Nicholas Minnix Baseball Chat – 7/18/14

8:47

Nicholas Minnix: Hello, everybody! I’ll be with you at the top of the hour, as always. I have been going to about an hour and a half for these, but today I won’t go much beyond the requisite hour, visiting family, hope you understand. Looking forward to hearing what you have to say and ask!

8:57

Nicholas Minnix: And, my sincere apologies: I changed the start time of my event initially … but not the time zone! So now we’re all set.

8:59
Comment From Zach
Among the teams who are in the hunt for a RP which would not have Soria as a closer?

8:59

Nicholas Minnix: Gonna go ahead and get started. … I’d say LAD definitely. Initially, I’m going to believe that Detroit wouldn’t, either. Will depend on Nathan’s performance after a would-be deal, I expect, tho.

8:59
Comment From Jeff
I just traded Evan Longoria and a 5th rounder for Carlos Santana and Michael Brantley in my 5-keeper Keeper League. Good deal?

9:01

Nicholas Minnix: Um, yes? Really, it’s hard to say. Longoria or Santana is best player in the deal? I think this is a career year for Brantley, easily, and there is no more upside. Maybe Santana is close to Longo, he’s younger, so that’s good.

9:01
Comment From sleeper & the best!
I’m very interested in Joc Pederson’s potential arrival. Defensively, the Dodgers have to do it right? There’s gotta be a Kemp taker, right?

9:01

Nicholas Minnix: Sorry, don’t see it this year, except as a bench player in September.

9:02

Comment From (not that) James
Over this scoring period (July 18-27), I’m allowed 7 starts in my points league. Chris Sale’s two starts are a given, so out of these remaining starts, which five would you pick? Richards v. SEA (Fernandez) and DET (Scherzer), Arrieta @ ARI (Collmener) and v. STL. (Lynn), Wood v. PHI or MIA (not clear) and v. SD (not clear), and Kennedy v. NYM (Colon) and @ ChC (Jackson).

My initial thoughts are Richards v. SEA, Arrieta @ ARI and v. STL, Wood v. SD, and Kennedy @ ChC.

9:03

Nicholas Minnix: Arrieta wouldn’t sit for me, Richards hard to as well, but vs. DET you might. Tought calls otherwise, I’d like Kennedy vs. both opponents off the top of my head, esp. vs. CHC.

9:03
Comment From Jolly Roger
Would you drop Leonys Martin for any of the following (assuming they’re healthy) in a 5X5 dynasty 12-teamer: Pollock, James Jones, Kevin Keirmaier, Jennings?

9:04

Nicholas Minnix: Man … Jennings baffles. I’d rather own Jennings in a dynasty league, though. I like Martin about as much as or more than the others, though.

9:04
Comment From Guest
Nick what are your thoughts on Matt Adams ROS? His peripherals scare me outside of his LD% and his supressed HR/FB%. He’s like jumbo Adam Jones this year.

9:04

Nicholas Minnix: I like him. Like him like him like him. Liked him coming in, so I have to stick with that. I suppose you’re worried about BA regression — probably some, but will come with more power, so, live with it.

9:05
Comment From Santiago
wOBA treats infield singles different than any other single? If not, why is that? Thanks

9:07

Nicholas Minnix: I believe it does not. As for why, I do not know. It’s a good question and one I think you should ask Neil Weinberg here when you have the opportunity!

9:07
Comment From Matt Damon
MATT. DAMON.

9:07
Comment From Brad
Are you in Delaware? If so, thanks for bringing the great weather. 495 closed btw. Keeper trade opinion. Would you trade cron and gausman for Donaldson? Thanks.

9:07

Nicholas Minnix: Haha, no, not this time. I’m in Virginia!

9:09

Nicholas Minnix: Thanks for the travel tip tho. Oooh. Hmmm. It depends, if it’s a limited keeper, say only for a couple of years, then I would, because I love Donaldson and he’s a 3B. If it’s a long-term thing more so, probably not. Gausman doesn’t do much for either of it, to me. If it’s an AL league, I’d probably stick with Cron, especially long term. Not elite, but solid bat.

9:09
Comment From Jack Hammer
What are your thoughts on Matt Shoemaker as a fantasy SP? Thanks.

9:09

Nicholas Minnix: I like him. I don’t have any shares. Eno has convinced me that there’s a lot to like and speculate on. However, he’s a matchup play in 15-team mixed leagues until we get more reliable data on him.

9:09
Comment From Snuffy
Why do you think the Cubs are moving Baez to 2B when Alcantara is holding his own in the bigs? Making room for Russell at AAA, or does Alcantara move to the OF eventually? Thanks for your insight.

9:10

Nicholas Minnix: Sounds as if it’s more to accommodate Russell than to do with Alcantara. It’s easy to move Baez because he’s unlikely to stick at SS, regardless of where they go at SS.

9:10
Comment From Shawn
Looking into stashing Ken Giles but is there any team out there that would realistically trade for Papelbon?

9:11

Nicholas Minnix: Rumor is LAD is really interested. I just don’t see him getting moved. LAD are crazy, who knows. But I don’t see him getting moved. I could be wrong, no doubt.

9:11
Comment From Krusty
Our 20+ yr keeper league is strongly considering moving to Fantrax, which I found after I read your category preferences piece. You have clout!

9:12

Nicholas Minnix: LOL, awesome. I do like the site quite a bit. I think it’s a hidden gem of fantasy league hosts.

9:12

Nicholas Minnix: I have heard of others who have had issues. I won’t hide that. I have been happy. I do not speak for FG or anyone else here, FYI.

9:13
Comment From Zach
If Soria does go to one of those teams, is the following the correct rank of speculative closers (need saves): Feliz (Frasor was traded), Ramirez, Benoit, Balfour, Giles?

9:14

Nicholas Minnix: I think that’s fair.

9:14
Comment From Trade Bait
Did Drew Pomeranz show enough this season (along with his pedigree) to hold onto him (12-team dynasty) in the hopes that he reclaims a rotation spot next season? Thanks for your advice.

9:14

Nicholas Minnix: It depends on how deep your bench is — very deep, why not. Any other depth, no point, because he should be cheap again next year.

9:14
Comment From Brett Gardner
How do you view Ellsbury moving forward? Still t10 OF? Hasn’t really seen any of the hoped-for Yankee Stadium bump.

9:16

Nicholas Minnix: I’m a bit disappointed. I think he’s a safe t25 OF, it’s hard to say because of what you cited. I think t10 is still easily within the sights. But in the 3rd spot, he hasn’t run quite as often – still should net 35-40 SBs, hope he adds RBI to make up for it. Maybe HR, would be nice.

9:16
Comment From cbird
In my dynasty league i just shipped JD Martinez for Mookie Betts. My OF consists of Harper/Yelich/Cespedes and my ss is Segura. Did I do ok?

9:17

Nicholas Minnix: Yes, I think it’s a fair attempt to stock up. Martinez may have shelf life next year, but it’s a good play. I like your future outlook I think.

9:17
Comment From BJ Mufferaw
Trading gausman for trumbo/Quintana in a dynasty is a no brainier, right?

9:17

Nicholas Minnix: I’d say. I’d trade Gausman for Quintana straight up.

9:17
Comment From Brian
The O’s are OPS’ing .775 on the road. Should I start Samardzija against them at O.co?

9:17

Nicholas Minnix: Yes. I don’t bench Samardzija. At home is sweet.

9:18
Comment From sleeper & the best!
Would you start Verlander @Ari or a two-start Wheeler @AD, @Mil? Points league.

9:19

Nicholas Minnix: Phew, I’m gonna say Wheeler. Wheeler has for whatever reason not walked nearly as many on the road. Verlander not quite ironed out yet.

9:19
Comment From Shawn
ROS please rank- Ventura, Gausman, Odorizzi, Wheeler, DeGrom?

9:19

Nicholas Minnix: Ventura, … oooh, tough … I like Wheeler, so I will be biased, then DeGrom, Odorizzi, Gausman.

9:20
Comment From Guest
Papelbon for Kemp – who hangs up first, LAD or PHI?

9:20

Nicholas Minnix: LOL … Actually, they might listen then, haha.

9:20
Comment From chris
Could you please rank de Grom, Duffy, Stroman, Gausman, Hutchison, Odorizzi and Hahn ROS for roto? I know it’s a tall order but with Minor and Shields going in the tank I need some SP help. Thanks Nicholas!

9:21

Nicholas Minnix: Stroman, DeGrom, Hahn, Duffy, Odorizzi, Hutchison, Gausman.

9:21
Comment From Guest
Zimmerman/Lohse or Pearce/Samardzija?

9:22

Nicholas Minnix: Ryan Z, right? I’d go with the former side, vacuum.

9:22
Comment From (not that) James
Will Evan Longoria continue to be my fantasy LVP in the second half? Both projections set his ROS ISO well below his career average. Wondering if I should try to sell based on name value.

9:22

Nicholas Minnix: Man, he’s a disappointment. It depends … but I would be willing to shop his name, yes.

9:23

Nicholas Minnix: Depends on what you can get!

9:23
Comment From Frank J.
Any news on Cashner’s timetable, and would you pick him up in a monthly draft at the beginning of August to replace one of the following: Smyly, Shelby Miller, Pomeranz, Gausman, Salazar? Dynasty leage and I’m starting to build for next year. Thank a lot!

9:24

Nicholas Minnix: No update I’ve seen, wasn’t expected to be much more than the min. initially. No surprise that it’s not. Miller, Pomeranz I’d definitely consider. Pom just because no job is 1st.

9:24
Comment From BillaBong
Who ends up being the best contributor ROS: ECab, B. Lawrie, or Bonnifacio? Deep 5×5

9:25

Nicholas Minnix: Argh … I wish I could say with confidence. ECab, because he’s healthy right now and will play no doubts.

9:25
Comment From Nolan
Just took over a dynasty league team that’s in dead last in almost every category – just wasn’t maintained by the previous owner and has lots of prospect talent. What’s the best way to trade prospects in a league like this and what should I be reaching for in terms of trading guys like Baez, Gary Sanchez, Matt Davidson, etc?

9:28

Nicholas Minnix: If you’re in dead last, you want prospects, to some degree, haha. It’s difficult to answer, but if I deal Baez, killer upside, I want a surefire everyday fantasy player. Sanchez, maybe similar. Davidson, he’s more of a fringe hopeful, IMO, if you get something useful for him. But in your state, I might just hold him. It really depends on what you can get, not what you expect to get. Make offers or put them on the block.

9:28
Comment From VU Commodores
Dynasty League. My Andrew McCutchen and Dellin Betances for Polanco, Machado, Profar and Appel. my only good infielder is Rendon. Should I take it?

9:30

Nicholas Minnix: How long dynasty? McCutchen is the best player there for the next couple of years, at least. If you keep so many that you have no doubts that you’d keep the 3 hitters every year for a few, and you’re in sell mode, then I can’t argue against it. Cutch might be the best player ever in that deal too, tho. … Hard for anyone to top him. Good gets, all, tho, what you are getting.

9:30
Comment From Kevin
Where would you rank David Dahl among OF prospects? Or which tier if that’s more doable on the fly in a chat. Thanks.

9:33

Nicholas Minnix: How about this? I think based on my very limited knowledge of him that he’s very raw. He’s so far away, I discount that more than others, let’s say a 3rd-tier type? Upside is great, not immense but great.

9:33

Nicholas Minnix: I’m at 9:03 stamp, all.

9:33
Comment From chris
Start Shields tonight in Boston? He’s been better lately but he has a bad history in Fenway.

9:34

Nicholas Minnix: This isn’t an easy call. Vacuum, I would. Shallow league, maybe you reconsider, OK. But I normally start my guys like him, regardless. No desire to kick myself later. He’s been better, BOS has a bad offense lately. I’d risk it.

9:34
Comment From alex
What do you think happens to the Boston’s OF when Victorino comes back? Who gets put back down to minors? Cut drew move Mookie to SS?

9:35

Nicholas Minnix: They won’t cut Drew, I don’t think. I suspect Nava. They hope to trade Gomes, I believe, so whatever it is may not be for long.

9:35
Comment From Jason Collettes Dogs
How good do you expect Arrieta to be ROS? I know we’re supposed to trust the projections, but a 4.01 ERA the rest of the way seems high. Can we reasonably expect a 3.50/1.20 with a K per inning?

9:36

Nicholas Minnix: The projections don’t give him credit for advances in his arsenal. I think he will beat his projections, and your #s sound likelier than ZiPS/Steamer.

9:36
Comment From stonepie
think austin jackson stays in the leadoff spot? him or duda ROS?

9:36

Nicholas Minnix: I’d like to see that. I think Kinsler is a more suitable 2-hole hitter.

9:37

Nicholas Minnix: And, yes, I think so, but it’s anyone’s guess.

9:37
Comment From Matt
Which starters do you think will have a low ERA and WHIP in the second half?

9:37

Nicholas Minnix: Um … Clayton Kershaw.

9:38

Nicholas Minnix: I guess you want some corrections or something … I think Zimmermann will be even better than he’s been. I like Cobb to rebound, a lot. What a wide open ?.

9:38
Comment From Don
Which somewhat disappointing 24 year old do you prefer for dynasty pts league, Heyward or Hosmer (either would be my DH)?

9:38

Nicholas Minnix: Heyward

9:38

Nicholas Minnix: Just more upside, esp. at his position

9:38
Comment From PieTraynee
Is Russell Martin a top five catcher in baseball by real life value?

9:40

Nicholas Minnix: This is a guess, I don’t have all the data on-hand, but I’d have to say so. Pitch-framing and defensively he’s top-notch, last time I saw the #s, and that’s his long-time reputation. He puts in such extensive work to prepare with his staff. His bat is maybe average to a little above for the position if he keeps up the BA (not likely), but some of what he does there is just a bonus.

9:40
Comment From sleeper & the best!
Are there any similarities with what JD Martinez has done to his swing/plate discipline, and what Edwin Encarnacion did?

9:43

Nicholas Minnix: I cannot say for sure off-hand. I’d speculate not in terms of discipline, because nothing in the numbers suggests it to me, and in terms of that, hitters rarely change much. Martinez, a lot of his changes were made to his swing, the entire process, overhauled. So there might be, there. I haven’t compared them.

9:43
Comment From Patrick
Thanks for taking my Q. What is the most likely scenario for Piscotty to see significant playing time in St. Louis next year?

9:45

Nicholas Minnix: Allen Craig becomes expendable to STL, or they think of him as a bench bat/platoon player. Or they trade Matt Adams. I’m not sure. I think he’s just likelier to be a yoyo initially, or platoon player, f/t role possible by 2016. Guessing.

9:45
Comment From chris
Can Gillaspie and Coghlan keep this up? They’ve been pretty useful to slot into 3B with Donaldson not hitting.

9:46

Nicholas Minnix: To some extent, sure. Gillaspie will slow down. Coghlan’s #s could be projected forward, minus about 25 pts in BA and a good bit of the power. I like the ROS projections for both, fairly.

9:46

Nicholas Minnix: Nothing special

9:47
Comment From Janak
Hey nick- please rank ROS. Arrieta, keuchel, odorizzi, Bauer, walker, stroman. Thanks!

9:47

Nicholas Minnix: Arrieta, Stroman, Bauer, Keuchel (altho health is a big determinant here), Odorizzi, Walker (scared his opportunity won’t come soon)

9:48
Comment From Adam
What do you think winds up happening with the Angels’ bullpen? Will they stick with Smith, or do the Huston Street rumors have legs?

9:48

Nicholas Minnix: I think they trade for someone, but who IDK. Soria is a possibility, I think. In that case, Soria takes over. I think LAA want to trade for a Smith replacement if they can, yes.

9:49

Nicholas Minnix: I wouldn’t rule out Jason Grilli there, tho. They seem to have made progress with him. I think Smith isn’t closer ROS regardless, but it may take some time before he isn’t.

9:50
Comment From BillaBong
Thoughts on C. Davis? His LD% and babip suggest he should be well above where he currently sits. 2nd half buy low??

9:50

Nicholas Minnix: Yes.

9:50
Comment From JC
Suddenly find myself with three technically minor league pitchers in a mixed 14 team H2H redraft: Walker, Salazar, and Gausman. Will any of them fail to reward my perseverence?

9:51

Nicholas Minnix: Yes, probably, sadly. You listen to me too much, perhaps. Sorry. :( Really, all of them are gambles in your format. I’m most optimistic about Salazar, but I’d feel most comfortable owning Walker, if that makes sense.

9:51
Comment From Jeff
10 team mixed league. Chasing wins, ERA and WHIP. i have quintana, gausman,ventura,porcello, bucholz and alex wood. would you drop any of them for Cashner or Cole, Kuroda, walker or skaggs?for Stout lovers Hinterland Luna Coffee Stout.

9:51

Nicholas Minnix: Yes, for Cashner or Cole, drop Gausman.

9:52

Nicholas Minnix: Whichever is back sooner, altho Cole I’m more confident will remain healthy. Coin toss.

9:53
Comment From Mick Ninnix
Do you see anything in Desmond Jennings’ peripherals to suggest he’s better than his current numbers, or still has some untapped upside? Thanks.

9:54

Nicholas Minnix: In his #s, no. In his previous performances, definitely. He may end up being a tease, surely possible. He’s 28 after this season, it’s closing in on that. Not a bust, just disappointing. I think some of it’s mental, just my opinion. He’s not very aggressive, either.

9:55
Comment From Joseph
Should I drop rondon or Ramirez?

9:55

Nicholas Minnix: For something better, sure, otherwise, don’t know why you would.

9:55
Comment From Patrick
Anibal for Ross and j smith?

9:55

Nicholas Minnix: Latter, I suppose, unless you’re chasing wins and want to play that game. Worth a few more K’s, some SV for a while. … Vacuum.

9:56
Comment From Gets by Buckner
where do you see Murphy ending up? Colon?

9:57

Nicholas Minnix: Murphy, geez, only place that makes sense IMO is SF. Colon … I’m going out on a limb and saying TOR. Which I wouldn’t like, haha.

9:57
Comment From alex
Assuming we’re thinking ahead to 2015 with teh Mets their staff looks something like: Harvey, Wheeler, Gee, Niese, Syndergaard, with a BP of Mejia, Parnell, deGrom, Montero, Edgin, Torres. Mets should trade Colon. Any specific teams you can think of that would be a potential match and who would that potential match be?

9:58

Nicholas Minnix: TOR! Haha. DeGrom is SP material, to me. Gee might not be around then, have to check his team control sitch, may be way off on that. Syndergaard, they’re in no rush, tho, so slow down just a little.

10:01
Comment From Snuffy
Does Shelby Miller need to develop another pitch to stop sucking? And is that doable in the off-season? Thanks a lot for your thoughts.

10:02

Nicholas Minnix: It might help. His fastball sucks, he needs to focus on commanding it better, I’d think. I’d wonder if the Cards don’t eventually try to turn him into a sinker guy.

10:02
Comment From Guest
wOBA sees a single for the runs it creates, not for where on the field it landed

10:02

Nicholas Minnix: Thanks for the help!

10:02
Comment From sleeper & the best!
If Street gets dealt to the Angels, would you dump him for Benoit (assuming Benoit stays in SD)? I hate the Sciosciapath!

10:02

Nicholas Minnix: LOL. … Um, it’s 50-50. More chances in LAA, plenty more.

10:02
Comment From Guest
Thoughts on Mark Appeal and him having a rough season

10:03

Nicholas Minnix: Thoughts: He’s a ways away. He may not be all he was cracked up to be, so far hasn’t shown a special pitch, to my understanding.

10:03
Comment From Northsider
Yesterday was a pretty great night for the Cubs’ farm system. http://www.baseballamerica….

10:03
Comment From (not that) James
Dude, thanks! That was a long, annoying question. Didn’t expect to get it answered. BTW, keep up the good work on the podcast.

10:04

Nicholas Minnix: Thank you! We are doing what we can. Baby steps. IDK which ? was your long and annoying one, but we like to answer.

10:04
Comment From KC
Thoughts on B. Butler v. Austin Jax for ROS in a 14 team roto mixer…

10:04

Nicholas Minnix: A-Jax, please

10:04
Comment From Tony G.
Let’s say Ben Zobrist ends up in Seattle. Which Mariner(s) lose the most playing time as a result?

10:04

Nicholas Minnix: Ackley, has to be, IMO, somehow. I’d be a tad concerned about Brad Miller, though.

10:04

Nicholas Minnix: Maybe they move Hart to LF and Zobrist to RF.

10:05
Comment From sleeper & the best!
Assuming both are closing in a couple weeks, who would you prefer, Benoit or Giles? Thanks!

10:05

Nicholas Minnix: Benoit, just a simpler answer.

10:05

Nicholas Minnix: Because he’s done it a lot … Haha.

10:05
Comment From fool of a took!
I’m last in AVG/SB, first in HR/RBI. Roto redraft. could use some help on pitching. my cespedes/anibal/sonny for his ryu/quintana/doolittle?

10:06
Comment From Sea Town
James Jones…the AL’s Ben Revere? Better or worse?

10:06

Nicholas Minnix: If you need pitching, why trade some good pitching away? it seems like Cespedes for Doolittle, in essence, too much to give up for me. I’d want a pretty good SP straight up for Cespedes if I could get it. Don’t see your AVG/SB help there, so that’s my thought.

10:07

Nicholas Minnix: Better. Says sad Phils fan. :(

10:07
Comment From SoFlo
Jose Fernandez. Forecast for 2015?

10:07

Nicholas Minnix: Off the top … 3.25 ERA, 9 K/9

10:07

Nicholas Minnix: In … 75 IP. They take no chances. I might be generous.

10:07
Comment From Dweezill
15 team 5×5: Thoughts on Cruz? He’s been awesome, but do you sell over DL concerns that could derail a run for the flag?

10:08

Nicholas Minnix: I’d consider it, surely. It’s not would I, it’s what can I get if I do. Ask.

10:08
Comment From Bobert
Hi Nick. If the Mariners are really interested in Price or Zobrist, what prospects are on the block? Specifically, do you think Peterson goes to TB? Thanks!

10:09

Nicholas Minnix: I don’t think so. Nick Franklin is said to be part of the deal, for Zobrist, right now. It’s a no-brainer. SEA probably needs to add to that for Zobrist alone, probably a mid-level pitcher. Just my amateur guess.

10:09
Comment From Pale Hose
Hey Nicholas. Any news on Burch Smith? I can’t seem to find anything. Does he still have long term potential?

10:10

Nicholas Minnix: No news that I’ve seen. I believe so, yes, a No. 3 type SP in SD, I think. Unlikely to see him in the majors again 2015, I expect, but Sept. possible I’m sure.

10:10
Comment From yojiveself
what part of philly are you in? we should meet for lunch!

10:10

Nicholas Minnix: I would be glad to, haha, but I’m in VA. I haven’t been back to Philly in a couple of years. But I’d love to get up there again soon.

10:11
Comment From Adam
Would you drop Willingham (rotating at UT, 12 tm 5×5 H2H OBP) for the chance to pick up T.Bauer ROS? Current SPs are Scherzer, Samardzija, Ryu, Kluber, Kennedy, A. Wood.

10:12

Nicholas Minnix: You’re well off in SPs it seems. Do you need pitching or hitting more? I love Bauer, he’s a tad maddening. 1 for 1, it’s roughly the same, it’s more about need. Willingham traded to a better situation would intrigue me as an owner.

10:12
Comment From Pinky
I was looking at ROS projections for BJ Upton versus Kipnis and was shocked that BJ has better numbers other than BA … what gives?

10:14

Nicholas Minnix: I wouldn’t call them better, pretty even, with Kipnis besting Upton in AVG naturally. 6 or 7 HR, 10 SB? I’d say, regardless, it says sad face about Kipnis, haha. I’m not convinced that he hits for a lot of power in the 2nd half, either, but there’s nothing I’ve seen one way or another to determine it confidently.

10:14
Comment From Matt
Currently in 2nd place in Ottoneu 5X5 league, have an offer of $13 Moss and $30 Braun for $15 Samardzija, $6 G. Polanco, and $3 Ryu. Moss would replace my Hosmer/Laroche at first; my other OF are Trout, Bautista, Gordon, Heyward in OF. SPs still on roster would be Bumgarner, Fister, Kluber, Stroman, Skaggs, Kuroda, and Keuchel. Is Braun healthy enough to make this deal?

10:15

Nicholas Minnix: Man, that would tempt me, if I’m in the running. I’d want to take that chance on Braun. Have seen no indication that he’s any more of a health risk than he’s been already. The upgrade at 1B and over Heyward combined seems immense. Hope you have a little skill in adding a P if needed, which I’d rather try to do than find bats.

10:15
Comment From Brandon
Garrett Richards: Top-15 Starting pitcher ROS?

10:17

Nicholas Minnix: Man, I’ll say no, just because there are a lot of good pitchers. But I don’t expect much if any real negative regression, if that’s what you’re asking.

10:17
Comment From Guest
Walden or Giles ROS in a S+HD league?

10:18

Nicholas Minnix: I’d be tempted to go with Giles just because he’s less risky in terms of peripheral performance, let the SV+HLD fall where they may, each is a good candidate for HLD at least.

10:18
Comment From Adam
If I’m the Phillies, I don’t hang up the phone if LAD offers Kemp for Papelbon and cash.

10:18

Nicholas Minnix: Can’t disagree

10:19

Nicholas Minnix: Although at that point it might be a straight contract for contract, no $$ involved

10:19
Comment From Phil E
Expectations for Cliff Lee upon return?

10:20

Nicholas Minnix: It better be better than Phillippe Aumont and Tyson Gillies, that’s all I’m saying. One top-level prospect should be doable, if he gets in a couple of good starts after his return.

10:20
Comment From Philly Frenetic
Is Maikel Franco still in the Phillies plans for a late callup at least? Thanks.

10:20

Nicholas Minnix: I have my doubts.

10:20
Comment From austin
can you explain why some of these players that seem to be on web gems everyday (springer, cutch) have such bad defensive ratings? Thanks!

10:22

Nicholas Minnix: Haha. Well, it’s because routes and range are more important to ratings than highlights. I’m a little surprised that Cutch isn’t rated OK, I think. I think UZR in particular doesn’t reward and in fact gets hurt by gambling.

10:23
Comment From Jay
Does Jake Lamb have anything left to prove at AA? Does he take over in AZ next year?

10:24

Nicholas Minnix: I’d say you’re asking because you think so. I think given his age and track, he’s probably not long for the level. To say take over … I think he’ll have a legit opp to win the job in ST, how about that? I don’t speculate on takeovers until we get close to that time. He should have a very good shot.

10:24
Comment From Guest
Just dealt Kazmir for Cobb and Upton. Just at a glance, did I do ok?

10:24

Nicholas Minnix: BJ? No. Justin? Surely.

10:25

Nicholas Minnix: But you may not be hurt, if regression takes its course, so it’s not a terrible deal, if that’s your thought process, and it’s B.J. I just don’t like to be so definitive, yes or no.

10:26
Comment From erghammer
Am languishing in sixth place. My pitching is strong but my offense is weak. Please give me reason that one or more of my key guys will go on a tear and drive me up the standings: CarGo, Trumbo, Napoli, Rios, Ozuna. Thanks for the chat.

10:27

Nicholas Minnix: They all could. I would be willing to see where they can take me, if that’s your ?. If you have excess pitching or a way to flip it for another bat, I’d consider it, strongly. Wouldn’t rest on laurels with pitching, can make that up more easily, IMO.

10:27
Comment From Bigums
Starting Cliff Lee his first time out?

10:29

Nicholas Minnix: Had to look up the opponent. I think I would, SF has scuffled a bit. I don’t care about his rehab results, if that’s what concerns you. I think Lee can get to 7 IP regardless, fairly easily.

10:29
Comment From Pinky
Miley or Shoemaker ROS?

10:29

Nicholas Minnix: Oooh, that’s a good question. I’m going to take Miley, I’ve been believing turnaround coming … finally started to happen. Think he could be kinda strong.

10:29
Comment From Shmeckaleckahi
What could I get for Yan Gomes in mixed 16 team? Looking for a SS or 3B.

10:31

Nicholas Minnix: Just a tough question. Best way to know is to put him out there. Say you’re willing to trade a C, not him specifically. Then see what’s being offered, and say, I think that matches up with Gomes, how about it? I’d say … maybe a struggling Segura? That’s optimistic. No. Maybe a Bonifacio? Off the top of my head, hard to say. Everth maybe. I think I’m being too optimistic, other than Bonifacio.

10:31
Comment From Desperate for SP help
ROS Cashner or Pineda? Next season? Thanx.

10:31

Nicholas Minnix: Cashner, Cashner. Also, Cashner.

10:31
Comment From AGC
What team will have a huge second half?

10:32

Nicholas Minnix: Tampa Bay! Or, if not, … Pittsburgh, I think they may come on stronger. Which surprises me to say that, coming in, had my doubts.

10:32
Comment From Red
Whats with all of these ranking questions? Get on the ball…Man!

10:32
Comment From Kyles mom
Matt Carpenter for J.D. Martinez in 12 team dynasty. Have Rendon and Arenado at 3B, not so much OF. Sound good? Thanks

10:34

Nicholas Minnix: IDK, which one did you get? Haha. Oh I see, Martinez. Well, I’d prefer something more reliable in return for a reliable Carpenter, but … he loses that 2B eligibility, so then he’s kind of just a guy, maybe. Hey, for a decent year of Martinez, if he hits again, which is certainly a decent possibility IMO, why not. It’s not bad.

10:34
Comment From Jim Boutons hormones
Fernando Rodney has been surprisingly good for the Mariners this year although I assume he may be a one year stop gap. Who do you see as their closer of the future? Last year at this time I would have thought it would be Farquhar but now both Medina and Leone kind of intrigue me.

10:36

Nicholas Minnix: I don’t think anyone is ever safe to call Closer of the Future in Seattle. I liked Rodney, I get the impression I was one of the few more and more, haha. Stopgap … only if they’re in a position where they’re out of it and have to trade him by the deadline next year. Which is a good possibility, for Seattle, in almost any year. …

10:36
Comment From Visitor
Is this the Gausman/Odorizzi chat? ;)

10:37

Nicholas Minnix: Yep, I’m starting to get sick of Gausman, even. :D

10:38

Nicholas Minnix: OK, folks, it’s time for me to wrap up. I’m sorry if I didn’t get to your question. I went ahead for 90+ minutes again anyway, sorry to my family. I’ll pick it back up next week, same bat time, same bat channel. Enjoy the weekend, and the open of the post-break run! Ciao.



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Nicholas Minnix oversaw baseball content for six years at KFFL, where he held the loose title of Managing Editor for seven and a half before he joined FanGraphs. He played in both Tout Wars and LABR from 2010 through 2014. Follow him on Twitter @NicholasMinnix.


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