One Night Only: Hot Game Previews For 5/19


“Hey, guys. Remember how I’m really good at baseball? Yeah, me too.”

This edition of One Night Only (from a super-extra-special guest host!) contains:

1. Expanded previews for two games: a matchup of aces in Boston, and a West Coast rivalry game featuring two solid young pitchers.

2. Additionally, find enclosed brief previews for three other, only slightly less titillating tilts: Atlanta at Arizona, Chicago (AL) at Cleveland, and Milwaukee at San Diego.

3. Pitcher and Team NERD scores for every one of tonight’s games.

Detroit (2) at Boston (6) | 19:10 ET
Starting Pitchers
Tigers: Justin Verlander (8)
65.0 IP, 8.6 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, .209 BABIP, 41.3% GB, 8.5% HR/FB, 3.25 xFIP, 82 xFIP-

Red Sox: Josh Beckett (7)
51.1 IP, 8.6 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, .220 BABIP, 43.8% GB, 5.9% HR/FB, 3.10 xFIP, 65 xFIP-

Notes
• Justin Verlander has a .209 BABIP, but that tends to be the case when, you know, a pitcher goes a whole game without giving up any hits at all.
• Justin Verlander also probably won’t have too many more games where he doesn’t, you know, give up any hits at all.
• Either way, though, he’ll probably end up with more of those games than his counterpart, Josh Beckett.
• And since Josh Beckett doesn’t have a no-hitter, I totally can’t justify his .220 BABIP.
• Which means that Beckett is totally due to be really bad. Just watch.

If I Had My Druthers
• Pitcher quality would be directly related with facial hair quality. Which would be a very, very bad thing for a certain probable starter for a certain team from Boston.
• It would probably just be a medium thing for Verlander. I would rate his facial hair as “unremarkable” on a scale from “1” to “Awesome.”
• I would be just as good a Major League pitcher as I am now.

San Francisco (4) at Los Angeles Nationals (3) | 22:10 ET
Starting Pitchers
Giants: Madison Bumgarner (9)
42.1 IP, 7.2 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, .318 BABIP, 52.7% GB, 5.9% HR/FB, 3.38 xFIP, 91 xFIP-

Dodgers: Chad Billingsley (7)
56.1 IP, 8.0 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, .263 BABIP, 49.7% GB, 6.0% HR/FB, 3.35 xFIP, 90 xFIP-

Notes
• Chad Billingsley has a pitch type value of 25.75 for his slider. Sure, he’s only thrown it 0.1% of the time according to BIS and it probably was just a misclassified cutter. But dang, that’s a good pitch.
• Only a team with Clayton Kershaw can make a pitcher on pace for his third straight four-win season in four years look pedestrian.
• Wait, actually, a team with Tim Lincecum would probably be pretty good at that, too.
• Because even if 4.25 Madison Bumgarner’s ERA comes down toward his 3.07 FIP and 3.35 xFIP, he still won’t be Tim Lincecum.
• But Madison, I can relate. I also have to deal with not being Tim Lincecum on a daily basis, and it’s terrible.

If I Had My Druthers
• I would be Tim Lincecum.
• I would also settle for being Clayton Kershaw.
• At the very least, they would be starting this game.

Three Other Games
Atlanta (6) at Arizona (10) | 9:40pm ET
Josh Collmenter has a 5 NERD score, but that’s just by default. There’s no way this guy is only a 5 on the NERD scale.

Chicago Americans (1) at Cleveland (10) | 9:40pm ET
• Back when Fausto Carmona was good, he was getting over 60% ground balls. This year, he’s getting 60% ground balls. And hey, he’s good again (3.94 ERA, 3.95 FIP)!

Milwaukee (8) at San Diego (9) | 10:05pm ET
• The name Prince Fielder really doesn’t fit him at all. He’s actually not even a member of any royal family.

Also Playing
These games are very likely playing at some kind of sporty channel near you.

pNERD = Pitcher NERD
tNERD = Team NERD
Game = Time and Average NERD for Game
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD of 5 (or 10 for debuts)



Print This Post



Jack Moore's work can be seen at VICE Sports and anywhere else you're willing to pay him to write. Buy his e-book.


Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Ja4ed
Member
5 years 1 month ago

Casey Coleman has a 0 NERD score? That is totally not surprising.

Reid
Guest
Reid
5 years 1 month ago

I was looking for useful info here and I got a cutesy, badly written, unfunny waste of time.

Yuck.

John Willumsen
Guest
John Willumsen
5 years 1 month ago

Your complaint is that your time was wasted due to the fact that you did not get the product you were expecting. And yet you took the time to post a comment. Sir, you are dangerously close to earning that most hideous of labels: inconsistent.

Cistulli gon’ do what Cistulli gon’ do. Caveat emptor, yo.

John Willumsen
Guest
John Willumsen
5 years 1 month ago

Whoops. In this case, Moore gon’ do etc. But same applies.

Mike H
Guest
Mike H
5 years 1 month ago

This is what it’s like every time, and has been so since midway through last season or something. I would recommend skipping all of them if you don’t like this one.

Todd
Guest
Todd
5 years 1 month ago

Go back to Funky Winkerbean… oh wait, I read Funky.

futurecfo
Member
5 years 1 month ago

Good, not great, substitute. Still interesting stuff as expected.

herve houchoua
Member
5 years 1 month ago

evolution depuis leur dernier match : ( matchs de la soirée en France )

ROSS ( oak ) 4 @ 5

MC DONALD ( pit ) 3 @ 4

FISTER 3 @ 4

BLACKBURN 2 @ 3

GEE ( nym) 5 @ 2 POURQUOI MR CISTULLI ?
5 / 13 @ hou
ip 5 h 5 bb 4 so 6 go/fo : 2-2 , c est bien non ?

HAPP ( hou ) 1 @ 0

KyleL
Guest
KyleL
5 years 1 month ago

Don’t like Beckett I take it huh?

Josh
Guest
Josh
5 years 1 month ago

I was going to say something about how ‘Los Angeles Nationals’ was cruel but then I looked at the Dodgers record so far and decided to let it slide.

MikeS
Guest
MikeS
5 years 1 month ago

So Milwaukee’s First baseman should be named “Common Hitter?” That doesn’t really do him justice either.

James
Guest
James
5 years 1 month ago

The tNERD of 1 for the White Sox is on point… As a White Sox fan, I was absolutely appalled when I saw the starting lineup last night. Last I checked, it wasn’t an exhibition game.

On the other hand, not sure how the 2011 Padres have a tNerd of 9… Maybe if Rizzo was batting third and playing 1B, with Blanks in LF cleaning up….

MikeS
Guest
MikeS
5 years 1 month ago

I went to Tuesday’s game and when people asked how it was I told them they played badly and won. That made it an upgrade from the last few games I was at where they played badly and lost. It’s not much fun watching for the last month or so.

John
Guest
John
5 years 1 month ago

I think the 3X weight for pitcher NERD works better than equal weight, so my vote is to stick with it. Also, how/why is the phillies team NERD a 1?

John
Guest
John
5 years 1 month ago

Now that I looked into it I I guess the answer to my question is Utley is hurt and their lineup is pretty old and bad at fielding.

wpDiscuz