The Big Deal
On December 13th, Houston and Baltimore made the blockbuster deal that sent Luke Scott to the Orioles. You may have heard the trade referred to as the Miguel Tejada deal, but at this point, it’s pretty clear that Scott’s the best player going forward in that deal. Here are their ‘08 performances side by side:
Scott: .272/.369/.509, 437 PA, 1.63 WPA/LI
Tejada: .287/.320/.422, 538 PA, -0.55 WPA/LI
Scott’s run circles around Tejada this year, and has clearly been superior even after you adjust for the difference in positions. While Tejada has degraded into a shell of his former self, Scott continues to fly under the radar as a productive, power hitting outfielder. It’s not like this is his breakout year – check out his career RC/27 graph.
Scott’s combination of patience and power makes him a valuable asset, and one of the key reasons the Orioles have been mediocre instead of terrible this year. Meanwhile, while the Astros are struggling to find enough outfielders who can hit, they’re paying Tejada significant amounts of cash to not live up to his reputation.
The Orioles got rid of both Tejada and Erik Bedard and improved their team on the field immediately – this should be a reminder that media created labels don’t win games, but talent does.
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I disagree! My labels and opinions of players are always correct! You always know a player’s true talent by the types of interviews he gives the media. Unless that player is Canadian like me, then he gets a pass.
According to Chris Dial’s DRS scores, Scott has actually been one of the AL’s most solid defensive left fielders. Those same figures peg Adam Jones as the American League’s second-best defensive center fielder, and while he still doesn’t know plate discipline from a hole in the ground (92/19 K/BB), he’s still very promising.
Should, gulp, Andy MacPhail be considered for GM of the year based upon his last off season?
Beane probably should be but his off season was way too far ahead of the curve to be appreciated by a great many.
It seems Baltimore is taking a crash course in fleecing teams with horrible front offices.
Luke Scott is terribly under-appreciated. I still can’t believe the Astros pushed him out the door so quickly.
“Luke Scott is terribly under-appreciated. I still can’t believe the Astros pushed him out the door so quickly.”
For some reason the organization just hated him. Don’t know why.