FanGraphs Prospect Stock Watch – 07/06/12

Tyler Anderson, LHP, Colorado Rockies
Current Level: A
2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: 8th
Current Value: Down

The 20th overall selection of the 2011 draft, Anderson was known as a fairly polished college pitcher who had a modest ceiling but was expected to move quickly through the system and offer Colorado big league help in short order. The organization kept Anderson out of game action after he signed late in 2011 and then assigned him to A-ball to begin 2012 when he missed the start of the season due to injury. After 11 starts the southpaw is still in low-A ball and his numbers have been modest. He’s shown excellent control with just 17 walks in 64.1 innings (2.15 BB/9) but he’s struck out just 37 batters (5.06 K/9). Anderson, 22, looks like a back-of-the-rotation starter unless he makes some unexpected adjustments.

Cito Culver, SS, New York Yankees
Current Level: A
2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: NR
Current Value: Penny stock

The organization made Culver its first pick of the 2010 draft with the 32nd overall selection and it left draft analysts scratching their heads at the time of the pick and not much else has changed since that time. A solid athlete, Culver has struggled to translate his raw abilities into baseball skills. He’s currently hitting just .208 with a wRC+ of 75 in A-ball. Just 19, though, the infielder has time to tightened up his pitch recognition and polish his offensive game. Even if Culver ends up washing out the club could still end up with a very successful draft haul from 2010 thanks to the additions of prospects such as Mason Williams (4th round), Ben Gamel (10th), and Tyler Austin (13th).

Niko Goodrum, SS, Minnesota Twins
Current Level: R+
2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: Sleeper
Current Value: Underrated

Minnesota is known for being cautious with its prospects and Goodrum has been no exception. He was held back in extended spring training in 2012 and is playing his third year in short-season ball, as well as his second back in the advanced rookie Appalachian League. The 20 year old is off to an outstanding starting. In his first 14 games he has a .308 average with 12 of his 17 hits going for extra hits (four doubles, six triples and two homers). Goodrum also has more walks than strikeouts (14-11). He’s a ways away from realizing his potential but the shortstop has intriguing potential and it might be time to challenge him.

Ryan Lavarnway, C, Boston Red Sox
Current Level: AAA
2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: 8th
Current Value: Holding Steady

After a breakout 2011 season Lavarnway looked like he was ready to establish himself as a big league hitter. With the 2012 return of DH David Ortiz, though, Lavarnway was banished back to triple-A where he’s continued to rake. The offensive-minded catcher has seen his power output dip a bit this year but he’s still hitting for average and he’s trimmed his strikeout rate. Lavarnway will turn 25 later this year so his age is starting to become an issue and he basically has little left to prove in the minors (He’ll never be a great defensive catcher). The club needs to find a big league role for him in 2013 or trade him before his value starts to depreciate.

Jake Marisnick, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
Current Level: AA
2012 Top 15 Prospects Ranking: 7th
Current Value: Increasing

The Jays organization is known for its outstanding young pitching talent, as well as a few key offensive prospects in triple-A but Marisnick entered 2012 as one of the best athletes in the low minors. He posted a 160 wRC+ in low-A ball last year and moved up to high-A ball to begin this year. The outfielder was promoted to double-A on Thursday. His numbers from A-ball do not look flashy but the Florida State League is a pitcher’s league and he actually posted a well-above-average 127 wRC+. Marisnick as the potential to hit for both power and average while also providing some speed (He stole 37 bases in ’11). The promotion of Marisnick comes at an unusual time and is often done at the minor league all-star break by the Jays so you have to wonder if he’s being showcased for a possible trade at the deadline.



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Marc Hulet has been writing at FanGraphs since 2008. His work focuses on prospects, depth charts and fantasy. Follow him on Twitter @marchulet.


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AL Eastbound
Guest
3 years 11 months ago

Very surprised Marisnick was promoted, he has had a bit of a choppy season overall and I can definitely buy that showcase angle.

Garold
Guest
Garold
3 years 11 months ago

Can someone explain “showcasing” in this context? Is the concept that they move him up to show how he performs against the tougher competition? Or is it to improve peoples perception of him by moving him up? I’m a little confused because a scout could watch him in Dunedin just as easily as New Hampshire.

Bob
Guest
Bob
3 years 11 months ago

Showing other teams what he can do vs a higher caliber of competition.

Bob
Guest
Bob
3 years 11 months ago

His stats relative to the league were more than fine. His wRC+ ranked 17th in the league.

BobbyC
Guest
BobbyC
3 years 11 months ago

Sorry if you’ve already explained this elsewhere, but what are the differences between “Underrated” and “Increasing” values?

Mario Mendoza of commenters
Guest
Mario Mendoza of commenters
3 years 11 months ago

Is Lavarnway’s good CS% this year (which dwarves Salty’s) any indication of improvement?

Mario Mendoza of commenters
Guest
Mario Mendoza of commenters
3 years 11 months ago

dwarfs?

smartypants Pete
Guest
smartypants Pete
3 years 11 months ago

Dwarfs is correct, as you are using dwarf as a verb not a noun.

matt w
Guest
matt w
3 years 11 months ago

Technically “dwarfs” can be correct for the noun, too; however, since Tolkien decided to use “dwarves,” that spelling has been much more common in fantasy settings.

Robert J. Baumann
Member
Member
3 years 11 months ago

I say “smurves” and “milves” because of “wolves” and “elves”.

Grant
Guest
Grant
3 years 11 months ago

I think it’s appropriate to use whichever version of the word is shorter given the context

ScHoolBoyQ
Guest
ScHoolBoyQ
3 years 11 months ago

Lavarnway is catching every day for the first time in his career, and his offense is holding steady. He’s always had good CS numbers, the issue is framing and his overall athleticism back there. I think people have been slow to give him his due respect because most scouts made up their mind on his future defense years ago without acknowledging the massive improvement he’s had over the past 3 years.

byron
Member
byron
3 years 11 months ago

Marc, any plans to do any sort of midseason top 25/50/100 update?

Preston
Guest
Preston
3 years 11 months ago

How is Culver’s defense? It seems that without any signs of power and poor contact skills, he needs to be a plus defender to ever have any chance of making the bigs.

Matty Brown
Member
Member
Matty Brown
3 years 11 months ago

Marsinick is my favorite Jays prospect, I really hope he isn’t traded for anything, let alone for pitching depth to try and “compete” this season!

I have always thought of him as a J.D Drew like player. (minus the injuries hopefully, haha). Is that an accurate comp?

Englishman Who Lost His Beard
Guest
Englishman Who Lost His Beard
3 years 11 months ago

Less power, less walks, probably less hit tool, more steals, if he sticks in CF (questionable w/ Gose in same organization) more valuable defense. I’d rather have JD Drew w/o injuries, but Marisnick should be a fine outfielder w/ good but not standout offense.

Mike
Guest
Mike
3 years 11 months ago

2010 Yankees draft also had Angelo Gumbs – who is a better prospect than Gamel.

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