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Get to Know: RE24

RE24 (runs above average by the 24 base/out states): RE24 is the difference in run expectancy (RE) between the start of the play and the end of the play. That difference is then credited/debited to the batter and the pitcher. Over the course of the season, each players’ RE24 for individual plays is added up to get his season total RE24.

Calculation Example
: In game 4 of the 2007 World Series, the RE for the Red Sox to start the inning was .52. When Jacoby Ellsbury doubled off Aaron Cook in the very first at-bat in the game, the Red Sox were then expected to score 1.15 runs for the rest of the inning. The difference or RE24 was .63 runs. Ellsbury was credited +.63 runs and Aaron Cook credited with -.63 runs.

Why you should care: RE24 tells you how many runs a player contributed to his team. It’s similar to WPA (except in runs), but unlike WPA it does not take into account the inning or score of the game. Therefore, it is a more context neutral statistic. It does however take into account how many runners are on base and how many outs are left in the inning.

Variations: REW (run expectancy wins) is RE24 converted to wins.

Links and Resources:

Run Expectancy by Run Environment
The Book Wiki: Run Expectancy



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David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs.

5 Responses to “Get to Know: RE24”

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  1. Samg says:

    What about REW/boLI?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Peter Jensen says:

    What RE table are you using to calculate the stat? RE for each individual year, by league, or an accumulation of years?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Ian A. says:

    Here’s a question that has bothered me for a while regarding RE24.

    If there is a runner on second with two outs, according to “The Book”, you have an RE of 0.325. If the batter hits a single, scoring the runner, the new RE is 0.216.

    RE24 would have a pretty glaring flaw if there isn’t something to account for the runner scoring, thus reducing the RE according to base/out states. I would hate to think such a useful statistic could be so easily flummoxed.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Ian A. says:

    Answered my own question by emailing the authors of “The Book”

    “Yes, you have to add 1 for each run.

    http://www.tangotiger.net/lwbymob.htm

    Tom”

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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