Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 5/15/14

11:48
Eno Sarris: I should just open this like a minute before we chat, that way I could maybe keep up with the stream of questions. Nevertheless, I’ll be here in ten minutes.

11:49
Eno Sarris: And in the meantime, enjoy the song that introduced me to indie hip hop.

11:49
Th1zzardOfOz:

12:00
Comment From Pale Hose
Hey Eno. If you’re asked about a player is your default response based on real baseball or fantasy?

12:00
Eno Sarris: Great question. Real, I think, but context is huge. Here, fantasy.

12:00
Comment From Michael
Think Zach Britton is worth a stash at this point?

12:00
Eno Sarris: Has the velocity and lack of platoon splits over O’Day, but not the Ks you want from closer. I kind of think Hunter may hold on. His manager isn’t jumping ship.

12:00
Comment From Jesus Aguilar
Am I worth stashing with these recent Tribe injuries?

12:01
Eno Sarris: Problem looks like it’ll be posiiton. With chiz raking and Santana playing, you really need Swish to go down.

12:01
Comment From Morky
Okay to drop Alex Wood in very shallow leagues? I really not that roster spot.

12:01
Eno Sarris: Ten teamer maybe not twelve teamer. I want him in 12 and deeper.

12:02
Comment From Dan
In an ottoneau league, I was offered pagan and Lindor for Gregory polanco. Should I do it?

12:02
Eno Sarris: I don’t think that’s enough. Because of his plate discipline, five toolsyness, and top-ten status, you might be able to push Polanco’s bust rate down to 25%.

12:02
Comment From Kman
How was Tired Hands completely missing from the April’s hottest beer article?

12:03
Eno Sarris: Was only new beers in the last month. Didn’t show up on my query. Did they debut something fun that got a lot of distro recently? If it was only in their tasting room, might not have had enough sample to show up.

12:03
Comment From Mistadobalina
That was a pretty rough first outing for Gausman, think he stays up?

12:03
Eno Sarris: I hope he gets one more chance. So many fastballs. Want more offspeed.

12:03
Comment From Tony G.
Is there any chance Eduardo Nunez can maintain regular playing time in Minnesota ROS? If so, can he have any potential fantasy upside?

12:04
Eno Sarris: There’s talk of Santana in CF, so maybe. He’s got some bat, no glove.

12:04
Comment From Jays Fan II
What will it take for you to become a true believer in Juan Francisco? I get that we’re dealing with a small sample size, but I find it strange that experts seem to be so convinced that he can’t be for real…

12:05
Eno Sarris: A crazy BABIP is masking what will most likely be a low batting average, but dude can rip it and is buying into that Jay’s high-FB rate philosophy. Career power year coming.

12:05
Comment From Lars
Hey Eno, do you know how often pitchers in Japan tear their UCL? I can’t imagine it’s anywhere near the rate we are experiencing here, thanks for answering.

12:05
Eno Sarris: They do get an extra day of rest!

12:05
Comment From American League Hustle
Are you concerned by anything you’ve seen so far from Stroman and Gausman in their brief major league stints this season? Predictions for whether Gausman will stay in the rotation, and when we should expect to see Stroman’s first official start? Thanks!

12:06
Eno Sarris: Gausman’s lack of a breaker concerns me. Stroman’s homers do a bit, but I think he’ll figure it out.

12:06
Comment From Texas Tornado
Any word out as to when Kole Calhoun makes his return? Given the ankle injury that sidelined him, should we expect very few stolen bases the rest of the way?

12:07
Eno Sarris: Ankle’s no hammy. he’s running the bases and I think he can steal some later.

12:07
Comment From Graham
Is Asdrubal Cabrera about to turn on the power/speed combo?

12:07
Eno Sarris: OH IS HE EVER going to hit 14 homers and steal 10 bases.

12:07
Comment From Mistadobalina
Giancarlo Stanton is my hero. That is all.

12:08
Comment From kevinthecomic
A guy in my league just dropped B. Phillips. I have Zobrist going on DL (apparently). OK to drop C. Owings for B. Phillips? Need the 2B eligibility.

12:09
Eno Sarris: Sure, I don’t see a lot of counting stats in Owings’ future and am unsure of the batting average.

12:10
Comment From Graham
James Paxton. Add him now if you have room?

12:10
Eno Sarris: Mixed league upside for sure. Watch the gun.

12:10
Comment From Lars
I am officially afraid of any young hard-throwing SP who hasn’t had TJ surgery yet. All ticking time bombs.

12:10
Eno Sarris: Just get quantity.

12:10
Comment From Brad
Do you think LD% has little predictive value, and if so why?

12:11
Eno Sarris: Because it’s very hard to judge and it’s judged by humans. Check it out next game you watch with a friend. Decide for yourselves if it was a line drive and then check with each other.

12:11
Comment From Joel
What is wrong with Justin Verlander?

12:11
Eno Sarris: Everything’s just a little bit worse. Offseason surgery doesn’t help.

12:11
Comment From Third Uncle
ENO. I want to flip Blackmon before he remembers that he’s Charlie Blackmon. It’s a keeper league where he would be keepable in the 15th round. Give me a SS that I should ask for, and one that I could probably get. Danke!

12:12
Eno Sarris: I don’t hate Segura like some. Castro seems possible, might be the first name you drop.

12:12
Comment From Jeff in T.O.
ENO!!!! Keeper league, Rendon for Dozier?

12:12
Eno Sarris: there’s something I like about Rendon’s real-life swing better, but in fantasy, Dozier’s speed will provide a big boost even if he doesn’t improve the BABIP and batting average.

12:12
Comment From Lars
Could we possibly see the DH in the NL one of these years?

12:14
Eno Sarris: Oh yeah it’s coming. I totally bet it’s coming. How annoying is it for an NL GM to consider who his once-a-week DH will be? And giving every team a 26th roster spot and every team a DH could be a chip the owners give the players in bargaining. (that’s another job)

12:14
Comment From Benji
Do you think Gavin Floyd is worth owning in a 12 team league

12:14
Eno Sarris: Just put some claims in on him in 15 and 14 but doubt in 12. Nice thing is that he’s in the NL now, and is trying to throw a change (more on this for Fox on Monday).

12:14
Comment From LudeBurger
hi papa Sarris!

12:15
Comment From Maxamuz

I want it to be public knowledge that I traded away Jose Fernandez mere hours before he tore his UCL for a kings ransom. The buyer has vowed never to trade with me again.

12:15
Comment From Perry
Is there any study done with average player age of TJ surgery? Is there a point in your career where you’d be significantly less likely to need it? Seems like the TJ players are on the young side?

12:16
Eno Sarris: No, but Tim Hudson disagrees. I’m not going to do that though I’m not going to break out one name. There might be something to this idea, that if you’re going to get TJ, you’re going to get it early and often and if not you might never.

12:16
Comment From MJC
Is Freeman a reasonable return to target in exchange for Sonny Gray?

12:16
Eno Sarris: yes!

12:16
Comment From David
Hello Eno! Would you sell Jose Abreu for Rizzo + Cashner if you needed the pitching? THanks!

12:16
Comment From Nookie
MOOKIE BETTS: ignore the callup, and when. But WHAT will that dude be in the MLB? Is this zobrist idea legit? I know this happens to a prospect every so often but rarely someone that is so built for baseball. And the ‘stache. I love him. I want to know what he will be, when he’s arrived. Not when.

12:17
Eno Sarris: What a good guy too. Why not Pedroia-esque? Both short. I know the swings are different, maybe a little less power for Mookie, more speed.

12:17
Comment From DCC
When do you think Kris Bryant makes it to Chicago? He worth a season long stash in 12 team 10 kept mixed keeper leagues?

12:17
Eno Sarris: If they move him to the OF, soon. If not, September and no probably.

12:18
Comment From Maxamuz
Wily Peralta, I’m not sure what to make of him. xFIP sits at 3.34, ERA sits at 2.05, walking less people, HR/FB up. What gives with this lad?

12:18
Eno Sarris: Early to buy an improved walk rate on a guy that has inconsistent command. I’m trying to sell but not finding buyers.

12:18
Comment From Biggus Dikus
Is Keuchel is better than Pomeranz right? Is it time to sell high on Garrett Richards i paid a buck for him as was wondering if i could flip for a better pitcher?

12:19
Eno Sarris: I’d rather have Keuchel, Biggus. Richards is legit, but maybe you could get a buy low SP and an improvement elsewhere in a two-for-two.

12:19
skillosoph:

12:20
Comment From Nicolas
My Pujols for his Choo in OBP H2H giving away too much? I’m thinking that Pujols is out performing his peripherals, do you agree?

12:20
Eno Sarris: There was that Podhorzer piece about his batted ball distance, plus the fact that Pujols is an injury risk and looks as slow as ever on the basepaths. In OBP… yeah I like it.

12:20
Comment From Dr. Zizmor
Please discuss your thoughts on multicollinearity that may exist among independent variables such as age, innings pitched increase, and pitch count limits, with dependent variable arm injuries to starting pitchers who are ppe jopJPOJJ OMG I AM A WEREWOLF

12:20
Comment From Lars
Think Doolittle has the edge now to be the A’s closer?

12:21
Eno Sarris: He has the gas, the Ks, and the K-BBs, but Cook has gas and is a righty. But I’ll take Doolittle over anyone, especially since he’s cost-controlled and not sucking.

12:21
Comment From Big Joey
What’s the deal with Heyward? Career high FB% with a really low HR/FB… but his BABIP is kinda high for a guy batting only .205, is it time to lower expectations on this guy?

12:22
Eno Sarris: I’ve pushed my batting average expectations for him down to .250/.260 tops. But power could come in bunches.

12:22
Comment From Maxamuz

Lucas Duda Update: Got food poisoning from a rabid clerk, stupid food.

12:22
Comment From Conrad
years ago 4 man rotations and 40 starts were “normal”…now 5 Man rotations are the norm….why not evolve into 6? if it could be shown to significantly lessen the risk of major arm injury….

12:22
Eno Sarris: You need ten pitchers to get through the season anyway. I like it.

12:22
Comment From Buck Mulligan
Was desperate for hitting, so cashed in my Kazmir for their Pence. Have Kluber (card carrying member of the society) and Smyly to help fill Kaz’s spot. Was this as much of a no-brainer as I thought it was?

12:23
Eno Sarris: yes

12:23
Comment From Maxamuz

I find this incredibly interesting.

12:23
Eno Sarris: Yes but the problem is that might be exactly when he was hurt, not a predictor. But we know from Kalk and Zimmerman that zone%, velocity loss and release point shenanigans are things we can look for. By the way, Brian Wilson has all of these things right now.

12:24
Comment From Graham
What do you do with a last place fantasy team (redraft league) at this point in the season? Hold on and don’t panic? Or do you start making high-risk/high-reward moves because you have nothing to lose?

12:24
Eno Sarris: I go for some more high-reward pickups around the edges and see if I can spot a sell-low. There’s still time.

12:24
Comment From Don
Yasiel Puig went from the most talked about/most likely to disappoint in the early part of season to now never talked about/best player in baseball beyod tulotrout as it’s gone on. Do you believe? Can he produce what he’s pacing? Somewhere in 80-90 runs, 30 homers, 100 rbi, 15 steals, .290-300? 900+ ops?

12:25
Eno Sarris: I never stopped believing. I think the batting average may go down in the future, he has a lot of swing and miss in his game. And health might be an issue. But he’s great.

12:25
Comment From Goat
Our cats don’t freak out when they hear dogs, birds, bears, cows, or any adult human sounds – or cat sounds for that matter- on the tv. But a baby crying causes a startling of the mega variety.

12:26
Eno Sarris: oh boy. that sort of thing tends to play off each other, too, until you’re left sobbing at three am in a corner as you try to sing a lullaby and tell the dog to shut up

12:26
Comment From No depth
I need to fill a hole with 1 player, which of these players should I consider most? Parra, Rasmus, Norris, Smoak, Viciedo, Plouffe or David Murphy.

12:27
Eno Sarris: Viciedo and Plouffe have changed their plate discipline in a way I really like.

12:27
Comment From Ha Ha Jason Nix
I own votto, bruce, pence, v-mart, Hill, Jupton, Byrd and just traded for Abreu. I’m in last in HR/RBI. Tell me there are better times ahead.

12:27
Eno Sarris: Votto owners having RBI troubles, it’s true. I feel lik you’ll be okay.

12:27
Comment From hobo fight
Help be get ENO-culated, bro. I’m in a points based 10-team dynasty league. I’m trying to move Adam Jones because I have been scared of his contact issues for years. Is getting Dozier enough of a return? What kind of 2B or 3B should I be targeting?

12:28
Eno Sarris: It’s okay but because of name power, you should ask for more. Ask for a throw-in young SP with some uspide.

12:28
Orchard Music:

12:29
Comment From juan pierres mustache
Let’s play a game called Minor League Baseball Player’s Name or Name Of A Beer. 1: Bushyhead. 2: Bear Bay. 3: Karmeliet. 4: Baudoinia. 5: Lantigua. 6: Berazzled. 7: Maracujipa

12:29
Eno Sarris: I’ve seen the answers and wow.

12:29
Comment From Maxamuz

IT'S AN EN-SARUS!

12:29
Eno Sarris: Creepy.

12:29
Comment From hobo fight
Punted pitching, now I’l rolling with a rotation that includes Hudson, Chavez, Kennedy, and Kazmir. i have no fingernails left. Should I relax and count on them to keep on keeping on?

12:29
Eno Sarris: Sell high on Kazmir.

12:29
Comment From John
Thoughts on Chris Davis ROS.

12:29
Eno Sarris: Yes.

12:30
Comment From LarryA
Is Kuechel now an aalways start for you?

12:30
Eno Sarris: yes

12:30
Comment From Lambchop
Explain why there is absolutely NO love for Daniel Murphy. If he could hit 15 homers vs 10-12, he’s essentially Jason Kipnis minus strikeouts. As a mets fan, constantly confused why arguably our current best player moving forward is constantly ignored by most baseball writers.

12:31
Eno Sarris: No patience, iffy defense, no standout tool, no saber standout tool. I like the Mets and I think they should trade him before he’s only a third baseman. But! I do think his approach is under-rated. Spray line drives and reap the BABIP.

12:31
Comment From Bartleby the Scrivener
Eno I drafted a bunch of old guys, a lot of whom look real old. What do you of Dwright? I’m tempted to move him for pitching help. Would you trade Wright and Kuroda for Shields? I’ve got Alvarez stuck on my bench and lost Medlen, Corbin and Nova to TJ.

12:32
Eno Sarris: I like Wright, but Alvarez is doing great things wrt plate discipline. This is defensible.

12:32
Comment From The Ghost of Joses UCL
Will Will Smith get a shot to close in MIL t all this year? I see the Crew falling out of contention and selling K-Rod…feasible?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Totally feasible except that he’s available every year and only gets traded every other year.

12:32
Comment From Deep Into Games
Would you rank Salazar higher or lower than normal in a 10-team league with QS, K/9 and IP?

12:33
Eno Sarris: Higher because a starter with K rate like that is wow.

12:33
Comment From Max
Can Mike Fiers come up and succeed?

12:33
Eno Sarris: That fastball says no.

12:33
Comment From pcm4
With Calhoun and Cuddyer nearing returns from the DL is it worth flipping A Jax for a closer if I’m really hurting for saves?

12:33
Eno Sarris: I hate to trade for saves. Usually the wire provides.

12:34
Comment From Ron Swanson

Jose Fernandez

12:34
Comment From Cal
Tepesch is __ team ownable?

12:34
Eno Sarris: 16-18. GBer so upside is low.

12:34
Comment From Mr. Met
Jeurys Familia worth adding?

12:35
Eno Sarris: I think it’s eventually Mejia, but Familia might get first shot.

12:35
Comment From Marichal
Chase Anderson was very impressive in his first big league start. What do you see going forward? Throw him out there against the Dodgers?

12:35
Eno Sarris: Not in a 12-teamer. Great change-up and 93 mph fastball but that’s a decent lineup and he has no pedigree.

12:35
Comment From Russian River Beers
It was almost $9 per bottle!!

12:35
Eno Sarris: yah craft beer is like that

12:36
Comment From Lasorda
Beckett’s velocity is up this season compared to 2012 & 2013. But his last few starts his velocity is actually down compared to his first few starts of 2014. How do you value velocity trends?

12:36
Eno Sarris: Usually velocity is steady so fluctuations matter.

12:36
Comment From Matt
Seeing tons of writers talking about how Puig has “grown up” with his new approach. Shouldn’t we wait more than 14 games to attribute that?

12:37
Eno Sarris: No, because Puig stopped reaching as much late last year too.

12:37
Comment From Terrible Ted
Colenoscopy.

12:37
Comment From CM
What do you think of streaming Quintana vs Houston or Roark vs NYM?

12:37
Eno Sarris: Q please.

12:37
Comment From Awake in Seattle
Let’s say Brad Miller gets sent down to AAA tomorrow. Do you recommend holding on to him in a 10-team AL-only league? I can’t begin to describe the pain I would feel if I dropped him, only to have him return shortly thereafter and watch a competitor reap the rewards!!!

12:37
Eno Sarris: If he’s sent down, it’s bad news for him this year. there’s Chris Taylor and Nick Franklin. I’d move on if that happens.

12:38
Comment From pcm4
Eno what is your second favorite sport as a fan? (I assume baseball occupies the number 1 spot)

12:38
Eno Sarris: Basketball. Pro.

12:38
Comment From JDagg
Odorizzi looked good last night. Is he last years’ Jarred Cosart?

12:38
Eno Sarris: No, he has one pitch (the new splitter) and nothing else.

12:38
Comment From Chicago Mark
Hi from Chicago Eno. What do you make of the rotation situation in Atl? Do you see Harang out any time soon?

12:38
Eno Sarris: I think Wood comes back, but it’ll probably be injury that does it.

12:39
Comment From Maxamuz

Old catching gear patent.

12:39
Eno Sarris: Trying to find that answer on the MiLB/Beer thing. This queue is loaded.

12:39
Comment From BP
Hi Eno. Who do you like better, Yelich or Calhoun?

12:39
Eno Sarris: Yelich in keepers. More pedigree, younger, more upside.

12:39
Comment From PBR
Hey Eno, is Yangervis Solarte a reliable starter? He strikes me as a Martin Prado lite

12:40
Eno Sarris: Good comp. I wouldn’t give him too much power upside with that swing.

12:40
Comment From The Ghost of Joses UCL
Does the slider or the split finger cause more stress on a pitchers arm?

12:40
Eno Sarris: Been talking that up with people. I think personally the split is tougher on the forearm (League said as much) and the slider on the elbow.

12:40
Comment From juan pierres mustache
tired hands is almost 100% at their tasting room only. They are working on a 2nd location now, though I’m not sure if that means more distribution or if it’ll just be a second tasting room.

12:40
Comment From Kman
How many saves do you think Benoit ends up with this year?

12:41
Eno Sarris: 10

12:41
Comment From Boston Bob
I feel like I’ll try to submit 5000 Mookie Betts questions in here in hopes they’re seen. End of day – if you do decide to answer this, i imagine it won’t be for lack of originality. As a BoSox fan, i am 0% concerned with him being called up now – that type of hype isn’t my thing. But I do not want the bosox to make him a phillie for lee, for example – and the reason being is that I see him as being an ELITE mlb player, top 25 guy in league, within the next few years. Am I being too homer-ish or is that possible?

12:41
Eno Sarris: No I love everything about him other than power upside. I’m guessing we’ll see a position switch soon.

12:41
Comment From wes
You trust Salazar at TOR today? HRs and walks are down last 3 starts

12:42
Eno Sarris: Trust is a strong word. I’m throwing him in most leagues.

12:42
Comment From Big Joey
I’m getting quite scared with Wright. He showed great skills last year and I thought he was going to have a nice 2014, but he has terrible plate discipline/zero power right now…in a terrible lineup. Should I try to move him in my keeper league while he still has “name value”?

12:42
Eno Sarris: I think he’s a 15-20 HR guy these days and the speed will begin to drop quickly.

12:43
Comment From juan pierres mustache
ANSWERS: 1. MiLB. 2: MiLB. 3: beer. 4: beer. 5: MiLB. 6: beer. 7: beer.

12:43
Eno Sarris: phew. there it is. the bear one was a player!!

12:43
Comment From Jeebs
Dropped AJ for Kluber … you sign off on that?

12:43
Eno Sarris: Sure.

12:43
Comment From LarryA
I tried to draft a very balanced HR/SB team, but my guys are not running. Cespedes, Adam Jones, Victrino have combined for 4 steals. Is there hope for these guys on the horizon?

12:44
Eno Sarris: I think you’ll get 15-20 from them tops. Stolen bases drop off so quickly. We had a piece on them from Zimm — aging SBs just as a stat — and they disappear quickly.

12:44
Comment From Tube
Looking to move Wheeler for a bat. What’s a fair return? Morneau, Reyes, Adams, Headley?

12:44
Eno Sarris: I’d take any of those guys!

12:45
Comment From Ye Old Whore
Is Jose Abreu the next Mark Trumbo…only Cuban and slightly better OBP?

12:45
Eno Sarris: I think the batting average will be better. We’ll see about the walk rate, still early going for that.

12:45
Comment From DUBU
Help Please! Do I trade Prince Fielder for Allen Craig and Lester? I currently have Votto and Morneua. Dynasty League 12 team H2H

12:45
Eno Sarris: Trade Prince but not for Craig. He’s a .280/18 guy for me and that’s not super exciting.

12:46
Comment From Guest
does that rash of high profile young arms falling to TJ change the way you value young prospects? seems like it’s terrifically easy to overpay/overrate, with the 20-60% chance you’re buying a two year gap in production…

12:46
Eno Sarris: I’ve always felt this way about prospects: trade em.

12:46
Comment From Andy
Desperate for steals in an OBP league. Is my keepable Matt Carpenter for his non-keepable Altuve a little too much? I don’t mind a slight overpay, just want to check if this is sane.

12:47
Eno Sarris: Sane to me. OBP league makes it hurt a bit, but sane.

12:47
Comment From Bob
Bigger risk of losing their closer job – Hunter or Rosenthal?

12:47
Eno Sarris: Hunter is less talented so I’ll take him (to lose his job earlier).

12:47
Eno Sarris: They had to keep his innings down somehow.

12:47
Comment From Bobdobalina
Safe to say sit Erlin in Col this weekend?

12:48
Eno Sarris: yeah curveballs don’t work there.

12:48
dirty science:

12:49
Comment From Lars
Is Andrew McCutchen one of the most overrated players in baseball? His HR have been steadily declining and he’s not stealing bases despite a ton of walks.

12:49
Eno Sarris: In fantasy, maybe. If his peak SBs are behind him and he’s not going to add 30 homer power…

12:49
Comment From Harold
Kipnis come back and play like a top 3 2b from here out?

12:49
Eno Sarris: I got no problems with Kipnis so far.

12:49
Comment From Erubial Durazo
Wheeler for Cobb or Calhoun a fair offer?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Sure but I want the Cobb or Calhoun side.

12:50
Comment From The Ghost of Joses UCL
Brad Miller HAS to be better than this…cut bait and miss his correction or is he a true albatross this year?

12:50
Eno Sarris: In 12-teamers, it’s time to move on. The plate discipline is too far gone.

12:50
Comment From Bartleby the Scrivener
How can Dickerson see his way to PT in the crowded Rox OF?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Injuries to the old men.

12:50
Comment From Dave
johnny cueto’s LOB% is 99.5%, I’ve never seen that before, thought you should know. The all time record in a season is Candelaria in 1977 with 88.8%

12:51
Comment From Bryan
When Dirks/Hanrahan come back (should be around the same time), what two players get the heave-ho?

12:51
Eno Sarris: Probably JD Martinez but Dirks has options, so if JDM goes off..

12:51
Comment From nelson
alex meyer or jimmy nelson a better stash for fantasy purposes? Think either can give you a meaningful bump?

12:51
Eno Sarris: MEYER I like him, and yes, and maybe soon, maybe July.

12:52
Comment From Chicago Mark
Will Jamie Garcia keep a rotation spot in Stl as long as he’s healthy?

12:52
Eno Sarris: Yeah he’s better than Lyons, probably.

12:52
Comment From The Ghost of Joses UCL
Pre-season darling Tommy La Stella get a shot when???

12:52
Eno Sarris: July or maybe even before that — depends on Pena now. Or injury.

12:53
Comment From JAL
Starting Skaggs, Salazar and Kennedy today? Thanks!

12:53
Eno Sarris: Yes

12:53
Comment From Howard
Do you know anything about Jon Singleton? Seems insane that the ‘stros would call up springer but not him – considering he has more production in AAA than all 3 players currently manning 1b in Houston do combined. I hate super 2.

12:54
Eno Sarris: well there’s maybe a bit more mitigating circumstances surrounding the personnel at first base (harder to cut some of those guys) and the fact that Singleton’s game has been up and down in the minors and his new K% could take some time to solidify and all that… you’re right.

12:54
Comment From Marty
Sandoval’s looking better at the plate, SSS or has he changed his approach back to what it was previously?

12:54
Eno Sarris: Absolutely swinging at more first pitches now and looking more aggressive. Still think .280/15+ is possible RoS.

12:55
Comment From JP
With a new cutter and an impressive K/BB ratio, how long before you are a believer in Aaron Harang?

12:55
Eno Sarris: It’s still a cutter and a slider, which is just a weird combo.

12:55
Comment From Guest
time to panic on Everth Cabrera?

12:56
Eno Sarris: .250/10/30 is still within reach. other than last year, that would make sense for this point in his career, no?

12:56
Comment From DirtyBrass
Whats up with Everth Cabrera

12:56
Eno Sarris: just returned to his baseline contact rate.

12:56
Comment From Make the Betts?
Swap baez for mookie? Baez had looked awful in AAA.

12:57
Eno Sarris: Betts is in way better bust buckets other than his prospect ranking, which I think will change. So different. Baez big swing, bad discipline, more power. Betts less exciting HR/SB stats, but BA/OBP should be way better. And floor way higher.

12:57
Comment From Walking Infirmary
So this year, I drafted or picked up….Reyes, W. Ramos, R. Zimmerman, Kipnis, Josh Hamilton, Kole Calhoun, Sale, Jose Fernandez, and Gee…along with Beltran and Rasmus. Should I just stay away from Fantasy Baseball next season, for the good of the game?

12:57
Comment From The Ghost of Joses UCL
Are you buying McCarthyism?

12:58
Eno Sarris: New velocity makes him cromulent but not excellent. Still no change, holding him back.

12:58
Comment From rotosleeper
Had double IPA from Flying Dog last night in honor of Montero’s first start. Didn’t know where I was by the 6th. Your thoughts on Flying Dog as an overall brewer? and Montero’s stuff?

12:59
Eno Sarris: Okay. Haven’t been wowed by anything, despite loving Steadman’s art. Montero had great command of a good fastball but I was really worried about how much he loved it and how I didn’t see much of his offspeed stuff. Lines up with reports that question his third pitch.

12:59
Comment From Cybo
Derrick Norris is slashing .352/.441/.557, please tell me why I should or shouldn’t buy in.

12:59
Eno Sarris: Only problem is Norris is a righty and Jaso is a lefty and Jaso is going pretty well.

1:00
Comment From Terrible Ted
If you owned Fernandez in a keep 10 of 26 league, how do you evaluate current trade offers vs. the value lost in burning a keeper spot for next season? I was offered Kluber by one owner and CJ Wilson by another.

1:00
Eno Sarris: 10-15% failure rate on the surgery, otherwise, Fernandez should be at 90% of himself next year.

1:00
Comment From NYC
Is Kuroda done? Lost Jose F. need a live body.

1:01
Eno Sarris: AS good as anyone despite the inconsistent slider.

1:01
Comment From Hogwagon
have you ever seen that movie Star Trek II: Wrath of Khan? ever watched it and pictured Corey Kluber’s face on Khan’s body the whole movie? Heard Kluber’s name instead of Khan’s all movie? Me too….

1:01
Comment From Graham
This is one of those rare occasions where there are two Grahams gathered together.

1:01
Comment From Michael Brantley
Is my breakout going to sustain?

1:01
Eno Sarris: homers should slow down.

1:02
Comment From Guest
Would you trade Eaton ($9)/Adams ($1)/Bogaerts ($1)/Rosenthal ($1) for Goldschmidt ($11) in a keeper? Got depth in OF, SS, RP.

1:02
Eno Sarris: Yes. Goldy at good price too.

1:02
Comment From Guest
Bogaerts struggling in my 12-team keeper league. Would you ride any of these bats and while Xander figures it out or just play match-ups? – Alcides Escobar, Erick Aybar, JJ Hardy, Brandon Crawford, Chris Owings, or Brad Miller?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Owings and Alcides catch my eye. You could stream Alcides against teams that can’t stop the run.

1:03
Comment From Cream
Dallas Keuchel. His ownership % is absurdly low (at least in ESPN leages). He’s gotta be worth a roster spot in a 12 team mixed (w/ QS, not W), right?

1:03
Eno Sarris: tes

1:03
Comment From eastern nc
I am getting ridicule for declining this trade in an OPS Keeper: I get Billy H. and Hosmer, I trade Carlos Gomez an Alex Cobb. I’m bad, and they say I should be going for next year. I say, too much for Gomez? YOu say………

1:04
Eno Sarris: You’re doing the right thing. Although trading Cobb for a position player is a great idea given where you are.

1:04
Comment From Scott
Sell Verlander for Alvarez and Fister? Have Machado/Headley currently at 3B. Need HRs.

1:04
Eno Sarris: Give Headley some time, he’s doing something right in the power department right now.

1:04
Comment From Reginald
Matt Holliday has a lower ISO and SLG than Dee Gordon…is this a problem?

1:05
Eno Sarris: I’ve been waiting to see how age would come for Holliday. I thought it might be injury. it could be power.

1:05
Comment From CrazyQuestionGuy
Kipnis for Dozier…yes really. Thoughts?

1:05
Eno Sarris: I’ll still take Kipnis, but it’s clear Dozier is a top-5 guy at his position.

1:05
Comment From Fish
Internet

1:05
Comment From LudeBurger
who has gotten 3 TJs?

1:05
Eno Sarris: Brian Wilson will.

1:06
Comment From JJ
Trying to trade a pitcher, which one do I try to sell: Wacha, Lester, Verlander?

1:06
Eno Sarris: Verlander going to get you the most back.

1:06
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
Should I hold on to Mejia in hopes that he becomes the Mets closer?

1:06
Eno Sarris: At least for a week or two.

1:06
Comment From Dr. Met
You tweeted about using a new methodology to spot weaknesses in aggregate lineups. Given our futility last night, can you say that team x is terrible vs. a quality pitch type y and predict z?

1:08
Eno Sarris: I was using the pitch type values on the team level and I’m not sure that’s a good idea. Those values only measure what happened on those pitches and miss out on context. But maybe on the team level? The Jays were mediocre against FB, Kluber has mediocre FB, and Kluber Kluberized them.

1:08
Comment From Danny Glover
Ello Eno! Is Kazmir’s velocity drop troublesome to you? Only 1 MPH really, was offered Lester and Eaton for Kaz but starting to consider it. Thanks thanks!

1:08
Eno Sarris: Take that deal. How can you project Kaz into full PT going forward?

1:09
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
I didn’t draft Tanaka, because I thought my expectations were too high considering I am a yankee fan… I gotta learn to draft using my gut and intuition, not my heart. Do you get caught drafting with your heart sometimes?

1:09
Eno Sarris: Been playing fantasy too long. No heart.

1:09
anjovingador:

1:09
Comment From Geto boys
Is Cron a dec util option when he plays? 12 team mixer

1:10
Eno Sarris: The BB% and glove are iffy, but he could be Trumbo-esque.

1:10
Comment From Marty
Taken out of context quote of the day is from “No Depth”: I need to fill a hole

1:10
Comment From Maxamuz
Did you know if you press Alt + F4 at the same time it shows hidden features on every website.

1:10
Comment From Paul Swydans Hat
What is it that makes David Ortiz still so dominant at his age, Eno?

1:10
Comment From Rick
Alex Gordon is officially worthless, right? Not hitting for average, not driving in runs, not hitting homers, and not stealing bases. Should I dump him for Mr. George Springer? (outhomering Alex 3-1)

1:11
Eno Sarris: The speed wasn’t going to stick around that long. He could still hit 18 or so homers pretty easily… Springer might not hit that many and wil do it with a worse BA. Look at your batting average to decide.

1:11
Comment From Bob
RE: Goat & the cat’s meow – Cats meowing evolved over time with domestication. It’s not something you’ll ever see in a wild cat. The thought is that it developed from mimicking a baby’s cry.

1:12
Comment From john
God, can the braves just cut uggla already? I can’t remove him from my roster unless he is dled, demoted or released. What is the point of keeping him if you wont play him? He isnt a defensive replacement. Its pointless. Somebody tell the Braves to get their heads outof their asses

1:12
Eno Sarris: He’s close to gone. You’re right, all he is a an RHB off the bench.

1:12
Comment From Matt
Is Rizzo a good 1B to try to buy low on in a keeper before he explodes?

1:12
Eno Sarris: Time running out.

1:12
Comment From GSon
Is it time to jettison old time formerly reliable stalwarts like Cole Hamels and Bartolo Colon..? they’re Killin me….

1:13
Eno Sarris: No! and yes. Colon homer rate problem for so long, except in Oakland. I’d drop.

1:13
Comment From LouSeal
Shelby Miller? Buy, Hold, sell?

1:13
Eno Sarris: hold to buy. I’m not as concerned as some.

1:13
Comment From Michael Salmon
ENO how do you like your steak? Rare, medium rare, or medium? (Let it be known that these are the only acceptable ways to order steak)

1:14
Eno Sarris: rare, though sometimes I’ll go medium rare. I’m German! I’ve eaten raw horse, raw cow, raw chicken, raw deer, raw fish, raw shellfish…

1:14
Comment From David
You posted my question (Abreu for Rizzo + Cashner) but you didn’t post an answer???

1:14
Eno Sarris: Oh it didn’t come through? Yes.

1:15
Comment From jake the snake
why wont eric hosmer hit the long balls?

1:15
Eno Sarris: Because he loves the ground balls. (dirty)

1:17
Eno Sarris: sorry tech difficulties on this plane I’m on

1:17
Comment From Guest
Rendon has been great this year, but he oddly hasn’t walked much at all and thus has a low OBP. He’s walked every stage of the minors and had a pretty good walk rate last year. Will he get that up?

1:18
Eno Sarris: Yes he will get that up. (dirty)

1:18
Comment From Ghost Hands
Tell me you’ve listened to “More Than Any Other Day” by Ought.

1:18
Eno Sarris: on the new release? Yup! good stuff.

1:18
Comment From john
Veras back? will he close? K-rod blowing it, does Hendo get a shot when he is back?

1:18
Eno Sarris: Veras won’t close, they made that decision so quickly. K-Rod seems in command right now.

1:19
Comment From toot toot
at what point do we start to panic on xander

1:19
Eno Sarris: not now, not with his plate discipline.

1:19
Comment From Big joe Mufferaw
Zach McCallister is my last starter on my team and Jason Hammel, Keuchel, Lyles are available… should I drop him and pick one up? If so, who?

1:19
Eno Sarris: Keuchel

1:19
Comment From Maxamuz
The mere fact that more people are using GIFs and Pictures in this chat besides me is disturbing to me. You all should just let me provide the GIFs and humor.

1:19
Comment From Guest
Wily Peralta and CJ Wilson: top 30 pitchers?

1:19
Eno Sarris: No, but top 50.

1:20
Comment From Grant
Should i trade krod for Kluber or Salazar just lost Fernandez

1:20
Eno Sarris: yes and it’s a choice between floor and ceiling, so look at your place in the standings.

1:20
Comment From juan pierres mustache
JOHNNY CUETO’S WHIP IS INFINITY SO FAR TODAY, TIME 4 PANIC

1:20
Comment From LudeBurger
moist

1:20
Comment From Josh B
Eno, I think about 8 of your 10 Bold Predictions are in process of coming true. Were your predictions not bold enough, or are you just that smart?

1:20
Eno Sarris: I’ll take “both.”

1:21
Comment From Wireman
Favorite teams to stream pitchers against this year?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Minny in Minny, Miami on the road, Miami in Miami, SD in PetCo.

1:21
Comment From McName
Yu Darvish or Masahiro Tanaka?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Tanaka because of the extra year and better command, fewer sliders.

1:22
Comment From john
I dont understand the mets FO moving mejia to the BP. He is still young and never really got a lot of minors conditioning. His numbers are similar to Wheeler’s this in the bigs, and his milb numbers were better. But he gets bumped to the bullpen. This is another situation of Sandy loving his guys and hating guys Omar brought in?

1:22
Eno Sarris: Dunno if thats’ why. I’m in your camp but you have to acknowledge that it’s possible that this is a problem they’ve been looking at for about six years now and that he’s just not built to make it through five innings despite having a nice arsenal. Well, you don’t HAVE to acknowledge that, but I’m asking nicely.

1:23
Comment From Frank
Shaw > Familia > Doolittle?

1:23
Eno Sarris: Doolittle>Shaw>Familia

1:23
Comment From john
Ozuna crashed down to earth. Too late to sell in a NL only keeper?

1:23
Eno Sarris: Keep at this point. His plate discipline suggests to me that he’ll be streaky.

1:23
Comment From Gareth
Swisher – any hope? I’m on the verge of purging my team of him, dunn and the lesser Davis in Milwaukee. Just drop em all?

1:24
Eno Sarris: Davis has the worst stats in the stable categories, just no idea at the plate. I might start with dropping him.

1:24
Comment From JV
What % of FAAB would you spend on Doolittle? Do you think he is the closer now?

1:24
Eno Sarris: yeah but you can’t spend too much on a closer, because who knows. I know that Susan Slusser says he’s not the closer yet, but too many things line up for him. 15%?

1:25
Comment From Eno Sarris
Why not have Mookie learn 3B or heck, 1B, LF, RF. Its not like Ortiz will be around for long, Napoli can DH. Young, cheap talent is the way to go.

1:25
Eno Sarris: Now this is freaky. Well, Eno… he doesn’t have power for the COF or 1B/DH, and I’ve heard that he doesn’t love SS, so maybe he doesn’t have the arm for 3B.

1:26
Comment From Gareth
Familia is terrible right?

1:26
Eno Sarris: No, but his pitches move so much it’s hard to depend on him. Saw him throw a fastball to Solarte that started off the inner corner and ended off the outer corner. How’s he supposed to corral that.

1:26
Comment From Gareth
Chase Anderson starred alongside her sister in one episode of Baywatch in the nineties.

1:26
Comment From Grant
Krod total saves on the year?

1:26
Eno Sarris: 37

1:27
Comment From Rixter
Is cutting someone’s thumb off a viable solution to all these thumb injuries?

1:27
Comment From Brad
Looks like they’ll be 3 new NL starters come FAAB time this weekend: Rafael Montero, Jaime Garcia, Anthony Desclafani. In what order would you pursue these guys? Read Garcia was 90-93 in rehab…

1:27
Eno Sarris: your order

1:27
Comment From Steve
Teixera has been playing great. Is this what we can expect for the rest of the year?

1:27
Eno Sarris: plus an injury

1:27
Eno Sarris: warning: laptop batter almost kaput.

1:27
Comment From juan pierres mustache
Bear Bay! http://www.baseball-referen…

1:27
Comment From Grant
will myers projection?

1:28
Eno Sarris: .260/27 by end of year

1:28
Comment From Grant
eric hosmer projection?

1:28
Eno Sarris: .290/18

1:28
Comment From Big joe Mufferaw
Yangervis, Prado comp. RE:Good comp. I wouldn’t give him too much power upside with that swing.

On pace for 49 doubles and 19 HR… Plus nice K/BB of 16/17

1:28
Eno Sarris: I’m not pacing out those power numbers.

1:28
Comment From Yalich
do catchers hit better against their former batterymates? seems like they might know a pitcher’s patterns better than most.

1:28
Eno Sarris: Should look into this, but might be hard.

1:29
Comment From Gareth
Mike trout is second in all of mlb in strikeouts. Of course bj is first. Of course.

1:29
Comment From jocephus
is “i played legion ball” the worst rationale for baseball expertise?

1:30
Eno Sarris: better than mine (I had ten at-bats for JV and a cup of coffee with varsity at Milton Academy).

1:30
Comment From Ye Old Whore
Live UPDATE: Listening to the Reds announcer talk about Joey Votto is the WORST! Why do they (announcer) think they are clever telling a professional hitter it is okay to swing at balls outside the zone so they can get more RBI?

1:30
Eno Sarris: it’s an old baseball thing.

1:30
Comment From Maxamuz
Screw it. I’m starting Bucholz today. Whats the worst that could happen..

1:30
Eno Sarris: It’s a good matchup.

1:31
Comment From ENOrmous
Would you trade Heyward, and replace him with Seth Smith (until Bruce comes back), for Street and Grilli if you need saves?

1:31
Eno Sarris: if you trade for saves, I really like the two closer approach. This is not crazy. .260/22/10 seems replaceable.

1:31
Comment From Cliff
Chat not auto updating today…is it just me?

1:31
Eno Sarris: you are not alone. I am here with you. you are not alone. /willsmithd

1:32
Comment From Joel
I just broke down into a panic attack at the word multicollinearity. Econometricccccs

1:32
Comment From Mark
Fair return for Cueto: Cespedes?

1:32
Eno Sarris: I like it. The Human Cespedes is making more contact, better BA to come.

1:32
Comment From Itchy
Drop either Miller(SS/2B) or Everth(SS) for Kip(2B)?

1:32
Eno Sarris: YESSSSSSSSSS (Miller)

1:32
Comment From Dr. Met
12:55

1:33
Eno Sarris: Crap and my computer is almost done.

1:33
Comment From Daniel
I can’t put a finger on Tyson Ross. His slider is amazing and he gets a bunch of whiffs. But he seems inconsistent. What’s your take on him?

1:33
Eno Sarris: Bad change-up, worse mechanics. Was watching in a press box and everybody was wincing when he threw.

1:33
Comment From Marty
I’m on a train. You’re in a plane. Technogy is cool.

1:33
Eno Sarris: who’s on a horse

1:34
Comment From Joel
Who do you love more, G-Rich or D-Kuechs?

1:34
Eno Sarris: Richards has all that gas, keuchel the more complete arsenal. Richards.

1:34
Comment From Anal Hershiser
Everth can hit 10 homers? He has 18 in his professional career

1:34
Eno Sarris: Yeesh, Biffed that one without looking. round it down to two then.

1:35
Comment From Gareth
Baseball and cricket share something. In mlb, you have a Canadian team (Toronto) yet everyone sees mlb baseball as an American sport. In the English cricket league you have one team (Glamorgan) from wales yet everyone thinks cricket in the uk is just England

1:35
Comment From Gabe
At what point do I stop waiting for guys with a high E-F, like Bartolo Colon? Is there more hope for some of them (those with lower FIPs, I guess)?

1:35
Eno Sarris: Also, look at fastball velocity. HR/BIP goes up with velocity down.

1:35
Comment From S in London
Long-term, still Lindor > Mookie, right? RIGHT?

1:35
Eno Sarris: not sure in fantasy. Lindor better real-life game maybe.

1:36
Comment From Brad
Has this for a doubleheader. Reading Eno’s chat and Eno’s saves and steals. Thursdays rock.

1:36
Eno Sarris: That might be my last S&S!

1:36
Comment From Eric Hosmer & Anthony Rizzo
WE R FRENZ. R WE THE BEST !BMEN 2 HAVE IN DYNAZY LEEG?!

1:36
Comment From Alex
blanks to a’s is done. what do you think?

1:36
Eno Sarris: Righty bat, they could use him, but wrong-side platoon means eh. Plus injuries.

1:37
Comment From mad tom ipa
BoneShaker IPA is the best! Should i trade krod for Kluber or Salazar just lost Fernandez

1:37
Eno Sarris: Gareth, please stop. Did I not answer this? I would trade K-Rod for a starter because I would trade almost any reliever for a starter.

1:37
Comment From Jamie
Mookie just hit a homer. This is getting insane

1:37
Comment From Leif Erikson
Do you think Pace may have effect on pitcher injuries? Harder you throw + faster you work = more ligament stress?

1:38
Eno Sarris: Buehrle fastest pitcher (i know i know).

1:38
Comment From Jason
Dogfish Head x Dan The Automator, Positive Contact… You try it?

1:38
Eno Sarris: Is okay, not rushing to get again.

1:38
Comment From Owen
Who pays Dr. Andrews? The Marlins? Jose? Insurance? Pro Bono? (lol)

1:38
Eno Sarris: Team I believe, as part of team health plan.

1:39
Comment From Gareth
Dallas kuechel. Ha! Hes just another schmuck.

1:39
Eno Sarris: Changed his curve to a slider, gets 21% whiffs (15% is average), has changeup with plus whiffs, sinker gets 60% gbs, has everything he needs to succeed now that he turfed the bad curve.

1:39
Comment From LouSeal
Neftali Feliz hit 96mph. is he coming back? rotation or pen?

1:40
Eno Sarris: That’s good news. He could be relevant this year! in the pen.

1:40
Comment From jocephus
Do you know you have more nerve endings in your gut than you have in your head? You can look it up. I know some of you are going to say “I did look it up, and that’s not true.” That’s ’cause you looked it up in a book.

Next time, look it up in your gut. I did. My gut tells me that’s how our nervous system works.

1:40
Comment From Gareth
Maxamuz and juan Pierre’s moustache are the curly and moe to your Larry.

1:41
Eno Sarris: Guess Gareth is mad that I didn’t answer his eight million repeated questions in the queue.

1:41
Comment From Jon
you’re on a plane????

1:41
Eno Sarris: And my battery is dead. Gotta go!!



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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


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