So as far as sample size for evaluating “stuff” goes, one start by a starting pitcher is equivalent in size to 5 starts for hitters (for their hitting stats). The equivalent fielding sample size would vary based on position and frequency of involvement in a play, which I’m not going to do for each position, but I’ll estimate 15 innings played at 3B to be equivalent for fielding stats to a start by an SP, because a 3B is involved in a lot of plays but not nearly all of them.

So, Ed, assuming Lawrie plays 5 games at 9 innings each, playing 3B the entire time, his sample size for hitting is equivalent in size to one pitching start by Strasburg, and his sample size for fielding is equivalent in size to 3 pitching starts by Strasburg. If you say that 100 PAs is a sufficient sample size for hitting stats, that’s equivalent to roughly 25 games. That means that 5 pitching starts would be a sufficient sample size, as would 75 innings fielding 3B. Strasburg has had 13 total starts, and generously disregarding the likelihood he was pitching hurt a couple of times, he’s still amazing.

But I’ll be even more generous, and assert that 250 PAs is actually what’s needed to escape SSS by and large. Let’s call that 72.5 games. That’s equivalent to 14.5 pitching starts, or 217.5 fielding innings at 3B. Fine then, we can wait a whole two more Strasburg starts to start anointing him. Lawrie, on the other hand, needs another 125 PAs for his hitting “stuff”, but you can feel free to use his fielding “stuff” in evaluating him…if you think it’ll stand up against the likes of Longoria or Zimmerman.

]]>But when you combine a top-of-the-line fastball with a top-of-the-line curveball and have precision control, you’re starting off in Koufax territory. Then you add a great change-up that he can throw with a couple of different behaviors and you’re looking at the kind of repertoire you need to maybe be the best ever…barring injury.

What he already is, in the writer’s view, is the most exciting pitcher/player in the league. “Exciting” obviously being subjective and it’s never too early to decide a player excites you the most.

]]>And full disclosure I’m not in HS and haven’t been for a while, it was just a joke.

]]>What a treat to watch.

]]>Felix

Verlander

Jered Weaver

Matt Moore

Shelby Miller

Josh Johnson

Ian Kennedy

Scherzer

Liriano

Mike Minor

I’ll likely keep the top 7.

My offense isn’t as sharp, but not bad.

OF Heyward, C Posey, OF Stanton, SS Starlin Castro, 3B Brett Lawrie, 2B Ackley and 1b Miguel Cabrera

I can keep 14 total.

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Remember that?

In that regard (command and k’s), his debut was superior to ANY start in baseball history.

I hope he stays healthy and kicks arse, even though the nats aren’t my team.

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