Comments on: Two More Bite the Dust in Queens

By: BIP

BIP — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 00:52:46 +0000

Um, they were getting below-replacement-level performance from these guys. Why WOULDN’T they shut them down?

By: joser

joser — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 18:42:48 +0000

The Mets injury bug is so pervasive it reached across the country, and leagues, to take out Endy Chavez as well.

By: Nick

Nick — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 14:00:55 +0000

You would do this:

1) Figure out the W% of the pitcher. This is tricky. You do this by finding out the average run environment when that pitcher pitches, so the Pitcher’s tRA + league tRA; let’s say your figuring out the W% of a 3.00 tRA pitcher, so 3.00 + 4.70ish (or whatever the average RA for starters is) =7.70.

Then you use the Pythagenport to the find a modifying exponent, so 7.7^.275ish = 1.75. Then you do this: (3.00/4.70)^1.75 = 2.19. Then you do this 2.19/(2.19+1) = .686 w% for the 3.00 tRA pitcher.

2) Then it’s pretty easy to convert to WAR. Replacement level w% is .370 for the AL and .390 for the NL, I think. So then you would use this (Pitcher W% – Replacement W%) * Innings/9.

So for the 3.00 tRA pitcher in the NL with 100 innings, you would do: (.686- .390)*100/9 = 3.3 WAR.

Did that help?

By: Paqs

Paqs — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 07:00:07 +0000

Hey Matthew, how do you calculate WAR according to tRA?

Thanks.

By: Nick

Nick — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 04:33:07 +0000

They didn’t really gut their farm to get those two guys. Carlos Gomez, Endy Chavez, Mike Carp, Phillip Humber, Sean Green – none of those guys are really that good.

By: The A Team

The A Team — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 04:28:21 +0000

Well they didn’t really gut their farm for either. The Santana deal yielded the Twins a 4th OF type in Carlos Gomez, a spot starter in Phil Humber, anothermediocre pen arm in Kevin Mulvey, and an interesting (and struggling) prospect in Deolis Guerra. Guerra has had a tepid ’09 campaign, but has made it to the Eastern league as a 20 or 21 year old. the Mets dealt a truck of mediocre players in the Putz deal too, the distinguishing factor being they got a single, overpaid mediocre player in return.

It’s not really the trades that have hurt them. Keeping those guys around would have just meant a wider array of AA quality slop to sling about this year and a couple extra wins in a hopeless season.

I really hope Omar Minaya isn’t fired. I’m a Phillies fan.

By: Brent

Brent — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 03:52:00 +0000

I’m curious to know where would the Mets be right now if they did not gut their farm system for Santana and Putz instead of signing a FA.

By: steve

steve — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 03:22:07 +0000

who was going to give Perez even half of what the Mets did?

there was no one left at the table with any money to spend. mind boggling.

By: SmallBall

SmallBall — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 03:19:35 +0000

Is it safe to assume that some of these injury’s are really just regular type injuries that most MLB clubs have right now but the Mets front office has thrown in the towel and want everyone to be at 100% next spring?

I know it might sound a bit presumptuous but I could very well see it happening, and might add I think it would be a good idea.