s case, I was never a fan.
12:28
Comment From Lawrence
Which potential breakout outfielder currently being bounced around their respective lineups has more value ROS: Kole Calhoun or Desmond Jennings?
12:28
Dan Szymborski: Jennings
12:29
Comment From Matt
What is Freddie Freeman’s ceiling in ur opinion?
12:29
Dan Szymborski: I think he could have a couple McGriffish peak years
12:29
Comment From Guest
Does anybody know of a source of instant replay review data? Game/Umpire/Outcome etc etc
12:29
Dan Szymborski: I do not.
12:30
Comment From David
Is Chase Utley mortal, or has he transcended this plane of existence?
12:30
Dan Szymborski: I love Utley as much as Mac.
12:30
Comment From Guest
Why does KC only have 1 HR this year?
12:31
Dan Szymborski: Probably flukish – it’s not like they invented a Jason Tyner cloning machine in the offseason, even if it sounds like something Dayton Moore would do. Or maybe they drank Jobu’s rum.
12:31
Comment From Tawmmy from Quinzeee
The Red Sox had a call overturned against them! ALL REPLAY IS BAD!
12:31
Comment From toot toot
“Give me that kid who dives into second base headfirst stretching a single or smashes into the outfield wall leaping for a fly ball or hits 450-feet home runs or bats .320 and steals 50 bases” – wait but that’s mike trout i don’t understand
12:31
Comment From Los
Did you know Francisco Liriano has the best swing and miss percetage on any pitcher with at least 1000 innings. Behing him are Nolan, Pedro, and Hoffman. How surprising is it to see a left top that list and how good is Liriano?
12:31
Dan Szymborski: I’m surprised he’s *that* high, but he’s really good.
12:31
Comment From The Red Viper
Can Dan Szymborski be defined as a “gruff man with a beer and a cigar dangling from his mouth”… this guy didnt realize those scouts are just computer geeks now
12:31
Dan Szymborski: I only smoke cigars while golfing.
12:32
Comment From Johnny Rockets
Anything make you believe that this year could be a Rollins renaissance-lite? Say 17/28?
12:32
Dan Szymborski: uhh, HR/SB? Or do you express your like of players based on your favorite fractions?
12:33
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS has him finishing at 14/21, so it’s not the *craziest* thing ever, though I feel he’ll fall short of 17/28
12:34
Comment From Jay
Dave wrote a piece about Shelby Miller possibly being broken. His velo chart is pretty much right in line with early 2013…any thoughts on the matter?
12:36
Dan Szymborski: I did see the piece – I was sad becuase I was thinking about writing something on the subject
12:37
Dan Szymborski: It’s hard to pin down something on 2 starts, but I did see look at both his starts and his stuff just wasn’t very deceptive.
12:37
Comment From Billy
When will the mets call up Montero? shouldnt they offer an extension for him and Syndergaard to remove super 2 consideration at call up?
12:38
Dan Szymborski: June 1st? I’d certainly try to offer extensions right now. They’re both close enough to majors that they’re not really riskier than others.
12:38
Comment From RotoLando
This ZimChat is exactly like I remember them: informative, with a slight odor of cold cuts.
12:38
Comment From buffalo
oh my that article… i don’t even… wow
12:38
Comment From Terrible Ted
List of mortal enemies: 1. Scott DeSmit
12:38
Comment From juan pierres mustache
the best part of that trout article is where he randomly insinuates that projections account for how well a player does against players of specific other races
12:38
Comment From Kid
Re: Braun’s thumb injury, do you see it costing him more than say 10-12 “maintenance” games over the season? Since word came out that it was bothering him, he’s done nothing but rake and play every single inning.
12:39
Dan Szymborski: I dont’ think so, but there’s a limit to how much pain a player can play through
12:40
Dan Szymborski: Word about the thumb is that it’s been getting progressively more painful since the start of the spring
12:40
Dan Szymborski: Braun’s tried to avoid surgery, but if it keeps getting worse, he may have to take it
12:40
Comment From Mike
Cody Allen will be closing for the Indians before June 1st, true or false?
12:40
Dan Szymborski: True
12:41
Comment From Guest
Who has the ZIPS projections changed the most on since the season start (not due to injury)?
12:41
Dan Szymborski: No idea – haven’t checked. Will probably do an article somewhat
12:41
Comment From Los
That Trout article is awful: “Taking David Ortiz out of the World Series lineup based on Sabermetrics? Because the bench player had a better OPS/WAR against the pitcher on odd-numbered days and when the defensive lineup consisted of 38 percent Hispanic players with DRSes of .678 or above?”
12:42
Comment From The Red Viper
Do you feel your audience might be a little biased against Obama in this fight?
12:42
Dan Szymborski: If anything, I’d expect my audience to skew a little liberal – nobody reads me becuase of my political beliefs, after all.
12:43
Comment From Stan
What do you think about J Zimmerman’s bad start so far? I haven’t seen him pitch, but getting shelled by the Marlins is concerning to me. Would you start him today?
12:44
Dan Szymborski: I only saw one start, but in the absence of anything solid, such as a Parnellesque loss of velocity, April.
12:44
Comment From Andy
Hi, I’m in 10 team head to head points league, but we play 2 half seasons (with a complete redraft after week 11…playoffs are weeks 10-11).
I’m 2-0, so I’m in good shape thus far to make the 4 team playoffs, but with Kershaw and Latos in my 2 DL spots, Paxton is taking up a spot that could help me fill my 12 starts per week.
Somoeone panicked and dropped Jared Weaver and I can claim with the #1 waiver pick. Should I drop Zack Wheeler or James Paxton for him?
12:45
Dan Szymborski: YOu can only drop Wheeler or Paxton? I’d at least try to trade Paxton and get someone to pay for his two really good starts before outright dumping him
12:45
Comment From Matt
12 team keeper, choose a side: Carlos Gomez or Chris Archer and Sonny Gray
12:45
Dan Szymborski: The latter.
12:46
Comment From Jake
Which side of the trade do you like, Rosario for Salty and Liriano…Desperate for SP
12:46
Dan Szymborski: Second part
12:46
Comment From MomsBasementDweller
That article you linked was amazingly awful. Apparently, the E in PECOTA is “empiriCAL.” Wow.
12:46
Comment From quinceleather
speaking of SS–villar has more HR than SB?? and the rumor is he’s going to have slivers in his butt soon. It this another “april” response on your part?
12:46
Dan Szymborski: April
12:46
Comment From Guest
Searching the waiver wire for pitching. Who do you prefer: Kluber or Quintana?
12:46
Dan Szymborski: Quintana
12:46
Comment From Norm
Any chance ARI forgoes the Super-2 date to call up Archie Bradley given the way their rotation has pitched lately?
12:47
Dan Szymborski: I think they either do it soon or wait a couple months
12:47
Comment From Yes Good
What’s up with Wil Myers? Not hitting at all so far this year. Probably meaningless, right?
12:47
Dan Szymborski: April
12:47
Comment From Sadwick
The man who wrote the article you linked should be forced to give up all responsibility involving anything numerical. I hesitate to call that an article at all, and it brings to mind a quote.
12:47
Comment From Lawrence
Will there ever be another Tony Gywnn/Wade Boggs type who hits .350+ every year? I thought it could have been Mauer, but he didn’t quite meet the hype.
12:47
Dan Szymborski: At some point there will be, but not in the near future
12:48
Dan Szymborski: Right now, we’re actually lower BA than the 80s.
12:49
Dan Szymborski: And while I *can’t* prove it, I think every pitcher’s basic stuff having movement these days would make it tougher for a pure contact guy to have a BA that high regularly
12:49
Comment From Sadwick
What you’ve just said… is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.
12:50
Dan Szymborski: Billy Madison reference. But directed at me? Which thing I said was that level of stupid? THere are many possibilities.
12:51
Comment From Bob
Do you think Mike Trout will go 30/30 this year? He hasn’t stolen a base nor attempted yet!
12:52
Dan Szymborski: I think he’ll get it this year, but I expect his SBs to trail off in future years. Teams that have players that are that valuable offensively tend to be conservative with their baserunning long term
12:53
Dan Szymborski: Even Rickey’s stolen base attempts fell off pretty steeply, and he was frigging RICKEY
12:53
Comment From Preston
Is CC Sabathia’s 2.35 xFIP encouraging that he’ll turn it around. Or is that 2.37 HR/9 a real red flag?
12:54
Dan Szymborski: I think people are panicking too quickly about him. Ain’t nobody have a “true” 40% HR-FB percentage. Even sticking me out there.
12:54
Comment From UKJay
Do you think the Jays should consider locking up Melky Cabrera long term or are there still too many question marks?
12:54
Dan Szymborski: As always, depends on the price.
12:55
Dan Szymborski: Though I totally enjoy Melky assaulting lazy sportswriters that tried to fit his storyline into a neat TEH STERIODZ mad lib.
12:55
Comment From Nicholas
To Zachary: It’s going to depend on who’s at the plate. But I’d bring the infield way in to take away the bunt. Leave the outfield at standard depth. Make the hitter swing and hope your pitcher can get a strike out.
12:55
Comment From jocephus
any reason to have concern with rosenthal? doesn’t seem to have the same zip…SSS perhaps
12:56
Dan Szymborski: His velocity *is* down but too early to worry yet
12:56
Comment From Pork Sale
Thoughts on Marcus Semien? He seems like he could be a 4 category contributor with regular playing time.
12:57
Dan Szymborski: I like Semien quite a bit, though I don’t think he has start potential. He’s probably an averageish starter right now
12:57
Comment From Godd Till
Is Lincecum done as even an above-average starting pitcher?
12:58
Dan Szymborski: Every year, I’m getting a little less confident about a bounceback. I’m thinkin his contract ends up looking terrible
12:59
Comment From Nicholas
Where do you see Kyle Gibson’s likely ceiling? What veteran pitcher is his closest correlative?
12:59
Dan Szymborski: Maybe a good 4/5 guy. I don’t think his ceiling is very high and there’s not a lot of time for him to break out.
1:00
Dan Szymborski: I think he’s most likely an Armando Galarraga back-end type
1:00
Comment From Question Man
Brandon Belt is having a very poor season other than having run into a few inside fastballs. Concern or no?
1:00
Dan Szymborski: April
1:01
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
Offered Pedroia ($30) for my Bogaerts ($19) straight up in a keeper league. Tempted to ‘accept.’
1:01
Dan Szymborski: Given the unknown about his wrist, I might be tempted to accept.
1:01
Comment From Guest
Are Homer Bailey’s first couple of starts worrisome?
1:01
Dan Szymborski: April.
1:01
Comment From Bonified
Bonifacio a useful MI rest of year in a 14 team roto mixer??
1:01
Dan Szymborski: Not terribly – you already got most of his 2014 value, in all likelhiood
1:01
Comment From Nicholas
Dan, tell the guest he can compile his own Replay Data. See all challenges here http://m.mlb.com/video/sear…
1:01
Comment From Guest
Instant replay database: http://baseballsavant.com/a…
1:02
Comment From Joe
It’s only a matter of time when valverde losses that closer spot for the Mets. What is your outlook on Germen taking over?
1:03
Dan Szymborski: I think it’ll be longer than is reasonable – I have zero faith in Terry Collins. Germen’s the likely candidate, especially with Jeurys Familia’s command issues.
1:05
Dan Szymborski: Let’s not forget, Collins watched Eric Young play for his team for most of an entire season and came away with the conclusion “This is the dude that should be up at the plate the most for our team.”
1:05
Comment From Bob
I know it’s early, but can I be optimistic about the Jays? Bautista is walking as if he’s Joey Votto, and the questionables in the rotation are so far surprising.
1:06
Dan Szymborski: Depends what you mean by optimistic. I’ve always felt that while 2013 didn’t work, people are too down on them this season
1:06
Comment From Guest
The Phillies need bullpen help, but don’t really have the pieces to make a move. What are viable options to improve without moving “core.” Maybe move Revere and roll with Gwynn, small return but maybe worth dangling, right?
1:07
Dan Szymborski: Honestly, the Phillies are generally phucked.
1:07
Dan Szymborski: I think they’re boxed out – they don’t have a lot of ammunition to make improvements and they need a lot of pimprovemnts
1:07
Comment From Arbys is Evil
Do you still have that image of the Staten Island Game of Thrones thing?
1:07
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, hold on.
1:08
Comment From Nick
Battle of the Nicks:

Swisher vs. Markakis – Who ends up with the better career? Fangraphs tells a different story then Baseball-Reference.

1:08
Dan Szymborski: I think swisher edges him out. Markakis is younger, but seems to be fading fast.
1:08
Comment From Steven
Dan, just a slow start for Billy Butler? Or is this something to be concerned about?
1:08
Dan Szymborski: April.
1:08
Comment From RAJ
If equal contracts/service time considerations, how would you rank these guys to start a franchise: Heyward, Puig, Stanton?
1:08
Dan Szymborski: Stanton, Heyward, Puig
1:09
:
1:09
Dan Szymborski: Oops
1:09
:
1:10
Dan Szymborski: I participated in the brainstorming for that one (not paid, just informally since I know a dude that works for them) and I’m really happy with how that turned out.
1:10
Dan Szymborski: They did actually build the Bat Throne.
1:10
Comment From hanstone
Disco Danny! Thanks for chatting! I have Avi Garcia at $0.00 right now but need the bench space badly… Do you think he will pick up where he left off next spring or do you see a longer timetable/less certain return to a full time job with the labrum tear/others ChiSox OF matters?
1:11
Dan Szymborski: Honestly, I don’t think he’s worth keeping if you need the bench space.
1:11
Comment From Northsider
I just claimed Skaggs off wires in my 12 standard H2H. Will this make up for me cutting Quintana in the offseason?
1:11
Dan Szymborski: Yes
1:11
Comment From Jay
I was surprised to see that ZiPS actually likes both Anna and Solarte. You think the Yankees can patch together a mediocre infield?
1:11
Dan Szymborski: They can, but will they? Outlook unclear.
1:12
Comment From Matt
Brian Dozier has more combined HR/SB than anyone else in MLB… just because April, or is there a 20/20 season here?
1:12
Dan Szymborski: April
1:12
Dan Szymborski: Though he *could* hit 20/20. I think ZiPS has him close now
1:12
Comment From Dan
RE Braun: I thought the issue was that he was having numbness and loss of feeling. Which is basically the exact opposite of too painful.
1:13
Dan Szymborski: He’s had both – general numbness but pain when he swings. it’s the same nerve injury he’s dealt with
1:13
Dan Szymborski: One of the surgical options was to remove the nerves, in which case he’ll never feel his thumb again, which he was resistant about.
1:13
Comment From Sadwick
Did Mr. Desmit get paid for the linked article? If so, where might one apply for such a job with no oversight of quality or accuracy?
1:14
Dan Szymborski: Greek Harry (Pavlidis) linked some more DeSmit pieces. Apparently he writes badly about a number of topic.s
1:14
Comment From Daniel Bryan
DAN! How could you not chat last week? Were you still weeping over the Undertaker?
1:14
Dan Szymborski: I was in Baltimore and was out and about too much to be able to make a chat
1:15
Comment From Travis
If there was one improvement you could make to ZiPS with a magic wand (could even include data that doesn’t exist yet), what would it be?
1:15
Dan Szymborski: If my wand is magical, can’t I just make the projections more accurate?
1:15
Dan Szymborski: If I’m not allowed to do that, pitch/fx data going back to the start of history
1:15
Comment From mattlock
Stephen Drew almost seems to perfect for the Pirates
1:15
Dan Szymborski: Not in April.
1:16
Comment From Perry
I so enjoy the comments like “I’m already out of contention in my fantasy league….”
1:16
Dan Szymborski: April.
1:16
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
Chase Utley has a good HoF shot considering he won’t be eligible for likely 9-10 years….hoping the voting base will change
1:16
Dan Szymborski: *Maybe* – there are still far more non-saber types being included yearly than modern analysts.
1:16
Comment From juan pierres mustache
i think he meant the article guy
1:17
Comment From Dr. Met
Liking Mr. Semien so far? I know the chisox love them some Beckham but they can’t go back to him once he’s back can they?
1:17
Dan Szymborski: I am liking Mr. Semien. I’m also being extra careful to avoid an unfortunate typo.
1:17
Comment From Vince
I actually e-mailed Mr. DeSmit and he was perfectly reasonable and civil in that exchange. The article itself made me throw up in my mouth, but I do want to point out that he didn’t Chass me in private.
1:17
Dan Szymborski: But it is worse if he’s actually capable of better and chooses not to be?
1:18
Dan Szymborski: Kind of an Eichmann thing?
1:18
Dan Szymborski: A few more than I need to go finish my piece for tomorrow and take massive amounts of medicine
1:18
Comment From Preston
What kind of package should the Dbacks be looking for in return for Gregorius?
1:18
Dan Szymborski: Probably a B+ prospect. They’re not going to get a huge package for him, though eh does have value.
1:19
Comment From Guest
Gausman ETA? Drink the Kool Aid? If so, how to quantify?
1:19
Dan Szymborski: June. I think for drinking kool-aid, fluid ounces drunk is the widely used quantitative stat
1:20
Dan Szymborski: Little research done on flavor efffects, i.e. is 16 ounces of Mountain Berry Punch easier to drink than 16 ounces of Grape?
1:20
Dan Szymborski: And how to take into consideration that Grape Kool-Aid is the archenemy of white carpets?
1:20
Comment From Alex
Thoughts on Pineda’s hot start?
1:20
Dan Szymborski: Good so far. I’ll avoid the pine tar discussion. He is a guy I’ve been saying will crush his projections.
1:20
Comment From Lawrence
With Kouz filling in for Beltre and the Rangers batting him 5th, is he worth a pickup?
1:21
Dan Szymborski: Short-term, yes.
1:21
Dan Szymborski: As long as you’re not benching legit guys
1:21
Comment From Mike Lum
Is Arenado’s ceiling David Freese? He seeems to be about as average as can be.
1:21
Dan Szymborski: Arenado’s a much better defensive player than Freese
1:21
Dan Szymborski: I think I once described David Freese as worse defensively than Maxime Weygand
1:22
Comment From Kid
I find it humorous that *most* alleged or proven PED users were no-name minor league players or fringey big leaguers. Yet the majority of people act as if it’s like Popeye eating a can of spinach.
1:22
Dan Szymborski: ITS MAGIC HAVEN”T YOU SEEN HARRY POTTER?
1:22
Comment From Dan
Jose Valverde lol. That he was even the first choice after Parnell is so absurdly laughable, the Mets deserve all the bad things to happen to them as a result.
1:22
Comment From Vince
“Every year, I’m getting a little less confident about a bounceback. I’m thinkin his contract ends up looking terrible” – Was there a question to go with this answer?
1:22
Dan Szymborski: Oh, I was asked about Tim Lincecum.
1:23
Dan Szymborski: But sometimes, I like to give an answer and make *you* guys guess the question. Or I just forgot to click the little + box.
1:23
Comment From Daniel Bryan
Something about Bonifacio man. He did the same thing in 2012 and 2011. He gets a few hits, steals a few bases, plays a million positions, and everyone just forgets he’s Emilio Bonifacio.
1:23
Dan Szymborski: He does have a great name to become a 15th century Pope.
1:23
Comment From Guest
What information can we say is useful in April?
1:23
Dan Szymborski: Dates of last frost for your planting.
1:24
Comment From RotoLando
What’s your ZimTake on Carlos Carrasco? Can we just say “April”, or is he a special case of horrendous?
1:24
Dan Szymborski: Horrendous, but I’ve never really seen the case for him as that strong.
1:24
Comment From mymaus
Is Fangraphs Zips and Steamer ROS projections for a player a new projection or is it just a prorated depiction of the original full year projection. If it’s new, how often are projections revised?
1:24
Dan Szymborski: Well that would be lazy! The RoS takes into account new data (as you can see, the RoS lines and the original projections are different)
1:25
Dan Szymborski: Now, the in-season projections are *simpler* than the standard ZiPS projections.
1:25
Dan Szymborski: Considering it takes my PC with a 3930k 20 seconds to do a straight-up ZiPS projection, it would be impractical to batch run that every morning.
1:26
Dan Szymborski: But the RoS is calculated daily – Appelman has it all programmed so that I don’t have to do it.
1:26
Comment From Johnny Rockets
Thoughts on the re-shuffled Reds lineup? Frazier @ 4 is pretty intriguing…
1:26
Dan Szymborski: Deck chairs, honestly.
1:27
Comment From Terrible Ted
This just in: Szymborski’s wand is in fact not magical as per source.
1:27
Comment From Sadwick
I think it’s a good thing if he’s clearly capable of better writing, it inspires some hope. It does make it slighlty more depressing though.
1:27
Comment From DRSimmons
Who’s going to win the NL East?
1:27
Dan Szymborski: Nats
1:27
Comment From Edwin Jackson Addict
I want Joey Votto to make the HoF complete with video installation next to his plaque taking about why walking is important.
1:28
Dan Szymborski: And a Brennaman dunking pool!
1:28
Comment From Guest
Kool-Aid quantity should be judged by tongue color.
1:28
Comment From Gareth
You and the Swedish chef should do a pod cast. Zym Bork bork !!!
1:31
Dan Szymborski: I have to go now and take some drugs. Thanks for coming and as usual, I’m sorry I can only answer a small percentage of your questions.
1:32
Dan Szymborski: Medicine drugs that is, I’m not leaving to snort lines of cocaine in my bathroom. If I used cocaine, I’d probably be thinner.


Print This Post



Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.


Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Josh Bard
Guest
Josh Bard
2 years 2 months ago

I am the default question in the comment section?

RotoLando
Guest
RotoLando
2 years 2 months ago

April

LaLoosh
Guest
2 years 2 months ago

Deck chairs.

atoms
Guest
atoms
2 years 2 months ago

That’s a little too self-aware to be the default question.

Mr baseball
Guest
Mr baseball
2 years 2 months ago

Star geeks used to mock the idea catchers mattered on D. Let’s not get too big of a head now stat geeks.

bookbook
Guest
bookbook
2 years 2 months ago

Tis true–and freely acknowledged–that sabermetrics has gone through an evolution, where the information available often leads the statgeek community to converge back towards the conventional wisdom.

Stat guys and gals like slap hitting defensive whizs much more than they used to. And previous disdain for the likes of Brad Ausmus at catcher has probably been tempered quite a bit.

If you ain’t growing, you’re dying!

Jay29
Member
Jay29
2 years 2 months ago

Since when did astronomers have anything to say about catcher defense?

nicky p
Guest
nicky p
2 years 2 months ago

Adam Eaton best leadoff hitter in league at the end of the year?

M W
Guest
M W
2 years 2 months ago

Good call on Bailey!

wpDiscuz