Offseason Notes for December 20th


Sean Burroughs and Jose Lopez are two peas in a weird, giant pod.

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Offseason Notes.

1. Assorted Headlines
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Venezuelan Winter League
3. Time-Wasting Quiz: Sean Burroughs vs. Jose Lopez

Assorted Headlines
Baltimore Signs Richardson
The Baltimore Orioles have signed outfielder Antoan Richardson (along with three others) to minor-league deals, reports Dan Connolly of the Baltimore Sun. I mention it because I remember that Richardson, 28, used to have incredibly favorable fielding projections per CHONE, when that was still public. In the last available iteration of CHONE, released in August of 2010, Richardson was projected for +17 defensive runs in just 111 games/336 plate appearances.

Nationals Sign Cameron
The Washington Nationals have signed outfielder Mike Cameron to a minor-league deal, reports MLB.com’s Bill Ladson. Cameron, who turns 39 in January, approached league-average offensively in 2010 with Boston; last year, he posted only a 75 wRC+ — although, using Bradley Woodrum’s Should Hit calculator, replacing Cameron’s .228 BABIP with his career .301 figure would produce a 106 wRC+. Regarding Cameron, don’t neglect to drink in the particulars of the following WAR Graph.


Source: FanGraphsMike Cameron, Jim Rice

SCOUT Leaderboards: Venezuelan Winter League
Batting Leaderboard
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Venezuelan Winter League (VWL). SCOUT represents an attempt to derive something meaningful from small samples and is the average of a player’s standard deviations from the VWL mean in three important (and regressed) stats: walk rate, strikeout rate, and home-run rate. (Click here for more on SCOUT. SCOUT leaderboards for the Venezuelan and Dominican Winter Leagues appear on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively.)


Name Org PA xBB% xK% xHR% BBz Kz HRz SCOUT
Luis Rodriguez SEA 137 18.6% 8.8% 1.3% 2.07 1.48 -0.31 1.08
Luis Jimenez SEA 231 17.5% 16.9% 3.4% 1.80 -0.08 1.03 0.92
Gregor Blanco SF 221 21.0% 18.6% 1.8% 2.63 -0.40 0.01 0.74
Oscar Salazar FLA 241 13.5% 15.4% 3.0% 0.86 0.21 0.78 0.62
Alexi Amarista LAA 212 11.4% 13.2% 2.9% 0.38 0.63 0.68 0.56
Sean Burroughs MIN 154 11.3% 7.8% 0.9% 0.34 1.66 -0.59 0.47
Mike Wilson SEA 173 18.3% 26.6% 3.8% 2.00 -1.94 1.25 0.44
Jesus Guzman SD 156 16.7% 16.0% 1.2% 1.61 0.09 -0.38 0.44
Bryan LaHair CHN 173 16.8% 27.2% 4.4% 1.65 -2.05 1.68 0.43
Jose Lopez CLE 145 7.7% 9.9% 2.6% -0.50 1.26 0.51 0.42

Notes
Veterans Sean Burroughs and Jose Lopez each make their first appearance on this week’s SCOUT leaderboard for the VWL. Lopez, who turned 28 towards the end of November, signed a minor-league deal with Cleveland this past Friday. Burroughs, now 31, signed a minor-league recently, too — with the Minnesota Twins.

Pitching Leaderboard
For pitchers, SCOUT is the average of a player’s standard deviations from the VWL mean in (regressed) strikeout and walk rate.


Name Org G GS IP BF xK% xBB% Kz BBz SCOUT
Enrique Gonzalez DET 21 0 23.0 92 26.7% 9.0% 2.10 -0.05 1.03
Eric Junge LAA 9 8 44.2 183 24.6% 7.9% 1.65 0.26 0.95
Yusmeiro Petit MEX 12 12 78.0 318 21.1% 5.4% 0.85 0.98 0.91
Dylan Owen NYN 9 7 41.2 168 23.3% 7.9% 1.34 0.25 0.79
Renyel Pinto FA 11 11 69.2 280 22.9% 9.1% 1.25 -0.07 0.59
Josh Schmidt NYA 6 6 32.1 135 23.0% 9.2% 1.28 -0.11 0.59
Les Walrond PHI 10 10 49.1 212 21.2% 8.0% 0.87 0.24 0.56
Mike Parisi LAN 9 8 51.2 203 19.2% 6.5% 0.44 0.66 0.55
Deunte Heath CHA 7 7 35.1 151 22.5% 9.1% 1.16 -0.09 0.54
Kendy Batista IND 22 0 25.2 111 22.5% 9.4% 1.18 -0.17 0.50

Notes
The SCOUT pitching leaderboard is largely unchanged since last week, except for Enrique Gonzalez replacing Eric Junge after he (i.e. Gonzalez) struck out three and walked one in 2.2 innings over the past week. Regarding the prospect of finishing first in the SCOUT ratings, Gonzalez was rendered speechless. One assumes.

Time-Wasting Quiz: Sean Burroughs vs. Jose Lopez
As noted above, Sean Burroughs and Jose Lopez are both currently among the top performers in the Venezuelan Winter League. Also, both have recently signed minor-league contracts. Who, though, has had the more productive career, as measured by WAR?

Find out the answer to that question and so many others via this time-wasting quiz.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


6 Responses to “Offseason Notes for December 20th”

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  1. Yirmiyahu says:

    They may be tied in fWAR, but Jose Lopez obliterates Burroughs in bWAR: 6.3 to 1.2. The difference is that while Burroughs has a 2 run advantage in UZR, Lopez has a 31 run advantage in TZ.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Costas Mandylor says:

      Fascinating.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • BoSoxFan says:

      first it’s rWAR, 2nd rWAR is not anywhere close to fWAR for fielders because UZR is so much better than TZ. It’s because UZR has Burroughs at 11.2 and Lopez at 9.0, but TZ has Burroughs at -13 and Lopez at +18. rWAR is useless for position players.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Hark says:

        Yes, because any one defensive metric is demonstrably more reliable than any other. Holy cow, did you pay attention the massive uproar over UZR this season? Defensive metrics are a mess. All of them.

        Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. BoSoxFan says:

    NOT TRUE! Time wasting quiz was wrong, BUrroughs had -.1 pitching WAR so it’s Lopez 6.4, Burroughs 6.3

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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