Nick Minnix Baseball Chat — 6/13/14

11:49
Eno Sarris: Minnix will be here shortly!
11:53
Nicholas Minnix: Hello, everybody!
11:53
Nicholas Minnix: We’ll get started in a few, of course!
11:53
Nicholas Minnix: Can’t wait to field your World Cup questions!
11:54
Nicholas Minnix: Just kidding.
11:54
Comment From awesome
HI ENO!

11:54
Comment From My Name
Sarris and Minnix are like Rob Base and DJ EZ-Rock.
11:54
Nicholas Minnix: LOL. Total compliment, I think.
12:00
Nicholas Minnix: Thank you all for joining me, today, and for your patience last week. I’ll try to get to as many ?s as possible, of course. I’ll go less than last week’s 2.5 hours, though, haha. Let’s get started!
12:00
Comment From Justin
Freddie Freeman’s slump to worry about?
12:00
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t see a reason to be, no.
12:00
Comment From Bradley
Hey Nick: What are your thoughts on Matt Harvey next season? I was uncomfortable taking risk on keeping him next year so I traded him for Hamels. Thanks.
12:01
Nicholas Minnix: Depends on your keeper rules. I think he’ll probably struggle a bit initially, as all TJS P’s do, but will get better as season progresses.
12:01
Comment From Tom
Which side do you like better: Felix Hernandez for Freddie Freeman. 15 team, 5×5 standard, 5 keeper with freeman having one extra year of keeper status.
12:01
Nicholas Minnix: Freeman side!
12:01
Comment From King Kong Bundy
Self serving question: Sonny Gray or Cole Hamels ROS, and would either be a fair price to pay for Billy Hamilton?
12:02
Nicholas Minnix: Hamels, for me, and … fair is filling a need with a surplus and making your team better for a win!
12:02
Comment From Corey
Better MI option in a points league ROS: LeMahieu or Odor? I’m concerned about Odor’s spot in the lineup and the hitters around him
12:02
Nicholas Minnix: Odor – def PT, Rutledge could factor in at some point….
12:02
Comment From Sandy
Nick, Gio Gonzalez has been having some control issues in his rehab starts…should we lower our expectations for his ROS performance? What do you expect his performance looks like after he returns from injury?
12:02
Nicholas Minnix: Control problems are nothing new for him. I wouldn’t worry yet.
12:03
Comment From trade
I just shipped Kazmir and Elias for Gausman, Masterson and Solarte in a 12 team h2h (5 keepers). Gausman is a 21st round keeper for next year and I an 6-14 right now (we do doubleheaders). Good move or bad move on my part?
12:03
Nicholas Minnix: Love the deal.
12:03
Comment From Justin
In light of the article about Donaldson struggling against elite arms. Should that be a major concern?
12:03
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe, but only a little. Great #s so far, no? He’s kind of already on the way down from peak years, generally, so if it’s a keeper league, I’d explore trades. Otherwise, I’d enjoy great #s at 3B.
12:04
Comment From i like turtles
care to rank these OFs for me ROS? Heyward, Holliday, Gordon, Blackmon, Harper, Marte
12:05
Nicholas Minnix: No, but I’ll try! Gordon, Marte, Harper (only because he’s missing a month, may be first), Holliday, Heyward, Blackmon.
12:05
Comment From i like turtles
Do you think Blackmon is an auto-start? Perhapd only in Coors?
12:05
Nicholas Minnix: Hard to say. He’s between his two extremes of this year. Home only is a way to attempt to max his rate of production for you, sure, as long as you have an alt.
12:05
Comment From Jimbo
Hey Nick, ROS rank: deGrom, McHugh, Whitley, Roark?
12:06
Nicholas Minnix: Roark, McHugh-deGrom tie, Whitley
12:06
Comment From juan pierres mustache
can you imagine if david ortiz was actually an amazing soccer player
12:06
Nicholas Minnix: No! I can’t!
12:06
Nicholas Minnix: Just because he’s a huge dude. A great mascot tho.
12:07
Comment From Water
Why should I still have faith in the Jays?
12:08
Nicholas Minnix: Um… good ?. I think it’s interesting that Aaron Sanchez has already move to AAA, if they’re still in it in a couple of months, he becomes an option, I presume. Maybe sooner, they used to skip AAA, but that was in part because their AAA affil was Vegas.
12:08
Comment From juan pierres mustache
what’s a rob base?
12:08
Nicholas Minnix: It’s like a stolen one, but present tense.
12:08
Comment From Larry David
I just tweeted this to Eno! “Is Jimmy Nelson criminally underrated?”. I think yes.
12:08
Comment From Mark Ellis Gold Glove
I’m looking at both the Steamer and Zips projections for my 2Bs, and I see Utley as the clear leader over Kipnis. Do you agree? I had been running Utley out there during Kipnis’ DH stay, and in the Utility spot, but I’m going to need to clear space soon. Thoughts on those two for the rest of the season?
12:08
Nicholas Minnix: No, I’d still rather have Kipnis.
12:08
Comment From JEFFW
Do the Pirates have a shot at acquiring Price or the Shark? What prospects would it take?
12:09
Nicholas Minnix: Interesting question, I’d think not, seems unlike their MO to give up what it’d take.
12:09
Comment From juan pierres mustache
watching people sing national anthems on mute is a pretty great time, all things considered
12:09
Comment From Guest
Please rank ROS: Laroche, Morse, Napoli
12:10
Nicholas Minnix: Napoli (I’m partial), Morse, LaRoche
12:10
Comment From If I Can, Then Jorge Cantu
RoS and then also going forward, how do you rank Bryant, Baez, Gallo?
12:10
Nicholas Minnix: ROS: Bryant, Baez, Gallo
12:10
Nicholas Minnix: LT: Baez, Gallo, Bryant
12:10
Comment From Guest #1
Is the Louie supposed to be a comedy or not? I can’t figure it out.
12:10
Nicholas Minnix: Not sure who Louie is?
12:11
Comment From Nelson
Qualls or Belisario?
12:11
Nicholas Minnix: Brussels sprouts or liver? Um, Belisario I go.
12:11
Comment From LarryA
Do you trust Tomlin at all as a streamer?
12:11
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, but I like him more than the crowd. Smart pitcher, GB stuff.
12:11
Comment From chris
Do you think McCann figures the American League pitchers out soon or is what we’re currently seeing what we’re stuck with ROS?
12:12
Nicholas Minnix: ROS: low AVG, .240 or .250 at best, more HR for sure. It’s who he is now.
12:12
Comment From chris
Craig, Holliday, Molina…it has to get better, right?
12:12
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, particularly for the first and last, but Holliday’s FB% decline concerns me and has for a year+
12:12
Comment From Daniel
How good is Tyson Ross? top 20? top 40?
12:13
Nicholas Minnix: Top 40 sounds fair
12:13
Comment From Jon
N. Ramirez, J. Familia, B. Ziegler, J. Benoit, AJ Ramos; rank in order of saves ROS?
12:14
Nicholas Minnix: Ramirez, Ziegler (gets a few in short period), Familia, Ramos. Benoit is a wild card, I can’t predict Street injury, although my powers seem to be that great, I know.
12:14
Comment From Shawn
Non-keeper which side do you like Puig/Keuchel or Cutch/Verlander?
12:14
Nicholas Minnix: Oy. I like the latter, but it’s really preference for the risk that Verlander rebounds. It’s anyone’s guess, slightly encouraging lately.
12:15
Nicholas Minnix: Heads up, i’m at 12:02 time stamps!
12:15
Comment From Justin
Werth, Marte or Morse ROS?
12:16
Nicholas Minnix: Morse and Werth are more about health than whether they’ll hit. Marte is the safest, but this is a learning year, about adversity. I think he has a strong/solid 2nd half.
12:16
Comment From Lemmy
Sir Daniel Santana will remember he is just Danny Santana when???
12:16
Nicholas Minnix: Ask the queen! I keep wondering. Soon.
12:16
Comment From Fussbol Speiler
LETS GO ROOOOOOOOOOOOON!!!!
12:16
Nicholas Minnix: Top couple, no less, likely.
12:17
Comment From LarryA
What tier SP would you trade for Harper right now, in a redraft?
12:17
Nicholas Minnix: Top couple, to repeat, tier
12:17
Comment From Rated Rookie
Assure me that holding on to Taijuan Walker will pay off this year and as a keeper in the years to come.
12:17
Nicholas Minnix: It will! Just because you demanded it.
12:17
Nicholas Minnix: Years to come, at least. I hope.
12:17
Comment From Spirit of 69
Dave Wright no longer a top 5 3B?
12:17
Nicholas Minnix: Possible, I never make up my mind based on a few months.
12:18
Comment From LarryA
Tavares back down the minors?
12:18
Nicholas Minnix: I expect so.
12:18
Comment From RIcardo
David Wright…What do I do with him?
12:18
Nicholas Minnix: Hold – generally speaking.
12:19
Comment From Nostradamusberger
Which team, if any, is poised for a surprising second half run at the playoffs?
12:20
Nicholas Minnix: How about the Rays? Pirates, since folks called them a fluke, some.
12:20
Comment From Shawn
Would you look to get wahtever you can for Choo? He’s not running (maybe due to ankle) and that lineup is not what it was at beginning of year
12:20
Nicholas Minnix: I think it’s a good rec, if you can get ~top 50 value for him and fill a need.
12:20
Comment From Milhouse
11 pts up in roto. should I sell the farm for Cano or pay much less for Utley? MI spot.
12:21
Nicholas Minnix: How much of farm we talkin’? Utley is healthy and should stay that way. He’s solid, hitting for the power.
12:21
Nicholas Minnix: More anyway.
12:21
Comment From Rags
NL only, roto, keeper, OBP instead of AVG: Who do you feel most comfortable trading away for steals: Adrian Gonzalez, Allen Craig or Matt Holliday?
12:21
Nicholas Minnix: Prefer to deal Holliday in a keeper if I can.
12:21
Comment From Capn America
is this going to be another fantasy-oriented chat…?
12:22
Nicholas Minnix: If that’s the way the ?s go! I try to answer whatever I see, my friend.
12:22
Comment From Milhouse
You think V-Mart will get catcher eligibility this year?
12:22
Nicholas Minnix: Think it’s a very good possibility, but not sure by when to make it useful esp.
12:22
Comment From Dan
Someone dropped Austin Jackson in my league. He’s beginning to hit a bit. Do you see him turning this around?
12:22
Nicholas Minnix: For sure.
12:22
Comment From BeanTown
Mookie Betts in Boston OF when?
12:23
Nicholas Minnix: Eno has convinced me sometime in second half, will say late August or September tho, I’m cautious.
12:23
Comment From Mookie The Wookie
Keeper league 7×7 Roto (SLG & Off K’s). In 2nd place with guys like kipnes, Longoria, C.Santana, Hosmer yet to start hitting. Top 3 in most pitching categories, middle of the pack in hitting. I got offered E.Encarnacion($38) for K.Bryant ($3). Am I patient for my guys and let this ride out or do I trade my stud keeper for a better chance this year.
12:24
Nicholas Minnix: Hmmmm … If your keeper rules inflate Bryant salary every year, I’d be more tempted. I want the title, I like your guys who are cold, but I’d try to lock up the win.
12:24
Comment From LarryA
What speed is the average SS to 1b throw? high 80s?
12:24
Nicholas Minnix: Honestly, I do not know.
12:24
Comment From The Rooooooooon
Samuel Eto’o is the Greg Oden of Futbol, no?
12:25
Nicholas Minnix: LOL, maybe more like the Julio Franco?
12:25
Comment From Guest
I’m out of it and starting to look towards next year in my keeper league. Good idea to try and trade for Bryce Harper while he’s injured in hopes that he’ll be performing at his prevous level by next year?
12:25
Nicholas Minnix: Great idea if you can do it.
12:25
Comment From LarryA
Start Lynn at home to Wash tonight?
12:25
Nicholas Minnix: Sure, WSH hot, but not quite as good vs. RHP.
12:25
Comment From Capn America
rank these SPs in terms of likelihood of being traded: Shark, Price, Colon, Hammel, Masterson, Shields, CLee, Lester
12:26
Nicholas Minnix: Geez. Price, Shark, same tier, CLee, then the rest in a final tier.
12:26
Comment From Devin
Morneau’s home/away splits aren’t as lopsided as everyone (myself included) crediting Coors for reviving his career seems to assume they are. Is he actually back? Or is this some sort of dead cat bounce?
12:27
Nicholas Minnix: Closer to dead cat bounce? He’s pretty much performing at the high end of what his probable baseline is from now on, or what that’d cause me to project, I’d say.
12:27
Comment From Justin
Cobb just got put on waivers. Do I drop any of these guys for him? Bailey, Kluber or Fister?
12:27
Nicholas Minnix: Ugh, no, but I’d want him!
12:27
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe Bailey.
12:27
Nicholas Minnix: 6 of one….
12:27
Comment From Guest
Pick two: Rosario, Castro, Ruiz, Suzuki, Gomes, Ramos.
12:28
Nicholas Minnix: Rosario, Gomes
12:28
Comment From G
Is it possible that Andrew McCutchen is still underrated, even after winning NL MVP last season? .321/.435/.550, .427 WOBA and I feel like nobody is talking about him.
12:28
Nicholas Minnix: Then, yes. Haha.
12:28
Comment From Andrew
Pick three: Rosario, Ramos, (Yan) Gomes, Gattis, Castro, Suzuki, Ruiz
12:28
Nicholas Minnix: Rosario, Gomes, Gattis
12:28
Comment From Brandon
Kyle Seager for Stroman? I have lots of hitting depth and don’t really need Seager.
12:29
Nicholas Minnix: I think you can get more reliable for him. Stroman I like but a wild card.
12:29
Comment From Rags
Why do people ask about trades after they’ve made them? What, are they going to ask for takes-backsies if you say you didn’t like it?
12:29
Nicholas Minnix: Those people have time machines. Get one! They’re neat.
12:29
Nicholas Minnix: Or they like some affirmation, it’s understandable.
12:29
Comment From Guest
Will Bundy pitch in Baltimore this year?
12:30
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, as long as BAL is within range of a wild card spot.
12:30
Comment From Guest #1
I was talking about the TV show Louie (CK). For a show by the top comedian of our time, theres not too many laughs, right?
12:30
Nicholas Minnix: I’d say not. I don’t watch it, though.
12:30
Comment From Andrew
Thoughts on Domonic Brown?
12:31
Nicholas Minnix: He’s not as good as 27 HR, swing has been a tad long again, he’s just not consistent yet. Has been different in box from last year.
12:31
Comment From Baby Batter
Kemp or Marte ROS
12:31
Nicholas Minnix: Marte, just a safer choice. I’d be int. in Kemp next year, cautiously.
12:32
Comment From SB
Keeper, would you trade the next 3-4 years of G. Cole for the rest of this year of D. Price? If I wanted to keep Price this offseason would cost 2 keeper slots
12:32
Nicholas Minnix: I suppose if you aim for a slight boost in effort to win league. Otherwise, not sure of the point?
12:32
Comment From Kinbote
Is Hosmer droppable in a 12-Team Mixed league? I can’t even get low-ball offers on a trade…
12:33
Nicholas Minnix: Depends on what makes up lineup in your league. No CI, probably droppable.
12:33
Nicholas Minnix: All depends on what you can replace him with.
12:33
Comment From Hoff
Is it safe to drop Jackie Bradley in a 12 team keeper league?
12:33
Nicholas Minnix: Mixed? Sure, if you can get something better. Otherwise, depends.
12:33
Comment From John Stamos
Which fantasy baseball player have you had lusty baseball feelings for this morning?
12:34
Nicholas Minnix: Oy. Private question. It’s OK, I’m open. I confess … Lucroy.
12:34
Comment From Ugh
Is giving Cole for Soria about the right value? I have no idea how to trade, but I do need saves.
12:35
Nicholas Minnix: In a vacuum, it’s fair, sure. Address a need. I think you might be able to get a better closer for him, but it’s relative. Ask around the league, see who’s willing to give up a CL. Otherwise, deal for Soria or wait.
12:36
Comment From i hate turtles
Can you rank these SPs, ROS ? What guy(s) do you think are worth keeping for next year? Ross, Gausman, Ventura, Wood, Kennedy
12:36
Nicholas Minnix: Geez. Ross, Ventura, Kennedy, Wood, Gausman. But so many variables. Any could be, impossible to say now.
12:37
Comment From Guest
Hey Nick, standard 5×5, 12-team roto league, in first by about 15, avg is my weak point (3-4 pts), in it to win it. Would Tulo/Giolito for Buxton, Myers, Taveras, Segura be a big overpay (OFs are those included +Stanton/Heyward/B-Ham, have Machado/Bogaerts/Segura clogging up the IF)? Thanks so much!
12:37
Nicholas Minnix: To win it and trading Tulo? Does not compute. Yes, too much.
12:37
Comment From Table
Kyle Blanks can has career now? I free from Petco?
12:38
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, go with it, my friend.
12:38
Nicholas Minnix: I’m at 12:17 in the queue, folks!
12:38
Nicholas Minnix: I’m slow :(
12:38
Comment From Ryan
Redraft Points, OBP H2H – I’m a little short on pitching, but not dire. My Melky and Stroman for his Cashner/Wheeler and Robertson? Would you rather have Wheeler or Cashner ROS?
12:39
Nicholas Minnix: Cashner, by a hair. If you address a need and can afford to give up Melky, sure.
12:39
Comment From CMS
How would you rank young MI’s like E.Suarez, Odor, La Stella? All of them off to hot starts but wondering whose production will stick.
12:39
Nicholas Minnix: Odor, most counting upside. OBP league, La Stella appealing and a plus in OBP. Otherwise, Suarez more counting potential
12:39
Comment From Riley
What do you think of Marte? Would you trade Marte and Owings for Segura and A Jackson in a 5×5 redraft OBP league?
12:40
Nicholas Minnix: Good deal, I think. Marte: growing pains.
12:40
Comment From Baby Batter
How do you not give Gausman a rotation spot after his last 3 starts?
12:41
Nicholas Minnix: You look in the mirror and see Buck Showalter? I think they expect him to be, just keeping his IP count down, will be a boost by second half.
12:41
Comment From Guest #1
No one is talking about David Robertson`s 16+ K/9. Talk about it!
12:41
Nicholas Minnix: His K/9 is 16+! It is awesome, especially if you drafted him after all the other guys who do that!
12:41
Comment From Guest
What is your specialty in chats like this? Fantasy? Sabearmetrics? Prospects? WHAT DO YOU DO?!
12:42
Nicholas Minnix: Fantasy is my specialty. I know general baseball, but I’m not calling myself an expert. Prospects is my least familiar area, I’d say. I know some quite well, others little to none. Ask and if I know I will answer.
12:42
Comment From Ray G
Is it time to drop Verlander, Nick? I wrote about this at FT recently and readers were flabbergasted. JV is killing owners in WHIP and Ks.
12:43
Nicholas Minnix: Shallow league, OK, I can see it easily, should already have done so though. Otherwise, I’d hold and be cautiously optimistic.
12:43
Comment From Johnny Rockets
Keuchel or Iwakuma ROS? Sorta cut of the same ilk – GB types with modest K% and low BB%.
12:43
Nicholas Minnix: Iwakuma. Like Keuchel, don’t get me wrong.
12:43
Comment From Joe
Please choose one to sit one for tonight… Gray vs Yanks, Colon @ Pads, Lackey @ Indians
12:43
Nicholas Minnix: Lackey
12:43
Nicholas Minnix: My hunch
12:44
Comment From Cubbie
Bonifacio droppable in a 14 team mixer if no room on DL?
12:44
Nicholas Minnix: I’d wait for prognosis. Haven’t seen one, apologies if it’s out.
12:44
Comment From Ben
What do you think about Dozier ROS? Sell high now or will he continue his tear?
12:45
Nicholas Minnix: Sell high is relative. He won’t keep up the pace, already hasn’t.
12:45
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
Remember my name… I’m kind of a big deal around here…
12:45
Nicholas Minnix: Big Joe Mufferaw!
12:45
Comment From GWB
Derek Holland worth a DL stash in a 14 team roto mixer?
12:45
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, worth a shot.
12:45
Comment From The Ice Man
Ready to drop Aaron Hill to add Rutledge?
12:45
Nicholas Minnix: PT not assured. Close, but not quite.
12:46
Comment From Northsider
Dee Gordon for Chris Davis in a standard 12-team H2H. Who wins?
12:46
Nicholas Minnix: Whichever filled a need better. Davis on pure value perceived, sure, but it’s mostly about need vs. what effect on standings besides you, too.
12:46
Comment From Table
How surprising is the Giant’s record to you?
12:47
Nicholas Minnix: Only a little, to be this far above .500. Expected them to be a strong challenger for NL West.
12:47
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
How awesome has D-Rod has been? (if you take out that 1 blow up).. His K rate is off the charts at 16.28 K/9 and he is getting 52.3 GB%
12:47
Nicholas Minnix: Awesome! Awesome. Awe-some. 3 R in that bad outing were inherited runners.
12:47
Comment From Kenny
How long does Street keep this up?
12:47
Nicholas Minnix: As long as he’s healthy. So, until … next week?
12:47
Nicholas Minnix: Some correction, a little, definitely likely.
12:48
Comment From Scott in London
Rank for a) ROS and b) Career: Wong vs Odor, then Mookie vs Lindor
12:48
Nicholas Minnix: ROS: Odor, Wong; Betts, Lindor Career: same; reverse
12:48
Comment From STL
Any word on Waino’s injury? Sell him now or target him at a discount?
12:49
Nicholas Minnix: No word that I’ve seen. It’s worrisome. I don’t “sell low” on guys like that. I’d consider sell only if I could get close to great return I’d expect otherwise.
12:49
Comment From Devin
Marlins skipping Heaney’s start in the minors to save innings for the majors later this summer if they’re still in striking distance. Maybe smarter than most give them credit for?
12:49
Nicholas Minnix: Haha, perhaps. Smart, ruthless.
12:49
Comment From Bob Loblaw
should I swap Nick Franklin for Jimmy Rollins in Ottoneu? thanks.
12:50
Nicholas Minnix: Shot to win this year, then a good move, IMO.
12:50
Comment From Hoff
Obviously Tim Hudson cannot sustain this type of success, how bad will the regression be?
12:50
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe whatever it takes to get close to xFIP, SIERA … 3.25.
12:50
Nicholas Minnix: He’s good, hard to answer the ??
12:51
Comment From PS
my back from college summer job is mowing lawns. its rained 4 days straight nonstop. do you have the magical powers to make it stop?
12:51
Nicholas Minnix: Just be glad you don’t live in Brazil? For many reasons, social unrest especially, but have you seen pitch in Mexico-Cameroon match. Be thankful.
12:51
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
Why is Shark being valued so highly? He has a 5.something WAR for his career (Bref)… I just dont see him as the elite pitcher the cubs are trying to sell
12:53
Nicholas Minnix: I think he has ability that allows him to be close to elite. Throws 95-97 mph two-seamer. Pretty good.
12:53
Comment From Ryan
Do you think we’ll see Heaney called up to the Marlins next week?
12:53
Nicholas Minnix: Ummm … No?
12:53
Nicholas Minnix: Stamp: 12:27
12:53
Comment From The Ice Man
What type of closer should I expect to get back if I dangle Leonys Martin?
12:53
Nicholas Minnix: An OK one, not elite.
12:53
Comment From Jimmy
Aren’t we overrating Harper at this point? He has had one dominant month in his career? I know that he could be a great player. But til this point, hasn’t he been just “good” not “great? He always gets held in the same regard as Trout, who has actually played at a high level for much longer.
12:54
Nicholas Minnix: I held him in higher regard than Trout. Still do, for career, to be straight with you. He’s … 21? The ability is apparent. The acumen for the sport is off the charts, goes a long way with me. Combine it with that talent, better to me, still.
12:55
Nicholas Minnix: Trout concerns me a tad more long-term.
12:55
Comment From john-o
chase whitley is going to fall apart in _ weeks
12:55
Nicholas Minnix: 1-2
12:55
Comment From i like turtles
I was just offered his Morneau for my Carlos Santana. I’m leaning NO… any thoughts?
12:55
Nicholas Minnix: No
12:55
Comment From RG
Was offered Napoli/Peavy for Agon/Gee (not taking that). Is a counter of Agon/Cain for Strasburg fair? Or am I over paying? 5×5 h2h 16 team 3 keeper
12:55
Nicholas Minnix: Overpay. I’d want a bat back.
12:56
Comment From Baby Batter
Grandil a top 8 C if given full ABs?
12:56
Nicholas Minnix: Top 18, maybe. Has adjustments to make.
12:56
Comment From Capn America
was going for likelihood of a July trade: Shark 80%, Hammel 75%, Colon 75%, Price 60%, Shields 50%, Masterson 30%, Lee 25%, Lester 5%…. something like that
12:57
Nicholas Minnix: I cannot say. But I don’t expect it until 2016, at least.
12:57
Comment From Vliet
When do we see Heaney and what can we expect from him?
12:57
Nicholas Minnix: Maybe by July, IDK. I think he’ll be hit and miss from start to start, or at least a tale of two stretches, one good, one not.
12:58
Comment From Pax
When does Carlos Correa debut? He’s too great not to get the call by June 2015, right?
12:58
Nicholas Minnix: This was my answer: Nicholas Minnix: I cannot say. But I don’t expect it until 2016, at least.
1:00
Nicholas Minnix: Comment From Capn America
was going for likelihood of a July trade: Shark 75%+, Hammel 25%, Colon 25%, Price 75%+, Shields 5%, Masterson 5%, Lee 50%, Lester 5%…. how’s that?
1:00
Comment From Lars
What is(are) your favorite team(s) ?
1:00
Nicholas Minnix: Phillies
1:00
Comment From i like turtles
Why do people care what other people ask you?
1:00
Nicholas Minnix: They’re just looking out for me. It’s sweet.
1:00
Comment From Debating
Pick a side: Wainright + Fister + C. Santana + Hill OR Dozier + Beckett + Arcia + Morales + Ramos + Dickey
1:00
Nicholas Minnix: Geez. The first one.
1:01
Comment From Troy
Health aside, pleae rank T. Walker, Paxton, Heaney, and Meyer ROS.
1:01
Nicholas Minnix: Walker, Meyer, Paxton (but his healthy worries me most), Heaney. I could be way off on Heaney, I must admit.
1:01
Comment From George
The metrics show that Nolan Arenado is great defensively but just an average bat. However, some analysts hype him as the next great thing. Where do you fall in regards to his future FANTASY value?
1:02
Nicholas Minnix: I think he’s overrated a little in fantasy, but the environment mitigates that. He’s pretty good, not elite, talent, in COL.
1:02
Comment From Hoff
Votto shook off his critics asking about his slow start earlier this year, saying his numbers are always there at the EOY, do you believe him?
1:03
Nicholas Minnix: I believe him, I’ve seen #s at the end of every season. They’re not elite #s, if you’re asking that. Very good tho.
1:03
Comment From Guest
Would you trade Holliday for Dickerson in a Keeper league?
1:03
Nicholas Minnix: Not quite yet.
1:03
Nicholas Minnix: If ever. Dickerson is just a good guy in a deep mixed league, 5th OF probably
1:03
Nicholas Minnix: Which is good, don’t get me wrong.
1:03
Comment From Cmon Guest#1
This season of Louie has been extremely well made. Might not be a classic slap stick comedy but smart and always worth a watch.
1:03
Comment From Drew
Thoughts on the Rockies-Braves kerfuffle? Is everybody even now?
1:04
Nicholas Minnix: Seems that way. Fredi seemed to say so.
1:04
Comment From Pax
Jimmy Nelson is banging down the MLB door. How long can the Brewers realistically stick with the BP machine that is Marco Estrada?
1:04
Nicholas Minnix: For a little while, I believe, at least until the break to see if the HR/9 turns around.
1:04
Comment From Dan
What will the Cubs get for Hammel?
1:05
Nicholas Minnix: No idea. Not an everyday player surely.
1:05
Comment From Kris
trumbo going to be worth anything this season? keeps getting his TL pushed back and back
1:05
Nicholas Minnix: Should be in 2nd half at some point, but hard to say confidently.
1:06
Comment From Scott in London
Heany, Syndergaard, Bradley, Meyer, Montero, Gausman
1:06
Nicholas Minnix: Gausman, Meyer, Bradley, … for Stroman, not quite yet, but as they get closer. For this season.
1:06
Nicholas Minnix: Probably more.
1:07
Comment From Jellicoe
Which species from Star Trek could most likely produce a baseball player to rival Mike Trout?
1:07
Nicholas Minnix: I do not know, sorry. I will guess Vulcans?
1:07
Comment From Baby Batter
Does Lindor give you replacement value of Cabrera ROS if he were brought up today?
1:07
Nicholas Minnix: I’m sure that’s a good bet, a SS
1:07
Comment From Dan
Will the Cubs have the best Minor League system after the trade deadline?
1:08
Nicholas Minnix: I suppose that’s possible, surely, since they have some sick talent down there already.
1:08
Comment From DC
trade my trevor rosenthal for his anthony rendon in keeper league?
1:08
Nicholas Minnix: Yes
1:08
Nicholas Minnix: In a vacuum
1:08
Comment From Guest #1
What does Votto do differently than other players in order to never hit infield flies?
1:08
Nicholas Minnix: Never swing the bat. Has a good swing plane.
1:09
Comment From Jimmy cracked corn
Miller of Ackley ROS for my MI?
1:10
Nicholas Minnix: I like Roark, more than Heaney to be honest. I’m not totally familiar with Heaney to be fair. I’d like Roark ROS, toss-up after that, for me, will give benefit of doubt to Heaney lovers for long run.
1:10
Comment From madden_curser
I had to activate Taijuan Walker off DL, & I picked up Heaney this week. Someone just dropped Tanner Roark. Gausman also available. Should I drop Walker or Heaney for Roark? 8 keeper 10-team H2H. Thanks Nicholas!
1:10
Nicholas Minnix: Previous answer.
1:10
Nicholas Minnix: Comment From Jimmy cracked corn
Miller of Ackley ROS for my MI? Miller.
1:11
Nicholas Minnix: Sorry, guys, occasionally I throw a question in the chat and it selects the wrong one, or I don’t know how to use this software well yet.
1:11
Comment From Happy Lucroy Owner
Lucroy has sure been a lot of fun to own this season. Care to speculate what his end season stats look like?
1:11
Nicholas Minnix: .305-.310, 15 HR, 5 SB
1:11
Comment From DC
Brussel sprouts are delicious
1:12
Nicholas Minnix: Yuck. I haven’t had them in ages, I admit.
1:12
Comment From buxton trader
No, Nick, I’d be the one getting Tulo! lol
1:12
Nicholas Minnix: Get Tulo, surely, get a W!
1:12
Comment From Big Joe Mufferaw
In your opinion, who is the biggest mover (positive) on the prospect lists this season? Gallo?
1:12
Nicholas Minnix: Top of my head, IDK, but I think he’s a good stab at the top of that list, surely. Good call.
1:13
Comment From Matt
Where would you rank Braun amongst outfielders ROS? Eric Karabell wrote a predictions article on ESPN today and said it’s a mistake to assume Braun is a top-20 OF this season, is barely there right now, and trending in the wrong direction the last month. What do you think?
1:13
Nicholas Minnix: I think he’s top 20, assuming health, surely.
1:13
Comment From Mat
Odds Stanton gets traded this offseason?
1:13
Nicholas Minnix: I think about 0%
1:13
Comment From Joe
Thoughts on Alfredo Simon ROS?
1:14
Nicholas Minnix: Think it’s too late to buy, but I like him. Concern that fatigue will set in, corrections in peripherals combined with that could hurt.
1:14
Comment From Rated Rookie
Equating quality of comedy with number of laughs is a bit simple.
1:14
Comment From Rated Rookie
When–or IF–Carlos Rodon signs where would you slot him in the ranks of SP fantasy prospects?
1:15
Nicholas Minnix: Sorry, I have seen nothing of the player, just that I read of how much he’s coveted. Difficult to say on these, for me.
1:15
Comment From Rated Rookie
Are injuries the only way Robert Stephenson makes it to Cincinnati this year?
1:15
Nicholas Minnix: I’d say so.
1:15
Comment From Pondering Fantasy GM
I got an offer for Werth. His Marte. What do you think? Marte’s inconsistency is what is scaring me off of it…..
1:15
Nicholas Minnix: It’s a fair offer. I like Marte, more reliable age and health wise. I assume this is NOT a keeper league, haha.
1:16
Comment From Hotdoggin It
I like how people with fantasy Q’s grumble at Cameron and Sullivan’s chats, and people with general baseball Q’s grumble at the fantasy centered chats. Dudes! Just put on a fake name and a mustache, re-frame your question slightly and ask it in a silly voice. No one will be able to tell the difference!
1:16
Comment From Edge O
Is Zobrist traded?
1:16
Nicholas Minnix: If he is, someone should tell him! I say … man, I say no, right now.
1:16
Comment From Jordan
Morneau or Adam Lind?
1:16
Nicholas Minnix: Toss-up … Lind, just younger. No other reason.
1:17
Comment From Commander Adama
Corey Dickerson. What is his talent level? Can he be a fantasy star? Or is he just hot right now?
1:17
Nicholas Minnix: Not a star, Eno points out, has potential platoon split extreme. Can be above-average platoon player at least, though, like the power/speed combo.
1:18
Comment From Baby Batter
First closer to be dealt? Paps, Street, Hawkins, Cishek?
1:18
Nicholas Minnix: Street is the only one of those I think might be dealt.
1:18
Nicholas Minnix: Might, or will
1:18
Comment From Guest #1
Favotire early 2000`s Drum and base dj?
1:19
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t know them, really. Sorry. I love the duo from Jurassic 5. Hieroglyphics.
1:19
Comment From Kris
Sabathia worth a DL stash?
1:19
Nicholas Minnix: In a deep league, think he can be, yes.
1:20
Nicholas Minnix: Heads up, all: I’ll be stopping in about 10 minutes. I hope I get to your question! I’m sorry if I don’t.
1:20
Comment From Brandon
In a H2H league, is it too soon to not trade with someone because they’re 1st in the standings and your trade benefits them?
1:20
Nicholas Minnix: If you get better overall, it’s too soon to worry about that, depending on how dominant that person’s team is.
1:20
Comment From Capt Geech & The Shrimp Shack Shooters
ROS McHugh or Roark?
1:20
Nicholas Minnix: Roark
1:21
Comment From Brad
Guys showing reverse platoon splits in ~1000 MLB PAs. Actionable or nosiy?
1:21
Nicholas Minnix: It really depends on the player. After that large of a sample, there’s likely a reason for it. I’d call it marginably actionable, in my amateur estimate. What a help, eh?
1:22
Comment From Edge O
Do B Miller or Semien hold any fantasy value next year?
1:22
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, surely. Both, probably about the same outlook, right now, for next season, like Miller a tad more. Semien has more upside, better HR park.
1:22
Comment From il bacio della morte
Steven Vogt rosterable in 12-team mixed, 2-catcher league? Slim options to fill in for Ramos … Avila, Vogt, Iannetta,it goes downhill from there.
1:23
Nicholas Minnix: Yikes. I couldn’t imagine, but maybe. C is awful this year.
1:23
Comment From madden_curser
Does the move to skip Heaney’s start in the minors provide you with any indication about the time frame for his call-up. I grabbed him this week, but thinking I was too early…
1:23
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t think so, just shows that they expect to keep his IP down, and hope he’s a factor in a wild card race.
1:23
Comment From Sam
What do you think of Cole Hamels ROS? Is he a top-15 SP?
1:24
Nicholas Minnix: Very much could be, surely, but W’s remain dodgy. Top 25 a safe target.
1:24
Nicholas Minnix: Love the K’s potential with the change.
1:24
Nicholas Minnix: Stamp: 12:53
1:24
Comment From PS
ive been watching the rain in Brzail; its somewhat comparable. but hey, makes the slide tackles more interesting, at least!
1:24
Nicholas Minnix: Hells yeah!
1:24
Comment From Lars
In your opinion, what are the ideal categories for a roto league, thanks.
1:26
Nicholas Minnix: in part what you enjoy, largely what doesn’t become overly redundant. I prefer AVG to OBP, honestly. I like R, RBI, SB traditional style. HR or SLG is take your pick, SLG is fairer IMO. for pitching, ERA, WHIP, K’s are fine. W+QS and SV+HLD better it seems than the traditional, I think. I think we should develop a cat that replaces QS even.
1:26
Nicholas Minnix: El Tri!
1:26
Comment From Answer: Will Clark
Who was your favorite player when you were 6 years old?
1:26
Nicholas Minnix: Mike Schmidt
1:26
Comment From Guest #1
Maybin is dropable in 12-team mixed right?
1:26
Nicholas Minnix: Yes, has to better avail
1:27
Comment From Scott in London
Time to Geek It Up! How do you handle your fantasy leagues? Do you have spreadsheets with the entire league’s rosters? Multiple projections? Fancy Vlookups & pivot tables to look at ROS projections and projected standings? How do you handle things like Innings Limits and some teams having far more reserve spots at one position etc? I think this type of in-season league-wide management isn’t really discussed all that much!
1:27
Nicholas Minnix: Honestly, I don’t do that. I used to have too many leagues to do that. I think that’s serious dedication and I applaud it, tho! More information is never bad, as long as your discerning.
1:28
Nicholas Minnix: I use spreadsheets, but mostly for organization, and I do many estimates in my head these days. Too much to manage otherwise, for me.
1:28
Comment From Jon
Why do the Braves know so many unwritten rules that no one else does? And why do they think its ok to throw a hard object in excess of 90 mph at someone for supposedly breaking one? Wasn’t last night as bad as Machado?
1:28
Nicholas Minnix: They wrote the book of unwritten rules, Jon. Sheesh. Harold Reynolds wrote the preface.
1:29
Comment From Perry
If you could demand and execute any trade of any player to any team, who would it be and WHY?
1:29
Nicholas Minnix: Bryce Harper to the Phillies. Because it’s my favorite team, and they’re going to suck for as long as Ruben Amaro is employed there.
1:30
Comment From 1st place jays
Non kepper 11 team roto. My Abreu and Morasco for his Ventura and Posey. What side do you want?
1:30
Nicholas Minnix: Former side. Love Bobby Abreu.
1:30
Nicholas Minnix: J/K, but Jose Abreu, corrections aside, still part of better side, more bats.
1:30
Comment From Bradley
I do like the affirmation about a trade I made or a slap if it was a bad deal so I can see what others think since I’m not all-knowing.
1:31
Nicholas Minnix: It never hurts to ask!
1:31
Comment From Guest
Try to buy low on Tavares in a keeper league? What do you think his current value should be?
1:31
Nicholas Minnix: It hasn’t changed. He’s still one of the top dynasty prospects. Hard to see how the last couple of weeks have changed that.
1:31
Comment From Guest
Rank ROS (ERA,WHIP,k/9): Bauer, Heaney, Stroman, Gausman, Ventura
1:32
Nicholas Minnix: Bauer, Ventura, Stroman, Gausman, Heaney — PT being major variables.
1:32
Comment From Lars
Philadelphia: worst fans on Earth!
1:32
Nicholas Minnix: Except me! I don’t fit the stereotype, trust me.
1:32
Comment From Guest
What is the most important metric stat in your opinion?
1:33
Nicholas Minnix: One by itself is practically useless. K% is one of the most useful, I’d say.
1:33
Comment From Guest
2014 Innings pitched by Danny Salazar in the majors ROS — over/under 50?
1:34
Nicholas Minnix: Man. Under, makes me cry. But … close. I keep hope alive for August, mid-August.
1:34
Comment From Rob
rank for save speculation: Joba, Black, Peralta, Axford, Hunter
1:35
Nicholas Minnix: Axford for a little bit, back to Allen; Hunter; Joba, MAYBE … jeez; Black, Peralta
1:35
Nicholas Minnix: Last two, man, hard to say.
1:35
Comment From Clair
Who would you rather own moving forward: Dustin Pedroia or Brian Dozier?
1:36
Nicholas Minnix: I don’t care for Pedroia much. Dozier, more counting stats.
1:37
Nicholas Minnix: Ah man. Well folks, I’ve hit past the 1:00 mark on time stamps, it’s past 1:30 today. Going to call it a day. I appreciate everyone’s patience. And questions! Good questions, good comments, keep them coming as always. I hope to get to you next time if I didn’t this time especially. I welcome feedback, like you gave after my first one, too! Can always get better. Thank you!



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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.

5 Responses to “Nick Minnix Baseball Chat — 6/13/14”

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  1. DMoney says:

    16 team mixed 5*5 with OPS instead of BA – who is more valuable next year Tavares or Springer?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Nicholas Minnix says:

      Taveras is just as good a bet, if not better. Safer investment in any future years, more so the more years. Like Springer’s counting stats ability in short term (first two or three) though. Depends!

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Graham says:

    What do you think the Jays would need to give up for a Hammel+Valbuena package?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Rrr says:

    Minnix rocks. My ipad autocorrect keeps trying to call him Minx. Freudian?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Flokie says:

    Nick: Deep league here! I’ve got Taveras (back to minors) and Cuddyer (8 weeks?). Who do you drop if have to? This is a redraft league.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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