Long-Awaited and Final Stat Report on the Caribbean Leagues

Quite a lot has happened since November 22nd. Not to the author, specifically — his life is more or less a metronome of quiet anguish — but for the world, generally, that is. Among those many events which have come to pass in the last month-plus: the conclusion of the regular season for each of the four major Caribbean winter leagues.

Not necessarily because such an exercise is of great utility, but definitely because it provides a means to contemplating baseball whilst moping through the depths of January, the author has published below a final statistical report on those same Caribbean Leagues.

Specifically, what the author has done is to identify the regressed hitting and pitching leaders in the Dominican Winter, Mexican Pacific, Puerto Rican, and Venezuelan Winter Leagues separately. What he’s then done is to combine the hitting and pitching leaders of those leagues into a triumvirate of top-10 lists, which one can find below. Note: all ages are as of July 1, 2013; all organizations, as of the end of regular-season play.

*****

Final SCOUT Leaderboard: Caribbean Leagues Hitting
Below is the final SCOUT batting leaderboard for all the Caribbean League hitters, combined. SCOUT+ combines regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates in a FIP-like equation to produce a result not unlike wRC+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average. Note that xHR%, xBB%, and xK% stand for expected home run, walk, and strikeout rate, respectively.

Player Lg ’13 Org ’13 Age Pos PA HR BB K xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Alex Cabrera VEN N/A 41 1B 247 21 32 36 8.5% 13.0% 14.6% 191
Yamaico Navarro DOM Orioles 25 OF 189 8 30 27 4.2% 15.9% 14.3% 168
Barbaro Canizares MEX Mexico 33 1B 234 11 31 18 4.7% 13.2% 7.7% 167
Brian Burgamy MEX Mexico 32 3B 281 15 50 56 5.3% 17.8% 19.9% 164
Jon Singleton PUR Astros 21 1B 149 9 26 37 5.5% 17.4% 24.8% 163
Jesus Aguilar VEN Indians 23 1B 253 18 27 43 7.1% 10.7% 17.0% 163
Jurickson Profar DOM Rangers 20 SS 112 1 24 10 1.1% 20.5% 8.9% 155
Hector Gimenez VEN White Sox 30 C 249 15 35 55 6.0% 14.1% 22.1% 150
Jesse Gutierrez MEX Mexico 35 1B 184 9 20 27 4.9% 10.9% 14.7% 148
Russell Branyan MEX N/A 37 1B 188 11 30 53 5.9% 16.0% 28.2% 148

Final SCOUT Leaderboard: Caribbean Leagues Pitching (Overall)
Below is the final SCOUT pitching leaderboard all the Caribbean Leagues, combined. SCOUT- combines regressed strikeout and walk rates in a kwERA-like equation to produce a number not unlike ERA-, where 100 is league average and below 100 is better than average. Note that xK% and xBB% stand for expected strikeout and walk rate, respectively.

Player Lg ’13 Org ’13 Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Xavier Cedeno PUR Nationals 26 19 0 21.2 82 36 7 44.1% 8.6% 15
Ryan Buchter MEX Braves 26 12 0 13.0 52 26 8 41.6% 10.9% 28
Antonio Bastardo DOM Phillies 27 15 0 14.0 56 24 6 38.1% 8.8% 34
Spencer Patton MEX Royals 25 20 0 25.0 91 32 6 35.2% 7.6% 39
Jairo Asencio DOM Orioles 30 24 0 23.1 95 31 5 32.5% 6.4% 46
Derek Eitel MEX D-backs 25 21 0 23.2 89 28 7 31.6% 8.4% 53
Silvino Bracho VEN D-backs 20 21 0 21.1 83 28 6 33.6% 8.5% 53
Oliver Perez MEX Mariners 31 8 0 9.1 32 15 1 30.8% 7.8% 54
Miguel Mejia PUR Taiwan 25 17 0 16.2 65 21 4 31.4% 7.7% 54
Luis Vasquez DOM Dodgers 27 22 0 17.1 59 19 3 30.1% 6.9% 56

Final SCOUT Leaderboard: Caribbean Leagues Pitching (Starters)
Here’s the final pitching leaderboard, except confined only to those pitchers who’ve made at least half their appearances in a starting capacity.

Player Lg ’13 Org ’13 Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Misael Siverio MEX Cuba 24 6 6 29.1 122 36 10 29.4% 8.4% 60
Nao Higashihama PUR Japan 23 8 8 40.0 164 42 10 25.6% 6.2% 69
Collin McHugh VEN Rockies 26 4 4 19.2 76 20 4 26.5% 7.8% 70
Cesar Valdez VEN Mexico 28 8 8 38.0 166 38 7 22.9% 4.3% 70
Chris Narveson DOM Brerwers 31 5 5 27.1 110 27 4 24.5% 5.1% 70
Carlos Martinez DOM Cardinals 21 2 2 6.1 21 9 0 26.2% 6.9% 71
Paolo Espino VEN Indians 26 10 10 43.2 188 45 11 24.0% 5.9% 71
Sergio Perez VEN Mexico 24 11 7 44.1 193 48 13 24.8% 6.7% 71
Nathan Reed MEX Indy 25 4 3 16.1 66 18 6 26.6% 8.9% 71
Tiago Da Silva VEN Italy 28 11 6 29.2 123 29 5 23.7% 5.7% 71

*Denotes an estimated figure.

Notes
• First base-type Alex Cabrera has a player page at the present site only on the merit, really, of 87 plate appearances he recorded for Arizona in 2000. The majority of his career otherwise was passed in Japan, where, for example, he hit 55 home runs with Seibu in 2002. Nor is the use of the past tense verb (i.e. was) in the previous sentence entirely inappropriate: Cabrera was unemployed for all of 2013 leading up to the Venezuelan Winter League, which league’s home-run record he’s just broken, it appears, a couple days before his 42nd birthday.

• The author of this post is responsible for almost all the coverage at FanGraphs regarding in- and outfielder Yamaico Navarro. Among that coverage is a different post concerning Navarro’s Steamer projection, which projection suggests that Navarro might have the capacity to produce wins at something like a league-average rate in the majors. Indeed, Navarro’s performance in the Dominican has done nothing to contradict that possibility. After playing for Baltimore in 2013, he’s now a member of the Yankees.

• Houston’s Jon Singleton, Cleveland’s Jesus Aguilar, and Texas’s Jurickson Profar are the three players among the Caribbean’s top-10 hitters whom one might reasonably call a “prospect.” Indeed, history reports that all three actually started the 2012 Futures Game. All three also appear here, on this infallible leaderboard for the Caribbean Leagues.

• Pitcher Xavier Cedeno‘s performance for Santurce of the Puerto Rican League was a bit very excellent — and also not entirely without precedent. The left-hander recorded a strikeout rate of 26.1% with Houston in 2012. After a super miserable start to his 2013 campaign — during which interval he conceded 11 runs in just 6.1 innings and was subsequently claimed off waivers by Washington — he recorded similar rates both in the minor and major leagues.

• The top two starters among all Caribbean League pitchers have pitched a total of zero innings in affiliated basebll. Nao Higashihama made five effective starts this year for Fukuoka, his first season in the NPB. Misael Siverio, meanwhile, defected from Cuba in June, and is likely looking to sign with a major-league club.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


11 Responses to “Long-Awaited and Final Stat Report on the Caribbean Leagues”

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  1. Steve K says:

    Just curious, has Fangraphs considered including adding the Japanese League data just like they were another minor league team? Or is the data not easily accessible?

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  2. Wobatus says:

    I was a little surprised Baltimore didn’t give Navarro more of a shot at 2b last year.

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  3. jim kaat says:

    Navarro was sold to a team in Korea recently

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  4. Alex Cabrera says:

    Saduhara who? Nobody can rake like me.

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  5. Eminor3rd says:

    FINALLY

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  6. Current Nats’ bullpen is all RHP. Maybe it’s not such a stretch to see Xavier Cedeno there.

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    • pdowdy83 says:

      The current Nationals bullpen is in fact NOT all RHP. Jerry Blevins is a lefty. Although the Nationals do seem to be high on Cedeno right now so there is a chance he makes the team as a 2nd left handed option.

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  7. 2013 Portland Beavers says:

    FREE BARBARO CANIZARES.

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  8. gnomez says:

    In the old MVP Baseball series, replacement players and others without MLBPA representation weren’t eligible to have their likenesses included in the game. Instead, to keep the league balanced, their stats were affixed to fictional names; e.g. Giants OF “Jon Dowd,” single-season HR record-holder. I wasn’t aware Craig Kimbrel was included in this year’s version as some guy named “Silvino Bracho.”

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  9. GT says:

    “Branyan’s Caribbean Vacation” would be a great sitcom.

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