Offseason Notes: Charlie Blackmon > Brandon Belt
This edition of Offseason Notes contains:
1. An invitation to take my, Carson Cistulli’s, money.
2. Some notable ZiPS projections for the Florida Marlins.
and
3. By popular demand, the return of the Bryce Harper Watch.
SCOUT Batting Leaderboard
The Leaderboard
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League. (Click here for more on SCOUT, the metric that’s “sweeping” the “nation.”)
Notes
• Charlie Blackmon‘s AFL motto is veni, vidi, vici. He has a .279/.375/.459 line, but the same exact number of home runs as stikeouts (three) in 71 PA. In the event that you don’t recall, I sung his praises recently in these electronic pages.
• In the first installment of Offseason Notes, Cleveland prospect Jason Kipnis was third on the SCOUT leaderboard (with 0.31 mark) despite a slash line of .184/.231/.469. Nine days later, he’s still in the top 10 (fifth, at 0.40), but with an improved line: .217/.277/.533.
• Brandon Belt is slashing .366/.425/.592, but his SCOUT is a mere -0.24, situating him at 64 of 74. It’s very likely not time to sound any sort of alarm; however, I’ll make a bet with someone that Charlie Blackmon outhits him. Anyone?
SCOUT Pitching Leaderboard
The Leaderboard
Same verse, very similar to the first.
Meet Ryan Verdugo
Scottsdale’s Ryan Verdugo went straight to the top of the SCOUT pitching charts last night after doing this against the Phoenix Desert Dogs: 17 BF, 4.0 IP, 3 BB, 9 K. He’s made all of one start in his minor league career, which began in 2008 after being drafted in the ninth round by San Francisco. He has 167 K in 113.0 IP across four levels, most recently in the High-A California League.
Projections: ZiPS for Florida
Beloved Pole Dan Szymborski has published his ZiPS projections for the Florida Marlins. Below are some of the notable ones. (All numbers assume major league competition. OPS+ and ERA+ are park-adjusted.)
Behold, the future:
• Logan Morrison, 1B, 23: .284/.372/.452, 116 OPS+. That’s a good thing to have from a very cost-controlled player.
• Mike Stanton, RF, 21: .246/.327/.493, 112 OPS+. Home runs! Thirty-six (36) of them!
• Josh Johnson, RHP, 27: 2.87 ERA, 28 G, 28 GS, 179.0 IP, 11 HR, 47 BB, 173 K, 147 ERA+. Cliff Lee was a 141 ERA+, for reference.
Bryce Harper Watch
Harper is having a strange fall. In his most recent game, he went 2-for-5 with two triples and two strikeouts. He’s batting .357/.419/.679 despite having K’d in just about a third of his plate appearances.
1
“I’ll make a bet with someone that Charlie Blackmon outhits him.”
Do you mean at the big-league level, or in the AFL? I’ll eat my hat if Blackmon outhits Belt in the majors.
Also, yay, Ryan Verdugo!
i was thinking the same question.
Carson’s future son-in-law, Dustin Ackley, is putting up video game numbers.
I didn’t know Cliff Lee could hit so well.
Ack! Damn you! Fixed now!
my goooodness, that was the bestist article ever. Thank you Cavson, you roole! You are the greatest ever, please keep writing more like this. And more pictures +Infinity!
I once heard John Thompson griping about on his radio show about “electric mail” and how he doesn’t understand or use it of course. That was about five years ago and it still makes me giggle.
Does anyone else read Charlie Blackmon’s name in a Jamaican accent?
I read it as The Reverend C. Charles Blackmon, friend of The Apostle, E.F.
I’ll take that bet. Who the heck is Charlie Blackmon? Brandon Belt will be an all-star by the time anyone knows anything about that guy. Hilarious, what the heck is this SCOUT stuff? Anything like the SABR stuff all these baseball geeks are chatting up? Yup, that’s what baseball is all about, meaningless stats. Of course, i disagree, but whatever.
I think it’s hilarious that you felt the need to add the “I disagree” part at the end. Uh, the mockery pretty much gave that away. You came to a graph-based stats analysis site and are surprised to see “meaningless statistics”. Heh Heh.
You need to learn what metrics are used for entertainment purposes and which are used for the primary analysis. Don’t create a strawman by taking a stat from one group and evaluating it as another.
You not understanding something and it being meaningless are two completely different things.
Relax, it’s the off-season. Have some fun. Fun goddamit.
“Brandon Belt will be an all-star by the time anyone knows anything about that guy.”
That’s going to be awfully tough, considering both will be in AAA in 2011 with a midseason callup. Surely people will have heard of Blackmon when he’s a major league player in 2011.
Carson is “sin duda” the worst writer on this site – absolutely atrocious.
Aw, this was a really nice post. In idea I wish to put in writing like this moreover ?taking time and precise effort to make an excellent article?however what can I say?I procrastinate alot and by no means seem to get one thing done.