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	<title>Comments on: Charlie Hayes and MVP Voting</title>
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		<title>By: greg</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110353</link>
		<dc:creator>greg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Nov 2009 20:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110353</guid>
		<description>can it be because he had 30 more rbis than anyone on his team and led his team hrs on a team that improved 15 wins in his first year with the team</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>can it be because he had 30 more rbis than anyone on his team and led his team hrs on a team that improved 15 wins in his first year with the team</p>
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		<title>By: Bill</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110342</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Nov 2009 14:15:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110342</guid>
		<description>If I remember right, Bichette was a poor fielder, but he had a decent arm.  He was never as brutal a fielder as Hawpe or Dunn.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I remember right, Bichette was a poor fielder, but he had a decent arm.  He was never as brutal a fielder as Hawpe or Dunn.</p>
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		<title>By: Terminator X</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110334</link>
		<dc:creator>Terminator X</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Nov 2009 06:55:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110334</guid>
		<description>I have no idea where you&#039;re getting that .3 WAR from, but I refuse to believe it. Dude put up a .984 OPS that season, .413 wOBA, 40.8 wRAA in the COF. He was basically 2008 Matt Holliday in terms of offensive value, playing time, and positional adjustment. 50-55 runs above replacement before taking fielding into account. To get him down to .3 WAR you&#039;ve got to put him at -50ish UZR. That&#039;s twice as bad as Adam Dunn was in 2008. I can&#039;t even wrap my mind around that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have no idea where you&#8217;re getting that .3 WAR from, but I refuse to believe it. Dude put up a .984 OPS that season, .413 wOBA, 40.8 wRAA in the COF. He was basically 2008 Matt Holliday in terms of offensive value, playing time, and positional adjustment. 50-55 runs above replacement before taking fielding into account. To get him down to .3 WAR you&#8217;ve got to put him at -50ish UZR. That&#8217;s twice as bad as Adam Dunn was in 2008. I can&#8217;t even wrap my mind around that.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike Green</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110227</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 15:40:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110227</guid>
		<description>Hayes apparently was hit in the face by a pitch early in the 1994 season:

&quot;July 4, 1994 I was at the Cubs/Rockies double-header at Wrigley Field. The first game had a long rain delay, the second went 15 innings. Midway through game 2 nearly everyone had gone home, and 2 friends and I were sitting in the first row, right behind the visitors on-deck circle. We had been taunting and drinking all day (I&#039;m not a Cubs fan, so I was taunting both sides :D ), and then Rockies 3rd baseman Charlie Hayes stepped into the on-deck circle. Hayes had gotten hit by a pitch earlier that season, breaking his cheek bone. Thus, he wore a clear plastic shield on his face for protection. Of course, this was too much for us to resist.&quot;

The amazing thing for me is that Bichette finished 2nd in the voting and Maddux finished 3rd.  Bichette had 0.3 WAR; Maddux had 8.8.  FWIW, Hayes had 1.2, and was an above-average defensive third baseman according to TZ for years.  Of course, 1995 was a decade before sabermetrics was invented. :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hayes apparently was hit in the face by a pitch early in the 1994 season:</p>
<p>&#8220;July 4, 1994 I was at the Cubs/Rockies double-header at Wrigley Field. The first game had a long rain delay, the second went 15 innings. Midway through game 2 nearly everyone had gone home, and 2 friends and I were sitting in the first row, right behind the visitors on-deck circle. We had been taunting and drinking all day (I&#8217;m not a Cubs fan, so I was taunting both sides :D ), and then Rockies 3rd baseman Charlie Hayes stepped into the on-deck circle. Hayes had gotten hit by a pitch earlier that season, breaking his cheek bone. Thus, he wore a clear plastic shield on his face for protection. Of course, this was too much for us to resist.&#8221;</p>
<p>The amazing thing for me is that Bichette finished 2nd in the voting and Maddux finished 3rd.  Bichette had 0.3 WAR; Maddux had 8.8.  FWIW, Hayes had 1.2, and was an above-average defensive third baseman according to TZ for years.  Of course, 1995 was a decade before sabermetrics was invented. :)</p>
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		<title>By: B</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110220</link>
		<dc:creator>B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:42:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110220</guid>
		<description>Or maybe it was an homage to his 1993 season.  Did he get any votes that year?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Or maybe it was an homage to his 1993 season.  Did he get any votes that year?</p>
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		<title>By: B</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110219</link>
		<dc:creator>B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:36:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110219</guid>
		<description>Didn&#039;t Hayes make a comeback from a pretty serious injury?  I seem to remember something happening to him, but I don&#039;t remember the full story.  It&#039;s possible that it happened after &#039;95, but I&#039;m not sure.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Didn&#8217;t Hayes make a comeback from a pretty serious injury?  I seem to remember something happening to him, but I don&#8217;t remember the full story.  It&#8217;s possible that it happened after &#8217;95, but I&#8217;m not sure.</p>
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		<title>By: CircleChange11</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110199</link>
		<dc:creator>CircleChange11</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 07:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110199</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t get the whole Utley thing. You don&#039;t even need to know a thing about Sabermetrics to appreciate his value. 

Well, maybe you do. He&#039;s never finished higher than 7th for MVP voting, which is just weird since his average ranges between .280 and .330 and he&#039;s basically a 30HR 100RBI 100RS, 4-time AS 4-time SS guy ... and plays on a winning team (to say the least).

Once you factor in his position, and how much better he hits than the average 2B, and it&#039;s ridiculous he&#039;s no a perennial top 5 MVP candidate.

I lloked at the voting and players of the 06-09 years, and well, some of those years there are just some monstrous offensive performances. But, in 08 he finished behind 3 pitchers, Geovany Soto, and Ryan Howard&#039;s 48HRs. I think we could say he should not finish behind either of those 5. Even this year, he&#039;s still finishing behind the corner sluggers with big counting numbers. Doesn;t look like many voters are willing to put a guy with 30HRs in front of guys with 40 HRs, unless his name is Hanley Ramirez.

Even Sandberg had 3 years of top 5 final voting, including the year he won it (84).

Maybe the 09 post-season clued the country into who is the &quot;real deal&quot; in red pinstripes. I just love watching his short, powerful stroke. I can&#039;t figure out how any pitcher is able to throw anything by him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t get the whole Utley thing. You don&#8217;t even need to know a thing about Sabermetrics to appreciate his value. </p>
<p>Well, maybe you do. He&#8217;s never finished higher than 7th for MVP voting, which is just weird since his average ranges between .280 and .330 and he&#8217;s basically a 30HR 100RBI 100RS, 4-time AS 4-time SS guy &#8230; and plays on a winning team (to say the least).</p>
<p>Once you factor in his position, and how much better he hits than the average 2B, and it&#8217;s ridiculous he&#8217;s no a perennial top 5 MVP candidate.</p>
<p>I lloked at the voting and players of the 06-09 years, and well, some of those years there are just some monstrous offensive performances. But, in 08 he finished behind 3 pitchers, Geovany Soto, and Ryan Howard&#8217;s 48HRs. I think we could say he should not finish behind either of those 5. Even this year, he&#8217;s still finishing behind the corner sluggers with big counting numbers. Doesn;t look like many voters are willing to put a guy with 30HRs in front of guys with 40 HRs, unless his name is Hanley Ramirez.</p>
<p>Even Sandberg had 3 years of top 5 final voting, including the year he won it (84).</p>
<p>Maybe the 09 post-season clued the country into who is the &#8220;real deal&#8221; in red pinstripes. I just love watching his short, powerful stroke. I can&#8217;t figure out how any pitcher is able to throw anything by him.</p>
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		<title>By: jpdtrmpt72</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110193</link>
		<dc:creator>jpdtrmpt72</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 04:33:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110193</guid>
		<description>I was feeling all happy about the voting. really, really happy. but then i read these comments and reality hit me. I&#039;m pissed as hell now. Utley didn&#039;t even get a mention on half the ballots?
ok, I&#039;m a huge phillies fan, but i feel justified in calling utley one of the three best players over the last three years (Pujols, Mauer, and Utley).

And there isn&#039;t anything that we can do about it, is there. I mean, other than write angry letters and stuff like that. we can&#039;t actually change anything.

God, this was a terrible revolation for thanksgiving day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was feeling all happy about the voting. really, really happy. but then i read these comments and reality hit me. I&#8217;m pissed as hell now. Utley didn&#8217;t even get a mention on half the ballots?<br />
ok, I&#8217;m a huge phillies fan, but i feel justified in calling utley one of the three best players over the last three years (Pujols, Mauer, and Utley).</p>
<p>And there isn&#8217;t anything that we can do about it, is there. I mean, other than write angry letters and stuff like that. we can&#8217;t actually change anything.</p>
<p>God, this was a terrible revolation for thanksgiving day.</p>
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		<title>By: CircleChange11</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110186</link>
		<dc:creator>CircleChange11</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 00:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110186</guid>
		<description>Vivaelpujols,

First of all, thanks for the help in things like &quot;quote&quot; advice and things of that nature. I&#039;m new here and don&#039;t know all of the formatting things associated with the website, and I occassionally post from my iphone where things like the &quot;reply&quot; button are not visible or featured.

As for being contrarian ... I completely agree. That&#039;s likely NOT the best way to jump right into a new forum/situation, and I apologize. I&#039;ve made a stink in some areas where I wish I could go back and edit some of my comments or at least change my approach. I&#039;m not really trying to be a dick, but understand how that could be the case. I&#039;ll work on it.

As far as sabermetrics not being as prominent as some think ...

[1] I think, in some areas, players and FO people (and especially some fans) are WAY ahead of where some voters are, and I was specifically talking about the prominence of sabermetrics in awards VOTING ... not specifically about the prominence of sabermetrics in general.
[2] I would also point out that sabermetrics are also being included in next generation video games, which is pretty cool to me as I was thrilled to see Win Expectancy included in 2K baseball games, as I am a video game nut going all the way back to Microleague on Apple 2e and Earl Weaver Baseball on IBM.
[3] At this point, I am like 70/30 in my approach of (A) traditional baseball thinking, and (B) &quot;new&quot; thinking (sabermetrically). So, I likely have some advancement to make in my own thinking.
[4] Building on #3, I (and I believe others too) learn far more in a debate (even losing the debate) than I/we do in any manner of discussion.
[5] What I and others that are fairly new to sabermetrics need is more &quot;teaching&quot; or explaining and less &quot;you&#039;re an idiot&quot; stuff. 
[6] When I do argue &quot;against evidence&quot; I am not so much arguing against the &quot;consensus&quot;, but the application of the &quot;consensus&quot; to all situations. Ex: I believe Jeff Kent&#039;s drastic change in 2002 performance was due to hitting in front of Bonds rather than behinid him, although I am aware that there is no overall or general merit to the &quot;protection&quot; arguement. I also think it depends on the hitter being &#039;protected&#039; and the hitter providing &#039;protection&#039;.

Most of the other stuff I&#039;ve been getting hammered on, namely giving extra points to AW50 and CC29 for pitching outstanding down the stretch run, or pitching for a winner is more preference than it is evidence.

So, I will tone down much of my contrarian postings as I generally get along with everyone and don&#039;t want to cast a negative tone on what I view as a very valuable website, I would also request more &quot;instructing&quot; in responses and less bashing. I certainly understand that when one comes on too strong, that the approach might not warrant anything more than a &quot;you&#039;re a moron&quot; response. The ol &quot;you make you bed, now lie in it&quot; thing.

Having said that, I would rather be HERE getting schooled on things that I might not know so much about, than be elsewhere having others just agree with whatever I say because I had a lot of success as a player and coach ... if that makes sense.

So, I would like to apologize to all for my initial approach and tone, and being contrary as a newbie to the site. I should have &quot;teo-tested&quot; the waters, before just &quot;cannonballing&quot; into the pool ... splashing water on everyone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vivaelpujols,</p>
<p>First of all, thanks for the help in things like &#8220;quote&#8221; advice and things of that nature. I&#8217;m new here and don&#8217;t know all of the formatting things associated with the website, and I occassionally post from my iphone where things like the &#8220;reply&#8221; button are not visible or featured.</p>
<p>As for being contrarian &#8230; I completely agree. That&#8217;s likely NOT the best way to jump right into a new forum/situation, and I apologize. I&#8217;ve made a stink in some areas where I wish I could go back and edit some of my comments or at least change my approach. I&#8217;m not really trying to be a dick, but understand how that could be the case. I&#8217;ll work on it.</p>
<p>As far as sabermetrics not being as prominent as some think &#8230;</p>
<p>[1] I think, in some areas, players and FO people (and especially some fans) are WAY ahead of where some voters are, and I was specifically talking about the prominence of sabermetrics in awards VOTING &#8230; not specifically about the prominence of sabermetrics in general.<br />
[2] I would also point out that sabermetrics are also being included in next generation video games, which is pretty cool to me as I was thrilled to see Win Expectancy included in 2K baseball games, as I am a video game nut going all the way back to Microleague on Apple 2e and Earl Weaver Baseball on IBM.<br />
[3] At this point, I am like 70/30 in my approach of (A) traditional baseball thinking, and (B) &#8220;new&#8221; thinking (sabermetrically). So, I likely have some advancement to make in my own thinking.<br />
[4] Building on #3, I (and I believe others too) learn far more in a debate (even losing the debate) than I/we do in any manner of discussion.<br />
[5] What I and others that are fairly new to sabermetrics need is more &#8220;teaching&#8221; or explaining and less &#8220;you&#8217;re an idiot&#8221; stuff.<br />
[6] When I do argue &#8220;against evidence&#8221; I am not so much arguing against the &#8220;consensus&#8221;, but the application of the &#8220;consensus&#8221; to all situations. Ex: I believe Jeff Kent&#8217;s drastic change in 2002 performance was due to hitting in front of Bonds rather than behinid him, although I am aware that there is no overall or general merit to the &#8220;protection&#8221; arguement. I also think it depends on the hitter being &#8216;protected&#8217; and the hitter providing &#8216;protection&#8217;.</p>
<p>Most of the other stuff I&#8217;ve been getting hammered on, namely giving extra points to AW50 and CC29 for pitching outstanding down the stretch run, or pitching for a winner is more preference than it is evidence.</p>
<p>So, I will tone down much of my contrarian postings as I generally get along with everyone and don&#8217;t want to cast a negative tone on what I view as a very valuable website, I would also request more &#8220;instructing&#8221; in responses and less bashing. I certainly understand that when one comes on too strong, that the approach might not warrant anything more than a &#8220;you&#8217;re a moron&#8221; response. The ol &#8220;you make you bed, now lie in it&#8221; thing.</p>
<p>Having said that, I would rather be HERE getting schooled on things that I might not know so much about, than be elsewhere having others just agree with whatever I say because I had a lot of success as a player and coach &#8230; if that makes sense.</p>
<p>So, I would like to apologize to all for my initial approach and tone, and being contrary as a newbie to the site. I should have &#8220;teo-tested&#8221; the waters, before just &#8220;cannonballing&#8221; into the pool &#8230; splashing water on everyone.</p>
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		<title>By: vivaelpujols</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/charlie-hayes-and-mvp-voting/#comment-110183</link>
		<dc:creator>vivaelpujols</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Nov 2009 23:42:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=11976#comment-110183</guid>
		<description>Okay let&#039;s try that again, fuck, I wish FanGraphs had previews.  

~blockquote~text~/blockquote~

Replace the ~ with a  where appropriate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Okay let&#8217;s try that again, fuck, I wish FanGraphs had previews.  </p>
<p>~blockquote~text~/blockquote~</p>
<p>Replace the ~ with a  where appropriate.</p>
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