Comments on: Derek Lowe and Red Flags http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 17:38:57 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: k?rlang?ç bayrak http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-115679 k?rlang?ç bayrak Tue, 22 Dec 2009 11:21:03 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-115679 He’s a free agent after the season.. thank you so much (k?rlang?ç bayrak) He’s a free agent after the season.. thank you so much (k?rlang?ç bayrak)

]]> By: Mike http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110644 Mike Tue, 01 Dec 2009 18:06:21 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110644 How do you go about calculating tERA for a pitcher? Do you use tRA and subtract a standard amount, or do you need the individual components (GB%, etc.)? And are there any plans to add tERA to each player's profile page (instead of just having tRA)? Thanks in advance. How do you go about calculating tERA for a pitcher? Do you use tRA and subtract a standard amount, or do you need the individual components (GB%, etc.)?

And are there any plans to add tERA to each player’s profile page (instead of just having tRA)?

Thanks in advance.

]]> By: joser http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110496 joser Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:49:39 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110496 <blockquote> No team ever gets through an entire season with only 5 starters… </blockquote> The <a href="http://seattle.mariners.mlb.com/sea/history/timeline5.jsp" rel="nofollow">2003 Seattle Mariners</a> did. Though the resulting fatigue might have contributed to <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2003/08/31/sports/around-the-majors-a-faltering-starting-rotation-is-blamed-for-the-mariners-swoon.html" rel="nofollow">their swoon in September</a> after leading the AL West the first five months.

No team ever gets through an entire season with only 5 starters…

The 2003 Seattle Mariners did.

Though the resulting fatigue might have contributed to their swoon in September after leading the AL West the first five months.

]]> By: Steve http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110495 Steve Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:44:23 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110495 thanks, that's exactly what i was looking for. missed that 3 year extension. thanks, that’s exactly what i was looking for. missed that 3 year extension.

]]> By: joser http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110492 joser Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:37:59 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110492 There's no reason to think he was lying, but we shouldn't therefore assume he knows what he's talking about. Pitchers don't always know what's wrong or how to fix it; if they did, there wouldn't be any need for pitching coaches. There’s no reason to think he was lying, but we shouldn’t therefore assume he knows what he’s talking about. Pitchers don’t always know what’s wrong or how to fix it; if they did, there wouldn’t be any need for pitching coaches.

]]> By: PWH http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110488 PWH Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:28:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110488 He signed a 4-year extension beginning in 2004 (so, 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007) with the Yankees, was dealt to the Diamondbacks after 2004, demanded a trade the year after and was traded to the White Sox. At that point, he had 2 years (2006 and 2007) remaining on his contract. He played out those two years in Chicago then signed a 3-year extension, covering 2008, 2009, and 2010. He was dealt to Atlanta after 2008 with 2 years (2009 and 2010) remaining on his contract. http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/2005/01/atlanta-braves_15.html He signed a 4-year extension beginning in 2004 (so, 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007) with the Yankees, was dealt to the Diamondbacks after 2004, demanded a trade the year after and was traded to the White Sox. At that point, he had 2 years (2006 and 2007) remaining on his contract. He played out those two years in Chicago then signed a 3-year extension, covering 2008, 2009, and 2010. He was dealt to Atlanta after 2008 with 2 years (2009 and 2010) remaining on his contract.

http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/2005/01/atlanta-braves_15.html

]]> By: Steve http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110479 Steve Mon, 30 Nov 2009 20:05:33 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110479 In 2004, the Yankees traded for him and gave him a 4 year extension, which I assume started in 2005. That would have made him a FA last winter. Did I miss another extension somewhere? I know that something funky happens when you trade a player 1 year into a new contract. The player is allowed to request a trade after 1 season, and I think that's what Vazquez did when he went from AZ to CHI. Did that somehow alter his contract? In 2004, the Yankees traded for him and gave him a 4 year extension, which I assume started in 2005. That would have made him a FA last winter.

Did I miss another extension somewhere?

I know that something funky happens when you trade a player 1 year into a new contract. The player is allowed to request a trade after 1 season, and I think that’s what Vazquez did when he went from AZ to CHI. Did that somehow alter his contract?

]]> By: exxrox http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110465 exxrox Mon, 30 Nov 2009 19:05:48 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110465 I am in agreement of Jason, two posts up: look at the Boston Red Sox of 2009. Their pitching depth was most definitely tested from the beginning of the season to the end. As was that of the Toronto Blue Jays. No team ever gets through an entire season with only 5 starters...shit happens, and having more than 5 ML quality starters is sometimes actually a very good use of resources. I am in agreement of Jason, two posts up: look at the Boston Red Sox of 2009. Their pitching depth was most definitely tested from the beginning of the season to the end. As was that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

No team ever gets through an entire season with only 5 starters…shit happens, and having more than 5 ML quality starters is sometimes actually a very good use of resources.

]]> By: PWH http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110464 PWH Mon, 30 Nov 2009 19:04:16 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110464 One thing that's noteworthy. Derek Lowe's problems were supposedly (by him) mechanical. If that's true (there's little reason to believe he's lying), at least some of the problems that led to lower K rates, higher BB rates, and fewer ground balls are inherently correctable. Of course, to account for aging, it's fair to regress some of peripherals towards the mean, but I don't believe his 2009 peripherals are truly indicative of his fundamental skills. And if that's the case, he's probably at least close to worth his contract over the next three seasons. Just a point. One thing that’s noteworthy. Derek Lowe’s problems were supposedly (by him) mechanical. If that’s true (there’s little reason to believe he’s lying), at least some of the problems that led to lower K rates, higher BB rates, and fewer ground balls are inherently correctable. Of course, to account for aging, it’s fair to regress some of peripherals towards the mean, but I don’t believe his 2009 peripherals are truly indicative of his fundamental skills. And if that’s the case, he’s probably at least close to worth his contract over the next three seasons.

Just a point.

]]> By: PWH http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/derek-lowe-and-red-flags/#comment-110460 PWH Mon, 30 Nov 2009 18:55:33 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12145#comment-110460 He's a free agent after the season. He’s a free agent after the season.

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