Nicholas Minnix Baseball Chat – 7/3/14

8:45
Nicholas Minnix: Hey folks! I’m filling in for Eno, today, and I won’t be chatting tomorrow, FYI. I’ll be with you at the top of the hour!
8:54
Comment From J
Eno: I think our banter is getting better.
8:54
Comment From J
Nick: I agree.
8:59
Nicholas Minnix: I’m asking for a little of your patience, as well. I’m surely not as quick (or as knowledgeable for that matter) as Eno! But I’ll do my best.
8:59
Nicholas Minnix: Rock. And. Roll.
8:59
Comment From AL Pitching Coach
Top 3 current AL closers that could be moved at the deadline?

8:59
Nicholas Minnix: Soria and Uehara are the only two I’m aware of who are distinct possibilities.
8:59
Comment From Ruppert
Please rank Alex Cobb, Mike Minor and James Shields ROS
8:59
Nicholas Minnix: The order you have them is mine.
9:00
Comment From Tony G.
Given that they’re both SS-eligible and easily two of the most discussed players in Fangraphs chat rooms, I can’t resist: ROS – Brad Miller vs. Mookie Betts?
9:00
Nicholas Minnix: Haha. Betts.
9:00
Comment From Guest
Wong or Gennett ROS?
9:00
Nicholas Minnix: Oy. I like Wong just a tad more.
9:00
Comment From Tom
What do you do with Ben Zobrist?
9:00
Nicholas Minnix: It depends on so much. If you want draft-day value in a trade, then you will probably be disappointed.
9:00
Comment From Texas Dolly
Think Jason Grilli eventually takes over as closer for the Angels?
9:02
Nicholas Minnix: It’s POSSIBLE. Previous health concerns and some things to fix suggest that it’s not highly probable. But the Halos wouldn’t mind seeing him emerge so that they didn’t have to trade for a CL. Which I could see them doing and paying for an established one, unlike many other clubs are willing to do, smartly.
9:02
Comment From Cory
Nick, I’m thinking its time to throw in the towel on Beltran. Keeper league and I can’t (and won’t) keep him for next year. If I’m looking for a successful hitter (don’t care about power or speed or position), who would you look at JD Martinez, James Jones, Chris Johnson, DJ LeMahieu, or Josh Harrison?
9:03
Nicholas Minnix: I can see it RE: Beltran. Martinez is intriguing, helps now. Jones otherwise because I know he can contribute heavily in SB – but, none of those stand out.
9:05
Comment From THE average sports fan
If Padres are able to trade Street and Benoit. Who gets the saves?
9:05
Nicholas Minnix: A) If they do deal both, then I’ll be shocked.
B) Thayer, Patton … it doesn’t look great. Jason Lane?
9:05
Comment From Kevin Gausman
What will the Orioles do with me for the rest of the season?
9:06
Nicholas Minnix: You’ll be in the rotation permanently after the ASB, if not sooner, if they want to win.
9:06
Comment From Brandon McCarthy
What’s my deal? 5.11 ERA, but a 2.92 xFIP – That’s crazy. Also, where do you expect me to move to before the trade deadline?
9:07
Nicholas Minnix: Hard to say RE: trades. We’ve talked about McCarthy on the pod a few times, basically he has a couple of pitches that result in great batted-ball stuff and K’s, good control, but a couple of the pitches look similar, and if he makes mistakes or lacks command, he gets hit. But he should improve on 5.11 at least.
9:08
Comment From Snuffy
Just picked up D.J. Peterson, but then Maikel Franco became available shortly thereafter. I know Peterson probably won’t stick at 3B (hopefully, he’s the fix for the Mariners’ 1B mess soon), but who do you think has the brighter fantasy future? Thanks for your advice.
9:08
Nicholas Minnix: Franco, just a tad more.
9:08
Comment From Snuffy
Missed out on McGee and Betances in my league’s most recent draft. Do you think Tony Watson is the Pirates’ closer next year? Any other young eighth-inning types with closer potential and the stuff to help a little in a league that counts saves right away? Thanks for your advice.
9:09
Nicholas Minnix: Saves right away? Not sure I follow. There are plenty, but these things are difficult to predict because it’s not based solely on performance, obviously. I like the guy who got the SV for TB last night, Brad Boxberger, quite a bit.
9:10
Comment From Snuffy
Matt Carpenter was great at 2B for me last year in a 12-team 5X5 dynasty league. This year at 3B, not so much. I’d like to unload him, but the offers seem low. Should I deal him for a high pick in one of our monthly FA drafts (which, for context, have yielded Sean Doolittle, Derek Norris, Alex Wood, and Jesse Hahn in the first round so far), or hold in the hopes that his numbers start to improve? Thanks for your advice.
9:11
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t see anything wrong with his #s, not much different from last season’s. Your’e right, they play worse at 3B, if you went in with him as your plan at the position, then you were asking too much. If you need to build for the future, then the pick sounds like the way to go.
9:11
Comment From Sal
Hey Nick, 14 team league QS instead of Ws. Growing tired of Peralta and Bauer are either or both of them worth dropping for any of C. Martinez, Holland, Gee, J. Kelly, Liriano or Salazar?
9:12
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t view any of those guys as having a better chance to get QS, really. Or, there’s no rush, with Holland or Gee (just guessing, hard to say in your league). Holland or Gee may be a better bet for QS eventually. Will take some time.
9:12
Comment From Kendal
How do you move older guys such as Ellsbury, Wright and Beltre for younger guys in a roto dynasty league?
9:13
Nicholas Minnix: You ask people what they want to give you for them. The contenders this year will come out of the woodwork.
9:14
Comment From Jolly Roger
I picked up David Dahl at the beginning of the year, as all of the more highly touted OF prospects were taken. I’ve been happy with what I see in the box scores so far. Any thoughts on his future (ETA, floor/ceiling, etc.)? Thanks!
9:15
Nicholas Minnix: Pretty nice ceiling, it seems, maybe a 20-20 type? I’m not too familiar with him, but I like what seems to be a combination of good control of the strike zone and athleticism.
9:15
Comment From Jolly Roger
Do you think Josh Rutledge is doing enough to take over at 2B in the near future? Thanks!
9:15
Nicholas Minnix: No. COL likes LaMehieu’s D too much. But it’d be nice to see Rutledge somewhere regularly.
9:15
Comment From Jolly Roger
Which two would you rather have in the long term: Gausman, Meyer, Crick, Zimmer, Wisler. Thanks!
9:17
Nicholas Minnix: Geez. All, so one of those darts would hit the bullseye. I really like Zimmer. Wisler and Meyer right behind him.
9:18
Comment From Jolly Roger
Any thoughts on Adam Duvall? He’s mashed at AAA, but his first week (SSS I know) was less than impressive. Is he a AAAA guy, or a possible Panda replacement? Thanks!
9:19
Nicholas Minnix: It’s possible that he’s a replacement, sure. My thought is that he’s better than a AAAA player but not by much. He’s platoon material maybe. Next spring will be interesting.
9:19
Comment From Tom Jones
Hi Nicholas. Really enjoying your work since you joined Fangraphs. Is Shin-Soo Choo just having a better week, or are we seeing the initial signs of him turning it around?
9:20
Nicholas Minnix: Thank you, that’s really nice.
I think he’ll continue to turn it around a bit, but #s from last year are probably asking too much.
9:20
Comment From Alex Gordon
Am I a better player in real life than in fantasy?
9:21
Nicholas Minnix: Haha, probably. But not by much. Gordon’s #s are – perhaps surprisingly, based on your ? – at the end of a year really quite valuable.
9:21
Comment From Milhouse
Looking for power/rbi from a MI spot. Currently running Howie Kendrick out there. Shoot for Utley, JRoll, Desmond? Pretty good on OBP. thanks!
9:22
Nicholas Minnix: Desmond or Utley appears to be your best bet then. Depends on what you mean shoot for. Kendrick suffices if you can make up the difference creatively elsewhere.
9:22
Comment From DD
Any SP that struggled in the 1st half that you see having a strong/great 2nd half?
9:22
Nicholas Minnix: Cobb!
9:22
Comment From Benito Santiago
Who would you rather have as your Catcher in an AL-only league: Yan Gomes or Derek Norris?
9:22
Nicholas Minnix: ROS, maybe a wash, but I’d take Norris, and dynasty, Norris unquestionably.
9:23
Comment From Vanderbilt Commodores
I am trading for many Machado in a Dynasty league.
9:23
Nicholas Minnix: Congrats!
9:23
Comment From Chris
Hi Nick. Is it time to drop Segura in favor of Miller at SS?
9:23
Nicholas Minnix: I wouldn’t. Segura’s tools provide him with greater upside. Depends on your league, that’s my answer in a vacuum.
9:23
Comment From Chris
Hi Nick. Please rank with long-term value foremost in mind: Hahn, Alex Meyer, Shelby Miller, Pomeranz, Salazar, Smyly, Wood.
9:25
Nicholas Minnix: Geez. Wood, Hahn, Pomeranz, Smyly, Salazar, Miller, Meyer? Not sure what to say there, they’re all intriguing for one reason or another. These rankings of players w/o context and such are really difficult even with context. Pitchers fail.
9:25
Comment From Chris
Hi Nick. Does Piscotty have a place in the Cardinals OF next year? Do you think his power is still developing, or is what we see what we’re going to get?
9:27
Nicholas Minnix: Sure he does. They like him. I like him. I think what you see is about it, in terms of power, maybe he’s a 15-HR guy, 20 in career year possible.
9:27
Comment From Miketron
Does Marcus Stroman’s additional work in the Fall League last year have any effect on his innings cap this year?
9:27
Nicholas Minnix: No generally that’s to build up a pitcher prior to this season. If anything it helps him this year.
9:27
Comment From Daniel B
Is Syndergaard keepable in a 12 team 15 player dynasty format? I’m in contention, and the fact that he may not help this year at all + general nerves about SP prospects makes me think the roster spot more valuable
9:28
Nicholas Minnix: Keeper questions w/o keeper limits are tough. If you can’t keep a lot of guys, then no, he’s not.
9:28
Nicholas Minnix: 15 players per team? Definitely not.
9:28
Comment From Don
Thanks for filling in! I am in a Dynasty league and am in contention for this year. I have been offered Reyes, Hamels and Cuddyer for Polanco and Cashner. My current SS is Xander, so Reyes will help unless he gets hurt. Hamels will make his way into rotation over Ian Kennedy. Thoughts?
9:29
Nicholas Minnix: Dynasty, that’s rough to deal Polanco, but you want to win. I think it’s a solid deal. Giving up Cashner – great talent, great pitcher – isn’t a big deal to me, I suspect that health will never be fully on his side.
9:29
Comment From Bobert
Thanks for your time, Nick. Does Derek Norris ever take over as the A’s full-time C?
9:31
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, if Jaso is expendable heading into his final arbitration year. Almost full-time. Vogt could be re-signed. I think OAK is a little conscious of the way they handle catchers. But they value his bat, they must. I’d be happy with him going forward, I love his skills.
9:31
Comment From Bobert
Thanks for your time, Nick. Any under-the-radar position prospects that have stood out to you so far as guys who will be jumping up the prospect lists by the end of the year?
9:35
Nicholas Minnix: Thanks to you for joining. This isn’t my area of expertise, so I can’t say with confidence. I think Rougned Odor’s MLB exposure will be valuable in the long term, although by then he might not be considered a prospect because of his service time.
9:35
Comment From Humphrey Bogaerts
Is my nephew Xander droppable in a non-keeper league?
9:35
Nicholas Minnix: LOL. It depends on whom you get – if better is available, then yes.
9:35
Comment From THE average sports fan
Is the 2014 version of Joey Votto what should be expected going forward?
9:36
Nicholas Minnix: Kind of. It depends on whether 85% health is a regular part of the profile now. He can be better, but he may continue at this rate and slowly get worse.
9:36
Comment From Vanderbilt Commodores
I am trading for Manny Machado in a dynasty league. The other guy is requesting either Gausman and Betances or Ventura and Tony Watson. Which duo do i give up?
9:37
Nicholas Minnix: The latter – I like Watson, but I don’t believe that he’ll close. Ventura long-term health concerns me more, although his ceiling is much greater than Gausman’s, I believe.
9:37
Comment From Clownfeet
Matt Carpenter and Leonys Martin for Michael Brantley, who says no? How about the same pair for Heyward?
9:38
Nicholas Minnix: I’d love to give up Heyward for that duo. I’d rather keep the duo for Brantley – good player, just not great, and I always liked him, but this year everyone likes him more – I get it, his #s are really good.
9:38
Comment From Scott
Thoughts on Shields ROS? 12 team roto dynasty. Need SB’s. Could get Marte for him. In 3rd right now. Is he enough of a stolen base guy, or should I try to get Gordon. Could possibly get both but would have to give up a lot of SP. Probably Bauer and Stroman too. Thanks.
9:39
Nicholas Minnix: I wouldn’t be afraid to deal Shields for Marte. You know how far back you are in SB and what you need to do to make a move, I can’t say. I’d feel more comfortable acquiring Marte, perhaps strangely, but Gordon has more potential to move you up.
9:39
Comment From B
Best division in baseball….go!
9:40
Nicholas Minnix: NL Central? Right now.
9:40
Comment From Joe
U guys mentioned on the podcast: Putnam, Guerra, and Petricka. I agree about skilz of Guerra>Petricka. However, Petricka got a traditional save Fri (9th inning) and then closed out a 4-run lead on Sunday. Putnam had a 1.1 inning save in between. Also, last night he was used in the 8th. Doesn’t usage pattern suggest Petricka>Putnam??
9:41
Nicholas Minnix: It’s a great point, and a good possibility. I like Putnam a bit more just because he shouldn’t hurt me, but Petricka may be better bet for SV.
9:41
Comment From Clownfeet
What is holding back the Cubs from calling up Alcantara? His numbers look like he’s ready. Do they like Barney that much, or are they waiting to bring a bunch of their prospects up at the same time?
9:42
Nicholas Minnix: There’s no purpose, really. They’re not contending, so they don’t want to start his clock.
9:42
Comment From Ernie
Machado or Arenado ROS?
9:42
Nicholas Minnix: Hmmm. Machado, by a hair.
9:42
Comment From Scott
Think Danny Salazar comes up and has similar success like last year?
9:42
Nicholas Minnix: I do think it’s a good possibility. He’s showing signs of turning it around in the minors.
9:43
Comment From Jeff Luhnow
Just sent out a trade offer of Scott Feldman for Bryce Harper think I’ll get a bite, or am I reaching?
9:43
Nicholas Minnix: Done!
9:43
Comment From Finding Forrester
So do you go by Nicholas or Nick or what?
9:43
Nicholas Minnix: Either is fine, people seem to prefer to use Nick because they’re syllable-lazy, what can you do? :D
9:43
Comment From Ernie
Is Alcides Escobar going to continue his first half production over the second half of the season?
9:43
Nicholas Minnix: Unlikely
9:43
Comment From Vanderbilt Commodores
Where will Schoop rank among fantasy 2B next season. Worth holding onto in a dynasty league?
9:44
Nicholas Minnix: Hard to say. Mixed league, low-end MI with upside, nothing specific I can say now. Worth holding? Who else would you get or hold if not?
9:44
Comment From Jeff
What do you do with Michael Pineda in a dynasty league? Have a DL spot for him now, but is he worth holding onto at the end of the year? QS league with 40-man rosters and keep 35 each year.
9:45
Nicholas Minnix: If you can keep that many, I suppose. I don’t see him ever being healthy for long. If you have something more reliable and even with less upside, I’d consider it. Not for any old scrub, but someone who has a good chance to contribute. Or more upside.
9:45
Comment From Shawn
James Shields- Hold or sell while we still can?
9:46
Nicholas Minnix: Depends on the offers. It should even out, but in the long run, it won’t get much better and will tail off.
9:47
Comment From E5
If you could compare Alex Meyer’s future ceiling with a current/past pitcher, who would it be?
9:47
Nicholas Minnix: Ceiling is the same now as in the future. I can’t think of a comp for him, off-hand. The ceiling is really high, isn’t that good?
9:48
Comment From Mark
Hi, Nick! I was offered his Lohse, Polanco and Yadier for my Mesoraco and Shields. I don’t like Shields at all right now, but am I getting enough in return if I take it?
9:49
Nicholas Minnix: ROS? Redrafter? Debatable. I’d like to take my chances with it. Keeper/dynasty? Definitely, I’d do that deal.
9:49
Comment From Vanilla Ice
Have we reached the point where it’ll take a miracle to get Buxton to the Majors before 2016?
9:49
Nicholas Minnix: Hahaha – um, miracle, not quite, but close to it. Sept. 2015 call-up?
9:49
Comment From Jonathan Richman
You deserve to have tomorrow off, just like the rest of us.
9:50
Nicholas Minnix: Thanks!
9:50
Comment From Shawn
Better days ahead for Chris Davis?
9:50
Nicholas Minnix: Surely. He’s mixed in some better days, earlier this season. There’ll be more.
9:50
Comment From Vanderbilt Commodores
Thoughts on Jeff Locke the ROS?
9:51
Nicholas Minnix: I like him, think he’s better prepared to handle adjustments and the pending corrections this time around because of his pitch mix. Still going to be some corrections, tho. I like him, he could play for a while in mixed leagues, like he did last year. I own him in one.
9:51
Comment From Not so opti-mets-tic
Will enough teams be interested in Daniel Murphy/Bartolo Colon that the Mets get good players in return? What’s the market like for those two?
9:52
Nicholas Minnix: Good players? Hmmm. In a package, I suppose. Neither nets a sure everyday player or mid-rotation starter on his own, tho.
9:53
Comment From Finding Forrester
Hey Nicholas/Nick, Who should I give up for Marte in a 10 Team H2H? I need steals! Gio, Gray, Kluber, Cobb, AWood, Keuchel, or Arrieta?
9:53
Nicholas Minnix: Me, I’d probably deal Arrieta. And I really like the guy. Just would try to play the %s, regression.
9:54
Comment From Louis
Aaron Sanchez is a guy most of the dynasty podcasts haven’t really touched on. He’s a prospect I’ve never understood and I still don’t understand the hype behind. I can’t get behind a guy with a career 5 BB/9. TOR seems to love him and have him fast-tracked. How do you feel about him and what league parameters (size/total # of keepers) do you feel he’s worth owning in?
9:56
Nicholas Minnix: I do like him, but I think your worries are legit. He was considered a level above Stroman in terms of talent, but Stroman is considerably more polished. If I could trade him while people loved him, I’d strongly consider it. But I like him, he has the TOOLS to improve that control, I think. Say 15-team mixed league, no salaries, maybe 15-25 keepers year to year? Hard to say. My goal would be to trade him, so I would hope to avoid that decision.
9:56
Comment From MJ
How valuable will Arismendy Alcantara be in the bigs this year assuming a call up is soon?
9:57
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe he gets a call after the break. Maybe it’s not until September. He should be owned when it happens, regardless, in most leagues.
9:57
Comment From Guest
who is closing in san diego next month? and do either benoit or street get moved someplace where they close?
9:58
Nicholas Minnix: Street is closing. And if one of them is moved, then I’d say probably. But it’s impossible to say, I think they won’t be moved.
9:59
Comment From Guest
Keeper league question. Seager or Arenado? Currently in 1st so want to make a run at it. 12 team h2h and no salaries or draft picks involved with the keepers.
9:59
Nicholas Minnix: What do you need? I like Seager more.
9:59
Nicholas Minnix: Guys, I’m at the 9:00 ?s now. All the ?s are great early, just bear with me.
10:00
Comment From Hank
Put the Polanco hype aside are Granderson, Calhoun and Polanco pretty close in value ROS in an OBP league?
10:00
Nicholas Minnix: Hmmm … No, Polanco more than Calhoun likely, Granderson maybe – Granderson is just so unpredictable.
10:00
Comment From Scooby
Hi, Nick. Would you be starting Cain in SD tomorrow? Or do you still not trust him? Thanks!
10:01
Nicholas Minnix: I have him, he’s in there for me – 15-tm mixed league. I have little to lose, though.
10:01
Comment From Mike
Jesse Hahn or Taijuan Walker ROS?
10:01
Nicholas Minnix: Man. Hahn, better environment. Close.
10:01
Comment From Boston Bill
Who takes over for the Red Sox if Uehara is moved?
10:02
Nicholas Minnix: Tazawa, let’s say. Or committee.
10:02
Comment From jb
Better waiver pickup. Drew hutchison, Gausmab, jimmy nelson, or mcchugh
10:02
Nicholas Minnix: Hutchison or Gausman … McHugh is close tho.
10:02
Comment From MJ
Will the Brewers find a way to use Jimmy Nelson by the all-star break? Guy is killing it in the hitter-friendly PCL.
10:02
Nicholas Minnix: I guess it’s possible, but I think they’ll wait until a need arises, don’t see it now.
10:03
Comment From Adrian
Do you think Palpebon gets moved and would Ken Giles be worth a speculative stash?
10:03
Nicholas Minnix: No, I still don’t see that.
10:03
Comment From Carlos Santana (the guitarist)
My cousin showed signs of heating up and now he’s falling back towards .200. Is this just a major off-year or do you see him bouncing back still and having a strong ROS?
10:03
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, still see strong ROS. EOS #s may not be great, so it’s an off year, but ROS, considerably more good than bad, I think.
10:04
Comment From Ernie
If you could only keep two of: Melky Cabrera, Max Scherzer, Madison Bumgarner, and Zack Greinke who would it be?
10:05
Nicholas Minnix: Generally the hitter, but Melky is meh. I guess Scherzer has to be, but I would try to trade him and to keep Bum and Greinke (generally; your keeper rules may change my take).
10:05
Comment From Tom
Hi Nick! Which of these pitchers do you think will perform the worst for the rest of the season – Collin McHugh, Ian Kennedy or Matt Cain?
10:05
Nicholas Minnix: Haha, worst, I like it. Kennedy, with slight confidence.
10:06
Comment From Rated Rookie
Care to forecast what Dallas Keuchel will do ROS?
10:06
Nicholas Minnix: No. But I’ll guess anyway, 3.50-3.75 ERA, slightly lower pace for K’s. Would still be solid.
10:06
Comment From Baltic Fox
Need to find a SP for AL only league with QS. McAlister or Colby Lewis ROS? Lewis’ last two starts have been decent.
10:07
Nicholas Minnix: McAlister
10:07
Comment From Chris
Any chance Danny Salazar returns to CLE? Who would he replace?
10:07
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, eventually, after ASB maybe. House or Tomlin eventually.
10:07
Comment From Michael Motorcycle
Is Corey Dickerson still an everyday OF when CarGo and Cuddyer get back? If not, does he take over in 2015? Thanks.
10:07
Nicholas Minnix: No, and maybe, but probably still a platoon.
10:07
Comment From Sky Ferreira
What do you think Travis D’Arnaud does ROS? Do you think he’s startable in a 10-team mixed H2H points league? Start 2 catchers. My other options are Norris, Jaso, and Zunino (wire options).
10:08
Nicholas Minnix: Norris, wire? Get him. Otherwise, d’Arnaud can be just as useful as Zunino, depends on pts for HR and such. Jaso more reliable.
10:08
Comment From Kyle
Nick, are there any guys currently on the DL who aren’t owned in most leagues that you think would be worth picking up?
10:08
Nicholas Minnix: Aren’t owned in most leagues … Hmmm … No. If they’re not owned, almost assuredly not.
10:08
Comment From Robert
What should I do with Joey Votto? I’m starving for power, and kind of sick of his lack thereof
10:09
Nicholas Minnix: Put him in a meat grinder. Add garlic salt. Tenderize. Grill. Serve.
If you want power, have to go find some, trade for it, if you need to trade him, sounds as if you won’t be sad.
10:10
Comment From StartWedman
Looking at my 6th keeper spot, I have to choose between a $1 Oscar Taveras and a $1 Mookie Betts. It has to be Taveras right?
10:10
Nicholas Minnix: YES
10:10
Comment From atoms
What do you see as the issue with Chris Davis? His swing rates are fine, his plate discipline is improved if anything. His contact is down but only a very small amount. His batted ball distance is still very good. His LD% is actually up. So why is he so much worse this year? Bad BABIP luck? Better shifting? Will he get better?
10:11
Nicholas Minnix: He has a swing with holes in it. He’ll get better. If you drafted him with a repeat in mind, then you were destined to be disappointed. Wrote about him extensively on that at KFFL, I think, or in other sources. Just not that sound of a hitter. Still sick power, patience sir.
10:11
Comment From Machete dont tweet
What do you think Gio Gonzalez does ROS? Are we looking at a return to 2013-caliber Gio? Something better? Something worse?
10:11
Nicholas Minnix: Yeah, close to 2013, sure, I don’t see why not.
10:11
Comment From MJ
Outlook for C-Mart the rest of the season?
10:12
Nicholas Minnix: 65 IP, 3.75 ERA, 7-7.5 K/9. Nothing outlandish or great.
10:12
Comment From Rainouts galore
Do you think every MLB stadium should be fitted with a retractable roof? The technology has to be out there so that it’s not ridiculously expensive. MLB should pay the bill along with the players union.
10:13
Nicholas Minnix: Haha, no, just because I think that has to be low on the list of priorities. But I could see some arguments for why not.
10:13
Comment From birdwatcher
Does Santiago–if he can keep the walk rate down–displace Shoemaker as the Angels #5 starter?
10:13
Nicholas Minnix: Starting to have less belief that he does. But after the ASB, think it’s still a good possibility, yes.
10:13
Comment From James
Any chance Alcantara is up this month?
10:13
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t see that, no.
10:13
Comment From Pennsy
Please rank RoS: Begrudgingly Maintaining Interest in My Losing Fantasy Team; Begrudgingly Maintaining Interest in My Losing MLB Team; Begrudgingly Maintaining Interest in My Actual Problems
10:14
Nicholas Minnix: Actual Problems, Fantasy, MLB team
10:14
Nicholas Minnix: Great question
10:14
Comment From Mike
16 team redraft mixed 6×6 (OPS and holds). My Rizzo and Porcello for his CDavis and Longo. I am using CJohnson at 3rd and it is my only week position. I have good enough pitching that I don’t need Porcello.
10:14
Nicholas Minnix: I like it.
10:14
Comment From Doug
Is Matt Cain droppable in a 12 teamer?
10:15
Nicholas Minnix: If better than Matt Cain is available, then sure.
10:15
Comment From Michael Motorcycle
Is Giles the Phillies’ closer by September. Or are they content/forced to stick with Papelbon? Thanks.
10:15
Nicholas Minnix: No. Yes.
10:15
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe they aren’t forced, but I don’t think the Phils will elevate Giles automatically.
10:15
Comment From Shawn
Jake Arrieta or James Shields ROS?
10:16
Nicholas Minnix: Man, tough call there, seriously. Range of outcomes here is wild. I’m going to say Arrieta, just because the upside is greater. Could tank it totally, though. Shields is reliable 3.90ish ERA.
10:16
Comment From Gerald
How much job security does Joe Nathan have at this point?
10:16
Nicholas Minnix: Not a lot.
10:16
Comment From Lorne Malvo
Kole Calhoun ROS a top 30 OF?
10:17
Nicholas Minnix: That’s ambitious, they rest him too often for that.
10:17
Comment From Lorne Malvo
Will Xander turn it around or is there something more worrisome going on?
10:17
Nicholas Minnix: Worrisome is that he’s young. It happens. Still like him a lot in the long run.
10:17
Comment From Brules Rules
Please talk to me about J.D. Martinez. Writers on the site seem to be divided. Latest dude on a hot streak, or legit talent?
10:18
Nicholas Minnix: Little of both. He’s doing some new things, they work. He’s been pretty decent before. Something to be said. Won’t keep this up, but this is potentially a late-bloom/reclamation deal, yes.
10:18
Comment From Bigums
Xander or Mookie ROS?
10:19
Nicholas Minnix: Both MI eligible? What do you need? Bogaerts has more power, Betts more speed. Still kinda like both ROS, about equally.
10:19
Comment From Jeff
More valuable ROS, Wilin Rosario or Derek Norris?
10:19
Nicholas Minnix: Oooooooh, man, you’re a tough one. I’m going Rosario. And I love Norris.
10:19
Comment From Carlton Dotson
Are you in Waco?
10:20
Nicholas Minnix: No.
10:20
Comment From Guest
Who should I go with ROS @ 1B? (5×5 Cat.)
10:20
Nicholas Minnix: Lou Gherig.
10:20
Nicholas Minnix: Gehrig? Crap.
10:20
Comment From Bigums
JD Mart or Oscar T ROS? Thanks.
10:21
Nicholas Minnix: Oy! Great question. Coin flip. I pick Martinez, in his peak-type years more so. Riskier choice, tho, can’t say I’d have guts to trade Taveras for him.
10:21
Comment From Kevin Jepsen
I get plenty of Ks, I’ve been pitching well lately, how come nobody talks about me as a potential closer for the Halos?
10:22
Nicholas Minnix: Because you have failed in SV chances quite a few times before and have had but one good year in your otherwise miserable career. Maybe we’ll revisit.
10:22
Comment From Guest
Would you trade Stroman for Arrieta? Why or why not?
10:23
Nicholas Minnix: Not yet, because I don’t know what I’m getting in return. I’d generally look to deal Arrieta because he has long-term health worries – a bit more so than the average pitcher, anyway. May get you a lot right now.
10:23
Comment From J.W.
Which middle infielder has a better ROS – Neil Walker or Eric Aybar?
10:23
Nicholas Minnix: Walker
10:23
Comment From john
now you and eno are just messing with us
10:23
Nicholas Minnix: Yes!
10:23
Comment From Phil
In OBP league – my R. Zimm, Polanco, A. Sanchez, A. Escobar for his C. Gomez & Kipnis, good deal?
10:24
Nicholas Minnix: Geez … what’s your goal with that? Could be, sure, in a vacuum, mixed league, fine, getting best player.
10:24
Comment From Anthony
Who should I go with at 1B ROS? (5×5 CAT) Morse, Butler, Craig, Hosmer, Morales, Cron. Thanks!
10:25
Nicholas Minnix: 5 guys? Are they on your wire or something? Morse I guess. Like a few, if you have them all available, then play chairs.
10:25
Comment From john
Sandy Alderson said he expects the mets to have a better record, that they should be at least .500. So if your team is underperforming the expectations, thats on the manager, no? Fire TC!!!
10:26
Nicholas Minnix: Would seem that way if the GM is putting on that type of pressure.
10:26
Comment From Matt
Arismendy Alcantara or Mookie Betts ROS from the time of Alcantara’s call up?
10:26
Nicholas Minnix: Goodness. Alcantara. IF and from then on.
10:26
Comment From stonepie
kyle gibson’s plate discipline profile won’t go away. with his improving f-strike%, zone%, and swstr% and great GB%, could we be seeing another keuchel type breakout?
10:27
Nicholas Minnix: Possible. I like him, former top prospect, past major injury. Next year will be interesting.
10:27
Comment From MJ
Better fantasy player next season…Alcantara or Bryant?
10:27
Nicholas Minnix: Alcantara, just next year, I guess. Definitely like him more next year.
10:27
Comment From Los
What do I do with Kipnis? I’m in first place so do I hold steady? I have trade offers for Matt Adams, Polanco, and Werth.
10:28
Nicholas Minnix: I’d hold steady. All are reasonable gets for him, but it depends on a lot, including who’d replace him in your lineup, because none of those do.
10:28
Comment From Guest
can you name an OF that could be a fair offer for Altuve? I need SB. Thank you!
10:28
Nicholas Minnix: Nope, not without a lot more to go on!
10:28
Comment From Jake
27 yo Zealous Wheeler (NYY), career minor leaguer with 133 wRC+ in 2014 AAA just got the call-up over 23 yo Rob Refsnyder (165 wRC+ through 2014 AA/AAA) and 24 yo Jose Priela (124 wRC+ in AAA). Any idea why?
10:29
Nicholas Minnix: Because they aren’t ready to displace a veteran.
10:29
Comment From Bob
Trade Chris Davis for Jason Kipnis
10:29
Nicholas Minnix: if you need a 2B and have a great 1B to replace Davis with, sure.
10:29
Nicholas Minnix: And your categorical needs justify the move.
10:29
Comment From Cory
Just been offered Morse for my Hosmer in a keeper league… I need more to give up on a 24 year old, right?
10:30
Nicholas Minnix: Depends on your keeper rules. Limited keeper, then no, because Hosmer is just a low-end 1B in a good year.
10:30
Comment From Derek
Just popped into my inbox, my Belt for his Gio. I need pitching but I’ve had a man crush on Belt for years. Keeper league where I can keeper either of them for 2-3 years. Thoughts?
10:31
Nicholas Minnix: Are you contending? Do you need a SP? It’s a good offer. If you don’t want to lose your man crush, then you’ve made your decision.
10:31
Comment From John Stamos
9:16
10:31
Comment From Philly Frenetic
Is Shelby Miller broken? I’m about ready to sell low after holding onto him for 2+ years now.
10:32
Nicholas Minnix: Not broken, but functioning poorly. Growing pains, poor command or control, not sure which.
10:32
Comment From Houzer
As a general rule, would you say that above average rookie SP’s tend to underperform their 2nd year as the hitters make their adjustments. Then the 3rd year, the SP’s adjust back and outperform again?
10:33
Nicholas Minnix: No, haven’t done any research on that. I think more often than not the opposite happens in the second year, but it’s just my guess. One or the other, not good then bad then good all the time.
10:33
Comment From Anthony
What is up with Allen Craig’s ground ball rate? I am confused how he is hitting so many more GB’s but his BABIP is low? Can he turn this around?
10:34
Nicholas Minnix: It perplexes me too. He’s a very good hitter, hits everywhere before this, so I can’t help but believe this is temp. For how long, I don’t know. He already had one great surge, I believe more is likely.
10:34
Comment From Logging the Minnix
This chat should be called “Nick chats with Snuffy & Jolly Roger”
10:35
Comment From Lorne Malvo
If David Price is moved to the NL, top 5 pitcher ROS?
10:35
Nicholas Minnix: I believe so.
10:35
Comment From Matt Damon
MATT. DAMON.
10:35
Comment From Zander
For streaming in H2H need a W with good rates – Cain or Lincecum both v Padres
10:35
Nicholas Minnix: Lincecum – on a roll right now, seems better choice
10:35
Comment From GSon
Are the Tigers just too good to be caught in the AL Central or will the Indians and Royals beat up the Tigers enough to make the AL Central race interesting?
10:36
Nicholas Minnix: I think they’ll prove to be too much, not a great team but good enough to fend off the ankle-biters.
10:36
Comment From Philly Frenetic
Jesse Hahn has all four of the Padres’ wins this season! What do you think his numbers will look like ROS?
10:37
Nicholas Minnix: Answering this one before I jet because I dig that name.
3.00 ERA, 9 K/9, only another 50-60 IP possibly though. Be wary of shutdown in Aug./Sept.
10:42
Nicholas Minnix: OK folks, I gotta bolt. It’s been awesome. I’m sorry if I didn’t get to your question, I try to get in as much as possible.

When you ask fantasy questions, please give some context (Drop X? I can pick up Y, Z or A. Keep X? I can keep only 5 and alread have Y, Z, A, B, C, D and E. League and roster size; AL, NL or mixed in some cases.). It really makes the question a lot easier to answer. It also helps me get to more questions and answer yours better.

Thanks, to everyone, some great readers and askers around here, let me tell you. Have a safe and fun Fourth! Until next time. PS I’ll try to get us to cover a couple of things we discussed here in the next pod or three. Thank you!



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Nicholas Minnix oversaw baseball content for six years at KFFL, where he held the loose title of Managing Editor for seven and a half before he joined FanGraphs. He played in both Tout Wars and LABR from 2010 through 2014. Follow him on Twitter @NicholasMinnix.


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Louis
Guest
Louis
2 years 2 months ago

Aaron Sanchez is a guy most of the dynasty podcasts haven’t really touched on. He’s a prospect I’ve never understood and I still don’t understand the hype behind. I can’t get behind a guy with a career 5 BB/9. TOR seems to love him and have him fast-tracked. How do you feel about him and what league parameters (size/total # of keepers) do you feel he’s worth owning in?

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