A puppet on the hand is equivalent to no specific number in the bush.
This edition of One Night Only contains:
1. An expanded preview for tonight’s biggest of events: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee.
2. Brief, but no less charming, previews for these games: Toronto at Atlanta, Colorado at Cleveland, and Philadelphia at St. Louis.
3. Yet another experimental design for the day’s slate of games — including, as always, very proprietary Pitcher and Team NERD scores for every one of tonight’s games.
Tampa Bay (5) at Milwaukee (8) | 14:10 ET
Rays: David Price (10)
102.1 IP, 8.27 K/9, 1.76 BB/9, 41.6% GB, 3.09 xFIP, 78 xFIP-
Brewers: Shaun Marcum (7)
91.2 IP, 8.25 K/9, 2.36 BB/9, 36.3% GB, 3.30 xFIP, 88 xFIP-
Regarding David Price, His xFIP-, Part II
David Price’s xFIP last season was a more pedestrian 92 — tied for 29th overall (out of 92 qualifiers) with pitchers like Scott Baker, Jason Hammel, and Carl Pavano.
While Price’s strikeout and ground-ball rates in 2011 are almost identical to what he posted in 2010, his walk rate is significantly lower, from last year’s mark of 3.41 BB/9 (blerg city!) to 1.76 BB/9 (say wha, player?).
Things That Aren’t Reasons for the Drop in David Price’s Walks
None of these things is the reason for David Price’s drop in walks:
1. First-Pitch Strike Percentage
2. Zone Percentage
3. Swing Percentage
How I Know That
Because his numbers are down this season in all three of those categories.
A Thing That Might Be the Reason for the Drop in Walks
Command — as in, he’s working more effectively withing the zone.
Who Says So
Tommy Rancel, like 12 days ago.
Regarding David Price, Last Thing
David Price has the third-highest average fastball velocity (94.7 mph) among qualifiers and the very highest among lefty qualifiers.
What You’d Be Totally Justified in Saying About Said Fastball
“That’s a spicy meatball!”
Three Other Games
Toronto (8) at Atlanta (7) | 13:05 ET
Brandon Beachy (8) returns from the DL — his first major-league appearance since May 13th.
Colorado (7) at Cleveland (10) | 19:05 ET
Charlie Blackmon Watch!
Yesterday: 4 PA, 2 FO, 2 GO.
Season: 54 PA, .327/.352/.346 (.347 BABIP) .338 wOBA, 104 wRC+, 3.7% BB, 5.8% K.
Unlike said film, Lee’s starts contain almost nothing in the way of people falling down embankments.
The last two editions of One Night Only have both featured an attempt on the part of the author to create a more user-friendly design for the daily slate of games. The present edition of One Night Only presents a third — and hopefully best — option.
|Zach Britton||BAL||5||4||4||3||2||PIT||Kevin Correia||12:35|
|Freddy Garcia||NYA||3||7||5||7||6||CIN||Mike Leake||12:35|
|Jo-Jo Reyes||TOR||3||8||6||7||8||ATL||Brandon Beachy||13:05|
|Clayton Richard||SD||2||5||3||7||2||BOS||John Lackey||13:35|
|David Price||TB||10||5||8||8||7||MIL||Shaun Marcum||14:10|
|Rick Porcello||DET||4||2||4||2||5||LAN||Ted Lilly||15:10|
|Jason Hammel||COL||3||7||6||10||6||CLE||Josh Tomlin||19:05|
|Erik Bedard||SEA||6||3||5||6||3||WAS||John Lannan||19:10|
|Joel Pineiro||LAA||2||5||4||3||5||FL||Brian Sanches*||19:10|
|Brian Gordon*||NYA||5||7||6||7||6||CIN||Johnny Cueto||19:10|
|Gio Gonzalez||OAK||6||2||6||5||8||NYN||R.A. Dickey||19:10|
|Brett Myers||HOU||4||5||5||8||4||TEX||Colby Lewis||20:05|
|Ian Kennedy||AZ||6||10||6||10||4||KC||Jeff Francis||20:10|
|Doug Davis||CHN||2||0||4||1||8||CHA||Jake Peavy||20:10|
|Cliff Lee||PHI||10||3||7||5||5||STL||Kyle Lohse||20:15|
|Nick Blackburn||MIN||4||0||4||4||6||SF||Ryan Vogelsong||20:15|
NERD represents an attempt to anticipate the watchability of a game for the baseballing enthusiast.
To learn more about Pitcher NERD, click here and scroll down a little.
To learn more about Team NERD, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD of 5 (or 10 for debuts)
Pitching probables and game times from MLB.com.
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