Comments on: The Reds’ Bright Spot http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 19:52:58 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Edison Huffner http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-193813 Edison Huffner Mon, 05 Jul 2010 19:21:24 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-193813 hm, understand:) hm, understand:)

]]> By: Jeff Zimmerman http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110817 Jeff Zimmerman Wed, 02 Dec 2009 05:49:06 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110817 What Steve said. What Steve said.

]]> By: Steve Sommer http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110410 Steve Sommer Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:46:49 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110410 I think part of it is that Jeff's initial projections were plain old UZR and mine were UZR/150 (my spreadsheet was unfortunately labeled UZR though, so this is not Erik's fault but mine). For UZR/150 it's 3 for Jeff and 8 for me. Now the difference comes down to number of games and number of games regressed. Basically by adding in the FSR I add in an additional season's worth of data, so when I do the regression to average it has less impact than when Jeff does for guys with low major league service time. It boils down to for Jeff, Dickerson has 65 games, and for me he'd have 65+125 (@ FSR rate, which for him is good). I think part of it is that Jeff’s initial projections were plain old UZR and mine were UZR/150 (my spreadsheet was unfortunately labeled UZR though, so this is not Erik’s fault but mine). For UZR/150 it’s 3 for Jeff and 8 for me. Now the difference comes down to number of games and number of games regressed. Basically by adding in the FSR I add in an additional season’s worth of data, so when I do the regression to average it has less impact than when Jeff does for guys with low major league service time.

It boils down to for Jeff, Dickerson has 65 games, and for me he’d have 65+125 (@ FSR rate, which for him is good).

]]> By: Ryan D http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110409 Ryan D Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:42:54 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110409 GABP's park factor favored pitchers last year GABP’s park factor favored pitchers last year

]]> By: LeeTro http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110326 LeeTro Sun, 29 Nov 2009 05:16:42 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110326 The infield could still be strong defensively, but I would agree that emphasis probably shouldn't be put on OF defense in such a park. The problem was that the Reds were 23rd in GB% as a staff this year. The bullpen had Herrera and Masset at least 50%, but no one else significantly over 45%, which is definitely a problem in the Great American Smallpark. The infield could still be strong defensively, but I would agree that emphasis probably shouldn’t be put on OF defense in such a park. The problem was that the Reds were 23rd in GB% as a staff this year. The bullpen had Herrera and Masset at least 50%, but no one else significantly over 45%, which is definitely a problem in the Great American Smallpark.

]]> By: Luke Appling http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110325 Luke Appling Sun, 29 Nov 2009 04:54:31 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110325 Why the big difference in rankings for Chris Dickerson? Going from a 1 to an 8 suggests a major difference in opinion. In a limited sample in 2009 his UZR was pretty good. Why the big difference in rankings for Chris Dickerson? Going from a 1 to an 8 suggests a major difference in opinion. In a limited sample in 2009 his UZR was pretty good.

]]> By: Lombard http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110322 Lombard Sun, 29 Nov 2009 04:02:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110322 Difference between Cinci and Seattle could be the park. I'd like to know if there was some type of correlation between park factor, team defense and wins. Maybe building a team around feild defensive prowess isn't a good idea when you're playing in a band box (and you're pitchers have a high HR/FB). My thought is that the classic pitching/power combo would do you better. Difference between Cinci and Seattle could be the park. I’d like to know if there was some type of correlation between park factor, team defense and wins. Maybe building a team around feild defensive prowess isn’t a good idea when you’re playing in a band box (and you’re pitchers have a high HR/FB).

My thought is that the classic pitching/power combo would do you better.

]]> By: CircleChange11 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110314 CircleChange11 Sun, 29 Nov 2009 00:11:21 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110314 The Reds are an interesting group. I always thought it was strange that they would hire a manager that strongly prefers veterans to manahe a young club. I think you're right about the defense part. If I am using FIP correctly, the defense saves the P's about 0.5 R per 9. That's nice. The problem is that their SP's all have WHIP's between 1.33 and 1.59. Most of them allow a H/IP and about 2 K per BB. They put a lot of guys on base and don;t generally strike out a bunch of oppossing hitters. Their SP's might be the 4th best collection within the division. I also like their young combo of Votto and Bruce. But, again they may be the 4th or 5th best combom in the division [1] Braun and Fielder, [2] Pujols and anyone, [3] Bourne and Pence (Or Berkman and Lee depending on year), [4] Lee and Ramirez. They're probably 4th, with Phillips being a very under-rated aspect. I always thought Brandon Phillips would be the "solid" answer to StL's 2B situation. The Reds do seem to have a very nice collection of pieces, but even in a "weak division", they're likely the 4th place team in that division. As for Scottie ... Endy Chavez robbed him of what could have been his "Series Winning Moment" in a series when he was routinely passed over for Scott Speizio. I like Scottie, but you can count on him to miss 30-40 games on the season. I always thought the Reds were doomed when one of the first things Dusty influenced was the signing/acquisition of Corey Patterson. DB loved CP in CHI, and evidently still thought he could be the 30-30 guy in the lead-off spot. Interesting article, especially from the team defense aspect. The Reds are an interesting group. I always thought it was strange that they would hire a manager that strongly prefers veterans to manahe a young club.

I think you’re right about the defense part. If I am using FIP correctly, the defense saves the P’s about 0.5 R per 9. That’s nice.

The problem is that their SP’s all have WHIP’s between 1.33 and 1.59. Most of them allow a H/IP and about 2 K per BB. They put a lot of guys on base and don;t generally strike out a bunch of oppossing hitters. Their SP’s might be the 4th best collection within the division.

I also like their young combo of Votto and Bruce. But, again they may be the 4th or 5th best combom in the division [1] Braun and Fielder, [2] Pujols and anyone, [3] Bourne and Pence (Or Berkman and Lee depending on year), [4] Lee and Ramirez. They’re probably 4th, with Phillips being a very under-rated aspect. I always thought Brandon Phillips would be the “solid” answer to StL’s 2B situation.

The Reds do seem to have a very nice collection of pieces, but even in a “weak division”, they’re likely the 4th place team in that division.

As for Scottie … Endy Chavez robbed him of what could have been his “Series Winning Moment” in a series when he was routinely passed over for Scott Speizio. I like Scottie, but you can count on him to miss 30-40 games on the season.

I always thought the Reds were doomed when one of the first things Dusty influenced was the signing/acquisition of Corey Patterson. DB loved CP in CHI, and evidently still thought he could be the 30-30 guy in the lead-off spot.

Interesting article, especially from the team defense aspect.

]]> By: JG http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110312 JG Sat, 28 Nov 2009 22:46:02 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110312 Whoops, the Mets were 11th, but the Yankees were the ones tied with the Rangers for 5th. UZR has a 62 run difference between the Rangers and Yankees. Whoops, the Mets were 11th, but the Yankees were the ones tied with the Rangers for 5th. UZR has a 62 run difference between the Rangers and Yankees.

]]> By: JG http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-reds-bright-spot/#comment-110311 JG Sat, 28 Nov 2009 22:41:50 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=12089#comment-110311 The Dodgers led baseball in defensive efficiency, but their collective UZR was -.1. The Mets were tied for 11th with Tex in DER, but they had the second lowest UZR, a whopping 80 runs saved behind Texas. I don't know what those oddities mean, but they're interesting. The Dodgers led baseball in defensive efficiency, but their collective UZR was -.1. The Mets were tied for 11th with Tex in DER, but they had the second lowest UZR, a whopping 80 runs saved behind Texas. I don’t know what those oddities mean, but they’re interesting.

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