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	<title>Comments on: Young Guns Lacking Quick Trigger</title>
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	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/</link>
	<description>Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary</description>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-81774</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 09:24:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-81774</guid>
		<description>Kershaw should not be in this topic at all. Your basically expecting a 21 year old to have the same learning curve as 2 soon to be 24 year olds with Chamberlain having more major league experience.

Anyone honestly believe a 21 year old version of Price and Chamberlain would be better than their soon to be 24 year old versions? Of course not. So you also believe when Kershaw turns 24 his numbers number of a 24 year old won&#039;t be better than Price or Chamberlain of the same age when at 21 his numbers are on par with those 2 at 24 years old?

It&#039;s pretty clear Kershaw is the better pitcher considering his age and the fact he&#039;s already improving on last year&#039;s numbers.  So you guys need to stop babying Price and Chamberlain. You all treat them like their the 21 year olds and Kershaw is the 24 year old.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kershaw should not be in this topic at all. Your basically expecting a 21 year old to have the same learning curve as 2 soon to be 24 year olds with Chamberlain having more major league experience.</p>
<p>Anyone honestly believe a 21 year old version of Price and Chamberlain would be better than their soon to be 24 year old versions? Of course not. So you also believe when Kershaw turns 24 his numbers number of a 24 year old won&#8217;t be better than Price or Chamberlain of the same age when at 21 his numbers are on par with those 2 at 24 years old?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s pretty clear Kershaw is the better pitcher considering his age and the fact he&#8217;s already improving on last year&#8217;s numbers.  So you guys need to stop babying Price and Chamberlain. You all treat them like their the 21 year olds and Kershaw is the 24 year old.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-81771</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 09:01:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-81771</guid>
		<description>Actually Price is a trend and to make an excuse for his bad performance is denying reality. The reality is when Price throws strikes, he&#039;s hittable. Price has been more effective throwing more balls than strikes. In his 1st four games where he never made it through the sixth inning of any game, he gave up 5 earned runs in 19 innings. In his one start where he threw more strikes and went 7 innings he gave up 5 earned runs in  those 7 innings. So 5 earned runs in 19 innings when throwing balls, and 5 earned runs in 7 innings when throwing strikes. This shows Price is very hittable when he throws strikes. And you can almost bet money he will go back to throwing more balls than strikes sooner or later. The problem is eventually players will force him to throw strikes and will be more patient finding a pitch they can crush.

FYI only nerds and grammar geeks care about grammar outside work and school. That&#039;s a proven fact. Not something to brag about.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually Price is a trend and to make an excuse for his bad performance is denying reality. The reality is when Price throws strikes, he&#8217;s hittable. Price has been more effective throwing more balls than strikes. In his 1st four games where he never made it through the sixth inning of any game, he gave up 5 earned runs in 19 innings. In his one start where he threw more strikes and went 7 innings he gave up 5 earned runs in  those 7 innings. So 5 earned runs in 19 innings when throwing balls, and 5 earned runs in 7 innings when throwing strikes. This shows Price is very hittable when he throws strikes. And you can almost bet money he will go back to throwing more balls than strikes sooner or later. The problem is eventually players will force him to throw strikes and will be more patient finding a pitch they can crush.</p>
<p>FYI only nerds and grammar geeks care about grammar outside work and school. That&#8217;s a proven fact. Not something to brag about.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80862</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2009 08:05:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80862</guid>
		<description>His down numbers are worse than Kershaw&#039;s.  Kershaw&#039;s FIP this year is more than half a run better than Chamberlain&#039;s. 

When he went on that run last year, he was averaging 95 in every game and touching 99.  He&#039;s averaging well under 93 this season.  His stuff hasn&#039;t bounced back after that shoulder problem.  It&#039;s a concern.  His velo in 2009 is the same as Phil Hughes.  I&#039;d go so far as to say Hughes has better stuff right now.  Velo is the same, more movement on Hughes&#039; fastball, Hughes gets a lot more movement on his curve.  Hughes is showing a curve that borders on ++ in 2009 (far more drop and h movement than average) and Chamberlain&#039;s has lost v-movement.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>His down numbers are worse than Kershaw&#8217;s.  Kershaw&#8217;s FIP this year is more than half a run better than Chamberlain&#8217;s. </p>
<p>When he went on that run last year, he was averaging 95 in every game and touching 99.  He&#8217;s averaging well under 93 this season.  His stuff hasn&#8217;t bounced back after that shoulder problem.  It&#8217;s a concern.  His velo in 2009 is the same as Phil Hughes.  I&#8217;d go so far as to say Hughes has better stuff right now.  Velo is the same, more movement on Hughes&#8217; fastball, Hughes gets a lot more movement on his curve.  Hughes is showing a curve that borders on ++ in 2009 (far more drop and h movement than average) and Chamberlain&#8217;s has lost v-movement.</p>
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		<title>By: AndrewYF</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80746</link>
		<dc:creator>AndrewYF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 13:24:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80746</guid>
		<description>It really speaks to how good Chamberlain really is when his &#039;down&#039; numbers are equal or better than these other very highly-regarded phenoms.

What&#039;s wrong with him? He&#039;s 23 years old and has yet to consistently harness his stuff, like most if not all 23 year old pitchers. We&#039;ve seen flashes, like his string of starts last year before a twinge in his shoulder shut him down. Maybe we&#039;ll see that again this year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It really speaks to how good Chamberlain really is when his &#8216;down&#8217; numbers are equal or better than these other very highly-regarded phenoms.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s wrong with him? He&#8217;s 23 years old and has yet to consistently harness his stuff, like most if not all 23 year old pitchers. We&#8217;ve seen flashes, like his string of starts last year before a twinge in his shoulder shut him down. Maybe we&#8217;ll see that again this year.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80723</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 08:44:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80723</guid>
		<description>You could run a stand alone piece on how bad Chamberlain has been.  K/9 down.  BB/9 way up.  K/BB worse than league average.  Velocity down 3 MPH.  What is wrong with him?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You could run a stand alone piece on how bad Chamberlain has been.  K/9 down.  BB/9 way up.  K/BB worse than league average.  Velocity down 3 MPH.  What is wrong with him?</p>
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		<title>By: Eric Cioe</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80693</link>
		<dc:creator>Eric Cioe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 00:48:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80693</guid>
		<description>Another young gun has a quicker trigger: Porcello is at 3.84 P/BF.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another young gun has a quicker trigger: Porcello is at 3.84 P/BF.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80687</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 21:58:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80687</guid>
		<description>From what I&#039;ve seen with Price, he just doesn&#039;t seem to have enough confidence in his stuff right now. Quite a few times I&#039;ve seen him get ahead in the count either 0-2 or 1-2, and then he&#039;ll begin to nibble the corners instead of being more aggressive. When he just goes after a hitter, it&#039;s a great thing to watch because his stuff is just so nasty.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From what I&#8217;ve seen with Price, he just doesn&#8217;t seem to have enough confidence in his stuff right now. Quite a few times I&#8217;ve seen him get ahead in the count either 0-2 or 1-2, and then he&#8217;ll begin to nibble the corners instead of being more aggressive. When he just goes after a hitter, it&#8217;s a great thing to watch because his stuff is just so nasty.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt B,</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80680</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt B,</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 17:13:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80680</guid>
		<description>Pretty SSS for Price.  But it looks like he has definitely been struggling with his command, and the umpires have probably tightened his strike zone a bit because of it.  Compounding the issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pretty SSS for Price.  But it looks like he has definitely been struggling with his command, and the umpires have probably tightened his strike zone a bit because of it.  Compounding the issue.</p>
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		<title>By: Kincaid</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80679</link>
		<dc:creator>Kincaid</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 17:10:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80679</guid>
		<description>Interesting piece, but I think it would be more useful to see pitches/out than pitches per batter faced.  The number of pitches a pitcher throws or how deep he can go in a game has more to do with how quickly he can get outs than just how many quickly he can get through a batter.  The number of batters faced is probably pretty well correlated with the number of outs, but there are times when throwing fewer pitches per batter is not necessarily more efficient, especially for high strikeout pitchers.

Striking out fewer hitters and allowing more balls in play will decrease the number of pitches thrown to each batter and increase the number of batters you face, but it also decreases the rate at which you get outs.  Is it really helpful to face an extra few batters if it doesn&#039;t mean you go any deeper into the game?  That&#039;s why I think going by outs instead of batters faced would be more useful.

I do agree that the balls and the walks are the big issue for Price.  Generally, walks seem to have the biggest impact on pitch counts of any event, and since they don&#039;t return any chance of an out, looking at pitches/out or pitches/tbf will still tell you walks are a major issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting piece, but I think it would be more useful to see pitches/out than pitches per batter faced.  The number of pitches a pitcher throws or how deep he can go in a game has more to do with how quickly he can get outs than just how many quickly he can get through a batter.  The number of batters faced is probably pretty well correlated with the number of outs, but there are times when throwing fewer pitches per batter is not necessarily more efficient, especially for high strikeout pitchers.</p>
<p>Striking out fewer hitters and allowing more balls in play will decrease the number of pitches thrown to each batter and increase the number of batters you face, but it also decreases the rate at which you get outs.  Is it really helpful to face an extra few batters if it doesn&#8217;t mean you go any deeper into the game?  That&#8217;s why I think going by outs instead of batters faced would be more useful.</p>
<p>I do agree that the balls and the walks are the big issue for Price.  Generally, walks seem to have the biggest impact on pitch counts of any event, and since they don&#8217;t return any chance of an out, looking at pitches/out or pitches/tbf will still tell you walks are a major issue.</p>
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		<title>By: antilawyer</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/young-guns-lacking-quick-trigger/#comment-80674</link>
		<dc:creator>antilawyer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 15:59:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=5525#comment-80674</guid>
		<description>Intriguing data.  However, &quot;but less hitters are chasing Price out of the zone.... less strikes.&quot;  Fewer hitters, fewer strikes, son.  ~Love, Miss Grammar.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Intriguing data.  However, &#8220;but less hitters are chasing Price out of the zone&#8230;. less strikes.&#8221;  Fewer hitters, fewer strikes, son.  ~Love, Miss Grammar.</p>
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