Comments on: The New Cleveland Closer http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-new-cleveland-closer/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 23:31:40 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: floor jacks http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-new-cleveland-closer/#comment-66175 floor jacks Sat, 14 Mar 2009 12:28:33 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=1618#comment-66175 I must say, that I could not agree with you in 100%, but that's just my IMHO, which indeed could be very wrong. p.s. You have an awesome template for your blog. Where have you got it from? I must say, that I could not agree with you in 100%, but that’s just my IMHO, which indeed could be very wrong.
p.s. You have an awesome template for your blog. Where have you got it from?

]]> By: Grant http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-new-cleveland-closer/#comment-55836 Grant Wed, 10 Dec 2008 21:50:24 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=1618#comment-55836 I disagree with Marcel's projection for Wood. His FIP last year was 2.32. He was very lucky on home runs so I expect that number to go up, but he still ran a K/BB of freaking 4.67 and struck out almost eleven and a half batters per nine. I think that that project is being skewed buy the fact that Wood has been a starter most of his career, and in my opinion Wood significantly better than K-Rod. His xFIP last year was 3.12, I think that's a more reasonable projection, so using your adjustment for switching leagues of about a 4% increase that would translate to 3.25 in the AL. Improvement over a replacement level pitcher would be (4.75 - 3.25) * (61/9) = 10.16667 or about +10 runs. Multiply leverage in you get +18 runs or 1.8 wins. So Wood's market value is $9 mil. Rumors is his deal is 2/$20 so a slight overpay for Cleveland. Of course when you factor in Wood's injury history the deal doesn't look as good. In the end our figures are pretty similar, but last year Wood was a true relief ace if he stays healthy I expect him to repeat that performance. I disagree with Marcel’s projection for Wood. His FIP last year was 2.32. He was very lucky on home runs so I expect that number to go up, but he still ran a K/BB of freaking 4.67 and struck out almost eleven and a half batters per nine. I think that that project is being skewed buy the fact that Wood has been a starter most of his career, and in my opinion Wood significantly better than K-Rod.

His xFIP last year was 3.12, I think that’s a more reasonable projection, so using your adjustment for switching leagues of about a 4% increase that would translate to 3.25 in the AL. Improvement over a replacement level pitcher would be (4.75 – 3.25) * (61/9) = 10.16667 or about +10 runs. Multiply leverage in you get +18 runs or 1.8 wins. So Wood’s market value is $9 mil. Rumors is his deal is 2/$20 so a slight overpay for Cleveland. Of course when you factor in Wood’s injury history the deal doesn’t look as good.

In the end our figures are pretty similar, but last year Wood was a true relief ace if he stays healthy I expect him to repeat that performance.

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