NERD Game Scores for Friday, August 8, 2014

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
San Francisco at Kansas City | 20:10 ET
Madison Bumgarner (154.0 IP, 83 xFIP-, 2.7 WAR) faces Jason Vargas (129.1 IP, 106 xFIP-, 1.7 WAR). With Detroit’s 1-0 loss on Thursday (box), in conjunction with Kansas City’s 6-2 victory (box), that latter club now trails the former by only 2.5 games in the AL Central. The clubs’ proximity in the standings is perhaps exaggerated: the Tigers are projected to win 57% of their remaining games; the Royals, just 49%. Still, this represents one of Kansas City’s best opportunities to qualify for the postseason since Bret Saberhagen was a hairless youth.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Either San Francisco One.

Three Brief Notes
MLB Debut Alert: Jake Lamb
Young Arizona third baseman Jake Lamb, ranked sixth among D-backs prospects by Marc Hulet this preseason, made his major-league debut on Thursday. He recorded walk and strikeout rates of 11.5% and 22.4%, respectively, while also hitting 15 home runs, in 460 plate appearances between Double- and Triple-A.

Javier Baez Status Update
Here’s a status update on Cubs infield prospect Javier Baez:

Regarding Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game hadn’t been announced before the author departed Buffalo this morning to take more terrible photos of ballparks from the interstate. When it is announced, it can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.

NERD Image 4
Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Chris Archer TB 6 5 5 4 4 CHN Tsuyoshi Wada 16:05
Trevor Bauer CLE 6 5 5 5 6 NYA Esmil Rogers* 19:05
Bartolo Colon NYN 6 2 3 2 2 PHI A.J. Burnett 19:05
Ian Kennedy SD 7 3 6 9 5 PIT Vance Worley 19:05
J. Masterson STL 5 8 6 7 2 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Anibal Sanchez DET 6 5 6 6 10 TOR R.A. Dickey 19:07
Nathan Eovaldi MIA 8 4 5 4 6 CIN Mike Leake 19:10
St. Strasburg WAS 10 5 7 6 8 ATL Ervin Santana 19:35
Rob. Hernandez LAN 0 4 5 9 4 MIL Kyle Lohse 20:10
Mad. Bumgarner SF 9 9 7 6 4 KC Jason Vargas 20:10
Miles Mikolas TEX 4 3 4 5 3 HOU Br. Oberholtzer 20:10
Tyler Matzek COL 4 4 4 3 5 AZ Chase Anderson 21:40
Allen Webster* BOS 4 3 5 9 3 LAA Jered Weaver 22:05
Kyle Gibson MIN 4 3 5 6 7 OAK Scott Kazmir 22:05
Jose Quintana CHA 6 2 5 5 8 SEA Hisashi Iwakuma 22:10

To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


5 Responses to “NERD Game Scores for Friday, August 8, 2014”

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  1. #KeepNotGraphs says:

    #KeepNotGraphs

    +12 Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. TurnYourCrankToFrank says:

    Show me one season when the projections were ever accurate. Yet again, Fangraphs discriminates against teams that reject their philosophy.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • novaether says:

      You know that projections =/= future results, right? If somebody made a projection that was as accurate as you’re implying, it wouldn’t be expressed in percentages. It would be (I imagine) some sort of Sports Almanac that predicts the Cubs sweep the Marlins in the 2015 world series.

      Until that happens, we just have models with assumptions as inputs. Some people spend time crafting the model, reviewing their assumptions, and monitoring the results. Some others use their “gut”.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Underwood4000 says:

        The extent to which the projections are inaccurate is the same as the degree to which the season provides surprise, which (for some) is also a primary factor in its ability to provide pleasure. Figuring out how and why the projections did not come to pass is also, for many, a source of surprise and pleasure. That the projections are not totally accurate is, perhaps, a blessing for those who enjoy surprise and pleasure. That doesn’t mean they should be discarded or dismissed, for they are in large part accurate and predictive. (You are, of course, welcome to peruse other online baseball periodicals, if you find yourself not getting pleasure from this one.)

        Vote -1 Vote +1

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