Rays Acquire Chad Qualls

Deadline day kicks off with a small trade that might have been a bigger deal in years past. MLB.com’s Steve Gilbert reports that the Rays have acquired right-handed relief pitcher Chad Qualls from the Diamondbacks for a player to be named later. The Rays will pay the remainder of the $1.48 million left on Qualls’s contract.

A lot of things stick out about Qualls’s numbers this year, most of them bad. His ERA sits at 8.29, his WHIP is an even 2, his BABIP is all the way up at .434, and his strand rate is just 51.4 percent — and that’s just by glancing at his dashboard. His WXRL — wins expected above replacement, Baseball Prospectus’s reliever stat — is -2.407, last among 588 qualified major leaguers. He has allowed three of six inherited runners to score. Opponents have taken extra bases on 19 of 61 hits allowed, a career-high ratio. His whiff rate is at a career low by a significant margin. He’s been pulled from a game 15 times — he was the closer until mid-June. I could go on, but the point is clear.

Why the Rays’ interest, then? The move appears to be based on Qualls’s history. He was a good to excellent reliever from 2005 through 2009. While his 2010 has been horrible, he still sports a 4.30 FIP and 3.84 xFIP, and the latter approaches his career mark of 3.48. He has held opponents scoreless in 18 of his appearances, which is not good, but of those 18, 10 were perfect appearances. So maybe they see something in him. He did undergo knee surgery in September, so there is also hope that he’ll heat up a bit in the final two months.

The good news is that his stuff appears in tact. His fastball sits at the same velocity as it has in the past, and he’s using it at just about the same rate. Looking at this PitchFX page, everything appears to be in line with his past performance. It’s a bit dicey comparing PitchFX from year-to-year — I’ve noticed a number of pitchers who have “lost” horizontal movement this year, so there are definitely some consistency issues at play — but there don’t appear to be too many differences for Qualls.

He’ll be joining a Rays bullpen that ranks among the best in the league. They have the third lowest bullpen ERA in the majors, the third lowest OPS against, and the second highest WHIP. With quality setup men like Grant Balfour and Joaquin Benoit in addition to role pitchers like Dan Wheeler and Andy Sonnanstine, the Rays can afford to take a gamble with Qualls. If he returns to his old form he gives the Rays an indomitable bullpen. If he doesn’t, the Rays have other options.

Print This Post

Joe also writes about the Yankees at River Ave. Blues.

5 Responses to “Rays Acquire Chad Qualls”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. lailaihei says:

    It seems like an odd move, he comes in as their fifth or sixth best reliever. It seems like that won’t make any difference at all to their bullpen, as he will be pitching such low leverage situations and whoever he supplants is only marginally worse. I’d rather see Hellickson up as a long relief and mop up guy for the time being. Better pitcher and some big league experience before he goes to the rotation next season. Seems better than paying a million bucks to a mediocre reliever.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Andy says:

      They’re looking for a groundballer who can help that great defense turn DPs, while replacing the completely ineffective Cormier who is supposed to be doing the same thing. Qualls’s 55.2% rate this year says he still possesses the skill. And it worked out beautifully on his first appearance. Being brought in to the 8th inning of Sunday’s game Qualls pitched to Berkman with a man on first, eventually inducing the inning-ending DP.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Steve says:

    Nice pick up for the Rays. Low risk acquisition. Where are the Red Sox?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Joe Don says:

    Spaghetti and meatballs!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. quincy0191 says:

    This is an excellent deal for the Rays; they get a guy with top-shelf stuff who’s just been unlucky (.434 BABIP and 51% strand rate = hard-luck pitcher due for regression) for a PTBNL or cash, which essentially means nothing. Great buy-low move.

    Vote -1 Vote +1