Anybody have any good info on Perez?

]]>What are the chances that the royals find a “speedster centerfielder with as-good-as, or better, range” and a bat? Starling has incredible speed. He runs a 4.36 electronically timed 40 yard dash. If he can hit at the MLB level, it seems nonsensical to stash him in RF.

]]>I looked at Zips projections for 2012. I didn’t use my gut feeling.

They also have to jump 3 teams in the standings, another big obstacle.

Having the Royals have a 26U All-Star team win the division would be great for baseball, great for the royals, and tremendous for the fans. But, realistically, it’s not going to happen. They would have to be incredibly lucky to have so many prospects come close to their potential and remain healthy. IMO, we’re already seeing some of them fall of the track.

Eric Hosmer was 1.6 fWAR last year based in part on an absurd UZR range factor that will be corrected this year. That along with a reasonable projection for his 2nd season, and VIOLA, OF regression offset. SURPRISE!

I thought Hosmer’s skill was hands/scoops, not range (so his UZR isn;t improving). I’m not expecting improvement + UZR correction to result in a 5 WAR Hosmer sophomore season. To me that’s a Cub fan projection, not a reasonable projection.

I said in a previous post …

“Here’s my thinking, KCR won 71 games last year and every one of their OF’s had a great year (relative): Gordon 6.9, Melky 4.2, Frenchy 2.9. every one is due for some negative regression and Melky is now with SFG. So, maybe -3 WAR to the OF.

They have 4-5 batters that appear to league average, so 8 WAR there, maybe +3 or +4 over last year. ”

I included an overall +3 or +4 WAR for the entire offense over last year. That moves them to within maybe 20 games of DET. It also assumes that KCR replaces Melky’s 4 WAR with a 2.5-3 WAR CF and that’s generous.

]]>Eric Hosmer was 1.6 fWAR last year based in part on an absurd UZR range factor that will be corrected this year. That along with a reasonable projection for his 2nd season, and VIOLA, OF regression offset. SURPRISE!

How about the increase from a full year of Giavotella at 2B (Chris Getz was a lot worse than the numbers look) and Moustakas at 3B vs. what was there last year (including a completely feckless performance by Moose for the first 6 weeks he was up). Then there’s catcher. A full season from a heavily regressed Perez is still quite an upgrade from Treanor/Pena.

The starting pitching needs to take a major step forward, but if you want to regress the OF, you also need to account for the projected increases from everybody else to see that the offense will hold sway. Some of us do not agree that the OF is going to regress that much.

The starting pitching is why I don’t see them as remotely a contender this year, but there’s no reason why their combination of prospects and guys they currently have in the system can’t get them there without going heavily into free agency.

]]>The purpose of evaluating/ranking the minor league systems it to….

….evaluate/rank the minor league systems.

This isn’t supposed to be an org ranking or a young talent ranking it’s simply a look at each team’s farm system. No one is “punishing” the Royals, they are just evaluating the talent in their minor league system.

Can you explain what you mean by “punish”? And how this is “unfair”?

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