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	<title>Comments on: Nick Johnson to New York</title>
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	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/</link>
	<description>Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary</description>
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		<title>By: noseeum</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-118200</link>
		<dc:creator>noseeum</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2010 21:36:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-118200</guid>
		<description>You&#039;re right.  Who in their right mind would want the hitters on their team to get on base more often?  Screw OBP!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re right.  Who in their right mind would want the hitters on their team to get on base more often?  Screw OBP!</p>
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		<title>By: Twasp</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-118127</link>
		<dc:creator>Twasp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2010 09:10:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-118127</guid>
		<description>Enough with obp! The new dh and lf are not half the players Damon and matsui were. Shrewd???? Stupid is more like it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Enough with obp! The new dh and lf are not half the players Damon and matsui were. Shrewd???? Stupid is more like it.</p>
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		<title>By: t-lonious munk</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115450</link>
		<dc:creator>t-lonious munk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 16:58:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115450</guid>
		<description>Water&#039;s premise is further muddied by the fact that the you can&#039;t quantify baseball in so binary a way. The yankees beat their projections by something like 3-4 games which isn&#039;t surprising given standing projections seldom hit the nail right on the head. The idea that because they slightly over performed on their pythagorean and preseason projections one season, which is hardly unusual, has any bearing on how they perform next season is silly. The season to season  performances are independent of one another, its intro to stat right there.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Water&#8217;s premise is further muddied by the fact that the you can&#8217;t quantify baseball in so binary a way. The yankees beat their projections by something like 3-4 games which isn&#8217;t surprising given standing projections seldom hit the nail right on the head. The idea that because they slightly over performed on their pythagorean and preseason projections one season, which is hardly unusual, has any bearing on how they perform next season is silly. The season to season  performances are independent of one another, its intro to stat right there.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115365</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 02:39:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115365</guid>
		<description>so a one year deal should be perfect then, since he&#039;s playing for his NEXT contract, right?

man, the MFWCY are smart.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>so a one year deal should be perfect then, since he&#8217;s playing for his NEXT contract, right?</p>
<p>man, the MFWCY are smart.</p>
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		<title>By: RollingWave</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115364</link>
		<dc:creator>RollingWave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 02:35:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115364</guid>
		<description>Dirty Water, let&#039;s just point out the obvious.

Your basically saying that the chances of the Yankees tossing coin heads up twice is 25% thus they&#039;ll probably end up as tail. the problem is, since the first head is already tossed, the chances of them tossing head again this year is in fact 50%.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dirty Water, let&#8217;s just point out the obvious.</p>
<p>Your basically saying that the chances of the Yankees tossing coin heads up twice is 25% thus they&#8217;ll probably end up as tail. the problem is, since the first head is already tossed, the chances of them tossing head again this year is in fact 50%.</p>
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		<title>By: CircleChange11</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115362</link>
		<dc:creator>CircleChange11</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 01:58:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115362</guid>
		<description>There&#039;s also still the suspicion that NYY will make a play for Holliday.

Whether they will or won&#039;t, I don&#039;t know ... but I&#039;ll believe they really &quot;are not interested&quot;, when Holliday signs with another team and/or NYY never makes an offer.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s also still the suspicion that NYY will make a play for Holliday.</p>
<p>Whether they will or won&#8217;t, I don&#8217;t know &#8230; but I&#8217;ll believe they really &#8220;are not interested&#8221;, when Holliday signs with another team and/or NYY never makes an offer.</p>
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		<title>By: House in a valley</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115358</link>
		<dc:creator>House in a valley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 01:07:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115358</guid>
		<description>The irrational bosox fan is claiming that because they yankees may not mean it when they say they have a budget that cashman is a poor GM?I don&#039;t get that at all. It&#039;s a good move, it&#039;s allowing the Yankees to justify to FAs why they won&#039;t ove pay for services. Who cares what the motivation behind thier moves is, it&#039;s a sound policy. 

The Yankees are getting better, you may not want them to, and that&#039;s a common theme around baseball, but that doesn&#039;t mean they won&#039;t spend millions of dollars every year to piss off people like you. On the bright side, there are 162 games left to play before we&#039;ll know who&#039;s in the playoffs and who&#039;s not.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The irrational bosox fan is claiming that because they yankees may not mean it when they say they have a budget that cashman is a poor GM?I don&#8217;t get that at all. It&#8217;s a good move, it&#8217;s allowing the Yankees to justify to FAs why they won&#8217;t ove pay for services. Who cares what the motivation behind thier moves is, it&#8217;s a sound policy. </p>
<p>The Yankees are getting better, you may not want them to, and that&#8217;s a common theme around baseball, but that doesn&#8217;t mean they won&#8217;t spend millions of dollars every year to piss off people like you. On the bright side, there are 162 games left to play before we&#8217;ll know who&#8217;s in the playoffs and who&#8217;s not.</p>
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		<title>By: Dirty Water</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115354</link>
		<dc:creator>Dirty Water</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 00:09:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115354</guid>
		<description>Later, like when FG has some topic dealing with the Yanks tying up $190 mil on 75% their roster, still incomplete, and how that does not mesh with their their talk about having an actual budget.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Later, like when FG has some topic dealing with the Yanks tying up $190 mil on 75% their roster, still incomplete, and how that does not mesh with their their talk about having an actual budget.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115349</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 23:43:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115349</guid>
		<description>So Cashman is the roster construction retard, but the Red Sox are trying to basically give away Mike Lowell to no success.. All this while giving away Crisp last year.  Mmmmmkay.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So Cashman is the roster construction retard, but the Red Sox are trying to basically give away Mike Lowell to no success.. All this while giving away Crisp last year.  Mmmmmkay.</p>
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		<title>By: pete</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-johnson-to-new-york/#comment-115312</link>
		<dc:creator>pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 18:14:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=13419#comment-115312</guid>
		<description>Everything did NOT go &quot;so perfectly&quot; - not by a long shot. Certain things - teix&#039;s and CC&#039;s early season slumps, Joba&#039;s season-ending slump, the bullpen in April and early May, AJ&#039;s inconsistency, to name a few - went wrong but only a fool wouldn&#039;t have expected them to. But the yankees also suffered their fair share of setbacks last year - Wang out for the season, Nady out for the season, A-Rod missing a month and not getting back to 100% until the end of June, molina sucking on defense. Having Nady on the bench all year would have enabled us to avoid Swisher&#039;s slumps somewhat (not a knock on Swisher, who i think is a terrific player, but Girardi seems to manage offensive and bullpen depth to perfection), A-Rod was worth about .5 WAR in the first three months of the season, whereas in that span he&#039;s typically closer to 3-4 WAR, his defense suffered in the beginning of the season too from the hip injury. A full season of Wang at 100% would have made AJ our 3rd starter and Mitre/Gaudin wouldnt&#039; have needed to pitch and Joba wouldn&#039;t have needed to pitch in the postseason, so instead of shitting the bed at the end of the year they could have had mitre or aceves fill in for him after he hit his innings cap. That&#039;s not to say that the yankees got bit by the bad luck bug last year - I&#039;d say they had slightly more good luck than bad, considering the high walkoff totals and excellent years from older players. But things were far from perfect - I think you&#039;re underselling just how well constructed that roster was. They got nothing from their #2 starter or their 9th best hitter (who has typically been as good as most teams&#039; 5th or 6th best in his career). Had everything gone &quot;perfectly&quot; for them, as you said it did, they&#039;d have been closer to 115 wins than 100.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everything did NOT go &#8220;so perfectly&#8221; &#8211; not by a long shot. Certain things &#8211; teix&#8217;s and CC&#8217;s early season slumps, Joba&#8217;s season-ending slump, the bullpen in April and early May, AJ&#8217;s inconsistency, to name a few &#8211; went wrong but only a fool wouldn&#8217;t have expected them to. But the yankees also suffered their fair share of setbacks last year &#8211; Wang out for the season, Nady out for the season, A-Rod missing a month and not getting back to 100% until the end of June, molina sucking on defense. Having Nady on the bench all year would have enabled us to avoid Swisher&#8217;s slumps somewhat (not a knock on Swisher, who i think is a terrific player, but Girardi seems to manage offensive and bullpen depth to perfection), A-Rod was worth about .5 WAR in the first three months of the season, whereas in that span he&#8217;s typically closer to 3-4 WAR, his defense suffered in the beginning of the season too from the hip injury. A full season of Wang at 100% would have made AJ our 3rd starter and Mitre/Gaudin wouldnt&#8217; have needed to pitch and Joba wouldn&#8217;t have needed to pitch in the postseason, so instead of shitting the bed at the end of the year they could have had mitre or aceves fill in for him after he hit his innings cap. That&#8217;s not to say that the yankees got bit by the bad luck bug last year &#8211; I&#8217;d say they had slightly more good luck than bad, considering the high walkoff totals and excellent years from older players. But things were far from perfect &#8211; I think you&#8217;re underselling just how well constructed that roster was. They got nothing from their #2 starter or their 9th best hitter (who has typically been as good as most teams&#8217; 5th or 6th best in his career). Had everything gone &#8220;perfectly&#8221; for them, as you said it did, they&#8217;d have been closer to 115 wins than 100.</p>
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