Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 4/24/14

11:46
Eno Sarris: Be here soon!
11:48
subpoprecords:
11:48
Eno Sarris: enjoy
12:00
Comment From Jared
Why?
12:00
Eno Sarris: Let’s get existential.
12:00
Comment From Awake in Seattle
Eno!!! My fantasy team is getting crushed by Almonte and Miller. Do they turn it around? Should I hold steady or look for replacements?

12:01
Eno Sarris: Almonte’s swing rates aren’t as messed up, but his ceiling is lower. If you in a twelve-teamer, both are droppable.
12:01
Comment From here goes nothing
Hey Eno. I’m wondering about your thoughts on a proposition. True or false: Today’s pitchers are probably the best they have ever been. I mean objectively the best, in terms of the things that make it hard to hit a baseball, not in terms of game climate (e.g. umpire stuff like FG on Fox covered recently). So, basically, speed, spin, command, control. Thoughts! Go!
12:02
Eno Sarris: I agree. Possibly related: they the most injured they’ve ever been.
12:02
Comment From Matt
Buy low outfielder?
12:02
Eno Sarris: Heyward?
12:02
Comment From Steve Z
Your thoughts on Oscar Taveras’ injury history, are we looking at a legit long term issue?
12:03
Eno Sarris: It’s just an ankle right? Ug, maybe. I’d probably wait until the bigs to put that label on him. But I’m a patient guy.
12:03
Comment From Anthex Alothopolous
Should the Blue Jays call up Marcus Stroman?
12:03
Eno Sarris: Yeah I like him.
12:03
Comment From Kris
Thoughts on Martin Perez? 26 straight scoreless innings is hard to ignore, but so is a 5.45 K/9
12:04
Eno Sarris: I’m thinking of a linear regression to solve the Jarrod Parker / Martin Perez problem. I’m wondering if a great change doesn’t always lead to great strikeout rates. Need to find the right way to weight each pitch type. Perez has a great sinker and a great change but nothing that cuts.
12:04
Comment From Tyler Skaggs
Thoughts on me four starts into the season?
12:05
Eno Sarris: Same as it was going in: much better at this velocity. Great curve. Change not as good as I thought, but not bad. Control not great. Borderline mixed leaguer but good.
12:05
Comment From a mustachioed business tycoon
Jose Fernandez is simply majestic. That is all.
12:05
Comment From Toby
Can Salazar’s drop in velocity be attributed to throwing more 2 seamers? And why would he do that, given how many bats his 4 seamer misses?
12:06
Eno Sarris: He’s trying to stay down in the zone and get more grounders. And given his homer rate, I can’t fault him too bad. I think he also needs to change up the order of his pitches. He’s too predictable.
12:06
Comment From juan pierres mustache
shoutout to whoever came up with “take your daughter to work day” for finally fixing the problem of not enough screaming children in the workplace
12:07
Eno Sarris: Phew. That problem was a doozy.
12:07
Comment From Bill D
Pablo Sandoval not hitting his weight so far in 2014…keep him or dump him?
12:08
Eno Sarris: Striking out too much. Ironically, not swinging enough. I think he’s trying to prove he can be patient. Hopefully doesn’t turn into a Starlin Castro situation.
12:08
Comment From Bill D
Should I hold on to Carlos Martinez in the hope that he is converted to a starter in the second half of 2014?
12:08
Eno Sarris: It’s not happening. I think he’s a reliever now. It’s been too long, and the change is not developing in his current role.
12:09
Comment From Taco_Party
Just dropped Rex Brothers because he’s walking too many guys. I picked up his teammate Ottavino as a replacement. Fine swap or would you recommend another RP replacement?
12:09
Eno Sarris: That’s fine.
12:09
Comment From chris
Is there hope of the Indians’ defense regressing towards a mean of close-to-average any time soon?
12:10
Eno Sarris: Last year I did a piece on players that were poorly rated but made the 90% plays. A bunch of Indians showed up. I bet they start making the easy plays soon.
12:10
Comment From Tom
Weak on pitching. Dropped Kyle Seager (have Aramis for 3b) for Nate Evoldi after the game yesterday. Woke up to Kyle Seager waking up. How stupid am I?
12:10
Eno Sarris: I like Eovaldi but this is why you don’t worry too much about power in short samples.
12:10
Comment From Opportunist-ier
Eno my man, I know you love the IPA’s, but do you also dig the Belgian Triples?
12:10
Eno Sarris: Too sweet for me ironically! Sweet in a way I don’t like at least.
12:10
Comment From Bill D
Gregory Polanco…is he worth taking up a roster spot for another 45 or so days until the Pirates call him up?
12:11
Eno Sarris: Tricky to wait that long. You’ll have some situation in the mean time where you’ll need to drop him.
12:11
Comment From Lefty
Talk me off the ledge. I have C. Santana, Miggy, Cano, D. Wright, Heyward and Springer all in my starting lineup. They will get better, right?!
12:11
Eno Sarris: Of course.
12:11
Comment From Marky Mark
What would you do with Dickey in a deep mixer? I know he’s a historically slow starter, but this is ridiculous.
12:12
Eno Sarris: In a deep mixer, might hold. Not holding in 12-teamers. Revising expectations to around 4/1.2 7k9 just because the command is missing.
12:12
Comment From Guest
Segura and k-Rod for Cole and Simmons. what side do you like
12:12
Eno Sarris: Cole and Simmons.
12:12
Comment From American League Hustle
I have Gausman, Stroman and Meyer on my farm right now. Is it feasible to expect any of them to be real contributors to my team in 2014?
12:12
Eno Sarris: Yes. Love that group.
12:12
Comment From Tube
Wong and Dee Gordon at 2B. Should I be in a rush to find an upgrade?
12:13
Eno Sarris: No, that’s pretty good. Dee most of the time.
12:13
Comment From Smith
Joey Gallo – A god, or the god of gods?
12:13
Eno Sarris: The God of Whiffs and the God of Power…
12:13
Comment From topical reference man
guess what, eno? the jerk stored called… and they’re running out of you!
12:13
Comment From Larry David
How long do you figure Trumboner is out for? Stress fracture isn’t a nice term.
12:13
Eno Sarris: He says it’s not as bad, so maybe just a month?
12:13
Comment From Tube
Tillman worth holding on to in a 10 team mixed?
12:13
Eno Sarris: I don’t think he’s good enough for a ten-teamer. Gonna have HR blowups.
12:14
Comment From James
Worried at all about Domonic Brown’s slow start?
12:14
Eno Sarris: I don’t love all the ground balls, but he still has some time before that’s too damning. I’d watch that gb/fb rate.
12:15
Comment From Brad
Hi Eno: I have a case of beer wager concerning your guy Jennry Mejia. I say he pitches less than 150 innings this year? Am I right? If so, what type of beer should I ask for if I win? I’m not a connoisseur but I like Guinness type beers. Thanks.
12:16
Eno Sarris: His career high is 108 I think, so you’ll win that bet. Unfortunately, not many of the stouts I like come in cases. Left Hand Milk Stout? You may have an angry friend depending on the price. Sam Smith Organic is a little cheaper, but you’ll have to negotiate a volume cause it comes in mini-bombers.
12:16
Comment From Bertrecords
The Mark Trumbo injury leaves a hole. Top FA OFs in this league are in the class of Rajah Davis, Adam Eaton and Oswaldo Arcia. I’m leaning Arcia for Trumbo, even though I haven’t heard word he’s off the DL yet. Who do you recommend as high upside shallow league OFs?
12:16
Eno Sarris: Arcia is two weeks away but has more power. I’d take Eaton in the meantime.
12:17
Comment From Lefty
Does Springer start as my third OF (my other two are McCutcheon and Heyward) in a pts based setup, or do I go with BJ Upton, K. Davis or Bradley, Jr.? I know they are all pretty weak right now…
12:17
Eno Sarris: You keep Springer on your team and sprinkle in K Davis, especially against lefties.
12:17
Comment From Will
How should the Mets call up first if someone in the rotation gets hurt?
12:18
Eno Sarris: Montero is more polished than Syndergaard, I bet he’s up first.
12:18
Comment From Ben
Start T. Cingrani today at Pitt?
12:18
Eno Sarris: yes
12:18
Comment From Will
Should I be selling Yelich in a keeper league?
12:19
Eno Sarris: With that strikeout rate, I’m guessing he’s a true talent .275 hitter, and power might take some time to show, given his home park. Very talented, but if you in win-now mode, he might bring a lot back.
12:19
Comment From A. Lane
Hey Eno are there any split half reliability studies for plate discipline stats for hitter/pitchers, I would assume swing strike and swing% would stabilize quicker just not sure how much relative to K%, BB%?
12:20
Eno Sarris: Swing rates for batters stabilize around 100 PA, but the rest is guessing for me. I’m guessing that reach rates (which have a different denominator, not ALL pitches, but all pitches outside the zone) take a bit longer. I haven’t seen it for pitchers.
12:21
Comment From Brian
Obviously an 1.146 OPS isn’t sustainable, but would it be wise to hold onto Charlie Blackmon over Alex Rios and Dom Brown?
12:22
Eno Sarris: .270/20/10 still possible for Brown, Rios more .275/15/20, I’d call Blackmon a .300/12/25 guy full season. Looks like Brown might be a dropper/trader in this situation, but with his value down, I’d look to trade Rios.
12:22
Comment From Angels and Demons
Joe Smith can’t seriously last if he’s named Angels closer, can he? Should we be stashing De La Rosa upon his return?
12:23
Eno Sarris: I can’t believe in an 87 mph closer that’s not Romo, pitching in the pitcher’s park in the NL. Kohn ahead of De La Rosa, whose velocity is down due to injury.
12:23
Comment From Dum Dum Boy
Good band – try “He Gets Me High”, “Wasted Away”, etc. – yum yum. Anyway…..Brandon Cumpton ascending?/Wandy riding off into the sunset?
12:23
Eno Sarris: I feel like Kingham is a better pitcher than Cumpton and will be up soon.
12:23
Comment From Andrew
Looking to unload Allen Craig for some pitching. What’s a fair return? Weaver, Liriano and Kuroda on the trading block in my league.
12:24
Eno Sarris: Kuroda is a decent return.
12:24
Comment From Los
Just to warn you, based on the comment section of the chat yesterday, you are only allowed to talk baseball. No music, no ludes, no beer.
12:24
Eno Sarris: That will be a problem.
12:24
Comment From Mermaids
El camENO! Tried any good beers you recommend in British Columbia (other than Fat Tug), or Canada in general?
12:25
Eno Sarris: The Unibroue ales or Red Racer? http://beergraphs.com/leade…
12:25
Comment From Mermaids
10 team redraft, drop Salazar? :(
12:26
Eno Sarris: This might be the only place where he’s droppable to me. I still love his stuff. K-BB is still the best in-season predictor for pitchers.
12:26
Comment From Guest
When batters face a closer for a third game in a row is the closer more vulnerable to be taken yard, and should teams mix it up so you see the guy as much so he doest get “figured” out? in refrence to Josh Fields last night.
12:26
Eno Sarris: If it’s the same batters, maybe there’s something there (like a pitcher going through the same batters for the third time). But I doubt Fields saw all the same guys.
12:26
Comment From Luke
What’s the long term expectations for Mike Olt?
12:26
Eno Sarris: Bad BA good power.
12:27
Comment From Frustrated LM
Hey Eno, tried to mirror Ottoneu scoring in an ESPN league, but didn’t limit pitchers per roster. Guys are exploiting the system with 12+ SP, because they yield the most points (average pitcher > elite position player). Should I retroactively drop pitching points to lessen the spread advantage? Thoughts?
12:27
Eno Sarris: Hard to do that in-season unless you have 100% agreement from the league.
12:27
Eno Sarris: But I would think about it for the future, so bring it up now.
12:28
Comment From Michael
What do you make of Aaron Hill’s spiking K%? Can we write this off as April woes on a struggling team, or has something in his profile changed?
12:28
Eno Sarris: He’s reaching more than ever, but we can wait a bit, and I think he can still be valuable at .260 with a 20% strikeout rate.
12:29
Comment From juan pierres mustache
many have commented that you to appear to have pine tar smeared all over your computer in an effort to keep control over your chats. what say you to these accusations
12:29
Eno Sarris: get a grip
12:29
Comment From Et Tu, Brute?
Eno– my team just lost a tough in-class debate. Do I up the ante a little early today with an afternoon Summit IPA?
12:29
Eno Sarris: Love the sentiment, but I’d execute with a different beer.
12:29
Comment From Farmer Ted (not a farmer)
Panda is sitting on the free agent pile in my mixed league (280 players rostered). Is he going to turn it around where he’d be a tradable asset? I have E5 at third, VMart at Util so I doubt he’d crack my starting lineup.
12:30
Eno Sarris: I don’t depend on trades because people often don’t trade enough, so if he couldn’t crack my lineup, I’d probably use the spot on upside at a position of need (like SP?)
12:30
Comment From John Stamos
Kinsler for Heyward + Fister? Have Rendon at 2B.
12:30
Eno Sarris: Yes
12:30
Comment From JAL
Eno, every year I get f’ed, but this year has been particularly bad. Trumbo down. Unless I can trade, in my 12-team 5×5, LaRoche, Morse, Loney as my everyday 1B? (I know, no good.) Thanks.
12:31
Eno Sarris: Morse v LHP, LaRoche v RHP.
12:31
Comment From Et Tu, Brute?
Higher upside- CJ Edwards or Aaron Sanchez? Also- which one has a better shot to stick in the bigs
12:31
Eno Sarris: Sanchez, but maybe CJE has a higher floor. I’d probably take Sanchez for both.
12:31
Comment From Michael
What is the ceiling for Alex Meyer
12:32
Eno Sarris: three legit pitches with velocity and decent command on a team that needs him right now? I think he could be awesome.
12:32
Comment From Jared
Will you be bringing back your draft prospect name pronunciation series again this year?
12:33
Eno Sarris: Makes me feel bad because I don’t want people to think I’m mocking people’s names. But I do have a singular skill to make the wrong decisions when pronouncing an unfamiliar name. I’ll ask Carson what he thinks.
12:33
Comment From Seattle Screwed
Peralta, Miller, Bonifacio…who to drop in a 14 team mixer?
12:33
Eno Sarris: Peralta.
12:33
Comment From McT
So I drafted Seager as my only 3b and you know how that has been working out. Picked up Solarte from FA and picked up Lawrie after someone gave up on him. which of those 3 should I be hanging on to?
12:34
Eno Sarris: Lawrie and Seager. One will give you a top ten 3b. Solarte’s swing is only geared to contact, don’t believe it’ll give much power.
12:34
Comment From Michael
Does Matt Latos pitch this year?
12:34
Eno Sarris: I’m not buying a tear in a flexor mass. Seems like precursor to TJ or something like Colby Lewis’ surgery.
12:34
Comment From Johnny Rockets
Trevor Plouffe’s plate discipline #s have improved across the board (with BB% from 6.5 to 14.3 and K% from 21.5 to 18.7) and most all his batted ball profile seems on par with career #s. Once his HR/FB corrects back to his average (current: 4.8% vs career 12.4%), could we be dealing with a legitimate breakout here?
12:34
Eno Sarris: I’m happy with him but not putting him in Mixed League pants yet.
12:34
Comment From John Stamos
Michael Pineda saga, lulz?
12:35
Eno Sarris: IF everyone does it, change the rule! I heard a good one from Jesse Spector: you’re allowed one item for grip next to the Rosin bag.
12:35
Comment From MT
you worried about Pedroia’s wrist affecting his power like the 2nd half of last year?
12:35
Eno Sarris: That was a thumb, but yeah now I am worried about his health, he seems like he needs to be fully healthy to show his power.
12:36
Comment From Michael
12:36
Eno Sarris: spooky
12:36
Comment From JAL
Give me some hope re Salazar please…
12:37
Eno Sarris: His K-BB is still good. Better than Ryu, on par with Anibal Sanchez. And K-BB% is supposedly the best in-season predictor.
12:38
Comment From Chris
over/under 5 starts for Alex Meyer?
12:38
Eno Sarris: Over, after Pelfrey yesterday. Everyone on Twins Twitter was calling for Meyer.
12:38
Comment From Ryan
I think everyone is a little unsure what to do with Braun. What’s your approach (if you own him)?
12:38
Eno Sarris: No shares! I think I’d hold.
12:39
Comment From Greg
How legit is Nathan Eovaldi?
12:39
Eno Sarris: Gonna be some bad days away from home against lineups with lefties that have seen him before. But worth picking up in most leagues.
12:39
Comment From Biff
More likely to turn it around: Salazar, Buchholz, or Lincecum?
12:39
Eno Sarris: Salazar the only one I like here. CB maybe. TL has no command of a 90 mph fastball and is throwing it less and less often.
12:39
Comment From here goes nothing
Over/under: Bourn steals 35.
12:40
Eno Sarris: Under. Steals drop off like a mofo.
12:40
Comment From Burny
I have been streaming Harrang and Simon this year, worth it to hang on for a while?
12:40
Eno Sarris: I don’t believe in either really, but REALLY don’t believe in Simon.
12:40
Comment From Et Tu, Brute?
Who would you trust to take your daughter on a nice date? Joe Torre, Lucas Duda, Martin Prado, or Alec Baldwin’s character from Glengarry Glen Ross? It’s a minigolf date with smoothies afterward if everything goes well.
12:40
Eno Sarris: Duda is such a nice guy.
12:40
Comment From Greg
Hey Eno, drop Jhonny P or Jim Johnson for a spec Joe Smith add?
12:40
Eno Sarris: JP
12:40
Comment From ozzie
do you expect abreu to improve upon his current line with more favorable weather?
12:41
Eno Sarris: Yes!
12:41
Comment From Jon
Do you see Carlos Santana and Gyorko turning it around and producing or are they this bad? Worth holding onto at this point and riding out the storm or get the heck rid of them asap?
12:41
Eno Sarris: Santana for sure. Gyorko less sure about because of home park and K%.
12:41
Comment From A worried Verlander owner
I have Verlander in a ten team mixed league and don’t like him at all. I want to sell him when he has had back to back good outings, would Kemp be getting enough for him?
12:42
Eno Sarris: Totally defensible idea and I like it.
12:42
Comment From Larry David
Everyone get Joe Smith nnnnowwwww
12:42
Eno Sarris: Yeah but will it last all year?
12:43
Comment From Giant Trumboner
I like tormenting my fantasy owners. My latest stress fracture should have me back playing in AZ by ___________ ? FYI, my last stress fracture recovery period was 6 months long. Bodes really well. Does AJ Pollock, Cody Ross or Tony Campana gain the most fantasy relevance with the PT opportunity?
12:43
Eno Sarris: Pollock I guess.
12:43
Comment From JAL
Just dropped Henderson for a temporary Trumbo pick-up fix. OK with that?
12:43
Eno Sarris: Yes
12:43
Comment From ozzie
drop allan craig for nick swisher?
12:43
Eno Sarris: No
12:43
Comment From Kid
Can Brian Dozier bat .250 with 25 HR? I get that he’ll never have a high BABIP because he hits lots of flyballs.
12:43
Eno Sarris: Also still hitting some pop-ups. I’d say 20 HR.
12:44
Comment From Nick
Drop Delabar/Lagares to pick up Mookie/Stroman?
12:44
Eno Sarris: Dynasty? Mookie is my love. I’d do that.
12:44
Comment From cbird
Bryce Harper power outtage. What gives?
12:44
Eno Sarris: Power takes forever. Hold.
12:45
Comment From Greg
Pitching has obviously been more dominant over recent years. Everyone points to the absence of steroid usage. That doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. What makes more sense is the increased usage of infield/outfield shifts and how much easier it is now to predict what a hitter will do than it was 15 years ago. Video and scouting is much more advanced and readily available. Thoughts?
12:45
Eno Sarris: Yeah they probably did steroids on both sides of the ball, you’re right. Velocity is also up. I think the trend towards using younger pitchers, given the fact that velocity only declines in the big leagues, means fewer runs. Plus the things you cite.
12:46
Comment From Marty
When salazar is sent down to AAA to work on his command, will we get an Eno issued Mea Culpa?
12:46
Eno Sarris: I always admit my mistakes. I am but a human.
12:46
Comment From Et Tu, Brute?
LUDE ME UP, SCOTTY
12:46
Comment From Marty
Treated myself to Ommegang 3 Philosophers for my bday. It was wonderful. Good rec, whoever it was that rec’ed it.
12:47
Comment From Jake
Fun fact: The Giants get the same playoff odds as the red sox, ~49%
12:47
Eno Sarris: Wow. That took forever to find a third luder.
12:47
Comment From German Bratwurst
Hello from Germay!What return can I expect for Jesse Chavez? I need an OF and my team sucks at AVG and SB
12:47
Eno Sarris: gotta look at the teams that need pitching and come back with some names!
12:47
Comment From Seth
Do you believe in the Xander = Tulo comps? so far, showing none of that. Hard to start him, even in my OBP league, but my view has the signs pointing to the balls flying when the weather warms.
12:48
Eno Sarris: I’m not sure Xander has the same power even later. I had him down for something like .265/18/10 this year.
12:48
Comment From madsoxfan42
Given Trevor Bauer’strong performance in AAA this season and his one impressive showing in the bigs this season, what is going to be the catalyst that gets him called up?
12:49
Eno Sarris: All eyes on Carrasco.
12:49
Comment From DCC
Fan of fantasy platooning? Joyce/Rajai?
12:49
Eno Sarris: Sure, if your bench is large enough.
12:49
Comment From Miketron
How long can Tommy Hunter keep up this magic show?
12:50
Eno Sarris: There have been plenty of fastball/slider closers so I think he can survive against lefties. I don’t see a guy in that pen that’s itching to take the job from him.
12:50
Comment From Jim
Giancarlo has 80 power, Hamilton has 80 speed, who has an 80 hit tool, an 80 arm, and an 80 fielding?
12:51
Eno Sarris: I wonder if Scutaro has an 80 hit tool. Tiny tiny swinging strike rate. 80 arm is Puig/Martin. 80 fielding is Simmons.
12:51
Comment From Bob
Drop Brad Miller for Neil Walker?
12:51
Eno Sarris: Sure.
12:51
Comment From JAL
MICHAEL BRANTLEY!! Can you dig it?
12:51
Eno Sarris: Looking like he’s headed to a career year.
12:51
Comment From Marty
what do you make of Cain so far? What’s the underlying issue?
12:52
Eno Sarris: I think it’s still that he’s lacking that precise command that separates an IFFB/lazy fly from a homer.
12:52
Comment From Guest
Are you worried about Billy Butler?
12:52
Eno Sarris: I think he can still .280/15+, but that’s not so whelming.
12:52
Comment From Ian
I am here. I have no questions. Instead of saying something, I would like to deed my chat presence to Maxamuz and Juan Pierre’s Mustache. Thank you.
12:52
Comment From Guest
What does a guy on the 40 man make while he’s playing in the minors. For example, Anthony Gose gets called, makes league min while he’s up then gets sent down. When he’s in AAA does he make whatever the basic AAA salary is, same as everyone else even though he’s on the 40 man?
12:53
Eno Sarris: No, actually I think his salary goes up, but it’s not MLB minimum.
12:53
Comment From Ryan
In a dynasty, with Eaton and Gardner as my CF options. Is it safe to drop Grady?
12:53
Eno Sarris: I’m revising down to .230/22/10 or so.
12:53
Comment From Guest
How mookie is mookie?
12:53
Eno Sarris: So goddam mookie.
12:53
Eno Sarris: (Blaylock)
12:54
Comment From Neurotic Owen
1. Is it weird that I feel like we’re friends? 2. Someone just offered me Tehran for Morneau in a 12 team Yahoo standard 5×5 league. I was about to click accept and then i checked out Tehran’s projections and they didn’t impress. Should I take the trade? (I have a pretty balanced team at the moment)
12:55
Eno Sarris: 1.) No. 2) I’d take it. Morneau is a bench bat you plug into util vs RHP and at home, Teheran is an every-starter.
12:55
Comment From Eric
You often mention the per-pitch metrics stabilizing before the PA metrics. Makes sense intuitively, but is that an assumption or has there been work done to support that? Is it possible that the per-pitch metrics take just as long as PA metrics, since they are correlated?
12:55
Eno Sarris: In batting, the first metric to stabilize is swing%, which is per-pitch. It’s also just a bigger sample than per-PA, and bigger samples are always good.
12:56
Comment From Whoopuig
Oh Yasiel. He’s really starting slow. Feel like everyone is jumping ship – am I wrong to be in the 30/15/.290 group on him? Just needs to keep adjusting and settling in. If Carlos Gomez is suddenly a top 10 OF, there is absolutely no reason yasiel isn’t.
12:57
Eno Sarris: I love Puig. He’s walking now, and reaching a lot less, can’t believe more people aren’t talking about that. .285/25/10 seems easy.
12:57
Comment From Rays 7th Infielder
When is a hard pour appropriate/called for?
12:57
Eno Sarris: Stouts, thicker beers.
12:57
Comment From Bruce
Is Chris Archer a future #2? (pitcher, not turd)
12:58
Eno Sarris: Shared for the poop joke. The change isn’t any better this year, not for GBs or whiffs, so I’m still a little worried. To be a Masterson (Pineda?), you have to have great control, don’t think Archer is blessed with that.
12:59
Comment From Dave
Last weekend my local beer store broke out its cellar and I had 6 oz. pours of these 3 Cantillons: Rose de Gambrinus, Geuze, Vigneronne, BCBS (2012) on draft, Founders KBS and Bolt Cutter. It was insane.
12:59
Eno Sarris: Jeebus.
12:59
Comment From Christian
My pitching staff has been awful. Wacha, MadBum, Bailey – good things in store?
12:59
Eno Sarris: Yeah I’d buy all those guys.
12:59
Comment From Ziggy
Do you think Bartolo is rosterable in a deep league as a #5/6 starter? Would you go with him today vs. Stl and their yadier-less lineup?
1:00
Eno Sarris: He’s a spot starter to me, only in parks that suppress homers.
1:00
Comment From Tom
Ive seen you down on new Belgium here but their ranger ipa is good. Not the best but not the worst.
1:00
Eno Sarris: I think it’s above replacement level!
1:01
Comment From Goat
I asked Dave about this yesterday and he was flippant; but in all seriousness Pedro Alvarez + massively improved plate discipline (also seen in ST) = monster. Just look at his Swstr and k rates, and he’s still hitting the crap out of the ball. I have him down as an outsider in the NL MVP race. Am I crazy?!
1:01
Eno Sarris: I’m guessing, but I think reach rates take closer to 150 PA. But it’s great to see he’s doing the right things in that regard. If these swing rates held, he could hit for a good enough BA to actually be in that race. I mean, his reach rate is average right now! Average!
1:02
Comment From Et Tu, Brute?
Thoughts on Tyson Ross’ season thus far? I’ve seen him get some swinging strikes on his oft-neglected changeup
1:03
Eno Sarris: Whoah. The whiff rate on it is 20% this year! Crazy. I’ll have to watch a start, I’d binned him as a sell based on velocity loss.
1:03
Comment From Vic
When do you think RDLR becomes a fixture of the Bos rotation?
1:03
Eno Sarris: I’m worried he’s a reliever.
1:03
Comment From Dave
Who has more value for the rest of the season in ROTO? Ozuna or Solarte?
1:03
Eno Sarris: Ozuna.
1:03
Comment From Ben
Are you buying the notion that Joe Smith is going to become the Angels’ closer for the rest of the year? Remember Frieri briefly lost the job last year for a short period and then was good down the stretch.
1:03
Eno Sarris: Yeah I’m not sure this one is permanent.
1:03
Eno Sarris: Velocity and Ks are important, and Smith not really big on either.
1:03
Comment From Greg
My fiancee’s an orthopedic surgeon, and though she says it’s irresponsible for her to speculate on any injury she hasn’t looked at, she would guess it’s 6-8 weeks, minimum, before Trumbo is back on the field. So, yay…
1:04
Comment From Sadwick
I am currently spying on Aaron Harang so I can copy his diet and workouts, thus becoming an ustoppable force. I am worried that there may be some form of voodoo or magic involved though, I have no experience with such dark arts.
1:04
Comment From Bruce
This Oscar Tavares ankle story is strating to get real old real fast
1:04
Eno Sarris: That was a useful interlude.
1:04
Eno Sarris: 12:21
1:05
Comment From KJ
Can Grant Green ever be better than a Quad A guy? Batting almost .400 (nice BABIP help, but still… decent PAs) and 21 RBIs already in AAA.
1:06
Eno Sarris: Well I don’t care much about RBIs. It’s the question of his true talent MLB K% and power. Given that the A’s needed a 2B to an extent, and turfed him easily, I don’t think he’s going to be great.
1:06
Comment From KG
I drafted Brad Miller. Am I making a mistake in trading Springer + Minor for Jed Lowrie + Starling Marte? Should I hold on to Miller?
1:07
Eno Sarris: I think I make that trade on value, then keep Miller on bench if possible because Lowrie oft injured.
1:07
Comment From Great Lakes Christmas Ale
any chance polanco called up next few weeks considering Snider and Tabata are basically terrible
1:07
Eno Sarris: I keep waiting on this. Has to happen before the super two day, right???
1:08
Comment From Jimbo
I cant check my fantasy teams at work! Is that a legit excuse as to why I am almost in last place?
1:08
Eno Sarris: Yes. Work your phone!
1:08
Comment From Guest
How do you think Manny Machado is going to do after he returns from injury?
1:08
Eno Sarris: About the same, maybe fewer steals.
1:08
Comment From Josh B
Steamer (R) seems to think Erlin has a good rest of the season, do you agree?
1:08
Eno Sarris: I’d start him at home in all leagues.
1:08
Eno Sarris: Good control, good yakker.
1:09
Comment From Jimbob
How amazing is it that almost a month in the best defensive player in the game has as many HR as Ks!?
1:09
Eno Sarris: Love him, caress him.
1:09
Comment From Guest
Should the Jays really hand the closer reins back to Janssen upon his return? His stuff is weak to begin with, and coming off injury…
1:09
Eno Sarris: Yeah I’m taking Santos for more saves for the year for sure.
1:09
Comment From Kevin
Have you read any/all of Jonah Keri’s new Expos book? Any thoughts? (I’m gonna read it no matter what. Just looking for more reasons to be excited!)
1:10
Eno Sarris: Read it in one sitting. I’ll take 2% for nerdery, but this was a great book because you got some of Jonah, young Jonah in it, some really poignant moments.
1:10
Comment From dancin
better save stash: Melancon or Kohn?
1:10
Eno Sarris: Kohn.
1:10
Comment From Prich
Amber or IPA?
1:10
Eno Sarris: IPA a million times.
1:10
Comment From Bill D
Jeter is not aging well with no range and a week arm…he has less range than Panda right now…time for early retirement?
1:11
Eno Sarris: Find reasons to put him in the lineup in other places (oh his hammy is tight so he’ll DH today).
1:11
Comment From Gary
Maybe this year Kipnis will be better in the 2nd half :(….
1:11
Eno Sarris: That would be great.
1:12
Comment From Larry
Who was the PTNL the mets got back for Davis
1:12
Eno Sarris: Not known yet, probably from the draft last year. Jacoby Jones or the lefty starter.
1:12
Comment From Guest
Is Zimmerman toast at 3B? If so, what happens in WAS?
1:12
Eno Sarris: Next year, Zimm is the 1B I bet. Rendon to third, Espy/FA at second.
1:12
Comment From Henderson
What would you take to trade Mike Trout in long term keeper league. name 3 players or prospects.
1:13
Eno Sarris: I’m seeing a Harper/Kershaw pairing in one of my most competitive keeper leagues.
1:13
Comment From Tube
Chris Carter or Ike Davis serviceable replacements for Trumbo?
1:13
Eno Sarris: I’d rather Ike, but I might also need a platoon mate.
1:13
Comment From juan pierres mustache
josh fields getting rocked 1/3 of the time is just josh fields being josh fields
1:13
Comment From Mark
We, in Colorado , are up to at least 5 widely available beers from Brasserie Dieu du Ciel. Life is good.
1:13
Comment From Larry
is the quickest way at this point to find undervalued pitchers to look at ERA-xFIP?
1:14
Eno Sarris: K%-BB%. I’ll run it for Monday.
1:14
Comment From here goes nothing
Okay, had the Green Flash Rayon Vert last night, what is up with that beer? Really good, but also something very strange about it. Super carbonated maybe? My first pour was half foam. Thoughts?
1:14
Eno Sarris: so. much. foam.
1:14
Comment From Larry
Can Saisons be cellared for a year or so?
1:14
Eno Sarris: i don’t think they’ll gain much.
1:14
Comment From Kevin
I just traded Tillman for Sandoval straight up. Be the voice outside my head that says, “Of course you did the right thing.” Or is there something wrong with Sandoval?
1:14
Eno Sarris: I’d take it on the promise of .280/20 from Pablo.
1:15
Comment From Josh B
On the Batted Ball Distance page of the baseball heat maps website, there is a comlumn called ‘Angle’. Any idea what that column is measuring?
1:15
Eno Sarris: Pull angle. look at ‘angle and distance’ page and it’ll explain.
1:15
Comment From Marco
Trumbo to DL…replace with R. Howard, B. Gardner, or Morse??
1:15
Eno Sarris: Morse most similar skillset in one player. Howard needs a platoon partner.
1:15
Comment From Guest
Is pitchers using pine tar that bad, id rather have a guy hurling a fastball at me with almost no padding have a better grip wouldnt you?
1:15
Comment From Jimbob
Best type of beer to enjoy a good game? Meaning not too filing, not heavy and doesnt make you pass out?
1:16
Eno Sarris: Session IPAs for me. More taste than lagers.
1:16
Comment From Kevin
Can someone make daily Baseball Pick ‘Em? I am enough of a masochist that it actually sounds really fun.
1:17
Eno Sarris: We used to have Pick Six on this site, but now there’s FanGraphs the Game.
1:17
Comment From Larry
Any middle relievers not owned in Otto that might start getting saves at some point?
1:17
Eno Sarris: Kohn?
1:17
Comment From David
Yeah, a LaRoche/Morse platoon isn’t all bad if you can set your lineups every day
1:17
Comment From Jimbob
What do you think Bryce Harpers’ ultimate upside will be?
1:17
Eno Sarris: .280/30/10
1:17
Comment From We want the old days back!
Eno, have lightning rounds gone the way of the dinosaur?
1:18
Eno Sarris: 12:32… I’m just trying to get to the TOP!
1:18
Comment From inquiring mind
I’m looking at Salazar and Carrasco and wondering: Is there a precedent for a SP who would falter after the first turn of the lineup during his first season+, but then adapted and became a good SP?
1:18
Eno Sarris: Hundreds of precedents. Every year there’s some.
1:18
Comment From descender
Is Frieri scary enough as a closer to drop in a saves+holds league? Setup guys like Benoit are available still.
1:18
Eno Sarris: I’d hold longer.
1:18
Comment From Josh B
Can Hutchison be trusted today against Orioles?
1:18
Eno Sarris: I wouldn’t.
1:18
Comment From Jared
With a name like Eno Sarris, I think you have a right to egregiously mispronounce peoples’ names. No offense.
1:19
Eno Sarris: My. Whole. Life.
1:19
Comment From Marty
MIKE OLT!
1:19
Eno Sarris: MY COLT!
1:19
Comment From Mk
Puig. 15/15 or 30/15.
1:19
Eno Sarris: 25/10
1:19
Comment From Wally T. Green Monster
Carlos Santana is STRUGGLING – peripherals looks OK, still walking, plate discipline looks good, more ground balls but that doesn’t totally account for the dreadful start. Any reason to think a rebound is not coming?
1:19
Eno Sarris: He does this from time to time.
1:19
Comment From Chris
Is it crazy of me to think that Brantly could have similar value to Victorino in a standard roto league?
1:19
Eno Sarris: Nope.
1:20
Comment From Sadwick
Bigger surprise: Arizona taking a nosedive with too much grit having sanded down their winning percentage, or the Braves coming out strong despite injuries with the Harangutan going ape on opposing batters.
1:20
Eno Sarris: Braves. Arizona doesn’t surprise me at all.
1:20
Comment From its all in the game tho, right?
is Bruce Chen the junkiest junk baller that’s ever junk balled?
1:20
Eno Sarris: Just talking about Bruce Chen’s junk, honey!
1:21
Comment From Spencer
Can we come up with a theory to explain the correlation between nautical rank and alcohol content in spiced rum?
1:21
Comment From Gila Monster
Is Tuffy Goosewich a 80-grade name or what?
1:21
Comment From dudie butt
over/under: my stinkle or my crinkle?
1:21
Eno Sarris: Slow clap. in fact…
1:22
Eno Sarris:
1:22
Eno Sarris: that was hot hot hot HOOOOOOOOOT
1:22
Comment From John V.
IT’S NEVER ENOFF
1:22
Comment From Gehrigs Ghost
Just traded away Street for Estrada in a league with the standard 5×5 cats plus Holds and Quality Starts. Currently leading the league in Saves and back of pack in W’s and QS. You like?
1:22
Eno Sarris: YES
1:23
Comment From Boy in a airplane wheel well
I lost Calhoun… Chris Carter or Chris Young?
1:23
Eno Sarris: oof. Carter?
1:23
Comment From Ryan
How good can Justin Upton be? He’s still only 26 so I’d like to think he can take some more steps forward, but he always seems to disappoint.
1:23
Eno Sarris: I like him but we’ve seen his peak IMO.
1:23
Eno Sarris: (at least his fantasy peak)
1:23
Comment From Maxamuz

DUDA! DUDA! DUDA!

1:24
Comment From jaymes
james paxton or dallas keuchal moving forward?
1:24
Eno Sarris: Keuchel is healthy, I’ll take him. Paxton’s control is an open question, as is his third pitch.
1:24
Comment From Maxamuz

Welcome to Dudaville!

1:24
Eno Sarris: The population has grown a little recently.
1:24
Comment From JL
Is David Wright a significant upgrade over Anthony Rendon at this point?
1:24
Eno Sarris: yes, as much as I like Rendon.
1:25
Comment From inquiring mind
Wait, “lude” is short for interlude? I thought it was a nickname for Lucas Duda
1:25
Eno Sarris: I like that it rhymes with dude, but yeah we’ve been having interludes, not taking drugs from the 70s.
1:25
Comment From Guest
Villar, Miller, or Crawford for my SS spot? yeah my team sucks
1:25
Eno Sarris: Sounds deep, hold Miller.
1:25
Comment From BeerMeBlazer
Looking for a nice cabin beer this weekend in Minny…suggestions?
1:26
Eno Sarris: Go To from Stone if you’re fishing/hiking. Or Dale’s because it comes in cans. (I don’t love Surly).
1:26
Comment From atoms
Re: mispronunciation, has anyone ever pronounced your name in a way that rhymes with rhinoceros? That thought amuses me for some reason.
1:26
Eno Sarris: My dad. On purpose.
1:26
Comment From Corey Kluber is not a good pitcher
Trying to avoid smugness and schadenfraude and simply stck to the facts; how is it possible to think that a soft throwing pitcher with a 26% career line drive rate is any good?
1:27
Eno Sarris: Line drive rate against is not predictive and not sticky year to year. And he’s not 87 mph soft.
1:27
Eno Sarris: And he has three legit off-speed pitches.
1:27
Comment From Guest
Asking this question over a lunchtime Goose Island Bourbon County Stout. Life is good.
1:27
Eno Sarris: BUT NO QUESTION. Wait, I get it. Life is good. no questions!
1:28
Comment From Travis
Last year, a lot of people were convinced that Alex Wood’s future was in the bullpen, do you think that? What’s his ceiling?
1:28
Eno Sarris: I think there’s TJ in his future at some point, but he’ll be good in between. And there’s a 1/3 chance of TJ for all anyway.
1:28
Comment From Eno the Ouegre
Is Michael Brantley a top-30 OF?
1:28
Comment From Goat
Michael Brantley is this year’s Starlin Marte
1:28
Eno Sarris: Hole on. A career year from him could still be .280/12/25…
1:28
Comment From person hscer
How do you think the 2 FG staffers to go with Tulo for NL MVP are feeling right now?
1:29
Comment From person hscer
Answer to my Tulo Q: Better than the 5 who picked Harper ;p
1:29
Comment From Mark
MELKY MELKY MELKY. Melk man cometh. HOw realistic is a 85 run. 20 homer, 75 rbi, 15 steal, .330 season after this amazing start. not like he hasn’t done it before!
1:29
Eno Sarris: So many issues with that question. Not asking it, just.. you know… god I hate steroids in fantasy.
1:29
Comment From josephmanfredi
Once he’s back to 100% I like Jesse Crain to take over the closer’s role in Houston. He’s got the best stuff and has the highest salary for any reliever. Do you agree? Why or why not?
1:30
Eno Sarris: Agree but why not is the injury.
1:30
Comment From Eikoom
How much mook could a mookie mook if a mookie could mook mook?
1:30
Eno Sarris: So much mook.
1:30
Comment From Boof?
“Is it weird that I feel like we’re friends?” Yeah, it’s weird.
1:30
Eno Sarris: I’ve met many people in real life from here and twitter, and it worked out fine.
1:30
Comment From Mike
Any chance the Pirates promote Kingham before the season ends?
1:30
Eno Sarris: yes.
1:30
Comment From person hscer
promoting my latest Sporcle effort: most career games with both a HR and SB http://www.sporcle.com/game…
1:31
Comment From Dave
If there was a 12-team AL only auction starting today, how much do you think Jesse Chavez would go for? How much is he worth?
1:31
Eno Sarris: 10+ at least, and yeah probably worth it.
1:31
Comment From Dr. Zizmor
In the past you’ve dentified some underlying ppe jopJPOJJ OMG I AM A WEREWOLF
1:31
Comment From Mike at the Ted
11 years ago, Snow’s “Informer” was the Billboard #1 single for the week of April 24th. A licky boom boom down!
1:31
Comment From john
so you like the mets and you like sandy. can you defend grandy and colon now? they were both omar-type moves when they were signed and i feel vindicated being the only one against them at the time.
1:33
Eno Sarris: One thing I’d say is that Colon is not going to be a problem. Two years, that money, they can release him and the smell of the fart would dissapate quickly. Obviously Granderson is Bay-like, but Bay money now is like 75% as valuable as Bay money then (bad math, just guessing) because year to year inflation is like 10% in baseball. So yeah, slightly Omar-like with Grandy, but tons of pressure to spend money … and from my comments on my grandy piece, you were not alone.
1:33
Comment From Guest
Is the defensive chasm between Franklin and Miller that Evel Knievel couldnt even jump it?
1:33
Eno Sarris: This is why I think Miller keeps his job.
1:33
Comment From Daniel W
Any research into whether pitcher arm slot contributes to injury risk?
1:34
Eno Sarris: yes, lower slots put more stress on elbows.
1:34
Comment From Clueless
Is Mejia legit? Or a meltdown waiting to happen?
1:34
Eno Sarris: Legit while in! 120 IP max!
1:34
Comment From An Ass
Are you a slow typer?
1:34
Eno Sarris: No, I’m usually pulling up a page on a player if I take some time.
1:34
Comment From Marty
I saw Mookie Saturday. It was in short: fantastic. Went first to home on a deep single, went 4-5…swoon.
1:34
Comment From C
Should I drop Headley for Lawrie?
1:34
Eno Sarris: yes.
1:34
Comment From person hscer
Neat thing: Paul McCartney will be part of last concert at Candlestick. Last Beatles concert was there.
1:35
Comment From Bigus Dikus
Does Sale have a tear i havent heard but you and Jason speculated that on last S&B podcast?
1:35
Eno Sarris: A strain is a tear so if he has a strain he has a tear, just not a bad one.
1:35
Comment From stonepie
kluber bouncing back nicely today. luckily i dropped him
1:35
Comment From Eli
My friend (who is not hygienic) and I were discussing baseball names + dog breeds. I came up with Barktolo Colon and Shih-Tzu Choo. He got Chewtoy Tulowitzki and Spaniel Deduno. The point is I think he doesn’t wipe his butt.
1:35
Comment From Steve
Next prospect to come up and have the most impact?
1:35
Eno Sarris: Polanco, Bradley.
1:35
Comment From B
How do you know when a statistic has stabilized?
1:36
Eno Sarris: It does a better job predicting itself in the future than the league average.
1:36
Comment From stonepie
to go along with the dallas keuchel article, juan nicasio appears to be turning it around as well. his slider’s swstr rate is just below 25%
1:36
Eno Sarris: Will take a look.
1:36
Comment From C
Brad Miller is killing me, but I have few options (MI). Gyorko? A.Cab? Escobar?
1:36
Eno Sarris: Escobar looks like he can .280/30 this year… I think I’d take that.
1:36
Comment From person hscer
You’re 45 minutes behind?
1:37
Eno Sarris: 1:05
1:37
Comment From Dave
Blasting Still not a Player in the office. I’m an optical engineer
1:37
Comment From yojiveself
cingrani already gave up a run. I can flip him for haren. make the move?
1:37
Eno Sarris: No
1:37
Comment From Brad
Eno I’m embarrassed to ask what you mean by interlude because it shows my ignornace, but you are a cool guy who doesn’t judge, so could you please explain? Btw my wife thinks I’m daft
1:37
Eno Sarris: I post silly things you guys say to take a break.
1:37
Comment From Lewie
Concerned about Edwin’s K spike?
1:38
Eno Sarris: WAit until 100-150 PA.
1:38
Comment From conFUSEd
What’s the deal with the time statements in the middle of the draft?
1:38
Eno Sarris: That’s how far behind I am in the question queue.
1:38
Comment From person hscer
“read it in one sitting” – past tense, imperative, or both?
1:38
Eno Sarris: Past tense.
1:38
Comment From cbird
lol jeter is not aging… hes aged
1:38
Comment From Guest
Any faith in Seager from here on out?
1:38
Eno Sarris: yes
1:38
Comment From Miketron
It’s Klubering Time!
1:39
Comment From juan pierres mustache

#nobias

1:39
Comment From Jompo Chief Osoyunti
T/F: Avery Maharaja is the best beer in the galaxy? Please answer, as I’m only visiting planet earth for a short while…
1:39
Eno Sarris: I enjoy it very much.
1:39
Comment From JAL
We don’t believe in Volquez in a 12-teamer, right??
1:39
Eno Sarris: I don’t.
1:39
Comment From john
I just got into sour ales. I might never go back.
1:39
Eno Sarris: Welcome!
1:39
Comment From Dave
Cingrani at 40 pitches through 1.1 innings, good call
1:39
Eno Sarris: He’s talented, I bet on talent. Even talent has bad days.
1:40
Comment From Walt Weiss
I mean I should at least see if Blackmon can do this against lefties, right?
1:40
Eno Sarris: Yes.
1:40
Comment From Cheap Alky
Best beer under $10….Natty Light or Milwaukee’s Beast?
1:40
Eno Sarris: I see Sierra, all sorts of IPAs out here for less than $10 a sixer.
1:40
Comment From Russ
Another ESPN list came out today touting Francisco Lindor as a prospect that could be helpful in fantasy relatively soon. Why is everyone else higher on him than you are? What makes you think he won’t be what others think he will be?
1:40
Eno Sarris: I don’t think his game will translate to fantasy. Mostly D.
1:41
Comment From Karl Cheese
Eno! Just made a trade involving two of your favorites. I traded Cashner for Kipnis in a 12 team points league. Thoughts?
1:41
Eno Sarris: I’d do it. We can’t forget Cashner’s injuries.
1:41
Eno Sarris: Never made it to the top of the Q but I gotta go!
1:41
Eno Sarris: Flying to San Diego today!
1:41
Comment From Meano Eno
Booo
1:41
Comment From person hscer
bye thanks eno



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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


8 Responses to “Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 4/24/14”

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  1. Fan Lingo Fungo says:

    Last year Chris Colabello had 93 runs batted in between AAA and the majors. He is now on pace for 211. Do you expect him to maintain this pace?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. After The Party It's The Hotel Lobby says:

    Hey Eno,

    I’m thinking of selling high on Cueto. What kind of player could I look for in return? Would Alex Rios be fair?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. KluberFan says:

    Comment From Corey Kluber is not a good pitcher
    Trying to avoid smugness and schadenfraude and simply stck to the facts; how is it possible to think that a soft throwing pitcher with a 26% career line drive rate is any good?
    __________________________

    Trying to avoid smugness and schadenfraude but that couldn’t have been posted on a better day.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. hanstone says:

    “I don’t love Surly” Eno, my man, if you haven’t had a Surly Darkness (Russian Imperial) you haven’t lived. That’s no hyperbole. Surly has many other fine beers, too.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. Ron says:

    Would you trade Freeman and J.Upton for Cargo and Harper?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Guest says:

    I think I must have broke the nice chat transcript layout I complimented last week as now it looks like all the others. Sad.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. craigtyle says:

    Great choice on the Dum Dum Girls! Saw them in 2012, but sadly missed their show at the Independent in April.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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