Offseason Notes for January 27th


Wilson Ramos: Star?

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Offseason Notes.

1. Assorted Headlines
2. Projecting: ZiPS for Washington
3. Crowdsourcing Broadcasters: Philadelphia Television

Assorted Headlines
Revised 2012 Draft Order
With the signing of Prince Fielder on Wednesday, all Type A free agents have been signed — and all the corresponding compensation picks have been determined. Mike Axisa has the revised 2012 draft order at River Ave Blues. Some notables: St. Louis has picks 19 and 23; Toronto, 17 and 22; and the Angels don’t make any selections until the 110th pick in the draft after signing both Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson.

Morales Takes Live BP
Angels would-be DH Kendrys Morales took live BP on Monday for the first time as part of his second rehab stint in as many offseasons, reports Bill Plunkett of the OC Register. Were he healthy, he would compete with Bobby Abreu and Mark Trumbo for plate appearances. Morales and the Angels recently avoided arbitration, agreeing on a one-year deal worth just under $3.0 million.

Projecting: ZiPS for Washington
Noted American trust-buster Dan Szymborski has published his ZiPS projections for the Washington Nationals. Below are some of the notable ones, accompanied by veryrough WAR projections (for hitters per 600 plate appearances and pitchers per 200 innings). All numbers assume major-league competition. OPS+ and ERA+ are park-adjusted.

Bryce Harper, RF, 19: .238/.317/.405, 94 OPS+, 0.9 WAR/600
Question: does this projection put Harper behind or ahead of Angel top prospect Mike Trout? Answer: actually, I don’t know. One sec… The answer is, “Behind, considerably”: assuming that Trout is an average center fielder, he’s actually projected at 3.1 WAR, per ZiPS.

Wilson Ramos, C, 24: .266/.338/.453, 112 OPS+, 4.8 WAR/600
Here’s a brief list of players with a lower projected rough WAR (again, per 600 plate appearances) than Wilson Ramos: Billy Butler (2.4 WAR), Robinson Cano (4.5), Jayson Werth (2.4). Also: basically every other catcher.

Stephen Strasburg, RHP, 23: 75.2 IP, 78 K, 23 BB, 5 HR, 5.3 WAR/200
ZiPS appears pretty skeptical that Strasburg will carry a full starter’s load in 2012. In the event that Strasburg does do that, however, he profiles as a considerably above-average starter. N’doy.

Crowdsourcing Broadcasters: Philadelphia Television
This offseason, FanGraphs is asking readers to rate the broadcast teams for all 30 major-league clubs. (Click here for more on this project.)

Rate other teams: Arizona / Atlanta / Baltimore / Boston / Chicago (AL) / Chicago (NL) / Cincinnati / Cleveland / Colorado / Detroit / Miami / Houston / Los Angeles (AL) / Los Angeles (NL, Home Games) / Los Angeles (NL, Away Games) / Milwaukee / Minnesota / New York (AL) / New York (NL) / Oakland.



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