Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/13/13

8:47
Eno Sarris: I’ll be here in 13!
9:02
Eno Sarris: Ok be nice to me today. I had two free hot dogs in the Oakland press box Tuesday and my stomach has been a nuclear wasteland since.
9:02
Comment From Culle
Still free.
9:02
Eno Sarris: I’m paying a price.
9:02
Eno Sarris: The lyrics of the day is from one of my favorite reggae artists, but the words are strange out of context:

Come, little one and let me do what I can do for you
And you and you alone
Come, little one, wo-oo-oo
Let me do what I can do for you and you alone, woo-oo-oo

9:02
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
Free Eno’s Stomach!

9:03
Eno Sarris: Something. Something Eno’s Stomach. Because I don’t want this.
9:03
Comment From Barry
Looks like Gallardo was consistently hitting 93 mph in his last start…you buying a possible turnaround to SP 2-3 status, or need to see more (not vs. MIA)?
9:04
Eno Sarris: Well velo is good but the problem is that he’s moved from the 4-seamer to the 2-seamer and that’s been bad for his K% and not good enough for his GB% to make it make sense. fantasy #3? maybe.
9:04
Comment From RotoLando
What do you think of this Kluber kid? Been pretty useful for fantasy.
9:04
Eno Sarris: Looks like Cwik will break him down Monday, but I like him some. He’s had homeritis and BABIPitty over much of his career, and from my twitter inquiries, the idea is that the cutter gets flat sometimes.
9:04
Comment From juan pierres mustache
doesn’t matter, had hot dog
9:04
Eno Sarris: right now? never want another.
9:05
Comment From Jordan
Thoughts on Parker vs Yankees today?
9:05
Eno Sarris: I started him in my leagues where I need innings or it’s a deep league. If it was shallow or I was over pace? Nah.
9:05
Comment From Guest
When is it Carter Capps time?
9:05
Eno Sarris: Very soon, it’s looking like.
9:05
Comment From Dan
Thoughts on Steve Staude’s post yesterday about forecasting strikeout rates?
9:06
Eno Sarris: Wrote them up on Getting Blanked today. I think it could be HUGE for daily fantasy, and of course for managers and their in-game strategy.
9:06
Comment From Froglegs Jackson
Just got offered Willingham for Nava in a 7×7 (OBP + total bases are extra cats) dynasty. Should I accept?
9:06
Eno Sarris: I would. I love Compliant Pork, as Jason Woj calls him, in OBP leagues.
9:06
Comment From Kevin
Logan Morrison or Peter Bourjos ROS. OBP league. No particular need for speed or power, frankly need both.
9:06
Eno Sarris: Kinda think Bourjos’ hammy problems will affect his running game. Morrison.
9:07
Comment From juan pierres mustache
is it difficult to run a website when consuming the subject matter of said website causes one to be less able to run a website?
9:07
Eno Sarris: No idea what you’re talking about.
9:07
Comment From Chicago Mark
Hello Eno, How do I look up old articles about players? There was an article written about Dom Brown and his home run distances. How do I find it?
9:07
Eno Sarris: If you put Dom Brown in the search box, there’s a link at the bottom of the pop-up results to ‘more blog results’ or the like.
9:07
Comment From D
In general, do you like having a DL or prospect spot in Dynasty leagues?
9:07
Eno Sarris: I always want more roster spots.
9:07
Comment From Guest
Desperate for catcher in AL only. Flowers, Norris, Avila or Iannetta?
9:08
Eno Sarris: Avila. Or Flowers. But Avila.
9:08
Comment From jon
Reyes stopgap in 10-team w/ OPS: Aybar, Lowrie, Cozart or Franklin?
9:08
Eno Sarris: Reyes was running in SF, so it’s short term. Might as well try out Franklin.
9:08
Comment From Ivan
If I were to trade machado what would be a good return? Or am I crazy for doing so
9:08
Eno Sarris: Can’t tell you who you’d get. Not crazy to trade him, his pop ups suggest he’s more of a .280 hitter.
9:08
Comment From Kevin
Eno are you chatting from the toilet? Be honest.
9:09
Eno Sarris: This was posted before I told you what was going on, so Kevin must follow me on twitter, where the saga of the HOT DOGS THE DAMN HOT DOGS has been drawn out in detail.
9:09
Comment From Zack Wheeler
What are you expecting from me once I make it to Queens?
9:10
Eno Sarris: I think more BB trouble than with Harvey, fewer Ks, but useful in most leagues. But not sure. Don’t look to hard at his Vegas numbers, that’s one of the worst parks in the minors.
9:10
Comment From Will
chances that Springer and Singleton are called up sometime this year?
9:10
Eno Sarris: Good, considering how that team has been cycling through players. Might only be September.
9:10
Comment From wes
More likely to keep it up all season? Colon, his division and his ballpark or Porcello, his curve and his terribly defense?
9:11
Eno Sarris: I think Colon won’t last for different reasons… He hit 95 on Tuesday… read between the dots.
9:11
Comment From Tacoby Bellsbury
What to make of Alex Gordon? Rankings say top 20ish OF, but stats and projections point to him being nothing special. Not much change in batted ball profile … more grounders, I guess. But looks like we’ve bought 2011 as a breakout when it may well be a career year.
9:11
Eno Sarris: Fewer steals means he’s more like Nick Markakis every day.
9:11
Comment From JAL
Hi Eno, thanks for the chat. Can you recommend streaming Marcum or E. Jax tomorrow, or should I pass? Thanks!
9:12
Eno Sarris: E Jax against that Mets lineup seems like a decent bet.
9:12
Comment From Jody
Is Mike Morse droppable in 10-team league w/ OPS? waiting forever for him to turn it around
9:12
Eno Sarris: he’s probably not a ten-teamer even if he gets it right, not now, not in that park.
9:12
Comment From JEB
I imagine you’re going to get a lot of beergraphs questions so I’ll just ask one, this one time. Firstly I love the site and content, keep up the good work. My one peeve, its hard to read, the font looks like its something my grandma would want, and I have to keep scrolling. Any chances you might make it a bit smaller?
9:12
Eno Sarris: noted. I have gotten some really positive feed back about the look too, though.
9:13
Comment From JEB
When do the Tigers finally pony up and sign a REAL closer?
9:13
Eno Sarris: Like Brian Wilson?
9:13
Comment From John
Harvey for McCutchen, OPS / QS league. Who wins?
9:13
Eno Sarris: I’ll take the hitter.
9:13
Comment From Goose
Eno, just offered Mike Stanton for Mark Trumbo in a league where I could keep Trumbo next year, but not Stanton (no keepers from the first four rounds of the draft). Do I take it?
9:13
Eno Sarris: Only reason not to is if you’re in a dogfight for HR and atop the league.
9:14
Comment From Jody
Staff of Strasburg, Bumgarner, Cain, Shields, Colon, Porcello = good enough in 10-team with K/9 and QS instead of wins
9:14
Eno Sarris: The front four are and the back two are replaceable.
9:14
Comment From Eddie
Re: Wieters. Is this it? A third tier fantasy catcher? What happened to “God?”
9:14
Eno Sarris: Projections? MLEs?
9:14
Comment From Jeff
Could use 1, maybe 2 as CI/Util options down the stretch in an OPS league: Mitch Moreland / Lance Berkman / Adam Lind rest of season?
9:15
Eno Sarris: I’m fairly bullish on Lind… Berkman too. Lind playing more, younger. Definitely Moreland… maybe Lind. The new walk rate changes things a bit, and the swing changes behind it have ‘stabilized.’
9:15
Comment From JEB
Does Harvey get lit up against the Cards tonight? I feel like his back problem is going to flare up and hes going to do terrible, followed by a DL stint.
9:15
Eno Sarris: These sorts of things are why I take the hitter.
9:15
Comment From Bob
I am strugg with Relief in a holds/saves league. CPerez Betancourt Pestano Brothers Rosenthall Melacon. Any advice on how to grab as potential closer?
9:16
Eno Sarris: You’ve already got it figured out. Look for gas and strikeouts behind a guy that doesn’t have gas and strikeouts.
9:16
Comment From Gus
Is Myers a must-stash even in 10-team? OPS counts
9:16
Eno Sarris: Not if BA counts too.
9:16
Comment From Jordan
I’m liking BeerGraphs so far. Well done. A couple thoughts though. First, can you hyperlink the beer names on the Top 100 to the untappd page for the beer or some other profile page for the beer? Second, I strongly support the idea of a regional BAR. After a quick scan of leader board, I have access to a grand total of 1 of the beers. This saddens me. A regional leader board would be helpful as well.
9:17
Eno Sarris: The leaderboards should be sortable, with more information, shortly. And I’m working on a regional replacement level. I do want to link beer names somewhere. We’ll look into this.
9:18
Comment From KB
Remember about 6 weeks ago when Anthony Rizzo wasn’t terrible? Ahh,those were the days. What’s the deal?
9:18
Eno Sarris: I don’t see nothing wrong with a little Anthony Rizzo.
9:18
Comment From centerfielde ballhawk
Eno, nervous about Tom Wilhemsen. Has the league figured him out?
9:18
Eno Sarris: Something’s happening. Still getting whiffs, but the K rate is waay low. Capps is definitely interesting.
9:18
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Erasmo Ramirez upside?
9:20
Eno Sarris: I think the projection systems are missing something here. Great whiff rate, great changeup, good control, good home park. Velo ain’t bad either. Maybe 3.5ish with a good whip and 7+k/9? Realistically, a guy you could start at home.
9:20
Comment From lowercase jeff
how do i handle dickey? there seems to be no rhyme or reason to when he has good and bad starts.
9:20
Eno Sarris: Read my interview with him today? I think it means he’s hurt. I would ‘unofficially DL’ him, put him on your bench for a while.
9:20
Comment From tylersnotes
dynasty philosophy question: assuming your team is already in OK shape for this year, would you rather have a contribute-now mid ceiling guy (i.e. Justin Grimm) or a high-ceiling prospect (i.e. Jonathan Gray) with a pick in the first round of a minors reserve draft?
9:21
Eno Sarris: Gray. If it’s mostly for a bench slot, put upside on your bench. You could turn him into something better than Grimm from a non-contender the day after the draft.
9:21
Comment From Scott
Is Evan Gattis the 2014 opening day starter at catcher for ATL? Or is defense too much of a concern?
9:21
Eno Sarris: It kinda looks like they trust him. Not a lock, but I like it.
9:21
Comment From Maxamuz

Lucas Duda Weekly Update: 1 HR 2 RBI .214/.353…He seems to be getting over his quad injury and will be heating up for the summertime and the livings easy. #ShaveJuanPierresMustacheOff

9:22
Comment From lowercase jeff
cashner seems to have velocity missing on all of his pitches. do you think this is a matter of him needing to build up strength or does he maybe not have what it takes to stick as a starter?
9:22
Eno Sarris: Doing what it takes to stick. I also think the changes in his pitches is about staying healthy. Doesn’t have the upside he used to, but maybe he can stick all year.
9:22
Comment From Culle
Is it time to panic yet? Just, generally?
9:22
Eno Sarris: I’ve been feeling fairly panic-y in general.
9:23
Comment From Razor
Montel Jordan- This is How We Do It. Has Adam Dunn readjusted back to his 2012 self?
9:23
Eno Sarris: Um, gross lyrics of the day guess, but funny. Certainly looks like it. The thing about swing changes stabilizing is that players can still say, oh, wait, this wasn’t working, and change again.
9:24
Comment From Carlos Gomez
I’m leading the league in WAR. Does that make me a General?
9:24
Comment From Tacoby Bellsbury
Blind guess on lyrics … ummm … Linda Ronstadt?
9:24
Comment From Bob Loblaw
Burning Spear/Marcus Garvey!
9:25
Eno Sarris: Boom, roasted, interluded.
9:25
Comment From Jordan
Are you hoping that breweries will start sending you free beer to review on BeerGraphs? Was that your evil plan all along?
9:25
Eno Sarris: That wasn’t NOT my plan.
9:25
Comment From Rick Porcello
So… am I finally for real?
9:25
Eno Sarris: For real as a back-end fantasy option? Maybe. I wouldn’t stick through him through too many rough starts though.
9:25
Comment From MX
Strasburg an ace or living in ACE ROS?
9:25
Eno Sarris: Ace for me.
9:25
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
Worried about Gerrit Cole’s “lack of strikeouts?” With his type of high octane stuff, the k’s will come… right?
9:26
Eno Sarris: Long term, you have to think he’ll figure out the sequencing to get more Ks, since he checks all the boxes.
9:26
Comment From Stuck in the Mud
How long do you wait while your speed is slumping? My SB guys (Reyes, Kinsler, Melky, Aoki, DeAza, Pagan) have all simultaneously hit the skids and I’m really thinking about blowing it all up.
9:26
Eno Sarris: Speed is down everywhere. At least Reyes should help. I think it’s a decent time to sell Melky. Maybe with DeAza for a more legitimate SB threat?
9:27
Comment From Zach
Best outfielder to sell: Puig, Stanton, Gomez, Chris Davis?
9:27
Eno Sarris: Puig. Hype pretty out of control right now. Adjustment probably coming.
9:27
Comment From Guest
has jon niese shown enough for me to start him at home at Metco without fear? Is he healthy again?
9:27
Eno Sarris: I’m a bit nervous about him. Never thought his stuff was top echelon. I’d still spot him.
9:27
Comment From Jordan
Go away other Jordan
9:28
Eno Sarris: No more feuds!
9:28
Comment From Maxamuz
The other day was take your daughter to work day. The Cubs had a fun time, played a little scrimmage against their daughters.

Unfortunately they lost, 15-3.

9:28
Comment From tylersnotes
i had a hot dog in january that messed me up for 2 months. this is what getting old is, eno. now you know how r.a. dickey feels
9:29
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
are you questioning the BioGenesis of Colon’s velocity?
9:29
Eno Sarris: Interlude! took a while.
9:29
Comment From Holy Cow
The M’s have Ackley playing the OF in AAA and he is hitting the tar out of the ball. Do you think he’ll be called up by the Allstar game?
9:29
Eno Sarris: that team will do whatever it takes.
9:30
Eno Sarris: I mean, their management will do whatever it takes to show that they’ve developed some interesting players.
9:30
Comment From Casey
Someone in my 16 team league dropped M. Montero, drop JPA for him?
9:30
Eno Sarris: I would yes.
9:30
Comment From Jordan
Nobody wants the details from your saga involving toilets and hot dogs and stomachs resembling nuclear wastlands.
9:30
Eno Sarris: Wait, I take it back. I like the other Jordan better.
9:30
Comment From John
Personally feel like the Wheeler hype is just coattail riding from Harvey…most project Cole to be the better rookie starter this year. Do you agree?
9:31
Eno Sarris: That’s been the long-term view, but Cole took a step back this year (statistically) without the same kind of excuse as Wheeler (park).
9:31
Comment From Chris
should trade wright for machado?
9:31
Eno Sarris: No I wouldn’t do that.
9:31
Comment From Rated Rookie
Think Archer stays with the big league club? What’s his ceiling?
9:32
Eno Sarris: I’m a little worried about his third pitch. The changeup is important to a fasball/slider guy, and I’ve seen some okay ones, and some bad ones. We have to see what happens with Price of course, but Archer’s upside is complicated by that pitch.
9:32
Comment From Joe
What’s with Belt’s reverse splits (not that he’s horribad vs. RHP or anything)? Still SSS or can he be expected to keep it up?
9:32
Eno Sarris: Reverse platoon splits supposedly take the longest to stabilize, like over 1000 PAs.
9:32
Comment From Yan
Can Adam Jones keep up his good numbers with the lack of BBs?
9:33
Eno Sarris: BBs not correlated with batting average in any way, actually. It’s the ‘real’ baseball people that want BBs.
9:33
Comment From Dolemite
12 team 5×5 roto Segura for Strasburg and Fowler… who wins that trade…. is it close?
9:33
Eno Sarris: Depends a lot on who the Segura owner is going to slot into SS. Problem is, I only want Fowler in OBP leagues really. And yes, I think it’s close.
9:34
Comment From John
Take on Dodgers Dbacks brawl? Dodgers have been throwing at the DBacks all year, and Kennedy throws an offspeed pitch (albeit high) at Greinke. Does Mattingly really have a right to be that pissed off? A) his pitchers are constantly hitting Dbacks and B) HE SENT GREINKE OUT TO HIT!
9:34
Eno Sarris: I wish people wouldn’t throw at other people?
9:34
Comment From Andrew
League requires CF, do I trade Matt Carpenter and DeJesus for Choo, if I want to free Rendon? OBP/points league.
9:34
Eno Sarris: Are you playing DJ? Then maybe. If not, Rendon is not someone you need to make trades to get into the lineup.
9:35
Comment From The Great Childish Bambino
Hi Eno, so I accepted a trade yesterday. His Justin Verlander for my Bryce Harper and Mike Minor. I picked up Yasiel Puig a week and a half ago and I think he’ll be what I projected Harper to be. Minor’s good, but he’s no Verlander, who I think will heat up. My team is in 2nd out of 14 and his is 12th. What do you think of the deal? This now gives me Darvish, Verlander, Samardzija, Iwakuma, Colon, Cashner, Liriano for my SPs
9:35
Eno Sarris: Relying a bit much on a guy with very little MLB track record. An no MLB SBs.
9:35
Comment From Bob
How you feeling about Frasico Liriano? Time to cut bait?
9:36
Eno Sarris: I love Liriano! Perfect situation for him.
9:36
Comment From eyy
Hey you need data analyst types for beergraphs or are you all set on that front (i.e. should I email you about it)? Also, ballast point made its way to chicago and is as delicious as you have said.
9:36
Eno Sarris: Yes, more data analysts always welcome. There’s an email at the bottom of my intro post.
9:36
Comment From TJ
T/F: Ellbury hits above .280, scores more than 85 runs, AND steals more than 40 bases by season’s end (I’m trying to trade Puig for him)
9:36
Eno Sarris: True
9:36
Comment From Ben
What do you think the odds are that Ike is in Vegas for the rest of the season?
9:37
Eno Sarris: very low. His numbers will look great. People will wonder.
9:37
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
I can’t tell you how happy I was to see Hoponius Union make the Beergraphs top 25….Jack’s Abby is making incredible beers. I like the Cascadian Schwarzbier even better.
9:37
Comment From Luded
The art of looking into Bartolo’s success = Colonoscopy
9:37
Comment From Spence
Who is Mike Stanton?
9:37
Eno Sarris: This interlude was sponsored by a decent reliever that pitched for the Braves and Yankees in the late nineties.
9:38
Comment From juan pierres mustache
Is R.A. Dickey as great to talk to as he seems? Far as I can tell he’s one of the coolest guys in ball
9:38
Eno Sarris: I think so. He was the first player to spot me, say hi, and make himself available to talk when he saw me. Was talking to another writer who called him an ‘operator’ though. Maybe I’m gullible. It almost doesn’t matter, because it’s fun to talk to him.
9:39
Comment From Isaac
What is Gattis’ keeper value compared to guys like Zunino or D’Arnaud?
9:39
Eno Sarris: Gotta be lesser. The age thing matters here. Though it does seem like Gattis’ game is roto-suited, and that he’s proven himself at MLB level.
9:39
Comment From Tyler
Time to put a fork in Valverde (I bet he tastes of smoked pork and syrup)? My league counts saves + holds so his value isn’t really that great…figured I’d take a flier b/c the Tigers are going to win so much, but can I drop him w/o regret?
9:39
Eno Sarris: Yeah I think he looks much worse than his numbers.
9:40
Comment From Ben
Is there a stat that shows the percentage of runners in scoring position and runners in general that a player leaves on base? I feel that a stat like that would be more helpful than just an RBI total and we could see exactly how much of driving in runs in random opportunity and how much is skill
9:40
Eno Sarris: I think there is a site that tracks RBI% or the like. Don’t think we do. For the most part, we ignore RBI. You can find out that skill by looking at his ‘clutch’ numbers, his contact rate, and his team’s offensive strength.
9:41
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
Keep hearing about this Sabermetrics approach that the Royals have been using with their new lineup. Besides moving Salvador Perez to the three hole, what exactly have they done?
9:41
Eno Sarris: Made a PR move.
9:41
Comment From hoohah
Did you have a beer with the hot dogs? If not, that’s your problem. You need to balance out the nitrates with hops. Trust me, I’m a scientist.
9:42
Eno Sarris: dangit. the one time..
9:42
Comment From Culle
Taijuan Walker worth holding onto in a re-draft?
9:42
Eno Sarris: Feels like it’s all hands on deck, and Bonderman is a wonky arm to depend upon. Wait for a few Bondy stinkers, see if Walker’s name comes up. Hultzen might be more ready once he’s healthy, though.
9:42
Comment From John
Why all the talk of Ethier being a fit for the Mets. He is terrible and his contract is an albatross. If Sandy does that, he is officially the worst GM in baseball, it doesn’t matter if LA picks up the whole tab.
9:43
Eno Sarris: Hey I think the money that the Dodgers pick up is very important. Ethier has his flaws, but he’s a consistent 2-3 win player, and how many guys on the Mets can you say that about?
9:43
Comment From Eric
After reading Skorupa’s piece on Sano, is he worth stashing in a 10 team mix – 10 keepers since I’m already out of contention this year?
9:44
Eno Sarris: Definitely fits the high upside mantra. He could see some coffee in September, and force the team to discuss his role in 2014, which is what you’re looking for.
9:44
Comment From Lance
What’s your philosophy on trading hot prospects in keeper leagues? Fantasy experts are screaming to sell high on Puig, but I’d rather enjoy owning him for 5 years at good value than deal him to slightly increase my chances of winning this season. Thoughts?
9:45
Eno Sarris: Most of my ‘sell Puig’ comments are for redrafts. In keeper leagues, man, you found that guy, he’s killing it, and if he keeps killing it, isn’t that why you’re in a dynasty league?
9:45
Comment From Maxamuz
THERE IS NOT ENOUGH LUCAS DUDA IN THIS CHAT ENO!
9:45
Eno Sarris: Depends on whom you ask.
9:45
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
I would like to thank Bill Nye the Science Guy for taking care of my classroom instruction today… and letting me partake in some enjoyable chattage.
9:45
Eno Sarris: We got a classroom update!
9:46
Comment From Andrew
I used to go to this dim sum place every Sunday morning, and then this guy Barack Obama decided to go there and ruin everything, as post his visit the lines became prohibitively long. That’s how I feel about you and your chats now that you’re so popular, Eno.
9:46
Eno Sarris: I’m no POTUS.
9:46
Comment From Chuck
You wrote about the Marlins outfield but didn’t make a final speculation on whether Juan Pierre will keep his full time job there all year or will be starting full time someone else. Thoughts?
9:46
Eno Sarris: My speculation is: he’ll be traded.
9:46
Comment From Nick O
Thoughts on Trumer Pils? Sometimes simpler = better.
9:47
Eno Sarris: I’ll reach for it in a supermarket here in Cali, for sure. It’s utterly decent.
9:47
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Jurickson Profar’s favorite TV show was Mr. Bean….vital info for your everyday lives
9:47
Comment From Stuck in the Mud
Ejax should not be streamed ever until his ERA comes within 2 runs of his FIP. Damn that guy.
9:47
Comment From Jordan

Bill Cosby has a present for you…

9:48
Eno Sarris: and, on queue, my stomach gurgled very very loudly.
9:48
Comment From Holy Cow
I benched Straily yesterday against the Yanks and he goes out and wins. Go figure.
9:49
Eno Sarris: I like Straily’s secondary stuff, but worry about his fastball. Can’t wait to talk to him. Apparently he tried all sorts of different changeup grips before he found the one he liked. That convo will be epic, I hope. As for fantasy, with the iffy FB, I’ll sit him on the road in HR ballparks.
9:49
Comment From Michael
Scoresheet league, which side do you take: Tim Hudson and Carlos Quentin OR Cole Hamels and Logan Forsythe
9:49
Eno Sarris: Hamels side.
9:50
Comment From zack
Has matt Cain finished paying the price to the DIPS gods?
9:50
Eno Sarris: The xFIP gods? We’ll see tonight, but I bet tonight’s game will be a nice one.
9:51
Comment From Andrew
Nick Franklin fo real? OBP league.
9:51
Eno Sarris: The average is a little BABIPpy, but I’ll take the Steamer RoS rates over ZiPs.
9:51
Comment From juan pierres mustache
i just want to say that i’m really glad razor is sticking to his Montel Jordan guessing plan
9:52
Eno Sarris: Every song, in his voice and persona, becomes funny. But today’s was fairly epic.
9:52
Comment From Maxamuz
Eno I want your straight gut (since its not feeling well I have a odd trust of it today) on who to start today. 1st one to come to mind…JAMES LONEY OR RIZZO!?
9:52
Eno Sarris: Um. Dude.
9:52
Comment From Cochise
You gotta try some of the Fort george brews from astoria oregon the vortex ipa will make top 100 for sure
9:52
Eno Sarris: We get our numbers from Untappd, so y’all have to go out and drink it and rate it.
9:52
Comment From Richard
Your best guess: Pineda will be in the rotation by ___ and be a top ___ pitcher from then on.
9:53
Eno Sarris: Mid July, 50.
9:53
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
I so would have gotten those lyrics like 10 years ago
9:53
Eno Sarris: No one remembers, old Marcus Garvey.
9:53
Comment From Maxamuz
Bob Loblaw, if you stick around for these chats weekly you will be my new Assistant to the Assistant Regional Manager.
9:53
Comment From David
re: Beergraphs and regional BAR. Would a regional BAR mean that easter IPAs, for example, would be on a different scale from those available in California? Or would you try to find beers from each region that rate similarly and lump them together for your baseline?
9:54
Eno Sarris: I’d just try to find a baseline/ replacement level that was set regionally.
9:54
Comment From LarryA
Maybe you were right all along about Masterton
9:54
Eno Sarris: Well nothing changed in his pitching mix or velo, so it’s hard to say that he was a changed man.
9:54
Comment From Cory
Eno, if you could get Shields plus for Ryan Bruan in a keeper league where you can’t keep Braun past this year, whould you do it?
9:55
Eno Sarris: If the plus gives me some power or speed back in the OF, and I wasn’t in the top two, yes. Shields is a bit old though. Could look for a younger mix of players.
9:55
Comment From Pat
Eno, is time to start buying into Lyles – really only one bad start all year – 22 years old, increased velocity – is he tkaing the next step?
9:56
Eno Sarris: I wish there was a better whiff rate attached to that line. But with that ground ball rate, he could be back-end fantasy useful in all but the shallowest.
9:56
Comment From Spence
If you caught, say, Barry Bonds’ record breaking HR ball, and you saw Randy Jackson on the way out of the stadium, would you have him sign it?
9:56
Eno Sarris: ….
9:56
Comment From David
Aoki’s getting caught an awful lot this year. He may have lost a step and not really be a speed guy anymore …
9:57
Eno Sarris: He’s 31 and he’s been caught more than he’s been successful. This could be a true statement. No ‘working through a hammy issue’ this year or anything? No excuses?
9:57
Comment From taylor
Figaro…Figaro…Figaro. What to make of him?
9:58
Eno Sarris: Given his whiff rate, I’ll take the under on Steamers 8k/9 the rest of the way, but 95mph! With good control! And grounders! I need to watch a start.
9:59
Comment From John
i had a sonic chicago dog last night, im fine
9:59
Eno Sarris: You paid for it. You get what you pay for.
9:59
Comment From P is for Profar
Where do you see Profar finally settling in, bit teamwise and positionwise?
9:59
Eno Sarris: Second base? I could see the team talking about keeping Kinsler heatlhy in the OF or something. Especially if Cruz gets Biogenisis/d.
10:00
Comment From Andrew
Which Jordan is the one who always picks fights with Cameron in his chats? Is that Jordan with the class updates?
10:00
Eno Sarris: I’m going to say the Jordan that picks fights is the one that doesn’t care about my intestinal stress. The class update Jordan has always been all class, especially when making fun of his professor while in class.
10:01
Comment From Bob
WHy no love for Rendon. Kid was the “best hitter in that draft” and great in college. Fluke injuries, now he’s playing 2b. Why could he not be a top 5 guy at position next year? Same as Kipnis in the sense that, while diff skillsets, provide way above average stats.
10:02
Eno Sarris: I don’t think he has the same speed. In OBP leagues, he might push to the top half of your league, but in BA leagues, I’m unsure about his batting average. What’s his ISO going to be. His biggest sample at one level is 152 PAs, There’s just so little we know statistically.
10:02
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
folks need to stop hoarding their ludes
10:02
Eno Sarris: I know right.
10:03
Comment From person hscer
I just started working Kansas City into my start-against rotation in FGTG for SP with Chicago (AL), Miami (of course), and Seattle. How long ago should I have done that? And by the way, for some reason Houston worries me, and not just at home.
10:03
Eno Sarris: Well Houston has the three true outcome thing that can burn an iffy starter with homeritis I guess. KC is one of the three best teams in not striking out! They don’t really do anything else well though.
10:03
Comment From Guest
Cashner’s upside may be down, but he still looks like a 10-teamer SP, right? With that home park? Especially QS leagues.
10:04
Eno Sarris: I don’t know why he’s not owned more. I’d own him there. But his ownership levels in Yahoo suggest most disagree.
10:04
Comment From Guest
any thoughts on the upcoming Beachy decision for the Braves?
10:04
Eno Sarris: I now think Teheran goes down. They have an innings cap excuse, and they’ll need him later anyway.
10:04
Comment From Mikey
Machado looking like .290/15-20/100r/80rbi/10sb at 20. That’s elite. Next year – .290/20/100/100/10 even more. what’s his upside long term.
10:05
Eno Sarris: Not giving him that .290 until he stops hitting 15% IFFB. Sort the leaderboards for that stat among hitters. .. wait, I’ll do it: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=2&season=2013&month=0&season1=2013&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=8,d

There’s not a .290 hitter on that first page, is there?

10:06
Eno Sarris: Maybe Scutaro and Pedroia with their .350ish BABIPs.
10:06
Comment From Cochise
Lackey got roughed up will he ok ros?
10:06
Eno Sarris: Final mixed league pitcher okay.
10:06
Comment From Brewski
Rickie Weeks should be set out to pasture….right?
10:06
Eno Sarris: nah, he’s just a strikeout guy with bad batting averages.
10:07
Comment From DL15
Hi Enos, love your stuff. Was offered Allen Craig for my Puig. There is so much variance on Craig’s value so I wanted to get your thoughts on Allen Craig ROS. Thx
10:08
Eno Sarris: .280/20/90-100? I think I’d actually stay in the Puig lotto ticket for that, but the line is right around there. Mostly because we haven’t seen Puig steal a base.
10:08
Comment From Rags
Mets tickets for fathers day are like $35+ for nosebleed seats. Instead of a full stadium of people buying concessions, it’s going to be half empty. I have a sad.
10:08
Comment From atoms
Someone mentioned Carson moving to Paris in yesterday’s Dave Cameron chat, and he joked that Carson was starting BaguetteGraphs. That got me thinking that WineGraphs would be a great companion to BeerGraphs, but you would need to find an Oeno Sarris for that one.
10:08
Comment From The other Jordan
It’s lunchtime here on the East Coast. Can we please avoid posts regarding hot dogs, Colon, and movement?
10:08
Eno Sarris: Interluded.
10:08
Comment From Christian
Is it time to see what I can get for CJ Wilson?
10:09
Eno Sarris: yeah I don’t think he’s much better than this. Just traded Arenado and Wilson for J Weaver (who I don’t love) in a 12-teamer dynasty where I have Pablo and Wright and a full roster.
10:10
Comment From Mike
Do I drop Stralin Castro for Didi in a shallow points league?
10:10
Eno Sarris: No
10:10
Comment From Culle
Is Hafner droppable in 10 team AL-Only?
10:10
Eno Sarris: No
10:10
Comment From Trevor El Dragon
Kemp and Tommy Hunter for Evan Gattis…vetoable?
10:10
Eno Sarris: No
10:10
Comment From Jordan
If you want to be bored, sit through 9 hours of lecture on real property with a lecturer that keeps making references to 80s and 90s music and unfortunately keeps singing songs as well. Cuz you know, when you hear Bobby Brown’s “My Prerogatvie,” you just naturally think of fee simple subject to condition subsequent, duh.
10:11
Comment From Froglegs Jackson
Any concern about Garza? His velo is down a little bit.
10:11
Eno Sarris: Sure. He’s coming back from injury. And might be headed to the AL.
10:11
Comment From Pierre Juan Imports
Pick 2 for the ROS: Lowrie, Simmons, Profar, Walker. Thanks Enzo!
10:12
Eno Sarris: That’s a new one. I’ll go with the old dudes: Walker and Lowrie. Assuming redraft.
10:13
Comment From person hscer
“This interlude was sponsored by a decent reliever that pitched for the Braves and Yankees in the late nineties,” who was also one of many such pitchers assassinated by Joe Torre.
10:13
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Let us all not forget Mike Stanton’s key role on the ’97 Marlins
10:13
Comment From Holy Cow
I thought Mike Stanton was a catcher for the Yanks in the late nineties
10:13
Comment From Bryan
Not just a pitcher in the late 90’s. Stanton was pitching with the Reds in 2007
10:13
Eno Sarris: I thought so. Was going to say early aughts, too. Late aughts!
10:13
Comment From Bryan
Who would replace Valverde as closer?
10:14
Eno Sarris: Other? Not Benoit. Not Bruce. Not Al. No idea if B Wilson is healthy. Trade? K-Rod?
10:14
Comment From A hopeful fan
Would you sell high on Lowrie? Maybe I’m alone, but I think his success is legitimate
10:14
Eno Sarris: Problem is not the success, it’s the injuries from the past.
10:14
Comment From jesse
RE: Valverde, Leyland will keep giving him save chances won’t he? I mean it leyland and stats be damned Valverde is a closer
10:14
Eno Sarris: Not if the homers keep flying and the ERA balloons and then he blows saves and then he’s not a closer any more.
10:15
Comment From Jordan
Sounds like the Royals have set up Sabermetrics to take the fall for them when they end up sucking.
10:15
Eno Sarris: “Not our fault.”
10:15
Comment From Maxamuz
What would a Beer Analyst do for BeerGraphs precisely? I’m pretty good at drinking beer and trying a plethora of new varieties.
10:15
Eno Sarris: Check out the site! We have a data set. But there’s room for others.
10:15
Comment From Oil Can Boyd
Please say something about Mike Greenwell.
10:15
Eno Sarris: Something? Lame, I know.
10:15
Comment From Tats
ENO are you a tattoo guy or no?
10:16
Eno Sarris: no but I have a secret earring
10:16
Comment From Sadwick
Is Francoeur still in that lineup? If so the Royals aren’t using a Sabermetrics approach.
10:16
Eno Sarris: zing!
10:16
Comment From ken
is giving up weaver for stanton too much. Also pestano was dropped do I pick him up?
10:16
Eno Sarris: Not too much. Depends on dropper. Perez sounds like he might come back soon, but it is a shoulder. I’m not a doctor, and definitely not HIS doctor.
10:16
Comment From Spence
Sandy Alderson vs. Ruben Amaro, Jr. Go.
10:17
Eno Sarris: Oh come on. You don’t like what Sandy’s done with the rotation? Ruin Tomorrow Junior is too short-sighted. If Sandy is too far-sighted, it probably had to do with the financial situation. He’s going to have 30-40 million to spend this offseason. Lets’ see what kind of position players he gets.
10:18
Comment From Miketron
Is Cespedes injury-proness something to worry about?
10:18
Eno Sarris: Past time on the DL predicts future time on the DL for pitchers. Looks that way for hitters too.
10:18
Comment From Maxamuz
Dan Haren was struggling at the mound, so the catcher walked out to have a talk with him. “I’ve figured out your problem,” he told the Dan. “You always lose control at the same point in every game.” “When is that?” asked Haren “Right after the national anthem.” replied the Catcher. HUZZZZZZZAAAAAH!
10:18
Comment From LarryA
Heyward seems to be rounding into form, but still no steals. Do you think he will get to 10 this year?
10:18
Eno Sarris: 10 I think he can manage.
10:18
Comment From George
Thanks for the chat, Eno! If the Royals decide they’re buyers at the deadline, which 2B or RF might be fits? Assuming Moustakas doesn’t get right, what about third base?
10:18
Eno Sarris: I don’t buy them as buyers.
10:19
Comment From Gesus
I may be remembering wrong, but it seems like you had Jean Segura pretty low in your updated SS rankings. How do you value him right now? Top 5?
10:20
Eno Sarris: I wasn’t sure he could hit .300 or was more than a 30-SB guy true talent. I don’t buy the current power levels either. But, even with regression, I’ll admit he should be higher.
10:20
Comment From LudeBurger
So Dillon Gee?
10:20
Eno Sarris: Terrible fastball that he throws high for strikes. 88 mph at the belt sometimes. Even at the letters, that’s 88. If those don’t turn into homers, he’s good. I’m still nervous.
10:20
Comment From Houzer
Whats it gonna take for the Tigers to get Parnell?
10:21
Eno Sarris: Given the news about money coming, and the pitching on the way, I’m not sure the Mets will sell much.
10:21
Comment From Steve
Harvey pitched over 170 innings last year. He should get to 200 this year, barring any injuries, right?
10:21
Eno Sarris: Yes
10:21
Comment From RatKing
You think Matt Garza is worth keeping in a 12 teamer with QS?
10:21
Eno Sarris: Yes (as in, rostering)
10:22
Comment From Houzer
Profar have any fantasy value as a utility infielder when Kinsler returns?
10:22
Eno Sarris: Sure, I guess, but then you’re waiting for injuries.
10:22
Comment From dave
traded my strasburg, heath bell, and aaron hill for headley and mccutchen. How did I do? Was worried about strasburg and hill injuries and I still have Sale, Weaver, Kimbrel, Grilli, and a solid pitching staff.
10:23
Eno Sarris: you got best hitter, deal is solid on value, if Weaver is your #2 I’m a bit nervous, but if you have a few #2s, you’re good, and Kimbrel actually turns Weaver into a good #2 anyway.
10:24
Comment From Ozzy Mandibles
Eno-biwan: Help me. You’re my only hope. In a 6X6 league with Saves and Holds. Was punting on Saves to great results and now Jansen isn’t a “fit”. What sort of value should he have as the newly installed closer? Aim for someone like Marte?
10:24
Eno Sarris: Doubt you could get that much for a newly installed guy. Might have to wait a bit.
10:24
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
I had Firestone Walker’s Parabola double stout last night….very tasty despite the 13% ABV
10:24
Eno Sarris: Parabola is a big deal around here. Bit much for me.
10:24
Comment From Da Bears
Thoughts on Chris Davis, is he who Dennis Green thinks he is…
10:24
Eno Sarris: .275 with great power?
10:24
Comment From the Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Is Yoenis Cespedes kinda the new old Nelson Cruz?
10:24
Eno Sarris: Oooh I like it.
10:25
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
When will Jim Henderson “the Puppeteer” get his job back?
10:25
Eno Sarris: When K-Rod gets his two saves for 300.
10:25
Comment From Happy HarveyDay!
what can i expect from Chris Carpenter this season?
10:26
Eno Sarris: Not much. He wasn’t great if you watched him pitch last time he was pitching. Home park means he could be useful for spots.
10:26
Comment From Matt
Should a rotation of Sale,Samardijza,Fister,Miller,Parker be good? I stream Teheran,Cole,Wheeler(soon),Griffin,Ogando(DL) on the back end.
10:26
Eno Sarris: yes
10:26
Comment From stonepie
sell high on cuddyer or keep him knowing he’ll still get alot of RBI’s despite the obvious regression coming?
10:26
Eno Sarris: sell high. seems likely he’ll get hurt again.
10:26
Comment From Guest
off topic would you rather watch nhl or nba finals?
10:26
Eno Sarris: NBA guy here.
10:27
Comment From Maxamuz

Greatest team ever assembled?

10:27
Comment From Maxamuz
I’m a one man dudalude.
10:27
Comment From Sadwick
It’s all the same Jordan, just multiple personalities.
10:27
Comment From juan pierres mustache
The Jordan with class updates seems like the nice one, so I don’t think it’s him. It’s pretty interesting how one makes sweeping assumptions of someone’s character based on a few lines of text on the internet
10:27
Comment From Danny Knobgobbler
You are aware that raw sewage seeps into the visitors’ clubhouse in Oakland, right??? If they think any less of the press…
10:27
Comment From Jordan
I’ll just leave it a mystery. I live in the shadows of the interwebs.
10:27
Comment From SF Honk
Dudes on ludes should not drive!” -J. Spicoli
10:28
Comment From Not Jordan
My name is Not Jordan and I’m here to say: Sorry work friends, but hot dog farts pollute the hallway.
10:28
Eno Sarris: What a nice long lude.
10:28
Comment From Gary
Everyone but you seems to love machado. are you just being the realist showing what could happen – because otherwise it’s “trout machado harper” as the new order of the MLB future stars.
10:29
Eno Sarris: I’m just looking at his bad batting averages in the minors, and two years of high IFFB. Too statty perhaps. And IFFB could be something he fixes. But it tells me that something about his swing plane is not completely right. Think about Votto, The Perfect Swing, not hitting a popup for complete years. I’m not a hater. I just think he’s a great defensive third baseman, but if we’re talking offensive games, I want Trout and Harper by a landslide.
10:30
Comment From Puig Man
but isn’t teheran going to pitch the same innings in AAA or MLB?
10:30
Eno Sarris: Nah, results don’t matter. Can go four, shut it down.
10:30
Comment From Not Jordan
What can I do, personally, to ensure Mujica’s demise and catapult Rosenthal into the closer role for StL?
10:30
Eno Sarris: Tell everyone to just not swing at the splitter.
10:30
Comment From Jim
Is your name Eno Sarris?
10:30
Eno Sarris: No it’s Enos Arris.
10:31
Comment From Oscar Meyer
Just saying hi from deep within your small intestine.
10:31
Eno Sarris: NOOOOOOO
10:31
Comment From Larry David
Any concern about Stanton’s injury proneness this early into his career? Would you ever consider moving him in a dynasty league because of it?
10:31
Eno Sarris: A little, but you can’t move him now. Wait for breathless Stanton homer GIFs.
10:31
Comment From Jordan
Make the singing stop! Oh God. Now she’s shouting out Jay Z and Beyonce’s baby. This is a year old. I did not now they had a baby. I did not care. I did not want to know. Now you all know.
10:31
Comment From Left Hand Stout
Semi Weekly Reminder of how great I am
10:31
Comment From Victory Prima Pils
Why no love for me in the top 100? (I’m awesome)
10:32
Comment From Guest
Do you foresee some innits limits on Harvey or S. Miller down the stretch? I have both of them and wondering if I should be proactive about it and try to move one of them
10:32
Eno Sarris: No on Harvey, yes on Miller. Not sure how they’ll handle it because they’ll be headed towards the postseason and will want him then too.
10:32
Comment From Guest
Aren’t closers wildly over-rated ? The save is the most meaningless stat in baseball
10:32
Eno Sarris: yeah but fantasy
10:32
Comment From DC
Why not benoit?
10:33
Eno Sarris: Apparently he’s a no-go on consecutive nights.
10:33
Comment From centerfield ballhawk
Utley and Garza for Greinke. Which side do you like?
10:33
Eno Sarris: Greinks, but only if I have a decent 2B backup plan.
10:33
Comment From Guest
should i sell high on c.davis and goldie or ride em both to my 1st championship?
10:33
Eno Sarris: Ride.
10:33
Comment From Big Dave
Eno is not en fuego today. NO spark. I bet even the lightning round is slo-mo today!
10:33
Eno Sarris: Can’t even manage a lightening. You’re right. You should hear the sounds coming from my stomach.
10:33
Comment From El Oso Blanco
secret earring = prince albert. superfreak.
10:34
Eno Sarris: Good thing I have y’all.
10:34
Comment From Kaput

The Lake Elsinore hats are creepy with those eyes above the person's head.

10:34
Comment From Guest
Alderson vs Amaro is a handicap race . alderson is carrying the massive weight of the Wilpons on his back
10:35
Eno Sarris: I mean, I hate long-term deals. What’s the long-term deal that people wanted Sandy to sign?
10:35
Comment From Pat
For Beergraphs – what about a Beers Above (mainstream) Replacement section – going according to distribution? Like, for example, Sierra Nevada is widely avaialble and a much better beer compared to mainy widely-distributed domestics…
10:35
Eno Sarris: Our BAR has a check in component, so the more check ins you get, the more BAR you have.
10:36
Comment From Matt (Steinway)
Am I wrong for being angry that the Mets drafted yet another HS guy? By the time Smith is ready for the Show, Wright will be close to 40. Why not draft a college hitter who might be ready to produce while we still have good, young, cheap pitching? Oh yeah, because Jeffy WIlpon wouldn’t want to pay them all at once, that’s why.
10:36
Eno Sarris: I don’t think they think like that in the draft room. Just, who is most exciting. Sometimes HS guys don’t take forever.
10:36
Comment From Rubby of the Rose
A friend of mine got a beer named after him at Founders. How jealous should I be?
10:36
Eno Sarris: what what what
10:36
Comment From juan pierres mustache
Got a case of Flower Power yesterday, and it’s delicious. That said, whoever does their graphic design is terrible. There are 5 fonts on the label including Comic Sans
10:37
Eno Sarris: agreed on all fronts
10:37
Comment From Sean
Who has the the best chance to be productive this season and who would you want long term out of Castellanos, Yelich, Hamilton, or Singleton?
10:38
Eno Sarris: long term… they’re all flawed. Could actually be Castellanos, he’s the only one with a good combo of power and lowish K%. yelich and singleton could be big whiffers. Hamilton won’t excite with the bat, but could Juan Pierre-plus it up. Fantasy? Hamilton for career. Real life? Could be him if plus CF defender, which i think he can manage. Prospectors might say yelich in real life, but I worry about BA. This year, could be Castellanos with Dirks stinking.
10:38
Comment From Andrew
I’m thinking of trading Jeff Samardzija for Nelson Cruz in a league where I need HR and RBI. Am I giving up too much?
10:38
Eno Sarris: yes
10:39
Comment From Jordans
WE ARE THE JORDANS. JOIN US!
10:39
Comment From Maxamuz

This dogs butt seriously looks like Jesus.

10:39
Comment From Guest
Thoughts on Stillwater Ales?
10:39
Eno Sarris: Really like a few of them! Texas’ best IMO.
10:40
Comment From Happy HarveyDay!
if you were Mets GM who woulld you target this off-season?
10:40
Eno Sarris: Could be Ellsbury, but I have to look at the FA list. Ells might want a bunch of years, and with his injury history…
10:40
Eno Sarris: Oh man
10:40
Eno Sarris: Oh man oh man
10:40
Eno Sarris: I gotta go.
10:40
Eno Sarris: Oh yeah. I gotta go.
10:41
Eno Sarris: Thanks guys…..
10:41
Comment From Guest
#2



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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


6 Responses to “Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/13/13”

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  1. Dexter says:

    Your thoughts on BlueJay SS, Andy Burns?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. dave says:

    traded my strasburg, heath bell, and aaron hill for headley and mccutchen. How did I do. Was worried about strasburg and hill injuries and I still have Sale, Weaver, Kimbrel, Grilli, and a solid pitching staff. Outfield will now be pence, rios, mccutchen, which is pretty legit and headley will be a utility player since I have beltre at 3b and E5 at first who know has 3b eligibility.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Daddy to be says:

    My wife is expecting and she wants to name the baby Enzo. As an Enzo, do you recommend or should we find a plan b?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Dexter says:

    Andy Burns – 5 tooler?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. Peckerhead says:

    HOT DOGS!!!!!!!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Haze says:

    Eno, I feel it is very important to let you know that Stillwater is out of Baltimore, not Texas… although it very well may still be the best beer in Texas…

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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