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The 2010 Marcel Projections
Posted By David Appelman On January 13, 2010 @ 4:12 pm In Site News | 14 Comments
Couple things of note about the Marcel projections.
- About Marcel, Tango himself writes, “it is the most basic forecasting system you can have, that uses as little intelligence as possible. It uses 3 years of MLB data, with the most recent data weighted heavier. It regresses towards the mean. And it has an age factor.”
- The wOBA calculation I’m using for FanGraphs is going to be different than the ones included in the projections. To keep things consistent, I’m including SB and CS and using the 2009 weights, just like all the other projections.
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