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A Tale Of Two Pitchers

Last night in Cleveland, two struggling young All-Stars took the hill to try to get their 2008 campaigns back on the right foot. As the graph below shows, only one succeeded.

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Fausto Carmona was able to throw strikes for the first time all year, finding positive results by getting his “turbo sinker” over the plate and inducing ground ball outs. This was the Carmona that Indians fans got used to last year and were counting on for the upcoming season.

However, Justin Verlander wasn’t as lucky. As we documented the other day, he’s lost quite a bit of velocity on his fastball this year, which has hurt him quite a bit. The trend continued tonight, as he sat between 89-93 with his now hittable fastball and even added a new wrinkle – an inability to throw strikes. His line for the night: 5 innings, 7 hits, 5 runs, 4 walks, 2 hit batters, and 1 strikeout.

This goes beyond theories of Detroit wanting him to throw more two seam fastballs or getting him to throw slower to make it through an entire season – there’s something wrong with him right now. He’s not pitching at 80% effort, then dialing it up to an extra gear when he needs it – he’s just throwing 92 MPH fastballs and occasionally hitting the strike zone. After tonight’s performance, he now boasts a 7.03 ERA supported by 12 walks and 14 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. It’s no longer early for Justin Verlander – Detroit should be legitimately worried about their ace. If they can’t get him throwing 95 with regularity again, getting trounced by Cleveland could become a regular occurrence.



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Dave is a co-founder of USSMariner.com and contributes to the Wall Street Journal.

5 Responses to “A Tale Of Two Pitchers”

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  1. jlc says:

    Wow, there just isn’t much good news for Detroit this year. The AL wildcard looks a lot more open than it did on March 29.

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  2. ebc says:

    Bonderman too seems to have lost some velocity on his fastball, though not as much as Verlander. At the same time, he seems to be throwing the fastball more often, at the expense of his famous slider. Any thoughts as to what’s going on there?

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  3. taro says:

    Yes, I saw the start and I’m definetly starting to get concerned…even Verlander’s 4-seam is down, and thats throwing with effort.

    Maybe we need to take a closer look at his mechanics to see whats up? Has something changed there? Dead Arm?

    A loss of velocity combined loss of command is not a good sign…perhaps Detroit needs to shut him down and figure out whats wrong..

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  4. christian says:

    although none of us probably could no for sure

    to me in the (performance enhancing era HGH/steroids) a sudden drop off in velocity means a “decent chance” that the change is due to no more juicy juice.

    any thoughts on this?

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  5. Is this rotator supposed to exchange ads continuously while viewing the same page or is does it Only changes ads as you change pages on the blog?

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