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	<title>Comments on: The Vanishing Age 33 Year</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/</link>
	<description>Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary</description>
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		<title>By: ??????</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-76511</link>
		<dc:creator>??????</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2009 08:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-76511</guid>
		<description>?????? ???????????! ?????? ???????? ???? ???????????? ??????. ???? ? “?????? ????? ????? ?????? ???”:)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>?????? ???????????! ?????? ???????? ???? ???????????? ??????. ???? ? “?????? ????? ????? ?????? ???”:)</p>
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		<title>By: Juan</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-69527</link>
		<dc:creator>Juan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 13:27:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-69527</guid>
		<description>Vlad just has to realize that half time at DH and half time in the field are his new positions until he retires and goes to HOF.  I hope he gets to bang out 3000 hits and 500 HRs; 2000 RBI wont happen, but heck he&#039;s been one of the greatest players of his generation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vlad just has to realize that half time at DH and half time in the field are his new positions until he retires and goes to HOF.  I hope he gets to bang out 3000 hits and 500 HRs; 2000 RBI wont happen, but heck he&#8217;s been one of the greatest players of his generation.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: joser</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65743</link>
		<dc:creator>joser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 21:08:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65743</guid>
		<description>Which is good news to every non-Angels team in the AL West.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Which is good news to every non-Angels team in the AL West.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: joser</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65742</link>
		<dc:creator>joser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 21:07:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65742</guid>
		<description>Rarely do you see such a pristine example of &lt;b&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y32/Irene_adler/dickwad.jpg&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;John Gabriel&#039;s GIDT&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/b&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rarely do you see such a pristine example of <b><a href="http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y32/Irene_adler/dickwad.jpg" rel="nofollow">John Gabriel&#8217;s GIDT</a></b></p>
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		<title>By: scatterbrian</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65724</link>
		<dc:creator>scatterbrian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 18:22:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65724</guid>
		<description>Signs are pointing to a rough year in Anaheim. I&#039;d be surprised if the AL West champ wins more than 85 games.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Signs are pointing to a rough year in Anaheim. I&#8217;d be surprised if the AL West champ wins more than 85 games.</p>
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		<title>By: Travis</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65704</link>
		<dc:creator>Travis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 16:26:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65704</guid>
		<description>Baseball Prospectus did an analysis of the &quot;Contract Year&quot; performance increase (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=5274 membership req&#039;d).  To sum up, they found that hitters appeared to be +2.2 runs better during their walk years (data normalized to 400 batter outs).  Pitchers were -1.1 runs different.  Statistically, no difference between walk years and normal years.

BP&#039;s own Dayn Perry did the same analysis and found that each player did very slightly better in their walk years, compared to the two previous years.

The major difference in methodologies was that Perry used &quot;prominent&quot; free agents, whereas the first article looked @ all free agents.  The linked BP.com article sums everything up nicely:
&quot;In the end the results are about what you&#039;d expect intuitively. Major League Baseball is so competitive at all times that one would assume that it is rare indeed if a player can turn it on one season and turn it off the next. With the average Major League career historically spanning just over four years, players are aware of just how quickly they can be out of baseball if their performance slips. So if there are indeed players with the &#039;talent flexibility&#039; to perform at will, they are likely few and far between.&quot;

That last paragraph can also be applied to any anecdotal &quot;performance increase&quot; argument, e.g. the &quot;clutch hitter&quot; argument.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Baseball Prospectus did an analysis of the &#8220;Contract Year&#8221; performance increase (<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=5274" rel="nofollow">http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=5274</a> membership req&#8217;d).  To sum up, they found that hitters appeared to be +2.2 runs better during their walk years (data normalized to 400 batter outs).  Pitchers were -1.1 runs different.  Statistically, no difference between walk years and normal years.</p>
<p>BP&#8217;s own Dayn Perry did the same analysis and found that each player did very slightly better in their walk years, compared to the two previous years.</p>
<p>The major difference in methodologies was that Perry used &#8220;prominent&#8221; free agents, whereas the first article looked @ all free agents.  The linked BP.com article sums everything up nicely:<br />
&#8220;In the end the results are about what you&#8217;d expect intuitively. Major League Baseball is so competitive at all times that one would assume that it is rare indeed if a player can turn it on one season and turn it off the next. With the average Major League career historically spanning just over four years, players are aware of just how quickly they can be out of baseball if their performance slips. So if there are indeed players with the &#8216;talent flexibility&#8217; to perform at will, they are likely few and far between.&#8221;</p>
<p>That last paragraph can also be applied to any anecdotal &#8220;performance increase&#8221; argument, e.g. the &#8220;clutch hitter&#8221; argument.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Joe</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65686</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 13:45:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65686</guid>
		<description>Tejada is in fact the little old guy from the Benny Hill show.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tejada is in fact the little old guy from the Benny Hill show.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Bill</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65669</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 10:45:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65669</guid>
		<description>Vlad&#039;s slip doesn&#039;t necessarily mean he&#039;s 34.  It may just mean he doesn&#039;t remember how old he is supposed to be.  He could actually be older.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vlad&#8217;s slip doesn&#8217;t necessarily mean he&#8217;s 34.  It may just mean he doesn&#8217;t remember how old he is supposed to be.  He could actually be older.</p>
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		<title>By: vivaelpujols</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65662</link>
		<dc:creator>vivaelpujols</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 09:08:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65662</guid>
		<description>Read the fucking article?
							Oops...forgot to say great post! Looking forward to your next one.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Read the fucking article?<br />
							Oops&#8230;forgot to say great post! Looking forward to your next one.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: vivaelpujols</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-vanishing-age-33-year/#comment-65659</link>
		<dc:creator>vivaelpujols</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 08:45:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=3486#comment-65659</guid>
		<description>Read the fucking article?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Read the fucking article?</p>
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