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	<title>Comments on: Smoltz&#8217;s Playoff Role</title>
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	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/</link>
	<description>Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary</description>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99584</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 16:58:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99584</guid>
		<description>Teams with shaky bullpens don&#039;t win the World Series.

It&#039;s no coincidence that the lone WS title under this Cardinals regime came during the one postseason when they featured a dominant pen.

Smoltz (not Franklin) is most suited to play the role of Wainwright this time around.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Teams with shaky bullpens don&#8217;t win the World Series.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s no coincidence that the lone WS title under this Cardinals regime came during the one postseason when they featured a dominant pen.</p>
<p>Smoltz (not Franklin) is most suited to play the role of Wainwright this time around.</p>
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		<title>By: Samuel Lingle</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99463</link>
		<dc:creator>Samuel Lingle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 00:32:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99463</guid>
		<description>John Smoltz has a higher K rate than any of the Cardinals relievers, AS A STARTER.

They could really use a shut-down guy they can count on to dominate in high leverage situations. Hawksworth, Motte, and McLellan have all been effective as of late, but they are not guys you can really count on to come in and strike someone out with guys on base and the game on the line.

This is all really an academic discussion, though; this all depends on what Kyle Lohse brings to the table. His last start, in Houston, was good and it was the first time since the start of the year he was not bothered by a health issue as his elbow has finally calmed down. If he has another good start before the playoffs, then he&#039;ll probably take the fourth spot and we&#039;ll see Smoltz in the pen.

I&#039;m a little apprehensive either way; John Smoltz is one of the few most dominant post-season starters in history. It&#039;s almost a shame he won&#039;t get the chance to start two games each series considering what he&#039;s done in the past and how he&#039;s pitched with the Cardinals.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Smoltz has a higher K rate than any of the Cardinals relievers, AS A STARTER.</p>
<p>They could really use a shut-down guy they can count on to dominate in high leverage situations. Hawksworth, Motte, and McLellan have all been effective as of late, but they are not guys you can really count on to come in and strike someone out with guys on base and the game on the line.</p>
<p>This is all really an academic discussion, though; this all depends on what Kyle Lohse brings to the table. His last start, in Houston, was good and it was the first time since the start of the year he was not bothered by a health issue as his elbow has finally calmed down. If he has another good start before the playoffs, then he&#8217;ll probably take the fourth spot and we&#8217;ll see Smoltz in the pen.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m a little apprehensive either way; John Smoltz is one of the few most dominant post-season starters in history. It&#8217;s almost a shame he won&#8217;t get the chance to start two games each series considering what he&#8217;s done in the past and how he&#8217;s pitched with the Cardinals.</p>
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		<title>By: Samuel Lingle</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99462</link>
		<dc:creator>Samuel Lingle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 00:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99462</guid>
		<description>The tough thing to take with Motte is that we gave up Chris Perez and Luke Gregersen in trades before/during the season. Sure looks like the Cards got rid of the wrong young relievers! It&#039;d sure be nice to have Gregersen in the pen considering Khalil Greene&#039;s... &quot;achievements&quot; this season.

Still, as others have said, Motte has plenty of potential to pull things together, so we&#039;ll have to wait and see.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The tough thing to take with Motte is that we gave up Chris Perez and Luke Gregersen in trades before/during the season. Sure looks like the Cards got rid of the wrong young relievers! It&#8217;d sure be nice to have Gregersen in the pen considering Khalil Greene&#8217;s&#8230; &#8220;achievements&#8221; this season.</p>
<p>Still, as others have said, Motte has plenty of potential to pull things together, so we&#8217;ll have to wait and see.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99395</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 19:19:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99395</guid>
		<description>As a Cards fan, I&#039;m sure glad we listened to all those abrasive BoSox know-it-alls who were entirely convinced that Smoltz was washed up.  (After all, they&#039;d seen him pitch.  They KNEW.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As a Cards fan, I&#8217;m sure glad we listened to all those abrasive BoSox know-it-alls who were entirely convinced that Smoltz was washed up.  (After all, they&#8217;d seen him pitch.  They KNEW.)</p>
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		<title>By: Matt B.</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99381</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt B.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 18:42:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99381</guid>
		<description>I love his arm/stuff, his numbers just haven&#039;t been there most of the year as his control has seemed to leave him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I love his arm/stuff, his numbers just haven&#8217;t been there most of the year as his control has seemed to leave him.</p>
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		<title>By: azruavatar</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99352</link>
		<dc:creator>azruavatar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 17:06:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99352</guid>
		<description>My apologies -- by &quot;him&quot; I mean Ryan Franklin.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My apologies &#8212; by &#8220;him&#8221; I mean Ryan Franklin.</p>
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		<title>By: azruavatar</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99351</link>
		<dc:creator>azruavatar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 17:04:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99351</guid>
		<description>Dave -- has his pitch selection changed over &quot;second half&quot; data sample you cited?  One reason some fans have been encouraged by the first half was the adoption of a cutter that he didn&#039;t previously throw.  This was thought to be a big part of his success and a reason why regression might not be expected.  I&#039;m curious if he&#039;s stopped throwing that as frequently.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dave &#8212; has his pitch selection changed over &#8220;second half&#8221; data sample you cited?  One reason some fans have been encouraged by the first half was the adoption of a cutter that he didn&#8217;t previously throw.  This was thought to be a big part of his success and a reason why regression might not be expected.  I&#8217;m curious if he&#8217;s stopped throwing that as frequently.</p>
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		<title>By: Xeifrank</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99337</link>
		<dc:creator>Xeifrank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 16:23:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99337</guid>
		<description>How deep into games do Carpenter, Wainwright and Pineiro tend to go?  Atleast from the games I&#039;ve watched them pitch, they&#039;ve gone pretty deep.  Smoltz in the bullpen is not a gaurantee to help plug anything and the bullpen would probably only be taxed when Lohse pitched.  I&#039;d throw Smoltz into the rotation and take your chances with a shaky bullpen.
vr, Xei</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How deep into games do Carpenter, Wainwright and Pineiro tend to go?  Atleast from the games I&#8217;ve watched them pitch, they&#8217;ve gone pretty deep.  Smoltz in the bullpen is not a gaurantee to help plug anything and the bullpen would probably only be taxed when Lohse pitched.  I&#8217;d throw Smoltz into the rotation and take your chances with a shaky bullpen.<br />
vr, Xei</p>
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		<title>By: Zach</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99333</link>
		<dc:creator>Zach</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 16:13:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99333</guid>
		<description>Motte is hardly a bust. His numbers are mediocre but his stuff is still good. He&#039;s still learning. There is every reason to think he will take a step forward next season</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Motte is hardly a bust. His numbers are mediocre but his stuff is still good. He&#8217;s still learning. There is every reason to think he will take a step forward next season</p>
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		<title>By: JI</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/smoltzs-playoff-role/#comment-99329</link>
		<dc:creator>JI</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 16:07:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=9670#comment-99329</guid>
		<description>If Loshe were 100% I&#039;d be all for sending Smoltz to the pen, but the way he is throwing now I can&#039;t see it being the superior option. My guess is that since the Cardinals have been stretching Smoltz out, and that Smoltz is not sure whether his body can handle pitching on short rest in relief, that he&#039;ll be the #4 starter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Loshe were 100% I&#8217;d be all for sending Smoltz to the pen, but the way he is throwing now I can&#8217;t see it being the superior option. My guess is that since the Cardinals have been stretching Smoltz out, and that Smoltz is not sure whether his body can handle pitching on short rest in relief, that he&#8217;ll be the #4 starter.</p>
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