One Night Only: Hot Game Previews For 5/19

“Hey, guys. Remember how I’m really good at baseball? Yeah, me too.”

This edition of One Night Only (from a super-extra-special guest host!) contains:

1. Expanded previews for two games: a matchup of aces in Boston, and a West Coast rivalry game featuring two solid young pitchers.

2. Additionally, find enclosed brief previews for three other, only slightly less titillating tilts: Atlanta at Arizona, Chicago (AL) at Cleveland, and Milwaukee at San Diego.

3. Pitcher and Team NERD scores for every one of tonight’s games.

Detroit (2) at Boston (6) | 19:10 ET
Starting Pitchers
Tigers: Justin Verlander (8)
65.0 IP, 8.6 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, .209 BABIP, 41.3% GB, 8.5% HR/FB, 3.25 xFIP, 82 xFIP-

Red Sox: Josh Beckett (7)
51.1 IP, 8.6 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, .220 BABIP, 43.8% GB, 5.9% HR/FB, 3.10 xFIP, 65 xFIP-

• Justin Verlander has a .209 BABIP, but that tends to be the case when, you know, a pitcher goes a whole game without giving up any hits at all.
• Justin Verlander also probably won’t have too many more games where he doesn’t, you know, give up any hits at all.
• Either way, though, he’ll probably end up with more of those games than his counterpart, Josh Beckett.
• And since Josh Beckett doesn’t have a no-hitter, I totally can’t justify his .220 BABIP.
• Which means that Beckett is totally due to be really bad. Just watch.

If I Had My Druthers
• Pitcher quality would be directly related with facial hair quality. Which would be a very, very bad thing for a certain probable starter for a certain team from Boston.
• It would probably just be a medium thing for Verlander. I would rate his facial hair as “unremarkable” on a scale from “1” to “Awesome.”
• I would be just as good a Major League pitcher as I am now.

San Francisco (4) at Los Angeles Nationals (3) | 22:10 ET
Starting Pitchers
Giants: Madison Bumgarner (9)
42.1 IP, 7.2 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, .318 BABIP, 52.7% GB, 5.9% HR/FB, 3.38 xFIP, 91 xFIP-

Dodgers: Chad Billingsley (7)
56.1 IP, 8.0 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, .263 BABIP, 49.7% GB, 6.0% HR/FB, 3.35 xFIP, 90 xFIP-

• Chad Billingsley has a pitch type value of 25.75 for his slider. Sure, he’s only thrown it 0.1% of the time according to BIS and it probably was just a misclassified cutter. But dang, that’s a good pitch.
• Only a team with Clayton Kershaw can make a pitcher on pace for his third straight four-win season in four years look pedestrian.
• Wait, actually, a team with Tim Lincecum would probably be pretty good at that, too.
• Because even if 4.25 Madison Bumgarner’s ERA comes down toward his 3.07 FIP and 3.35 xFIP, he still won’t be Tim Lincecum.
• But Madison, I can relate. I also have to deal with not being Tim Lincecum on a daily basis, and it’s terrible.

If I Had My Druthers
• I would be Tim Lincecum.
• I would also settle for being Clayton Kershaw.
• At the very least, they would be starting this game.

Three Other Games
Atlanta (6) at Arizona (10) | 9:40pm ET
Josh Collmenter has a 5 NERD score, but that’s just by default. There’s no way this guy is only a 5 on the NERD scale.

Chicago Americans (1) at Cleveland (10) | 9:40pm ET
• Back when Fausto Carmona was good, he was getting over 60% ground balls. This year, he’s getting 60% ground balls. And hey, he’s good again (3.94 ERA, 3.95 FIP)!

Milwaukee (8) at San Diego (9) | 10:05pm ET
• The name Prince Fielder really doesn’t fit him at all. He’s actually not even a member of any royal family.

Also Playing
These games are very likely playing at some kind of sporty channel near you.

pNERD = Pitcher NERD
Game = Time and Average NERD for Game
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD of 5 (or 10 for debuts)

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15 Responses to “One Night Only: Hot Game Previews For 5/19”

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  1. Ja4ed says:

    Casey Coleman has a 0 NERD score? That is totally not surprising.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Reid says:

    I was looking for useful info here and I got a cutesy, badly written, unfunny waste of time.


    -11 Vote -1 Vote +1

    • John Willumsen says:

      Your complaint is that your time was wasted due to the fact that you did not get the product you were expecting. And yet you took the time to post a comment. Sir, you are dangerously close to earning that most hideous of labels: inconsistent.

      Cistulli gon’ do what Cistulli gon’ do. Caveat emptor, yo.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Mike H says:

      This is what it’s like every time, and has been so since midway through last season or something. I would recommend skipping all of them if you don’t like this one.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Todd says:

      Go back to Funky Winkerbean… oh wait, I read Funky.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. futurecfo says:

    Good, not great, substitute. Still interesting stuff as expected.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. herve houchoua says:

    evolution depuis leur dernier match : ( matchs de la soirée en France )

    ROSS ( oak ) 4 @ 5

    MC DONALD ( pit ) 3 @ 4

    FISTER 3 @ 4

    BLACKBURN 2 @ 3

    GEE ( nym) 5 @ 2 POURQUOI MR CISTULLI ?
    5 / 13 @ hou
    ip 5 h 5 bb 4 so 6 go/fo : 2-2 , c est bien non ?

    HAPP ( hou ) 1 @ 0

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. KyleL says:

    Don’t like Beckett I take it huh?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Josh says:

    I was going to say something about how ‘Los Angeles Nationals’ was cruel but then I looked at the Dodgers record so far and decided to let it slide.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. MikeS says:

    So Milwaukee’s First baseman should be named “Common Hitter?” That doesn’t really do him justice either.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  8. James says:

    The tNERD of 1 for the White Sox is on point… As a White Sox fan, I was absolutely appalled when I saw the starting lineup last night. Last I checked, it wasn’t an exhibition game.

    On the other hand, not sure how the 2011 Padres have a tNerd of 9… Maybe if Rizzo was batting third and playing 1B, with Blanks in LF cleaning up….

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • MikeS says:

      I went to Tuesday’s game and when people asked how it was I told them they played badly and won. That made it an upgrade from the last few games I was at where they played badly and lost. It’s not much fun watching for the last month or so.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  9. John says:

    I think the 3X weight for pitcher NERD works better than equal weight, so my vote is to stick with it. Also, how/why is the phillies team NERD a 1?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  10. John says:

    Now that I looked into it I I guess the answer to my question is Utley is hurt and their lineup is pretty old and bad at fielding.

    Vote -1 Vote +1