Comments on: NLCS Coverage: The World Series Returns to Philly http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Mon, 13 Feb 2012 01:42:02 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Joe R http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103656 Joe R Fri, 23 Oct 2009 17:17:49 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103656 and I take this back, I obviously missed out on Girardi's pinch running stunt. I was out, I have an excuse. and I take this back, I obviously missed out on Girardi’s pinch running stunt.

I was out, I have an excuse.

]]> By: Joe R http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103653 Joe R Fri, 23 Oct 2009 17:14:27 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103653 Has no one made reference to that fact that Torre gets paid 4x the league average to manage a ballclub, and for this money, he benches Orlando Hudson for Ronnie Belliard and puts a pitcher who's been historically bad in his career vs. lefties against the Phillies lineup based on a miniscule snapshot of games relative to his career numbers? I miss Torre and his occasionally mind boggling decisions. Now Red Sox fans have to watch a sane, rational man in Joe Girardi operate, who doesn't insert Chad Gaudin into the starting rotation in the postseason because of going 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA in September. Has no one made reference to that fact that Torre gets paid 4x the league average to manage a ballclub, and for this money, he benches Orlando Hudson for Ronnie Belliard and puts a pitcher who’s been historically bad in his career vs. lefties against the Phillies lineup based on a miniscule snapshot of games relative to his career numbers?

I miss Torre and his occasionally mind boggling decisions. Now Red Sox fans have to watch a sane, rational man in Joe Girardi operate, who doesn’t insert Chad Gaudin into the starting rotation in the postseason because of going 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA in September.

]]> By: phanatic http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103495 phanatic Thu, 22 Oct 2009 19:45:16 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103495 i should say "due in part" clearly age could have caught up with him regardless if he was still cheating. i just don't think it is a coincidence. i should say “due in part” clearly age could have caught up with him regardless if he was still cheating. i just don’t think it is a coincidence.

]]> By: phanatic http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103494 phanatic Thu, 22 Oct 2009 19:44:25 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103494 why does no one attribute the fact that manny can't hit the inside fastball due to age and lack of perform enhancers. i'm well aware of the studies showing performance enhancers show negligible effects on performance, but i firmly believe that manny's age is all of a sudden catching up with him due to his drug bust earlier this year. why does no one attribute the fact that manny can’t hit the inside fastball due to age and lack of perform enhancers.

i’m well aware of the studies showing performance enhancers show negligible effects on performance, but i firmly believe that manny’s age is all of a sudden catching up with him due to his drug bust earlier this year.

]]> By: Wally http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103474 Wally Thu, 22 Oct 2009 18:29:52 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103474 The one's he couldn't hit were off the plate inside. So, it seems his problem is swinging at those pitches, not that he can't hit them. The one’s he couldn’t hit were off the plate inside. So, it seems his problem is swinging at those pitches, not that he can’t hit them.

]]> By: Wally http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103473 Wally Thu, 22 Oct 2009 18:28:42 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103473 Right, forgot about that one. Right, forgot about that one.

]]> By: Bill http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103469 Bill Thu, 22 Oct 2009 18:15:56 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103469 Two double plays actually, once the ball flipped out of his hand when he was throwing. Two double plays actually, once the ball flipped out of his hand when he was throwing.

]]> By: Wally http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103460 Wally Thu, 22 Oct 2009 17:51:18 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103460 Not that it would have really changed much, but he botch a double play by first acting like he was going to flip it to Furcal but then deciding to take it himself. At that however, Furcal was in the way. It didn't end up costing a run (if I remember right), but it was an out you didn't get, meaning the pitcher is going to have to work harder and it just gets the big bats up faster. Not that it would have really changed much, but he botch a double play by first acting like he was going to flip it to Furcal but then deciding to take it himself. At that however, Furcal was in the way. It didn’t end up costing a run (if I remember right), but it was an out you didn’t get, meaning the pitcher is going to have to work harder and it just gets the big bats up faster.

]]> By: Wally http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103457 Wally Thu, 22 Oct 2009 17:46:59 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103457 Bob, I find it rather disingenuous to only use the NLCS data to determine which pitchers would have been best suited to start. While its true Kershaw and Billinglsey did not impress, they were both forced to pitch out of the bullpen Kershaw for 2 of his total 6 2/3 IP, where he gave up 2 runs), something neither of them is used to. Second, why only look at the roughly 3, 6 and 10 IP samples from Billinglsey, Kershaw and Padilla to make a comparison? Kershaw had a 3.08 FIP this year, and Padilla had a 4.45 FIP. If we swapped Kershaw for Padilla in that 4 IP difference between them, we would expect him to preform better than Padilla. And even if we just look at Billingsley's second half FIP, he does better than Padilla over the entire season with a 4.28. And all this ignores the platoon splits. Padilla is horrific against left handed batters with an .837 OPS against. Billingsley has a .712, and Kershaw a .486. Plus, you also set up a false choice. Wolf was yet another pitcher that could have been used twice instead of once. Giving so many innings to Padilla was a mistake. He succeeded in one game, but pretty much completely lost another game all by himself. And just looking at what the players did in the rolls they were assigned does not tell us what would have happened had things been different. But I'm going to say that it most likely things would have been better for the dodgers if the better pitchers had thrown more innings. Bob, I find it rather disingenuous to only use the NLCS data to determine which pitchers would have been best suited to start. While its true Kershaw and Billinglsey did not impress, they were both forced to pitch out of the bullpen Kershaw for 2 of his total 6 2/3 IP, where he gave up 2 runs), something neither of them is used to. Second, why only look at the roughly 3, 6 and 10 IP samples from Billinglsey, Kershaw and Padilla to make a comparison? Kershaw had a 3.08 FIP this year, and Padilla had a 4.45 FIP. If we swapped Kershaw for Padilla in that 4 IP difference between them, we would expect him to preform better than Padilla. And even if we just look at Billingsley’s second half FIP, he does better than Padilla over the entire season with a 4.28. And all this ignores the platoon splits. Padilla is horrific against left handed batters with an .837 OPS against. Billingsley has a .712, and Kershaw a .486. Plus, you also set up a false choice. Wolf was yet another pitcher that could have been used twice instead of once.

Giving so many innings to Padilla was a mistake. He succeeded in one game, but pretty much completely lost another game all by himself. And just looking at what the players did in the rolls they were assigned does not tell us what would have happened had things been different. But I’m going to say that it most likely things would have been better for the dodgers if the better pitchers had thrown more innings.

]]> By: Calculator http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nlcs-coverage-the-world-series-returns-to-philly/#comment-103455 Calculator Thu, 22 Oct 2009 17:43:04 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=10605#comment-103455 My impression was that the Phils were unnecessarily ginger with Belliard especially when he was hitting in front of Ethier and he worked some counts and got on base a bit. But, I looked at the numbers and he only got on base at like a .280 clip, sooo I guess I was wrong. I don't recall his defense really costing them anything, though. My impression was that the Phils were unnecessarily ginger with Belliard especially when he was hitting in front of Ethier and he worked some counts and got on base a bit. But, I looked at the numbers and he only got on base at like a .280 clip, sooo I guess I was wrong. I don’t recall his defense really costing them anything, though.

]]>