Comments on: Numbers as Narrative: Bell, Hernandez, Pujols

By: Tommy Landry

Tommy Landry — Wed, 31 Mar 2010 16:47:40 +0000

The K rates are important, but even more important to Hernandez’s potential success are his HR rate and BB/9.

At AAA he had the following stats
HR/9 = 0.78
BB/9 = 2.83

Major league stats from 2009
HR/9 = 2.40
BB/9 = 4.09

Also look at his HR/FB in the majors (14.8%) and you can see that HR/9 will come down. The BB/9 is still a wild card, as he had good and bad seasons in the minors. Based on the spring, he appears to be showing good control and command.

I think he’s a great sleeper for deep leagues. This is supported by his FIP of 3.52 or less at all minor league levels from A+ to AAA.

That said, he’s not a frontline type until he gets his BB/9 consistently under 3.

The biggest concern should be his potential IP. He has never pitched 150 innings in a season, so I could see them running him hard early and then moving him to the pen when Tillman comes up. No need to send back to AAA since he’s been around a few years already.

By: Reuben

Reuben — Sat, 26 Sep 2009 07:56:03 +0000

At best steroids could turn a good player into a really good player or a really good one into a great one. Not a nobody into the God of baseball. He’s one of the best hitters OAT even if he has been using and the evidence points to him not having used.

By: Luke C.

Luke C. — Thu, 24 Sep 2009 15:41:23 +0000

Told u I read it. Didn’t seem like u believed me

By: Alex JN

Alex JN — Thu, 24 Sep 2009 12:06:41 +0000

I agreed, I found this a pleasant/enjoyable article.

By: Nate

Nate — Thu, 24 Sep 2009 03:49:03 +0000

Great post!

I have to admit, I was a bit hesitant to read this after reading your first couple posts (I haven’t read your two most recent) but I really, really enjoyed this post. I think you may have found your stride.

Keep up the good work.

By: CH

CH — Thu, 24 Sep 2009 01:46:22 +0000

Pujols’ head deserves to be on ice right next to Ted Williams when he dies.

By: Joe R

Joe R — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 20:55:08 +0000

I’m pretty sure Wrighteous is just trolling at this point.

Which is ironic because we all love to argue and don’t really care if we’re trollbaited into it.

By: neuter_your_dogma

neuter_your_dogma — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 19:44:57 +0000

Actually, Teddy wasn’t a bad athlete and in his prime could likely kick the butt of any other elected president (Ford wasn’t elected). As for William Howard Taft…

By: NBarnes

NBarnes — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 18:40:03 +0000

I totally agree. After all, it’s been so well established that using PEDs turns you into Stan Musial. Look at all the guys that used in the minors and the next day were leading MLB in OPS+. It’s happened so many times. That’s why Pujols’ numbers don’t really stand out, in context. Anybody could do what he did, if they were willing to be a big dirty cheating cheater McCheatpants like Pujols.

By: NBarnes

NBarnes — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 18:38:23 +0000

“Albert Pujols, Crusher, St. Louis”

Rated +1 Made of Win