Comments on: Don’t Neglect the Jakester http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 22:53:50 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Tom Au http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38561 Tom Au Tue, 05 Aug 2008 15:42:01 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38561 Right on, Eric. Peavy is (among) the best. The only reason Peavy hasn't been recognized is that San Diego hasn't done much otherwise. Even a pitcher with a 2.00 ERA won't win if his team doesn't provide run support. Right on, Eric. Peavy is (among) the best.

The only reason Peavy hasn’t been recognized is that San Diego hasn’t done much otherwise. Even a pitcher with a 2.00 ERA won’t win if his team doesn’t provide run support.

]]> By: Hats for Bats http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38518 Hats for Bats Mon, 04 Aug 2008 21:56:46 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38518 Peavy's a great pitcher, and when I ranked the top ten starters in the majors, he was number 5. http://hats-for-bats.blogspot.com/2008/08/best-pitchers-in-major-leagues.html But his 2.54 and 2.59 ERA's of the past couple years are just not realistic. Last year it was a 5.8% HR/FB rate, now its his LOB%. He hasn't shown an actual ability to strand runners, as his 77.6 LOB% is right on line with his overall skill and 3.46 FIP. Peavy’s a great pitcher, and when I ranked the top ten starters in the majors, he was number 5.

http://hats-for-bats.blogspot.com/2008/08/best-pitchers-in-major-leagues.html

But his 2.54 and 2.59 ERA’s of the past couple years are just not realistic. Last year it was a 5.8% HR/FB rate, now its his LOB%. He hasn’t shown an actual ability to strand runners, as his 77.6 LOB% is right on line with his overall skill and 3.46 FIP.

]]> By: Eric Seidman http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38511 Eric Seidman Mon, 04 Aug 2008 20:47:45 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38511 We talked about this a week or two ago on one of Dave's posts, in that even though Peavy is, well, awesome, an 84.5% LOB is utterly ridiculous for a starter. I think that Peavy can well sustain an LOB between 79-81 this year, which would be better than just about everyone else, but an 84.5-85% rate would be a surprise. His BABIP may rise ever so slightly, which could lower his LOB rate ever so slightly as well; but as I mentioned, these regressions would be slight and won't truly worsen his overall numbers. We talked about this a week or two ago on one of Dave’s posts, in that even though Peavy is, well, awesome, an 84.5% LOB is utterly ridiculous for a starter. I think that Peavy can well sustain an LOB between 79-81 this year, which would be better than just about everyone else, but an 84.5-85% rate would be a surprise. His BABIP may rise ever so slightly, which could lower his LOB rate ever so slightly as well; but as I mentioned, these regressions would be slight and won’t truly worsen his overall numbers.

]]> By: Scappy http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38510 Scappy Mon, 04 Aug 2008 20:36:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dont-neglect-the-jakester/#comment-38510 With a guy that has Peavy's skill pitching in the park that he does I think it is a little more likely that he can maintain the insane LOB rate he has. In 04 he stranded 83.9% while having a BABIP of 310. I know 310 is only a bit above average, but knock 20 points off his BABIP in 04 and he would have had an even higher LOB rate. With a guy that has Peavy’s skill pitching in the park that he does I think it is a little more likely that he can maintain the insane LOB rate he has. In 04 he stranded 83.9% while having a BABIP of 310. I know 310 is only a bit above average, but knock 20 points off his BABIP in 04 and he would have had an even higher LOB rate.

]]>