NERD Game Scores: Ft. The Angels’ Probably Best Starter Now

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Miami at Los Angeles AL | 22:05 ET
Nathan Eovaldi (162.0 IP, 103 xFIP-, 2.6 WAR) faces Matt Shoemaker (103.2 IP, 82 xFIP-, 1.4 WAR). As noted recently in these pages by FanGraphs author and freelance mountaineer Jeff Sullivan, the injury to Garrett Richards — in addition to hurting the actual leg of Garrett Richards — also hurt the Angels’ odds of winning the AL West by about seven or eight percentage points. Among the pitchers who remain in Anaheim’s rotation, today’s starter Shoemaker — and not C.J. Wilson or Jered Weaver, for example — has actually recorded the most promising fielding-independent numbers.

Regard, all the pitchers who’ve registered a start for the Angels this season sorted by the park-adjusted xFIPs they’ve produced as a starter:

# Name GS IP K% BB% GB% xFIP-
1 Matt Shoemaker 15 89.0 24.5% 4.5% 41.6% 80
2 Garrett Richards 26 168.2 24.2% 7.5% 50.9% 83
3 Tyler Skaggs 18 113.0 18.5% 6.5% 50.1% 96
4 C.J. Wilson 24 141.2 20.4% 10.5% 49.4% 104
5 Jered Weaver 28 174.1 18.4% 7.4% 32.1% 116
6 Hector Santiago 18 93.2 21.0% 9.3% 28.8% 119
7 Wade LeBlanc 1 3.1 15.8% 15.8% 38.5% 144

The highest strikeout and lowest walk rate, is what Shoemaker has recorded. And if his run-prevention figures have been less impressive than his fielding-independent ones, that hasn’t at all been the case over the last month, during which interval he’s recorded a 1.57 ERA in five starts and 34.1 innings.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Los Angeles AL Television.

Two Brief Notes
Debut Alert: Cubs Prospect Jorge Soler
Very talented and equally Cuban outfielder Jorge Soler is expected to receive a promotion today to the Cubs, according to Keith Law. A top-50 prospect this preseason on most notable industry lists, Soler has recorded a line of .340/.432/.700 (.381 BABIP) in 236 plate appearances this season across three minor-league levels — most recently in the Triple-A Pacific Coast League.

Regarding Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features St. Louis at Pittsburgh, starts at 7:05pm ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.

NERD Image 4
Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Lance Lynn STL 4 7 6 6 8 PIT Gerrit Cole 19:05
Alex Cobb TB 7 4 5 5 6 BAL Wei-Yin Chen 19:05
Gio Gonzalez WAS 7 4 5 3 8 PHI Cole Hamels 19:05
Rubby de la Rosa BOS 5 3 5 4 10 TOR R.A. Dickey 19:07
Bran’n McCarthy NYA 10 4 7 9 6 DET Rick Porcello 19:08
Alex Wood ATL 7 7 5 3 3 NYN Dillon Gee 19:10
Travis Wood CHN 2 4 4 2 7 CIN Johnny Cueto 19:10
T.J. House CLE 8 4 4 2 6 CHA Jose Quintana 20:10
Ricky Nolasco MIN 4 3 5 10 3 KC Danny Duffy 20:10
Jason Hammel OAK 6 7 6 4 7 HOU Dallas Keuchel 20:10
Rob’o Hernandez LAN 1 4 3 3 5 AZ Trevor Cahill 21:40
Nathan Eovaldi MIA 8 4 7 9 10 LAA Matt Shoemaker 22:05
Jimmy Nelson MIL 5 9 6 3 8 SD Tyson Ross 22:10
Nick Martinez TEX 0 3 5 7 10 SEA James Paxton 22:10
Jorge de la Rosa COL 2 4 6 8 10 SF M’son Bum’r 22:15

To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.



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