Next thing will be to balance payrolls with one of those cap things…

]]>“The injuries may account for 1 game difference then they can account for 20”. Not really, you see, there’s this statistical thing that everyone (not just baseball) uses call confidence intervals, variance, and least significant difference that you can use to show which teams are statistically better than another. If 2 teams are 4 games apart, the chances of them being that statistically different are slim. Teams 20 games apart, chances are you’ll see that they aren’t statistically similar in their winning. Not only that, but I didn’t just say “injuries” some teams face hot teams more often than others, some teams get lucky a lot, etc. You can’t just say “well than the Pirates could make an argument to be in the playoffs” because you use statistical measures to find statistical difference. Variance, confidence intervals, leaast significant difference. Things companies use to find out if they should install machine A to increase productivity over machine B. It’s not that crazy of an idea.

“Baseball is healthier than ever” in an ultimate, absolute value kind of way yes. In a relevant way, no it sure as hell isn’t. How is a World Series game having less ratings than a regular season football game “healthier than ever”?

“Anytime you add a playoff spot you make the regular season less meanigful, they’re fighting for position”. How is that less meaningful? Let’s say all 30 teams have a million fans. You let 2 in, maybe 5 are in the race, 5 million fans care. you let 10 in, maybe 13 are in the race, 13 million fans are interested. You can’t say “let everyone in by your logic” because at some point, fans won’t care because the regular season is meaningless. Letting just 1/3 of the teams in, with the very tops getting an advantage makes both the division races, and the last playoff spots more meaningful and interesting and more interesting for more teams. If I can use your ridiculous slippery slope ideology, if letting more teams in makes the regular season less meaningful, then would letting in less make it more meaningful? If that’s the case, just let 1 team in, and that’s your champion. See how crazy it sounds to use your logic “well by your suggestion let’s just do something you didn’t suggest”.

I know the history of baseball. If you want to be a traditionalist, let’s not allow anyone who isn’t white play. Baseball changes, times change, get over it. There are 30 teams, some with a huge advantage over the others, rules need to be changed once in a while.

I agree, the current system is great. However, it devalues the division race. Who cared that the Rays won the east last year? Nobody, there is no advantage to winning your division. In a 5 game series home field doesn’t matter much. With 2 wild card teams, then it would matter because the yankees would have faced the Sox in a (presumably) short series.

The 3 division winners and 2 wild card is the absolute best idea. the 3 teams that fought hard to win the division are rewarded. The teams that survived and won the 2 wild card spots get rewarded but not as much.

With so many teams in baseball and, as I said, so many with advantages and disadvantages, a stair-step type of reward system is beautiful. It’s rewarding to even make the playoffs, it’s even more rewarding (not under the current rules, but under the new rules) to win the division, even more rewarding to make it to the LCS, even more rewarding to make it to the World Series, and the ultimate reward to win the world series.

Nothing is devalued by adding one more team. Division titles mean more and that one more spot means a few more teams have meaningful septembers.

One final note, I’ll restate my stance on “well you’ll get fluke champions”. What is the difference between a 98 and 88 win team? It’s 10 wins, which is about 1.5 more wins per month. The difference isn’t that much. If I have time, I’m going to do a least significant difference study with teams to show you fools that just because a wild card team wins the World Series doesn’t mean they aren’t deserving.

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