Comments on: Can I Get A Hitter? http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sat, 05 Jul 2008 00:33:33 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.3 By: Eric Seidman http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33785 Eric Seidman Thu, 08 May 2008 23:07:41 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33785 Jason, it is generally LD% + .120 to find the area of BABIP. Not necessarily the exact BABIP but the area. If Cano is at 16.9% LD than his xBABIP would be in the range of .289. Jason, it is generally LD% + .120 to find the area of BABIP. Not necessarily the exact BABIP but the area. If Cano is at 16.9% LD than his xBABIP would be in the range of .289.

]]> By: Jason http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33780 Jason Thu, 08 May 2008 22:35:21 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33780 Sorry, Mark. I wasn't intentionally being mean. Just funnin'. You raise an excellent point by the way. Last season Cano's LD% was 16.9%, whilst his BABIP was .331(!). Now, I believe that if you add .10 or .11 to the LD% that's supposed to be a fair guess as to what your BABIP should be. Seems maybe last year Cano was extra <i>lucky</i> and this year slightly unlucky. Maybe? Heck in '06 it was 19.9% while he had a .363(!!) BABIP. Interestingly enough A-rod grossly out-performed his probable BABIP last year too. And he's doing it again this year also. I'd like to be corrected if I'm not right in the whole 'add .10 to the LD% thing' before I begin to wonder if it's a Yankee stadium thing to out pace your expected BABIP. Sorry, Mark. I wasn’t intentionally being mean. Just funnin’. You raise an excellent point by the way. Last season Cano’s LD% was 16.9%, whilst his BABIP was .331(!). Now, I believe that if you add .10 or .11 to the LD% that’s supposed to be a fair guess as to what your BABIP should be. Seems maybe last year Cano was extra lucky and this year slightly unlucky. Maybe? Heck in ‘06 it was 19.9% while he had a .363(!!) BABIP.

Interestingly enough A-rod grossly out-performed his probable BABIP last year too. And he’s doing it again this year also. I’d like to be corrected if I’m not right in the whole ‘add .10 to the LD% thing’ before I begin to wonder if it’s a Yankee stadium thing to out pace your expected BABIP.

]]> By: Mark Runsvold http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33770 Mark Runsvold Thu, 08 May 2008 19:56:07 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33770 Geez...I don't like that characterization, Jason. Let's say I was defending the truth. Go Mariners. Geez…I don’t like that characterization, Jason. Let’s say I was defending the truth. Go Mariners.

]]> By: Jason http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33766 Jason Thu, 08 May 2008 18:31:13 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33766 That's awesome. I came to see if the comment was someone defending a Yankee and I was right. Mark is correct, that BABIP sucks but still... Dave, care to speculate on 'why' it's so bad this year? That’s awesome. I came to see if the comment was someone defending a Yankee and I was right. Mark is correct, that BABIP sucks but still…

Dave, care to speculate on ‘why’ it’s so bad this year?

]]> By: Mark Runsvold http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33761 Mark Runsvold Thu, 08 May 2008 14:19:44 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-i-get-a-hitter/#comment-33761 Your point still stands, Dave, but I think we need to acknowledge the atrocious luck Cano has had this year. His BABIP is .159 even though 16.4% of his batted balls have been line drives. Your point still stands, Dave, but I think we need to acknowledge the atrocious luck Cano has had this year. His BABIP is .159 even though 16.4% of his batted balls have been line drives.

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