Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 9/26/13

11:45
Eno Sarris: I’ll be here at the top of the hour!
12:00
Comment From JEB
I’ll top your hour!
12:00
Eno Sarris: hmm feisty
12:00
Eno Sarris: Lyrics of the day dedicated to division leaders

We’re not happy til we’re running away
Clouds in your eyes
We’re nothing but the foggiest day

12:00
Comment From Ceetar
Best Brown Ale you’ve had recently?
12:00
Eno Sarris: Can’t remember anything but Moose Drool and Turbodog. I’ll keep thinking.

12:01
Comment From Crusty
Eno, do you think any star player will ever “risk” millions to go for the greater reward associated with year to year contracts? I suppose he can buy his own insurance with the premium in salary he gets each year for selling himself to the highest bidder.
12:01
Eno Sarris: Doubt it, not when they can get the multi year. Lincecum obviously tried it, but arbitration was right up his ally.
12:02
Eno Sarris: Breaking news! Someone commented on the chat *as the chat is proceeding*. Comment looks okay though.
12:02
Comment From PaulM
Start Cahill today @ SD? I am up big in ERA and WHIP but QS and Ks are getting closer.
12:03
Eno Sarris: Sure. I don’t think you’re risking much .. oh it’s a day game? Still, it’s late in the season. Check the weather I guess.
12:03
Comment From Guest
Jonathan Schoop had a pretty good debut last night. Does he project as an above average hitter? Someone who could start at 2B full time next year?
12:04
Eno Sarris: Start will probably over-rate him. I see about league average power and strikeouts, not much patience or speed. .250/15/5 might make him the starter at second, but not a great fantasy play.
12:04
Comment From Stevenly
Fitting the Royals playoff dreams ended against eh M’s?
12:05
Eno Sarris: Why fitting? Because they’re both sad, sad stories? I’m just happy my James Paxton call yesterday worked out so gloriously.
12:05
Comment From JEB
Still haven’t found the Green Bullet yet, really want to try it. When people send you stuff for beergraphs, do you send beer back in return, or is it just a donation type thing?
12:05
Eno Sarris: Usually trade, but in a few lucky circumstances, I’ve been told not to worry about sending anything back. Oh, thank your for that heady topper you glorious glorious reader.
12:06
Comment From emlazar
Who’s the more useless upcoming FA SP? Westbrook or Bedard?
12:06
Eno Sarris: Bedard might be better per IP, but Westy looks like the innings gobbler someone might need at SP5.
12:06
Comment From Guest
Think Porcello is making the start tmrw for sure? Have been holding onto Fister with hope they might give him 1 more tune up start @ Mia on Sunday so he doesn’t have to sit 2 wks before his playoff start, while giving Porcello an appearance or 2 out of the pen since that’s where he’ll be in the playoffs. Would make sense to me but Porcello is still listed as the probable…
12:07
Eno Sarris: Nothing is for sure at this point. I think less likely Fister pitches again then Porcello makes his start though.
12:07
Comment From Reddickulous
Hi Eno! I wrote a Roto-league tale of woe in the comments and wanted you to both pity me, and recommend a beer for a bitter, broken winner.
12:08
Eno Sarris: See I told you someone wrote a comment, and it was good. Hah. In California, Aroma Coma will put you in the coma to ignore you pain. On the east coast, might have to go to Dogfish Head’s 90 minute.
12:08
Comment From PaulM
Drank a Dupont Monks Stout last night. A really nice dry stout with a nice abv of about 5%. Really easy to drink.
12:08
Comment From Ceetar
Odds there will be even ONE beer at Citi Field tomorrow for ‘Oktoberfest’ that you can’t get normally? 10%? Less? At least I get a Mets boot.
12:08
Comment From PaulM
Listening to Yo La Tengo and dreaming of David Wright home runs.
12:08
Eno Sarris: that’s the spirit
12:09
Comment From Ronnie Dobbs
What’s your gut valuation of Matt Kemp in Ottoneu 5×5 for 2014? I have no idea.
12:09
Eno Sarris: 30ish? Can’t go to the 50/60 of the ‘first round types.’ Maybe as much as 40 if your team is competitive.
12:10
Comment From person hscer
Gomez was a jerk but the Braves are REALLY easy to egg on in that fashion.
12:10
Comment From Mike

RUMBLE AT THE TED!! Thoughts? Cage match winner?

12:10
Eno Sarris: I wouldn’t want to be Gomez there. I wouldn’t F with a catcher. Dudes get pummled by high-nineties fastballs like *every* day.
12:10
Comment From Seth
How closely correlated are pitching/hitting stats? Is a hitter with a 120 OPS+ about equal to a pitcher with a 120 ERA+?
12:11
Eno Sarris: WAR would probably help you answer that question?
12:11
Comment From Ruslan
Hi Eno!! I listen to your podcast with Mike Podhorzer all the time. This was my first year playing fantasy baseball and you guys helped me a lot! I nearly made the final (lost by one R) and am now in a matchup for 3rd place in our league. Anyways, I’m in a 5×5 12-team H2H format mixed league where we’re allowed 4 hitting keepers. I have 3 of my keepers determined at SS, LF, & CF, but can’t decide who my 4th keeper should be. between eric hosmer, will venable, wilson ramos, pablo sandoval, and xander bogaerts, who should i keep? My 3 other keepers are all 5-tool players, so I probably don’t need steals as badly as the rest of my league. FYI we can keep players for a maximum of 6 years, and we are not in auction format. Thanks for all your help!
12:12
Eno Sarris: Venable is old, so he’s out. Wilson Ramos seems replaceable, I don’t believe in quite this much power. So, Pablo for a rebound or betting on the future in Bogaerts. I actually think Xander, even without a guarantee at a job right now, might be worth this risk.
12:12
Comment From Paul
in a 12 team league with 28 man rosters. With 16 keepers how many pitchers should i loook to be keeping??
12:13
Eno Sarris: By the 16th round I usually like to have my starting lineup in place. Maybe you can leave util (or util x 2) open for the draft.
12:13
Comment From Marty
Did you see Cano supposedly looking for 10 years $300m+? that’s a joke, right?
12:14
Eno Sarris: Too much for me. ISO already calming down at 30. Could easily return to meh walk rate, meh defense as the power erodes.
12:14
Comment From Person
If you’re the Nats, what’s your #1 off-season priority?
12:16
Eno Sarris: I think this is a fascinating question. It’s not obvious what went wrong. I like their top three pitchers. I like their lineup for the most part. They could move Rendon to third, Zimm to first, make LaRoche a backup or send him packing, then they need a defense-first second baseman (or maybe Espy becomes an option with Rendon’s stepping forward). Mostly I think they need depth. More pitching. A number four, maybe even a number five that they like. Roark can five or six. Spend around the edges, improve depth.
12:16
Comment From Timmy
James Paxton next season. Have much value?
12:17
Eno Sarris: So I guess the velocity drop was mostly because of his knee problem, because he’s back up to the mid-nineties and looks nice. Problem is, his change is no good. So he’s fastball/curveball. But it’s a nice fastball, looks like a good curve, and if he can show-me change, he’ll be a valuable player. One that you can start all the time at home, most of the time on the road, and use in the middle of any fantasy rotation. Doubt he’s a front-liner unless the change takes a step forward.
12:17
Comment From Mike
What are you expecting from Profar next year?
12:18
Eno Sarris: More power. Better plate discipline, fewer strikeouts. Unsure about the speed. Could see .275/15/10 if he had a full season. Longer term, more upside in power.
12:19
Comment From Marty
I’m about to finish in second in my roto league again…last year by .5, this year by 1 or 2. What drink should drown my sorrows?
12:20
Comment From GSon
Cardinals.. have they taken a Wong turn w/r to their future second baseman?
12:21
Eno Sarris: I think it was right for them to give him some time out in the field, although it may have hurt them a bit wrt to this season. Can Freese get back his mojo in a part time? Will Wong get as much PT in the playoffs? Wong is better than this though.
12:21
Comment From Marty
I like to ENO, ENO
I like to ENO, ENO
I like to ENO, ENO
You like to——ENO!
12:21
Comment From Marty
Eno, thanks for the chat. I’m still in line for my bobblehead, and this passes the time.
12:21
Comment From GSon
Note to rusland… KISS (Keep it short and simple)
12:21
Comment From zl5xez
Alright, Eno. Flying down to SF in 6 hours and need some must-get beers for the weekend. Thanks!
12:22
Eno Sarris: Check out the leaderboard in this article lol http://beergraphs.com/bg/180-the-battle-for-san-francisco/ Also, just go to Toronado’s for legit old school beer bar or City Beer Store for cutting edge Cali best.
12:23
Comment From Razor
MLB has put you in charge of its postseason music. Keep in mind they’ll play this for every ad where they show teams celebrating or fans watching a big home run, every commercial break during the postseason. What’s the song?
12:23
Eno Sarris: Something by ratatat because any vocals would get annoying after you watch it a million times.
12:24
Comment From Brian
In a keeper league, about to deal Matt Harvey as an 8th round keeper for Jason Heyward as a 12th rounder. Gotta jump on this, right?
12:24
Eno Sarris: Gotta think Harvey misses all or most of next year. You’re obviously selling low, but by the time this deal hurts, if it does, you’ll have gotten at least a half season out of Heyward.
12:24
Comment From Bart
Eno, I need a high % win today. Is Dillon Gee the man? He’s pitching against the Brewers Hellwig.
12:25
Eno Sarris: Yeah that’s pretty good. McAllister probably second.
12:25
Comment From Guest
Do you have any “sleeper” free agents on your radar? As in, guys who could make an impact next year but haven’t been talked about much.
12:27
Eno Sarris: Scanning quickly. Salalamacchia? Corey Hart. Burnett.
12:27
Comment From juan pierres mustache
wait why is the winner bitter and broken
12:27
Eno Sarris: Lyrics? They’re only happy when they’re running away with it, mostly.
12:27
Comment From GSon
Beer of the week… Carlton Draught.. had a mate send me a sixer from New South Wales.. stuff is mediocre, but, has a kick mule would envy..
12:27
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Have you had “Seance” by Magic Hat? It’s their dark saison and is the fist worthwhile (in fact quite good) beer I have had from them in years
12:28
Comment From Marty
Does Brian McCann get a sash for being MLB’s Hall Monitor?
12:28
Eno Sarris: luded
12:28
Comment From Bubba
What’s the biggest gap ever between someone’s FIP WAR and RA WAR?
12:28
Eno Sarris: Career? Glavine comes to mind.
12:28
Comment From RotoLando
Who are the more pathetic “fighters”: baseball players, basketball players, or other?
12:28
Eno Sarris: Basketball players are pretty bad. Have you ever seen Kevin Garnett fight? Oooh boy.
12:28
Comment From This little Puigy stole home
I need a QS. Who do you like? Haren, Kluber, Y Petit, Kazmir,or Stults?
12:29
Eno Sarris: Kaz and Klub.
12:29
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Keep 3: Cespedes, Rios, Cuddyer, Ortiz
12:30
Eno Sarris: Rios. Only one with a period. I might try to trade Cuddyer plus Ortiz if anyone is looking at a worse group on the fringe of their keeper list. Cespedes has no trade value, but I think he can .265/25/10 next year. Maybe even more power.
12:30
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
I hate carrying a bench bat even in deep leagues: Dayan Viciedo when I have started him: 19/5/22/0/.227/.597 over 264AB When I have benched him: 24/9/35/0/.377/1.200 over 167AB GRRRRRR
12:30
Eno Sarris: Did you try to play him solely against lefties too? Dang.
12:30
Comment From RK
What are your general thoughts on Hector Santiago? Am I crazy for envisioning similarities to Gio Gonzalez?
12:31
Eno Sarris: I don’t see it when I watch him. The screwball is mediocre. The change is okay. Bad control. Homeritis. Not pitching in a great place for his skills.
12:31
Comment From Joseph
Where are you drafting Kemp next year? Are you confident that he can put up stats to meet that value? Do you advise trading him in the offseason?
12:32
Eno Sarris: He strikes out too much. My back of the beer coaster projection is .270/25/15. Better than Cespedes, but not much better. Looks like a third-rounder or so, I could push it to second round if I thought he looked healthy this postseason. Shoulder injury mucking up projections. If he gets full healthy, can hit 30 again.
12:32
Comment From Malone
Kazmir is probably the best stream option I can find this weekend, right?
12:32
Eno Sarris: Yes
12:32
Comment From Guest
Rosenthal closing next season? Has to be, right
12:32
Eno Sarris: Jason Motte has to be scared. I think so. TR has more weapons.
12:32
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
how much does the concussion cloud Joe Mauer’s keeper value
12:33
Eno Sarris: Only that he might move off catcher, like next year.
12:33
Comment From click
Should a team like the Orioles pursue Carlos Beltran to DH next year?
12:33
Eno Sarris: Yes
12:33
Comment From Razor
Please tweet more sandwich statuses.
12:33
Eno Sarris: I’ve been told the opposite! Also: baby’s cramping my style. Now I just throw weird stuff together.
12:33
Comment From Guest
Holds League, My opponent has 4 more remaining starts. I’m losing W and Holds by 1, and I am going to definitely lose K’s. I have one more pick-up remaining. Do I pick up Joe Kelly or Drew Smyly?
12:34
Eno Sarris: One missing piece of information: do you have any other starts coming? If not, pick up Smyly.
12:34
Comment From John Stamos
Can I drop Melancon or Mujica now for streamers? 21 keepers makes me hesitate.
12:34
Eno Sarris: Mujica won’t close again, I wouldn’t think.
12:34
Comment From ENOrmous Fan
So Eno, what’s your 2013 Fantasy record look like for all your leagues? Happy, disappointed?
12:35
Eno Sarris: Gonna win three leagues I think. Top three in a couple more. Good year. I thought it was going to be better but some of my teams slowed down.
12:35
Eno Sarris: One thing I did this year that I can alter a bit next year. In the past I’ve been very reticent to trade. I wanted to win each trade. This year, I said screw it and made more trades. I lost some. Maybe you could say I lost some badly. BUT! If I move the pendulum just a bit more back to not trading, but keep some of that gusto, I feel optimistic I’ll find a good balance. It’s hard to trade.
12:36
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
if I can keep 14 players (6×5 w/ OBP extra cat) is 4 SP (Felix, Darvish, Cliff Lee, Anibal) 1 too many? Lee’s old and Anibal has never been this good but both have to be top 15-20 SP going into next year right?
12:36
Eno Sarris: That’s fine. I’d have four pitchers by the 14th round, and I’d be happy with that group.
12:36
Comment From James
Piggybacking on the Paxton question, do you think he’s a deep league keeper?
12:36
Eno Sarris: yes. Definitely.
12:36
Comment From Razor
Asking since we don’t have access to it, but do teams have access to better minor-league plate discipline data (like Oswing)? If not, wouldn’t it be worth teams hiring someone that could do that for them- to have an advantage in player information?
12:37
Eno Sarris: They might in their own parks. There’s probably more out there in that arena that we don’t know about. I’ve been told that even the Giants have their own cameras around the field that are not PITCHf/x or FIELDf/x.
12:37
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
please rank these middle infield prospects: Rougned Odor, Corey Seager, Arismendy Alcatara, Mookie Betts
12:37
Eno Sarris: That’s pretty deep. I might like Betts and Seager best once you consider how their major league teams look.
12:38
Eno Sarris: Obviously Pedroia isn’t going anywhere, but the Red Sox could trade Betts pretty easily. Rangers haven’t been trading guys like Odor and have a bit of a glut going. Otherwise I’d have Odor over Betts.
12:38
Comment From Person
Because you care, my Nats off-season wish list: 1) LHP bullpen help. 2) RHB 4th OF who can play CF and spell Span against LHP (Rajah Davis would be PERFECT!) 3) Trade LaRoche, move Zim to 1B and Rendon to 3B, sign a new 2B: Cano! *drool*, or even Zobrist or Infante would be awesome too. 4) Sign a competent SP so we can keep Jordan and Roark in AAA as insurance. Agree?
12:39
Eno Sarris: Zob won’t be an FA. That sounds like just about what I said lol. Davis/Infante/Wandy or Burnett sounds great.
12:40
Comment From dude
Are you playing fantasy football? And did you rip your hair out already becaus of it? Are you tonnage give Fantasy basketball a go this year? Underrated fantasy sport and I find it fun.
12:40
Eno Sarris: I have one team each for football and basketball. I’ll be prepping for fantasy baseball season in like two weeks.
12:40
Comment From Jim
Tis always the season for an IPA! Tricerahops by Ninkasi!
12:40
Comment From JEB
Sierra Nevada Tumbler is a good fall brown ale. But I haven’t seen it around yet, and I heard they weren’t releasing it this year :(
12:41
Comment From Laloosh
hey isn’t that Seymour’s Nut Brown Sassafras Autumn Butter Toast Cranapple Wheat Ale special?
12:41
Eno Sarris: LOL
12:41
Comment From GSon
If you were sitting in the upper nose bleeds at Yankee Stadium during the live version of “Enter Sandman”, could you tell the difference?
12:41
Eno Sarris: By the reaction of the people around you, by the buzz, yeah probably. Live music rocks.
12:41
Comment From John
Can you rank Danny Salazar, Sonny Gray and Taijuan Walker for me over the next 4 years or so?
12:42
Eno Sarris: Gray is the steady eddie, but Salazar and Walker have higher ceilings. It’s hard for me not to just jump in Salazar’s lap, so I’ll throw caution to the wind and take the guy with no scouting pedigree just because I love his stuff.
12:42
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
am I the only one that will never hear “tonight tonight” by smashing pumpkins the same way since it was the FOX commercial transition song of the 2004 postseason? Admitted bias: it was a kinda special postseason for this sox fan :)
12:42
Comment From juan pierres mustache
The correct answer to postseason music is “Kickstart My Heart” by Motley Crue, to be played roughly halfway through each pitcher’s delivery.
12:42
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
am i the only one that sees “hellweg” and imagines a wig of pure fire or possibly some manner of unpleasant insect?
12:42
Eno Sarris: Or a mail-delivering owl
12:43
Comment From zl5xez
Hadn’t seen these new BeerGraphs tools, pretty handy! Still would like to sort by wOBAR, though.
12:43
Eno Sarris: That, and regional availability filters, are the next things on our list.
12:43
Comment From GSon
If you were Tito Francona.. do you move Masterson to the pen for the rest of the seaosn.. or do you want him in your rotation?
12:43
Eno Sarris: I think he would be really fun as a long-stretch reliever once they are more assured of making the playoffs.
12:44
Comment From 2ndHS
Aramis Ramirez is likely to miss the last 4 games of the year meaning Yuniesky Betancourt is likely to start the last 4 games of the year. Even though they’re playing the Mets, the Brewers have a solid shot at that 6th overall pick in next year’s draft, right?
12:44
Eno Sarris: Oh man Betancourt, he pretty much makes it a lock.
12:44
Comment From Marty
Top 3 under the radar pitcher values for next year: Ventura / salazar…?
12:45
Eno Sarris: It’s so hard because those guys are NOT under my radar at all. But if they fall, they’ll be on my teams yes.
12:45
Comment From Jay
Gyorko has shown some tasty power oh those whiffs. Do you think he gets them under control next year or will pitchers stop throwing him strikes and stormy seas ahead?
12:46
Eno Sarris: He’s got a bit of a violent swing. And a lot of swinging strikes. I think he could push it down closer to 20%, but thinking now that he won’t be a 16-18% guy.
12:46
Comment From MLB
Sorry Eno, we’re going to go in a different direction– you’re fired. We’ll be playing “Blurred Lines” all throughout the postseason.
12:47
Eno Sarris: pFFFt
12:47
Comment From person hscer
the times Rickey Henderson was caught stealing would rank 122nd all-time in stolen bases
12:47
Eno Sarris: Fun tidbit.
12:47
Comment From Guest
Eno, Shark worth an 8th round pick next year in a standard 12 team roto-league? Thanks
12:48
Eno Sarris: That’s interesting. I’ll be picking him in the 8-10 round spot, but would I want to lock him in there if I saw him dropping further?
12:48
Comment From CMERE SONNY
Keep Gray or Wacha? HELP
12:49
Eno Sarris: Given choice between two guys with equal velocity and two primary pitches, I’m going to take the guy who’s secondary pitch is a change up. Wacha.
12:49
Comment From Toy Cannon
Does Singleton make it to Houston at all next year?
12:49
Eno Sarris: For sure. They’ll be giving everyone a month or two to prove themselves, just as they did this year. By next year they might have three or four regulars they can count on. Singleton could be one. He’s probably better than Brett Wallace, Marc Krauss, the list goes on.
12:50
Comment From Marty
What does Billy Hamilton’s OBP have to be for him to be am everday player?
12:50
Eno Sarris: If he can play cromulent or better CF (I think he can), I honestly think anything over .310 or so will work for Dusty Baker.
12:50
Comment From MLB
Our target demographic for our postseason music in commercials is ‘people who neither like baseball, nor music.’
12:50
Eno Sarris: Gotta reach out beyond the core, I get it.
12:51
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Tom Glavine career xFIP: 4.57 Tim Wakefield career xFIP: 4.77 Glavine: 14.0 K% 8.1 BB% Wakefield: 15.5 K% 8.6 BB% Great case study of WTF DIPS?
12:51
Eno Sarris: fly ball rates, right
12:51
Comment From Christopher
What’s the rule of thumb for age of bottled beer at the supermarket? I got burned on some six month old Goose Island from Kroger and am still upset about it.
12:51
Eno Sarris: some bottles have the age on it somehwere. this is why seasonals are actually helpful. Just make sure it’s not last year’s version.
12:52
Comment From stuck in a slump
Schierholtz has been bad, Gose has been hot. would need to drop Schierholtz in a 20 team keeper to activate Gose… Should I? I’m playing for 3rd
12:52
Eno Sarris: Schierholtz is meh. 2/3 player. Not a great dynasty keeper anyway.
12:52
Comment From dude
Why do the Knicks constantly try to ruin my life?
12:52
Eno Sarris: What, did they sign Sam Perkins?
12:53
Comment From John
Speaking of Cespedes, $20 in a 15 team roto with obp instead of ba?
12:53
Eno Sarris: Yes.
12:53
Comment From Cespedes
He betrayed us this year by putting up better walk rates, K rates, power, average, and speed as the season went along last year. Primed for a 30-20-.290 type breakout. What hapend?
12:53
Eno Sarris: We should have been looking more at the swinging strike rate. But no reason for a .274 BABIP either.
12:54
Eno Sarris: Well, a slight fly ball tendency. But mostly they lauded his ability to make adjustments last year, so why can’t he do it again.
12:54
Comment From Chad
What was your “James Paxton call”?
12:54
Eno Sarris: We’re doing daily streamers on the podcast this week and he was my favorite for yesterday.
12:54
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
about those starting/sitting Viciedo splits: he mostly made it into my lineup on short schedule days and whenever one of Rosario/Posey/Beltran was getting a day off….just incredibly poor luck on which days those were….
12:54
Eno Sarris: Yeah, bigger point is right: bench bats mostly useless. I use those spots for upside plays.
12:55
Comment From Jax Teller
Is it just me, or are the Royals going to be the 2013 Pirates in 2014?
12:55
Eno Sarris: With Ventura playing the part of Cole? They still need better pitching, and they don’t have any of the on-field strategic genius of the Pirates going for them.
12:55
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
better in 2014: Salazar or Gausman?
12:56
Eno Sarris: I love me some Gausman still. Splitter, just as much gas. You’re testing my recency bias. If I had both, I could see trading Salazar at hype value for a tasty veteran, hoping Gaus regains fame.
12:56
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
any chance they install Pitch F/X in AA/AAA parks and release that data to the public like MLB Pitch F/X?
12:56
Eno Sarris: I’m really worried that the days of public f/x are done.
12:58
Comment From Jax Teller
Drafted Longo, Cespedes, and Butler in that order…..20 team league. I’m playing in the championship week right now…..how?
12:58
Eno Sarris: Killed it on the back end.
12:58
Comment From jasen
I am limping to the finish line in my H2H league finals. Already lost Harvey, Fernandez, and now Bumgarner. I was looking for some SP streamers that I could pick up over the final weekend.
Thanks!
12:58
Eno Sarris: We’ll be doing this in the podcast, but I just picked up Morton and Paxton in a deeper league.
12:58
Comment From Razor
What do you think is the most important thing someone has been doing while participating in one of your chats? Voting on a major national decision? Ordering pizza toppings? Somewhere in between?
12:59
Eno Sarris: Learning how to practice law has been established, so we’re past pizza toppings. I’m sure someone’s been in a meeting during peak fantasy season. But what was that meeting about.
12:59
Comment From Guest
“One missing piece of information: do you have any other starts coming? If not, pick up Smyly.”
Yes I have 4 remaining starts and he has 8
12:59
Eno Sarris: You’re still screwed. Pick up Smyly.
12:59
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
I have found especially in my keepers/dynasties that I am fine with “losing” a trade so long as I make sure to trade with the bottom dwellers and also-rans. You’re helping the league and greasing the wheels for future deals with the teams selling assets.
1:00
Eno Sarris: So many of my leagues are dynasties too.
1:00
Comment From Guest
Is Hill Farmstead the pound for pound best brewery in the country? It seems like everything they release gets fantastic reviews.
1:00
Eno Sarris: Yeah but there’s some hype to it. You have to drive to Vermont!
1:00
Comment From John
Wandy has a $13 million player option and Burnett said retirement or stay in Pittsburgh 50-50 just last weekend.
1:00
Eno Sarris: I thought they might decline the Wandy option and I don’t buy retirement talk from AJ. Should see him in the clubhouse. Maybe it’s just a ploy to stay in Pitt.
1:01
Comment From a mustachioed business tycoon
Founders breakfast Stout! In stores! Yay!!!
1:01
Comment From Tony Batista, Darrin Fletcher, Billy Koch
Long term dynasty…..Xander Bogaerts or Manny Machado?
1:02
Eno Sarris: Bogaerts still has a chance to play short, I think, even though the knee injury wasn’t a huge deal as it first seemed, they won’t be moving Manny back to short. With all those infield flies, it’s hard to evaluate Manny. If he can iron out the swing plane, he could be awesome. As is, right now, Bogaerts.
1:02
Comment From Rick
Do you think that teams are tanking by removing regulars from the lineup and shutting down regulars for the balance of the season. The benefit is a higher pick, but just as important, is their first round pick is protected from providing a compensatory pick
1:02
Eno Sarris: The veterans are hurt! We aren’t tanking!
1:02
Comment From juan pierres mustache
I got Tumbler this year…oh god i hope my beer store didn’t just have leftovers from last year.
1:03
Comment From stuck in a slump
I have Asche and Headley in a deep mixed keeper league, keep one, none or both?
1:04
Eno Sarris: I think they can both .260/15/10 next year, but obviously Headley has more upside. I might keep both if I could.
1:04
Comment From This little Puigy stole home
Who you like today out of Lincecum, Garza, Nova, McAllister, Erlin? Thanks, Eno!
1:05
Eno Sarris: Garza. Nova. Lincecum. McA. Erlin. F it. All of them. But in that order.
1:05
Comment From juan pierres mustache
I strongly encourage everyone to pay attention to the seven-team race for protected draft picks. All seven are within one game, and it involves things like teams starting the aforementioned Yuni Betancourt.
1:05
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Jose Quintana has quietly become just about mixed league rosterable huh?
1:06
Eno Sarris: Improved his control, added a bit of velocity, changed his mix a bit. Yeah. He’s a good final pitcher in mixed leagues.
1:06
Comment From a mustachioed business tycoon
If YOU won both of your H2H leagues’ regular season, then lost your first playoff matchup in both, what beer would you drink? Whiskey? It’s been a long, rewarding season and a swift kick in the pants of a playoff…
1:06
Eno Sarris: 120 minute for you (18%)
1:07
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Tom Glavine a HOF candidate to you? (Do the wins trump the really meh peripherals?) Seems he was a master of HR suppression and sequencing
1:07
Eno Sarris: When your sample gets that big, you can ignore FIP. I think he’s in.
1:07
Comment From Chad
Do you think Yordano Ventura will begin next season in the Royals rotation? How will he do?
1:07
Eno Sarris: I’m a little more worried about his health than his ability to succeed. He’s got good stuff. Just a little flingy.
1:07
Comment From Vic
What is the earliest you would draft Kershaw in a 15 team Mixed 5 x 5?
1:08
Eno Sarris: End of the first?
1:08
Comment From Tom
Think the Cards go Wong at 2B and Carpenter at 3B next year and trade Freese?
1:08
Eno Sarris: You think Freese has trade value? I think they probably try the Freese/Wong platoon again.
1:08
Comment From ENOugh Already
What should the A’s do with Anderson in the playoffs?
1:08
Eno Sarris: Just what they’re doing with him. Emergency starter/third-inning replacement.
1:08
Comment From Christopher
Is it just a coincidence that Jake Arrietta is a new man after landing in Chicago? Could they do the same for Brian Matusz, Zach Britton, and Kevin Gausman?
1:09
Eno Sarris: 1) NL. 2) I see some upside in his secondary pitches that I didn’t see before. 3) He could still get over-rated. Gausman doesn’t need the NL. Britton and Matusz could be NL SPs.
1:10
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
re Glavine/Wakefield: correct you are: glavine had a 33% FB% and Wake had a 44% FB%….both had identical 9.3 HR/FB% ground balls FTW :)
1:10
Comment From jesse
Wakefields LoB wins -17.9 Glaive +12.6 –
1:10
Comment From Dallas
I just came for the beer today
1:10
Eno Sarris: Who’s got some?
1:10
Comment From Re: Cespedes
From just watching him play….if he learned to lay off the breaking ball down and away…..we could see some superstar numbers. Just my $0.02.
1:11
Eno Sarris: He also likes the fastball up and in a bit much. And I’ve seen the combo (up and in then down and away breaking) send him back to the dugout many times. You *think* that’s an easy adjustment, but then you remember Andruw Jones.
1:11
Comment From John
Who projects more as a future starter: Trevor Rosenthal or Carlos Martinez?
1:11
Eno Sarris: At this point, I think TR is a closer.
1:12
Comment From Guest
better pair for 2014: straily/gray or griffin/milone?
1:12
Eno Sarris: Straily Gray
1:12
Comment From Help me Eno
complicated Eno type question… I have a .08 WHIP lead on a team that will start Kershaw, Wainwright, and Stults. I have a 4 W lead on a team that will start Lincecum, Lee, Greinke, Wood, and Ryu. Which of the following starters do I bench to protect the ratio lead while not having W stolen? Strasburg (v.Corbin), McCarthy and Haren (against each other) and Morton (v.Arroyo)
1:13
Eno Sarris: With a four-win lead, I think you sit all of them except Stras. He’s not going to get five wins. If he gets four, you have a shot at still getting one. I think he gets two or three at most. Morton seems riskiest. You could try to start McC and Haren both and hope for a close game and you get the win.
1:14
Comment From Help me Eno
sorry, that was .008… math
1:14
Eno Sarris: Even more reason to only start Stras.
1:14
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Beer Recc: “Existant” Dark Saison by Stillwater Artisianl http://stillwaterales.blogspot.com/p/stillwater-portfolio.html
1:14
Eno Sarris: Yes. Excellent.
1:14
Comment From Justin
Crap, I’m late to the chat! Umm….beer! Robinson Cano! The Pixies!
1:14
Comment From RotoLando
There is a disturbing lack of waffles in this chat.
1:14
Eno Sarris: Asked and answered.
1:15
Comment From Steve D
If you had #1 pick in minor league draft NL only dynasty league, who would you take? Gregory Polonco, Archie Bradley, or Syndergaard? Or someone else draft in this past june?
1:15
Eno Sarris: Bryant would be tempting, but we know so much more about Polanco. I do take a hitter over a pitcher.
1:15
Comment From Jax Teller
Drew Smyly is a good pitcher. Going to be a good starter. Buy low.
1:15
Eno Sarris: Yeah and from the multi-inning usage, I think they are going to try him as a starter next year. Always liked him.
1:16
Comment From LudeBurger
I think I’m playing against Jax Teller in the fantasy championship he alluded to…
1:16
Eno Sarris: I’ve consulted people on both sides of a Mike Trout trade.
1:16
Comment From Guest
Re: Billy Hamilton OBP – Cozart has career .288 OBP and Dusty had no problem hitting him in the 1/2 spot for pretty much all of 2012 and the first half of 2013.
1:16
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
having Yuni Betancourt on your roster to tank games in September: the new market inefficiency?
1:16
Eno Sarris: “It’s not like we’re not playing a professional ball player out there.”
1:16
Comment From newb
fell back in love with baseball this year and found fangraps soon thereafter. Trying to learn about all the advanced stats. Currently trying to understand contact%. Is a high contact% always a good thing? What about outside the zone %?
1:18
Eno Sarris: contact % is almost always a good thing, at least for OBP. Scutaro would not be a ball player without that elite skill. But making your bank on O-contact is iffy. (Pablo, Josh Hamilton, Vlad). Because o-contact is the skill that drops off the earliest and the fastest. I think it takes a lot of fine-twitch athleticism to hit a fastball at your toes out of the park.
1:18
Comment From stuck in a slump
drop Pineda this OS?
1:18
Eno Sarris: Yeah you can always get him back in the final rounds next year if you want to give him another shot.
1:18
Comment From Bobo
How much of your draft strategy is influenced by a players home field? Do you focus on position players from hitters parks and pitchers from pitchers parks?
1:19
Eno Sarris: I do when I’m streaming, very much so. I do a little bit in deep league, where a guy like Jeff Baker or Mitch Moreland becomes more interesting because of their home park.
1:19
Comment From Guest
Hve you thought about brewing your own beer?
1:19
Eno Sarris: I’ve brewed my own beer. I just don’t have much time.
1:19
Comment From stuck in a slump
since Perez has been so inconsistent should Francona promote Allen to closer?
1:19
Eno Sarris: It’s only a question of when.
1:20
Comment From EnOOnE
What do the Pirates do next year at 1B? Do you think they try and sign Morneau and platoon him with Gaby?
1:20
Eno Sarris: Corey Hart would be a sexy idea.
1:21
Comment From dude
I’d participate more often, but the Knicks have ruined my day. Just waiting for Shump to get traded and Isiah Thomas to be back. What a horrible day to be a Knicks fan.
1:22
Eno Sarris: WHAT HAS HAPPENED
1:22
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Cespedes dynasty owners just threw up in their mouths a little when you invoked Andruw Jones…..
1:22
Eno Sarris: yeah. Well.
1:22
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
do we see another 30 HR campaign from Prince again?
1:22
Eno Sarris: Yes.
1:22
Comment From Bob
Choose one to keep for 3 years: Gray, Skaggs, Ventura, Wacha, Walker, Zimmer. H2H points
1:23
Eno Sarris: Definitely not Skaggs. Ventura no for health. Walker Zimmer not proven. So Gray or Wacha and I picked Wacha earlier.
1:23
Comment From JT
I’m in two H2H championship matchups this week, in both of my dynasties, so thank you for your advice this year. Unfortunately, I’m losing so far in both of them: how soon is too soon to start worrying? My bats have gone cold, so it’s not really an add/drop fix.
1:24
Eno Sarris: Well, in our league I think you should just lay down to me. In the other league? Think hard about your worst player or two, take a shot at streaming for offense… it’s all you can do.
1:24
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
one thought on contact%: if you see a batter with good overall results that has a high O-swing% and low Z-contact%…..There be monsters ahead
1:24
Comment From EnOOnE
Does Chris Owing have a shot at starting with Hill & Didi there?
1:24
Eno Sarris: I don’t see it, unless third base and Prado back to OF.
1:25
Comment From RE: Corey Hart
What about that Cuban guy for the Bucs?
1:25
Eno Sarris: They going to spend all that money?
1:25
Comment From Bob
Are you a scout?
1:25
Eno Sarris: Nope. Just doing my best to prognosticate. Cause that *is* actually what I’m paid to do.
1:25
Comment From Marty
Eno, will you do these chats in the offseason or are we at 4 and counting?!
1:26
Eno Sarris: Not even sure what the next few weeks will look like. I’ll be covering the postseason whenever the A’s are in town, and heading south if the Dodgers make it further, probably. But I will be part of the site’s chat strategy. I’ll try to let y’all know the next time I have a chat, ahead of time. Like maybe a chat from the winter meetings.
1:26
Comment From Dont Get It
Why does everyone like Nova and Erlin today? Erlin’s SS% is low compared to his strikeouts and his walk rate makes him a poor K-BB. Goldy, Hill, Davidson, and other RHBs are going to tear him up (LHP). Nova was good for what 1 start? He goes against the completely platooned Rays.
1:27
Eno Sarris: I don’t like Erlin that much, but at least he’s home. I do like Nova. Have you noticed how much better he’s been this year? Combined the best parts of his previous lines. He’s a good pitcher is why I like him.
1:28
Eno Sarris: I don’t see how you look at Nova’s line and don’t like him, actually.
1:28
Comment From Chris
Any BG chats?
1:28
Eno Sarris: We do our version of chats Fridays, fairly regularly. They fun too.
1:28
Comment From JT
Is Curtis Granderson a good hold in a dynasty, or could he be ditched for someone who’s hitting now?
1:29
Eno Sarris: I’d like to keep him around.
1:29
Comment From Tim
Keep Teheran or Cobb. So hard
1:29
Eno Sarris: Damn that is hard. Maybe go NL just because it’s so much easier in the NL. Though Cobb’s change is wicked.
1:29
Comment From Dont Get It
About the Rays…what defines their lineup each day? Joyce against a RHP bats anywhere from 1st to 7th or 8th. All other players move around a ton too. What factors and who decides that lineup?
1:30
Eno Sarris: They might be doing stuff like “this guy has a curve or throws low in the zone and Joyce likes / doesn’t like that.”
1:30
Comment From ar
i have 30 innings left (plus overages), and potential starts by gallardo @ nym, pettite @ hou, lee @ atl, greinke v col, estrada @ nym, cain v SD, bedard v nyy… shoud i skip pettite tomorrow? or play him and make a game time decision on greinke?
1:30
Eno Sarris: Greinke might not pitch is my guess.
1:30
Comment From John
Knicks fired Glen Grunwald, whatever that means, could care less about teh NBA.
1:30
Eno Sarris: That is not upsetting to me.
1:30
Comment From JT
If I asked for advice for how to beat you in our head-to-head finals, which Eno would win out: professional Eno or competitive Eno?
1:30
Eno Sarris: Man you know I’ve given you professional advice on our league lol.
1:31
Comment From Joey
I’m starting both Nova and Cobb tonight, what are the chances of a great pitching duel?
1:31
Eno Sarris: Very high.
1:31
Comment From Mariners Fan
How much more suffering do i have to endure?
1:31
Eno Sarris: Some day, it’ll be very, *very* sweet.
1:31
Comment From click
What player most surprises you that they’re still on a major league club? Thinking of that walk-off by Giambi a few nights ago.
1:33
Eno Sarris: Was going to be mean and say JP Arencibia, but every answer is mean. Maybe anyone in the Astros bullpen.
1:33
Comment From Dont Get It
I agree Nova was good this year and what have liked to have him in many leagues (NFBC and Yahoo). However, he seems lucky lately (strand rate 100% over last 7 days) and his velocity is plummetting…
1:34
Eno Sarris: Still think he’s fine for today. TB o is improved, but it doesnt’ scare me if I think the pitcher is decent.
1:34
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
in h2h whenever possible: forecast your # of starts for the week/scoring period and your opponents….if you are behind by 2+ starts then it is time to pick up a streamer or 3
1:34
Comment From Marty
Did you hear Mariano Rivera is retiring? That hasn’t that been in the news at all.
1:34
Eno Sarris: Who?
1:35
Comment From Spartacus
@Mariners Fan–add about 70 YEARS to your suffering and you’ll have an idea of what Cubs angst is like. Amateur!!!
1:35
Comment From Chris
You think Girardi walks?
1:35
Eno Sarris: yeah I think it’s going to be a hard couple of years in New York.
1:35
Eno Sarris: Guys! I’m going to the park today! I’m planning a meetup in SF on october 1 for the wild card game! I’ll chat again! I promise!
1:36
Eno Sarris: Thanks for stopping by!
1:36
Comment From Dont Get It
Thanks Eno!
1:36
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Thanks for a great season of chats Eno!



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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.

4 Responses to “Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 9/26/13”

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  1. Reddickulous says:

    I tell you a Roto tale of woe:

    I was asked by a coworker to play in a league with his friends–$50 gets you in, easily the most I’d ever bet before. I was emotionally and monetarily invested in this one. I give him the money to PayPal over to his friends in another state. We draft, we play.

    At the All-Star break I get an email from the commish: “So, none of you have paid. We gonna do it, or just screw it and focus on fantasy football instead?” I politely point out that I have put in my money. Crickets from the rest of the league. At the time I led the league by 10 points.

    Crickets. I will win the league by 15 points.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Jasen says:

    I am limping to the finish line in my H2H league finals. Already lost Harvey, Fernandez, and now Bumgarner. I was looking for some SP streamers that I could pick up over the final weekend.
    Thanks!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Jon says:

    Hey Eno, I’m in a 10-team H2H league, 30-man rosters, we keep 15. I’m keeping my starting position players (11) sans the DH spot (I’ll plan on picking best hitter in the draft) + 4 SP. I typically have a short bench and carry a ton of SP (10+) so that’ll be my main focus in the draft, plus relievers. We can keep more than 15, though, if we forfeit picks from the front of the draft (up to 3). Are any of these pitchers worth forfeiting my picks in rds 1, 2 or 3?

    Masterson, Cashner, Tillman, Porcello, Medlen or Jansen

    I won the league so I’ll be picking 10th, which is also basically pick 160 if you include the 150 kept players. Thanks!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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