Comments on: Free Seth Smith http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 10:52:49 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Paul F. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-101712 Paul F. Sat, 10 Oct 2009 02:27:44 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-101712 The playoffs are here, and this post is still all-too-relevant. The playoffs are here, and this post is still all-too-relevant.

]]> By: Tom http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-90296 Tom Tue, 11 Aug 2009 18:32:19 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-90296 I am hoping that smith is our long term answer at 1st but who knows this team is a bit schitzo but they are winning that said atkins should have been moved a long time ago I am hoping that smith is our long term answer at 1st but who knows this team is a bit schitzo but they are winning that said atkins should have been moved a long time ago

]]> By: Drew http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-90280 Drew Tue, 11 Aug 2009 17:39:59 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-90280 He's the best one though, at least this year... To me, it makes no sense. He’s the best one though, at least this year… To me, it makes no sense.

]]> By: wobatus http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-90266 wobatus Tue, 11 Aug 2009 16:54:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-90266 Yup. That is a crowded outfield. Yup. That is a crowded outfield.

]]> By: Drew http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-90060 Drew Mon, 10 Aug 2009 16:21:54 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-90060 Looks like Smith is out, again. Looks like Smith is out, again.

]]> By: RebelCub http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-82548 RebelCub Sun, 28 Jun 2009 21:22:10 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-82548 A video spoof: "Hitler wants Seth Smith to start" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GiU-ncNbGGQ A video spoof: “Hitler wants Seth Smith to start”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GiU-ncNbGGQ

]]> By: miked http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-82520 miked Sun, 28 Jun 2009 09:15:36 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-82520 Spilbourghs is a great baseball player.. hes got good speed swings a good bat and he knows what hes doing on the field. smith has alot more up swing but so does cargo. cargo by the seasons end (if they stick with him) will be a very good 5 tool player.. i say poor Spilbourghs hasnt been able to get a full time gig his whole career. but smith was at one time their best hitting prospect being compared to helton.. Spilbourghs is a great baseball player.. hes got good speed swings a good bat and he knows what hes doing on the field. smith has alot more up swing but so does cargo. cargo by the seasons end (if they stick with him) will be a very good 5 tool player.. i say poor Spilbourghs hasnt been able to get a full time gig his whole career. but smith was at one time their best hitting prospect being compared to helton..

]]> By: Blue http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-82447 Blue Sat, 27 Jun 2009 07:54:20 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-82447 I've been harping on about this lately, and one thing to note, albeit in a very small sample size, Smith is an absolute butcher in RF (to the tune of -38/150 UZR) but is good in left (24.4/150), and while the samples are small, a 50+ UZR/150 gap is indicative of him being much better in left. Also, his discipline numbers are phenomenal. O-swing 15.5%, Z-swing 64.6%, Z-contact% 88.1%. For comparison purposes, Manny Ramirez has an O-swing of 16.9%, Z-swing 69.7% Z-contact 86.2%. Carlos Gonzales has an O-swing of 32.6% I'm not saying that Seth Smith is Manny Ramirez, he doesn't really have that kind of long ball talent, but he's very capable of throwing together a .280/.380/.450 with 20+ dingers line, and I think that's on the low side of it. He's a solid 1 or 2 guy in the lineup, who gets on base a lot and has fairly good speed. He's got a poor arm, but seems to play the outfield well, and while he's horrendous in right, he's above average in left. His minor leagues splits suggest that he maintains a decent average and ups his discipline for the most part against lefties, but loses a lot of his power, to the tune of a .260/.380/.380 line against them vs. a .340/.400/.590 line vs. righties. Combine that with Spilly's career .319/.392/.520 line against lefties, and i think we have a great situation in left, really, if we could just get tracy to stop drooling over Gonzalez. I know that he's who we got for Holliday, but he's not who we need in the lineup, Clint Barmes makes me lose enough hair swinging at shitty pitches, and Gonzalez is from the same mold. And Wobatus, I'm a big fan of Spilly, but I think that Smith is a much more legitimate talent. In 800 plate appearances in AAA he put up a .319/.394/.527 line, and while that is at a very hitter friendly park in a hitter friendly league, he also put up a 15% bb rate his second time through, and he would be playing 81 games at Coors. I’ve been harping on about this lately, and one thing to note, albeit in a very small sample size, Smith is an absolute butcher in RF (to the tune of -38/150 UZR) but is good in left (24.4/150), and while the samples are small, a 50+ UZR/150 gap is indicative of him being much better in left.

Also, his discipline numbers are phenomenal. O-swing 15.5%, Z-swing 64.6%, Z-contact% 88.1%. For comparison purposes, Manny Ramirez has an O-swing of 16.9%, Z-swing 69.7% Z-contact 86.2%. Carlos Gonzales has an O-swing of 32.6%

I’m not saying that Seth Smith is Manny Ramirez, he doesn’t really have that kind of long ball talent, but he’s very capable of throwing together a .280/.380/.450 with 20+ dingers line, and I think that’s on the low side of it. He’s a solid 1 or 2 guy in the lineup, who gets on base a lot and has fairly good speed. He’s got a poor arm, but seems to play the outfield well, and while he’s horrendous in right, he’s above average in left. His minor leagues splits suggest that he maintains a decent average and ups his discipline for the most part against lefties, but loses a lot of his power, to the tune of a .260/.380/.380 line against them vs. a .340/.400/.590 line vs. righties. Combine that with Spilly’s career .319/.392/.520 line against lefties, and i think we have a great situation in left, really, if we could just get tracy to stop drooling over Gonzalez. I know that he’s who we got for Holliday, but he’s not who we need in the lineup, Clint Barmes makes me lose enough hair swinging at shitty pitches, and Gonzalez is from the same mold.

And Wobatus, I’m a big fan of Spilly, but I think that Smith is a much more legitimate talent. In 800 plate appearances in AAA he put up a .319/.394/.527 line, and while that is at a very hitter friendly park in a hitter friendly league, he also put up a 15% bb rate his second time through, and he would be playing 81 games at Coors.

]]> By: puck http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-82324 puck Fri, 26 Jun 2009 15:43:17 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-82324 "The Rockies have been almost totally playing Smith against RHP, there must be a reason for that." Yes, this is due to the logjam in the OF rather than some perception he can't hit lefties. (E.g. while they try to get the platoon advantage with their PH's, they did send Smith up against David Price.) “The Rockies have been almost totally playing Smith against RHP, there must be a reason for that.”

Yes, this is due to the logjam in the OF rather than some perception he can’t hit lefties. (E.g. while they try to get the platoon advantage with their PH’s, they did send Smith up against David Price.)

]]> By: puck http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/free-seth-smith/#comment-82319 puck Fri, 26 Jun 2009 15:37:53 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5878#comment-82319 Yeah, seeing them at 10/150 or (much) worse 3 seasons in a row is kind of scary. From observation, he doesn't look that bad to me, esp. given that he's in LF instead of RF as he was in those 3 horrible minor league seasons. (That is, with LF having less difficult throws and the avg LF'er being worse than the avg RF'er.) He was a backup QB at Ole Miss, but his throws have looked horrible so far. If his throws this season are indicative, he might have been -5 or -10 with the arm by itself. Yeah, seeing them at 10/150 or (much) worse 3 seasons in a row is kind of scary. From observation, he doesn’t look that bad to me, esp. given that he’s in LF instead of RF as he was in those 3 horrible minor league seasons. (That is, with LF having less difficult throws and the avg LF’er being worse than the avg RF’er.)

He was a backup QB at Ole Miss, but his throws have looked horrible so far. If his throws this season are indicative, he might have been -5 or -10 with the arm by itself.

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