<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd"
xmlns:rawvoice="http://www.rawvoice.com/rawvoiceRssModule/"
	>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Pitcher Win Values Explained: Part Two</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/</link>
	<description>Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 13 Feb 2012 01:42:02 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Dylan</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-1079494</link>
		<dc:creator>Dylan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Sep 2011 05:01:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-1079494</guid>
		<description>Would it make sense to give strikeouts a little more value since if a pitcher is missing that many bats, it would result in a lower BABIP, for which the pitcher is not collecting any bonuses in this formula?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would it make sense to give strikeouts a little more value since if a pitcher is missing that many bats, it would result in a lower BABIP, for which the pitcher is not collecting any bonuses in this formula?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Matthias</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-338804</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthias</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Nov 2010 11:06:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-338804</guid>
		<description>&quot;If a pitcher had a 1/1 K/BB ratio, and walked 3 and K’d 3 every inning (assuming an unrealistic no contact rate) he would never allow a run.&quot;

That&#039;s a limitation of linear weights metrics, but you addressed the problem yourself, I think. No pitcher records 3 Ks and 3 BBs per inning. Pitchers are generally found in ranges that can be modeled very well by linear regression. I think there have been some conjectures as to how pitchers at the extremes might not be valued as well by linear scaling, but I haven&#039;t seen a full study/article. Extrapolation (going outside the range of the bulk of the data) can always present problems. Perhaps there is a non-linear regression out there somewhere that fits pitchers even better...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;If a pitcher had a 1/1 K/BB ratio, and walked 3 and K’d 3 every inning (assuming an unrealistic no contact rate) he would never allow a run.&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s a limitation of linear weights metrics, but you addressed the problem yourself, I think. No pitcher records 3 Ks and 3 BBs per inning. Pitchers are generally found in ranges that can be modeled very well by linear regression. I think there have been some conjectures as to how pitchers at the extremes might not be valued as well by linear scaling, but I haven&#8217;t seen a full study/article. Extrapolation (going outside the range of the bulk of the data) can always present problems. Perhaps there is a non-linear regression out there somewhere that fits pitchers even better&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: The Real Neal</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-338335</link>
		<dc:creator>The Real Neal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Nov 2010 00:45:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-338335</guid>
		<description>There are people who gave reasons that they believe tRA is better than FIP (and as Baseball Prospectus showed earlier this year, they were correct), but you never addressed it.  You only reply to the comments that don&#039;t offer &quot;evidence&quot;.

If a pitcher pitches in a small ballpark and gives up a fly ball, that&#039;s an undesirable outcome.  If  a pitcher pitches in a big ballpark and gives up a ground ball (with no one on), that is an undesirable outcome.  The face that FIP excludes certain fly balls, but not others, makes it a flawed statistic.

You say that FIP is best to use because it doesn&#039;t look at the performance of fielders.  It however, also excludes the ballpark, and most pitchers pitch half their games at the same ballpark.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are people who gave reasons that they believe tRA is better than FIP (and as Baseball Prospectus showed earlier this year, they were correct), but you never addressed it.  You only reply to the comments that don&#8217;t offer &#8220;evidence&#8221;.</p>
<p>If a pitcher pitches in a small ballpark and gives up a fly ball, that&#8217;s an undesirable outcome.  If  a pitcher pitches in a big ballpark and gives up a ground ball (with no one on), that is an undesirable outcome.  The face that FIP excludes certain fly balls, but not others, makes it a flawed statistic.</p>
<p>You say that FIP is best to use because it doesn&#8217;t look at the performance of fielders.  It however, also excludes the ballpark, and most pitchers pitch half their games at the same ballpark.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Adam</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-287174</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Oct 2010 15:06:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-287174</guid>
		<description>Also, I dont think that a walk is 1.5x as bad as a K is good...
4Ks for a run, but 3ks gets you out of the inning...  If a pitcher had a 1/1 K/BB ratio, and walked 3 and K&#039;d 3 every inning (assuming an unrealistic no contact rate) he would never allow a run. And if we assume a league average contact rate and a BABIP against of around .300, then that pitcher would have an ERA around 3 if a ball got put in play every inning (Dont jump all over the math its just a thought experiment).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also, I dont think that a walk is 1.5x as bad as a K is good&#8230;<br />
4Ks for a run, but 3ks gets you out of the inning&#8230;  If a pitcher had a 1/1 K/BB ratio, and walked 3 and K&#8217;d 3 every inning (assuming an unrealistic no contact rate) he would never allow a run. And if we assume a league average contact rate and a BABIP against of around .300, then that pitcher would have an ERA around 3 if a ball got put in play every inning (Dont jump all over the math its just a thought experiment).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Adam</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-287160</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Oct 2010 14:52:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-287160</guid>
		<description>and I agree with Cymbaliner, Dave and Tango are most certainly being &quot;snarky&quot;... It seems like they&#039;re thinking, &quot;This guy just doesn&#039;t understand my wonderful statistic, and he is wrong!&quot; rahter than thinking, &quot;Well, how could this stat more accurately reflect the things that the pitcher has control over?&quot;

I say include ball/strike ratio, not just BB, HBP and K, and find a way to successfully include the line drive/grounder numbers too.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and I agree with Cymbaliner, Dave and Tango are most certainly being &#8220;snarky&#8221;&#8230; It seems like they&#8217;re thinking, &#8220;This guy just doesn&#8217;t understand my wonderful statistic, and he is wrong!&#8221; rahter than thinking, &#8220;Well, how could this stat more accurately reflect the things that the pitcher has control over?&#8221;</p>
<p>I say include ball/strike ratio, not just BB, HBP and K, and find a way to successfully include the line drive/grounder numbers too.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Adam</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-287158</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Oct 2010 14:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-287158</guid>
		<description>Couldnt FIP be modified to include a line drive/ groundball metric if you think that sort of thing is necessary? How hard would it be to subtract line drive % from groundball %, or simply include both.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Couldnt FIP be modified to include a line drive/ groundball metric if you think that sort of thing is necessary? How hard would it be to subtract line drive % from groundball %, or simply include both.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: ludger</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-238366</link>
		<dc:creator>ludger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Sep 2010 02:36:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-238366</guid>
		<description>Can you tell me what is xfip?  Whatdoes the x stand for?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Can you tell me what is xfip?  Whatdoes the x stand for?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: cymbaliner</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-122975</link>
		<dc:creator>cymbaliner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jan 2010 23:21:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-122975</guid>
		<description>Dave Cameron and TangoTiger come off fairly poorly here.  Snowshoe and Mike come off as much more open to discussion and generally friendly.  Snowshoe&#039;s tone throughout, although critical, was nothing but congenial.  Dave and Tango&#039;s tone might be best described as &quot;snarky,&quot; although any choice of adjective is seemingly taken to town on this comment board.

There&#039;s no point in being a jerk on FanGraphs.  There&#039;s plenty of sites that cater to jerks, but a sabermetrics site shouldn&#039;t be one of those places.  Dave Cameron&#039;s work on this site stands on its own; he has nothing but my respect and that of countless others.

That said, Dave / Tango, if you don&#039;t think you&#039;re being a jerk here, then you might want to reassess what being a jerk means.  If you don&#039;t care about being a jerk then I have nothing to add and please retract these comments.  The thing that bugged me here is that both Dave and Tango seemed oblivious to their own condescending tone, as if they really had no clue that they were coming off as something less than friendly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dave Cameron and TangoTiger come off fairly poorly here.  Snowshoe and Mike come off as much more open to discussion and generally friendly.  Snowshoe&#8217;s tone throughout, although critical, was nothing but congenial.  Dave and Tango&#8217;s tone might be best described as &#8220;snarky,&#8221; although any choice of adjective is seemingly taken to town on this comment board.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no point in being a jerk on FanGraphs.  There&#8217;s plenty of sites that cater to jerks, but a sabermetrics site shouldn&#8217;t be one of those places.  Dave Cameron&#8217;s work on this site stands on its own; he has nothing but my respect and that of countless others.</p>
<p>That said, Dave / Tango, if you don&#8217;t think you&#8217;re being a jerk here, then you might want to reassess what being a jerk means.  If you don&#8217;t care about being a jerk then I have nothing to add and please retract these comments.  The thing that bugged me here is that both Dave and Tango seemed oblivious to their own condescending tone, as if they really had no clue that they were coming off as something less than friendly.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: pounded clown</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-101364</link>
		<dc:creator>pounded clown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2009 10:24:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-101364</guid>
		<description>I believe snowshoe commits the fallacy of petitio principii (begging the  question) which occurs when &quot;an attempt is made to evade the burden of proving one of the premises of an argument by basing it on the prior acceptance of the conclusion to be proved.&quot;  

While I enjoy the &quot;wisdom of the crowd &quot; or SME approach and I think it works best for this, it lacks the convience of an a codified structure that academia provides. I don&#039;t think proofs are in order,  but just showing  how the formulas for more complicated metrics are dervived might help a sap like me.  It&#039;s not a question of validity.  At first it was but as i stumbled around the site the last few months i concluded that,  just by the site&#039;s upkeep and the data volume, all done out a passion for quantifying baseball, you know what your doing.  For me knowing how  it ticks makes learning easier. Like how was FIP derived? Is there one book that I can buy, a sabrmetricians bible so to speak?  Also it can be daunting when you read about one metric and find a slew of other metrics its based on...for a beginner its frustrating.  It would be great to have a &quot;beginners start here section&quot; which is something the aforementioned structure provides albeit  with all the tedium and rigidity academia can pile on.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I believe snowshoe commits the fallacy of petitio principii (begging the  question) which occurs when &#8220;an attempt is made to evade the burden of proving one of the premises of an argument by basing it on the prior acceptance of the conclusion to be proved.&#8221;  </p>
<p>While I enjoy the &#8220;wisdom of the crowd &#8221; or SME approach and I think it works best for this, it lacks the convience of an a codified structure that academia provides. I don&#8217;t think proofs are in order,  but just showing  how the formulas for more complicated metrics are dervived might help a sap like me.  It&#8217;s not a question of validity.  At first it was but as i stumbled around the site the last few months i concluded that,  just by the site&#8217;s upkeep and the data volume, all done out a passion for quantifying baseball, you know what your doing.  For me knowing how  it ticks makes learning easier. Like how was FIP derived? Is there one book that I can buy, a sabrmetricians bible so to speak?  Also it can be daunting when you read about one metric and find a slew of other metrics its based on&#8230;for a beginner its frustrating.  It would be great to have a &#8220;beginners start here section&#8221; which is something the aforementioned structure provides albeit  with all the tedium and rigidity academia can pile on.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: lathevietezot</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitcher-win-values-explained-part-two/#comment-98599</link>
		<dc:creator>lathevietezot</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 15:57:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=2351#comment-98599</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://generichot.com&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;pholink&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://generichot.com" rel="nofollow">pholink</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

