Comments on: Welcome to HIT f/x http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/ Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary Sun, 12 Feb 2012 16:19:59 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Eric http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79930 Eric Tue, 09 Jun 2009 20:04:44 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79930 Because he's hitting doubles & triples at an increased rate, and he has an almost 350 avg, so his OPS is actually within 40 points or so of career highs Projecting going forward, yeah the avg is unsustainable, and his iso being so decreased is worrisome; however, for now he's been nearly as valuable as he always has been. However, I will say that I'm not so confident that the HR numbers are going to rebound... Wright was always a "hit HR's to right-center" type of player, and it's VERY deep in Citi Field there; even if his power completely rebounds, it wouldn't shock me if he winds up trading 10 hr's for doubles/triples Because he’s hitting doubles & triples at an increased rate, and he has an almost 350 avg, so his OPS is actually within 40 points or so of career highs

Projecting going forward, yeah the avg is unsustainable, and his iso being so decreased is worrisome; however, for now he’s been nearly as valuable as he always has been.

However, I will say that I’m not so confident that the HR numbers are going to rebound… Wright was always a “hit HR’s to right-center” type of player, and it’s VERY deep in Citi Field there; even if his power completely rebounds, it wouldn’t shock me if he winds up trading 10 hr’s for doubles/triples

]]> By: PhDBrian http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79868 PhDBrian Tue, 09 Jun 2009 17:12:10 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79868 Someone explain to me how David Wright and his 3 home runs and 160 k pace is getting any support from knowledgable fans for the All Star game. Go look at his UZR! Someone explain to me how David Wright and his 3 home runs and 160 k pace is getting any support from knowledgable fans for the All Star game. Go look at his UZR!

]]> By: jtr http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79859 jtr Tue, 09 Jun 2009 16:41:49 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79859 That brings another question, does HITf/x track hits, or all batted balls? If only hits, then BUH% is perfect. If not, it's good enough because it's a given that BUH% and ball-batted-for-a-bunt percentage will correlate highly (near 1). That brings another question, does HITf/x track hits, or all batted balls? If only hits, then BUH% is perfect. If not, it’s good enough because it’s a given that BUH% and ball-batted-for-a-bunt percentage will correlate highly (near 1).

]]> By: Mike Fast http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79858 Mike Fast Tue, 09 Jun 2009 16:41:15 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79858 A few initial looks at HITf/x by Harry Pavlidis and myself as well as comments by others at these places: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/6/6/900817/graph-of-the-day-average-batted#comments http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/batted_ball_distance_of_ortiz_is_way_way_down/ http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/an-early-look-at-hitf-x/ http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/blog_article/which-batters-hit-the-hardest-balls-in-april/ A few initial looks at HITf/x by Harry Pavlidis and myself as well as comments by others at these places:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/6/6/900817/graph-of-the-day-average-batted#comments
http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/batted_ball_distance_of_ortiz_is_way_way_down/
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/an-early-look-at-hitf-x/
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/blog_article/which-batters-hit-the-hardest-balls-in-april/

]]> By: Will Moller http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79839 Will Moller Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:56:17 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79839 JTR, BUH% is just % of bunt hits, right? (looked for the definition of that on this site and was unable to find it) Most bunts don't fall for hits, right? That's likely to have an odd (and not necessarily strongly related) distribution. JTR,

BUH% is just % of bunt hits, right? (looked for the definition of that on this site and was unable to find it) Most bunts don’t fall for hits, right? That’s likely to have an odd (and not necessarily strongly related) distribution.

]]> By: jtr http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79836 jtr Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:36:57 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79836 I correlated these numbers with April's team BUH%, R^2 was 0.0004. It seems obvious that BUH% would affect it, but these numbers don't appear to be tainted by bunting. I correlated these numbers with April’s team BUH%, R^2 was 0.0004. It seems obvious that BUH% would affect it, but these numbers don’t appear to be tainted by bunting.

]]> By: Will Moller http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79835 Will Moller Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:33:27 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79835 I heart baseball reference. So much information in one place. Cheers-- Will I heart baseball reference. So much information in one place. Cheers–

Will

]]> By: Slyde http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79833 Slyde Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:26:00 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79833 Don't tell anybody, but I got it at Baseball Reference. :) If you go to a league page, under Batting[+] there is a "PH/HR/Situational Hitting" option. The data I used is there. I'm not sure if those numbers are precise as I simply added bunt hits and SH attempts. I'm sure there are things missing like failed bunt hit attempts and ROE on bunt hit attempts, but I figured it was accurate enough for the comparison. Don’t tell anybody, but I got it at Baseball Reference. :) If you go to a league page, under Batting[+] there is a “PH/HR/Situational Hitting” option. The data I used is there.

I’m not sure if those numbers are precise as I simply added bunt hits and SH attempts. I’m sure there are things missing like failed bunt hit attempts and ROE on bunt hit attempts, but I figured it was accurate enough for the comparison.

]]> By: jtr http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79831 jtr Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:16:56 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79831 It makes sense because speed off the bat is absolute speed, not horizontal speed. Line drives have the greatest horizontal speed, hence the .700+ BA on LDs. Also, I suspect that even FB/GB are hit quite squarely, since the ball has a great deal of momentum coming in. Even slight deflection will result in a foul. The ball coming off the bat should have a relatively similar velocity based on bat speed regardless of trajectory. It makes sense because speed off the bat is absolute speed, not horizontal speed. Line drives have the greatest horizontal speed, hence the .700+ BA on LDs.

Also, I suspect that even FB/GB are hit quite squarely, since the ball has a great deal of momentum coming in. Even slight deflection will result in a foul. The ball coming off the bat should have a relatively similar velocity based on bat speed regardless of trajectory.

]]> By: Will Moller http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/welcome-to-hit-fx/#comment-79830 Will Moller Tue, 09 Jun 2009 14:15:35 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5371#comment-79830 Slyde-- Where did you get the data on how many bunts each team had made? Slyde–

Where did you get the data on how many bunts each team had made?

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