NERD Game Scores for June 29, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Los Angeles NL at Los Angeles AL | 22:07 ET
Kershaw (109.1 IP, 68 xFIP-) vs. Ramirez (86.1 IP, 94 xFIP-)
The author’s haphazardly constructed algorithm has once again selected a game featuring Clayton Kershaw, proving that it both (a) has the capacity to identify talented pitchers and (b) is also probably unnecessary. Shocked readers might note with shock that Kershaw doesn’t actually possess a perfect NERD score at the moment. The reason appears to be what is, for Kershaw, a subpar swinging-strike rate. Consider, for illustrative purposes, the following small table.

Kershaw, Swinging-Strike Rates
Year IP SwStk% Percentile*
2015 232.2 15.9% 98th
2016 149.0 15.3% 97th**
2017 109.1 12.7% 85th
*Among qualifiers.
**Kershaw didn’t qualify. This is rank if he had.

While Kershaw ranked either first or second by this measure relative to qualifiers in 2015-16, he currently sits 11th. This is likely of little consequence to Kershaw’s overall performance; however, it does appear to indicate that he’s been less dominant in 2017 by this one narrow definition.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Los Angeles NL Television.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Oakland at Houston, starts at 14:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for June 29, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Andrew Cashner TEX 1 5 6 7 10 CLE Corey Kluber 12:10
Jakob Junis KC 3 3 4 3 8 DET Michael Fulmer 13:10
Daniel Gossett OAK 9 4 7 5 10 HOU Brad Peacock 14:10
Lance Lynn STL 3 4 6 9 7 AZ Patrick Corbin 15:40
Jon Lester CHN 6 7 7 6 7 WAS Joe Ross 16:05
Chris Archer TB 9 7 7 3 8 PIT Jameson Taillon 19:05
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL 0 3 4 4 9 TOR J.A. Happ 19:07
Jimmy Nelson MIL 8 7 7 6 6 CIN Homer Bailey* 19:10
Kyle Gibson MIN 2 6 4 5 2 BOS David Price 19:10
Seth Lugo NYN 3 5 4 4 3 MIA Jose Urena 19:10
Luis Cessa* NYA 6 9 4 3 0 CHA James Shields 20:10
Jaime Garcia ATL 4 2 5 5 10 SD Dinelson Lamet 21:10
Clayton Kershaw LAN 9 9 7 4 7 LAA JC Ramirez 22:07
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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