Comments on: Analyzing Atkins

By: David

David — Wed, 17 Dec 2008 10:09:54 +0000

looking at the split graphs, Atkins doesn’t really have a career platoon split. it looks to me like last season was an overall bad season for his hitting, but for whatever reason he got really lucky against left handers for the first half or so.

By: philosofool

philosofool — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 20:37:08 +0000

@Jason T
I’m not sure how much more neutral it is. It certainly depresses Ks, which obviously favors offense a lot.

By: Jason T

Jason T — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 19:42:14 +0000

Coors is really playing more neutral the last couple of years it seems.

By: philosofool

philosofool — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 19:38:19 +0000

@Lukas
The park factor adjustment for Coors inflated wOBA about .007.

By: Lukas

Lukas — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 17:03:00 +0000

Eric, are the wOBA/wRAA numbers that you used for Atkins park-adjusted?

By: chuck

chuck — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 15:32:27 +0000

when “analyzing” Atkins, i think you all left out a VERY important stat. His L/R splits are awful. He hit .357/.414/.600/1.014 vs. lefties while hitting only .265/.302/.408/.710 vs righties. Considering that he took 471 AB’s vs R, thats 471 worthless AB’s vs R….especially when you consider he plays his home games in Coors. If i were any team, i wouldn’t overpay for a 29 year old 3B who sucks at defense and is nothing mroe than a lefty masher.

By: Eric Seidman

Eric Seidman — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 15:30:35 +0000

AM,

I have Atkins at +13 offense, -9 defense, +17 adjustment, +2.5 positional, which comes to +24, for +2.4 WAR.

Wigginton is +6 offense, -5 defense, +15 adjustment, +2 positional, which comes to +18, or +1.8 WAR.

Essentially, Wigginton would be about what Atkins was in 2008, whereas the projections for Atkins in 2009 is a bit sunnier. If the Rockies can convince someone to take Atkins on, then signing Wigginton would mean they don’t lose all that much production… however, right now, Atkins’ true talent level is better and he is still under control.

By: PhillyFriar

PhillyFriar — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 15:22:53 +0000

So… he’s not worth Carlos Carrasco?

In all seriousness, I wonder if Atkins will need to move to 1B or the OF at some point — which, obviously, will hurt his value even more. I think the Rockies are best served by letting him play out the string and collecting the picks when he leaves; no one’s going to meet their inflated asking price for a league average player.

By: snepp

snepp — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 14:19:20 +0000

Atkins has been popular name floated around by Twins fans for the last couple of years. Earlier this year the Rockies reportedly asked for Kevin Slowey and Denard Span in return, plus an additional prospect. At a price like that I’m not sure whose plans he would fit into.

By: A.M.

A.M. — Mon, 15 Dec 2008 14:15:04 +0000

Eric–how would you compare Atkins to non-tendered Ty Wigginton?