World Series Game 6 Live Blog

7:58
Dave Cameron: It could be the final day of the 2013 season. Cardinals try to live another day, Red Sox try to win it all again.
7:58
Dave Cameron: This should be fun.
7:58
Comment From Jaack
It could be the end of the Tim McCarver era as well!
8:01
Comment From chuckb
Which number is larger — the % chance that Matheny leaves Wacha in too long or the % chance that Ortiz wins the MVP?
8:01
Dave Cameron: 100% = 100%.
8:01
Comment From Aussie Mariner
If the Cards come back to win the series in these two games and one of their hitters goes all Freese like, do you think he could win the MVP over Ortiz? What would it take for a Cardinal to win it at this point?

8:01
Dave Cameron: Wacha could win it if he has a dominant start tonight. No one else, probably.
8:02
Comment From Kimball
Ross over Saltalamacchia against an RHP? That’s criminal, no?
8:02
Dave Cameron: No. Ross is a much better framer, and the offensive gap isn’t that big.
8:02
Comment From williams .482
Do you think Ortiz should get credit from HOF voters for his postseason success? How much?
8:02
Dave Cameron: Yes, plenty. Still not enough to get him in.
8:02
Comment From Kimball
How’s the puppy?
8:03
Dave Cameron: Not so great. Ended up taking her to the vet, and they couldn’t figure out what was wrong, but there’s clearly something off. She’s drugged up and we have to go back in the morning for repeat X-Rays.
8:04
Comment From RageAgainstTheNarrative
There is some non-zero chance that Wacha gets injured early and immediately gets pulled on time. That’s about it though.
8:04
Dave Cameron: I think Wacha could be bleeding from his eyeballs and Matheny would still stick with him.
8:04
Comment From Ruki
I hope puppy is okay in the end!
8:05
Dave Cameron: Yeah, me too, obviously. Having a miserable puppy is heartbreaking.
8:05
Comment From RF
How many more good years does Ortiz need for you to think he’s a good HoF candidate? 2-3 more years at this level? 4-5?
8:05
Dave Cameron: 5.
8:06
Comment From nick
Harshing my buzz with the puppy talk here Dave
8:06
Dave Cameron: Sorry. Back to baseball!
8:07
Comment From Nick
What if he hits a walkoff grandslam to win this game? HoF?
8:07
Dave Cameron: World Series heroics haven’t gotten Jack Morris in yet.
8:07
Comment From Ruki
Who gets the ball in a theoritical Game 7? Peavy looked awful his last game.
8:08
Dave Cameron: Peavy’s their best available arm, regardless of how he did in his last start.
8:09
Comment From williams .482
I already miss the Busch camera angle
8:09
Comment From dose17
A McCarver gem:”First thing on St Louis’ mind should be to take the crowd out of this game.” That, or score runs.
8:09
Comment From RF
Game 7 pitcher play: Peavy for 3 innings max, but a short leash if he runs into trouble. Doubront for hopefully two. Lester for one or maybe two. Piece together another inning or two with Breslow/Workman/Dempster/Buchholz, then Tazawa/Uehara to finish.
8:09
Dave Cameron: Pretty much, yeah.
8:10
Comment From chuckb
Thought that one would get off the wall. Cool air, maybe?
8:10
Dave Cameron: Everyone says its freezing up there.
8:10
Dave Cameron: That looked way harder than it was.
8:11
Dave Cameron: Nothing against Pedroia, but that was hit basically right at him.
8:12
Comment From Steven
Cardinals should be more patient, shouldn’t they?
8:12
Dave Cameron: Lackey pounds the zone.
8:12
Comment From Frank
Nspoli led first baseman in UZR this year in his first year full time there. Your guess as to whether it’s a SSS UZR fluke or for real?
8:13
Dave Cameron: Probably a bit of both. People watching him said he was pretty good there. Still have to regress the UZR when projecting the future though.
8:13
Comment From Pedro
Pedroia’s play makes me wonder how much of the drop in offense has to do with much more inventive defensive positioning. Thoughts?
8:13
Dave Cameron: League BABIP hasn’t changed much over the last few years. League K% has gone way up. Hard to say that’s shifting.
8:14
Comment From Penny Lane
What is the thinking behind Mujica and Miller?
8:14
Dave Cameron: “Don’t trust them, pretend they’re dead.”
8:16
Comment From Nick
Why not place them on IR and sub in two bench players then though? It doesn’t make sense
8:16
Dave Cameron: If Cardinals had better bench players, they’d be on the roster.
8:16
Dave Cameron: Crushed.
8:16
Dave Cameron: But foul.
8:17
Comment From Lawdog
How does he not do the Fisk hop there?
8:17
Comment From person hscer
Carlton Fisk’s ghost laughs. Carlton Fisk is still alive.
8:18
Comment From Tom
Semi intentional walk coming up
8:18
Dave Cameron: That a curve? Looked like a curve.
8:18
Dave Cameron: I think he just struck him out and didn’t get the call.
8:19
Comment From Catoblepas
gameday agrees
8:19
Comment From Shannon
Looked like it. I guess that’s the kind of call you get when you’re hitting .750
8:19
Comment From Catoblepas
He’s going after him, this is not semi-intentional at all
8:20
Comment From Jaack
Seriously? The Wave? What is this, a Spring Training Dodger game?
8:20
Comment From Kimball
That looked like a mistake.
8:21
Dave Cameron: Another curve.
8:21
Dave Cameron: Interesting.
8:22
Comment From Penny Lane
Dave, do you think batters assuming a ball four has any (negative) impact on an umpire’s call?
8:22
Dave Cameron: No.
8:22
Comment From Frank
If I’m Wacha I’m living and dying down and away with the FB/Change combo to Ortiz
8:22
Dave Cameron: His weak zone is actually fastballs up.
8:22
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
If the Cards win who gets Miller’s ring? His widow? Is he married?
8:22
Dave Cameron: Nasty change-up.
8:22
Dave Cameron: Right-on-right out pitch change. Special.
8:25
Comment From Yo-Yo
When do you start locking up the Cards young pitchers? A ton of them are gonna reach free agency around the same time.
8:25
Dave Cameron: Pitchers break. I’d be okay with hardly ever locking up young pitchers. Year to year.
8:25
Comment From Shannon
To your knowledge, has there been any research done on the topic of how a pitcher’s pace affects their performance?
8:25
Dave Cameron: There’s basically no correlation.
8:25
Comment From Seth
are change-ups actually less effective against same handed hitters as opposed to opposite handed hitters? or is just that change ups are more effective than sliders/curves to opposite handed hitters?
8:26
Dave Cameron: Yes, change-ups often tail into a same-handed hitter, and that makes them hittable if not located well.
8:27
Comment From filihok
RE Pace: This guy found that a slower pace slightly increases BABIP http://www.fangraphs.com/community/proejcting-babip-using-batted-ball-data/
8:27
Comment From Kimball
Why start Craig against a righty? He looks about 50%.
8:27
Dave Cameron: Who’s the alternative?
8:28
Comment From Guest
That is why Craig is starting.
8:29
Comment From Jaack
Who wins in a foot race right now, Craig or Bengie Molina carrying Jose Molina?
8:29
Comment From Casey
Wow Gomes couldnt have played that much more perfectly.
8:29
Dave Cameron: He could have fallen on his face five times and Craig still would have held at first.
8:30
Comment From Tom
Lackey is throwing up some hittable pitches
8:31
Comment From Seth
so many line drives
8:31
Comment From Seth
too early to get doubront?
8:31
Dave Cameron: Yes.
8:31
Comment From MJ
aren’t they probably saving Doubront for gm 7 because they trust Peavy less?
8:31
Dave Cameron: I would think we’ll see Doubront both days.
8:32
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Made that look harder than it was
8:32
Comment From Guest
Another line drive.
8:32
Dave Cameron: Ehh, that looked like a routine fly, except the wall is like 10 feet away so it looked deep.
8:33
Comment From williams .482
Plus, Gomes makes everything look difficult
8:35
Comment From Tom
Lackey inconsistent with curve
8:35
Comment From Yo-Yo
This is like the surest double play set up ever
8:36
Comment From Lawdog
Do you remember a time when you didn’t think that every stat displayed on a broadcast wasn’t somehow flawed?
8:36
Dave Cameron: I was like 11.
8:37
Dave Cameron: That looked like the pitch Ortiz took.
8:37
Comment From Kimball
Wow.
8:38
Comment From Seth
weirdly lazy of ross there
8:38
Comment From Frank
Wow, Ross very lazy. Can’t try pick that in this spot.
8:38
Comment From David
Ross needs to block that.
8:38
Comment From Dennis
Salty stops that…
8:38
Comment From MJ
Cody Ross is pretty new to catching, tho.
8:38
Dave Cameron: Nice curve to end it.
8:39
Comment From Guest
SI did a piece on homefield advantage, what they came up with was that the home crowd subtly influences the refrees decision making. for example, stoppage time in soccer is longer if the home team is tied and shorter if the home team is winning
8:39
Dave Cameron: That comes from a book called Scorecasting, and Phil Birnbaum has debunked a lot of it.
8:40
Comment From Lawdog
Have they ever thought discontinuing Jeremy’s cell phone service?
8:40
Comment From Ben
Chance Jeremy is found before the winter meetings?
8:40
Comment From Matt
So what causes home field advantage?
8:40
Dave Cameron: Best guess is familiarity with home park/bed/lack of travel/etc…
8:41
Comment From Kimball
It’s the creepy Amazon dating service!
8:41
Comment From Ruki
The best kind of dating service.
8:41
Comment From Tommy
I feel like it’s a very bad idea to allow people to show themselves to an Amazon customer service agent.
8:42
Comment From Guest
Who wouldn’t want to date an Amazon?
8:42
Comment From Gila Monster
Are the Red Sox solid proof that we too often are quick to write off bad seasons to decline? Victorino,Napoli,Drew,Lackey,Lester,Bucholz all enjoyed bounceback seasons. The Red Sox pulled a classic buy-low on a ton of pieces.
8:42
Dave Cameron: Yes, people overreact to most recent data too fast.
8:43
Comment From Tommy
Gomes so clutch.
8:43
Comment From chuckb
Should have been an out.
8:43
Comment From Guest
shoulda had that
8:43
Comment From Shannon
Jay’s range is so limited.
8:43
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Victorino’s shoes are patriotic because it’s not like St. Louis is in America
8:43
Comment From Tommy
Those shoes are disgraceful.
8:44
Comment From Donnie Baseball
Don’t the French own that part of the country?
8:44
Comment From Seth
massachusetts invented america
8:45
Comment From Jim
Last guy you want up right now except Ortiz
8:45
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
In fairness the Cardinals are wearing Redcoats
8:45
Comment From Marcus A.
Boston’s colors are red, white, and blue. St. Louis only has red and white. Clearly Boston is 150% as patriotic.
8:45
Comment From Vin
Wacha is on the verge of being victimized…by awful “Walk-a” jokes.
8:46
Comment From Guest
would you have bunted?
8:46
Dave Cameron: No way.
8:47
Comment From Brian
has drew cost himself some FA money with his postseason
8:47
Dave Cameron: Actually might have made himself money by talking BOS out of making the QO.
8:48
Comment From Tommy
David Ross looks 10 years older than Mike Matheny.
8:48
Comment From Dennis
That’s not Gandolf?
8:48
Comment From Donnie Baseball
Matheny bathes in the blood of Shelby Miller to maintain his youthful appearance.
8:49
Comment From Tommy
do you think a team without a protected pick would sacrifice their 1st for Drew?
8:49
Dave Cameron: No.
8:49
Comment From Shrewd Cat
It’s Gandalf, not Gandolf- ban Dennis!
8:49
Dave Cameron: Wacha’s pretty good.
8:49
Comment From person hscer
next time that kindle ad is on, notice that, even though the guy has never used the feature before, it already knows his niece’s name. Tacit admission? Hey, folks, Amazon here – just want to confirm that, yes, we data mine.
8:49
Comment From MJ
more like Michael Strikeout-a
8:50
Comment From Crusty
Let Dennis live! Down with the nerds!
8:50
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
Giancarlo Stanton for Oscar Taveras/Shelby Miller/Kolten Wong. Who says no?
8:50
Dave Cameron: Cardinals.
8:50
Comment From Donnie Baseball
…this is Fangraphs.
8:50
Comment From SK
What happens if a player declines a QO but can’t find a team willing to give up a pick to sign him?
8:50
Dave Cameron: Ask Kyle Lohse.
8:51
Comment From Seth
what’s his twitter?
8:52
Comment From person hscer
Boooo! KFC sucks! Boooo!
8:52
Comment From The Real Tommy
Black people eating fried chicken on TV, so racist.
8:52
Comment From Donnie Baseball
That’s a real power play, to eat your partner’s chicken like that.
8:53
Comment From Big ol fella
I’ve had about enough of the “everybody knows he aint just tough /he’s stroooong.” lyric.
8:53
Dave Cameron: Descalso just struck out on the pitch Ortiz took for a ball.
8:54
Comment From Guest
Another line drive.
8:54
Comment From chuckb
Someone tell Descalso the game has started.
8:54
Comment From Guest
5 pitch inning.
8:55
Comment From RF
Brooks Baseball has the ball to Ortiz that you keep referencing as a ball. In fact, it’s been an almost perfect strike zone. http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/cache/fastmap.php-pitchSel=all&game=gid_2013_10_30_slnmlb_bosmlb_1&sp_type=2&s_type=7&cache=1.gif
8:55
Comment From Other Seth
There’s no way Jeremy’s car is worth $13,000
8:56
Comment From lowercase jeff
Jeremy’s kind of a dick
8:56
Comment From chuckb
Am I the only one who pees during the commercials?
8:56
Dave Cameron: Every commercial? You should drink less water.
8:57
Comment From Neil
Jeremy sucks and all, but that last commercial was the loudest thing ever . . .
8:57
Comment From Donnie Baseball
You might have diabetes, chuckb.
8:57
Comment From gump
‘water’
8:57
Comment From Crusty
Fangraphs should collectively diagnose Chuck. Chuck, how much water are you drinking per day?
8:57
Comment From Playoff Towel
I’m on TV!
8:58
Comment From Crusty
Wait, it is a commercial, Chuck will not see these comments!
8:58
Comment From SK
The World Series sponsored by Pearl Jam?
8:59
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Do you run here?
8:59
Dave Cameron: No.
8:59
Comment From Playoff Towel
Red Sox fans think differently
9:00
Dave Cameron: He was going.
9:00
Comment From Steff
Nearly wonged
9:01
Comment From Rob Lowe
Take your base Ortiz
9:02
Comment From Alvin Davis
You like this move?
9:02
Dave Cameron: No.
9:02
Dave Cameron: Overestimating Ortiz’s production here.
9:02
Comment From Bob
Don’t BOO Sox Fans – this is a good thing!
9:03
Comment From Recency Bias
I’m baaaaaaaack…not that I ever left.
9:04
Dave Cameron: Swung through a middle middle fastball.
9:04
Comment From Crusty
A buzzball!
9:05
Comment From Vin
Was Napoli always so Mark Reynoldsy?
9:05
Comment From Rob Lowe
Definitely looking change
9:05
Dave Cameron: Another good curve.
9:05
Dave Cameron: The IBB is now in scoring position.
9:06
Comment From Meano Eno
#intangibles
9:06
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Victorino is slow clapping
9:06
Comment From RF
So many curveballs.
9:08
Comment From Tom
Great pitch
9:08
Comment From Donnie Baseball
Framed!
9:08
Comment From Frank
Molina stole that one methinks
9:08
Dave Cameron: And Ortiz scores.
9:08
Dave Cameron: And Gomes scores.
9:08
Comment From Tom
Possible ballgame
9:08
Comment From gump
wow at that safe call
9:08
Comment From Brian
gomes looked out
9:08
Comment From Other Seth
He looked out live
9:08
Comment From person hscer
REVIEW!
9:09
Dave Cameron: Good call. Safe
9:09
Comment From williams .482
props to Joyce
9:09
Comment From The Real Tommy
Think Wacha comes out for the fourth?
9:10
Dave Cameron: Of course.
9:10
Dave Cameron: BABIP’d.
9:10
Comment From person hscer
Why doesn’t Victorino get criticized like Puig when he’s what, 12 years older and acts about the same?
9:11
Comment From David
Because when it’s a young player, he’s a punk and when it’s a veteran it’s just him “showing emotion.”
9:11
Comment From Gila Monster
BABIP’d? He intentionally walked one run and hit the other….
9:12
Dave Cameron: Referring to Bogaerts line drive going for an out.
9:12
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Victorino wears American shoes
9:12
Comment From Meano Eno
TIME FOR A #SHUTDOWNINNING
9:12
Comment From The Real Tommy
The real question is why the guy driving the motorcycle just took off, leaving his friend to careen down a hill.
9:12
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
BoSox WE at 81.4%
9:13
Comment From Guest
Three runs on a single and a double. Good IBB there, Matheny.
9:13
Comment From person hscer
give Boston 55% in 7 if they somehow lose this, and their WS WE is then .916, if my math is ok
9:14
Comment From Crusty
The Cardinals are beating everything into the ground.
9:14
Comment From The Real Tommy
These dugout interviews are so reality TV.. do not want.
9:14
Comment From Donnie Baseball
Suckup.
9:16
Comment From Guest
Another line drive.
9:16
Comment From Frank
That was hung.
9:16
Comment From Joe
Is there anyway we can get Guest to chime in with “another line drive” after every line drive? Thanks.
9:17
Dave Cameron: Maybe he was wearing the gold glove?
9:17
Dave Cameron: Craig was moving pretty well.
9:17
Comment From chuckb
Huge break. Thank God Freese & Jay are up to make them pay.
9:17
Dave Cameron: Dinger here would be fun.
9:17
Dave Cameron: Let’s make this a game again.
9:18
Comment From gump
go away
9:18
Dave Cameron: This live blog would be boring without me.
9:19
Comment From The Real Tommy
On a punchable face scale of 1 to John Harbaugh, I think Gomes’s face is a solid John Lackey.
9:20
Dave Cameron: Pretty great pitch there.
9:20
Comment From Brian
the lower third of the cardinals lineup is basically 3 pitchers
9:20
Comment From Kimball
Caveat: David Freese really isn’t very good
9:21
Dave Cameron: The music on this droid commercial makes me miss Jeremy.
9:21
Comment From williams .482
Steamer projects Freese for a 121 wRC+ next season
9:21
Dave Cameron: I’ll take the under.
9:23
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
Was watching last game with a bunch of in-laws and their family — when Freese came up to bat they all thought he was great because he was the only one that they’d heard of.
9:23
Comment From Catoblepas
gomes was wacha’s first hit batter in entire pro career, minors and majors
9:23
Comment From Shannon
so you mean last year and this year, then?
9:23
Dave Cameron: Crushed.
9:23
Dave Cameron: Stephen Drew is alive!
9:23
Comment From Other Seth
Where’s the cop?
9:23
Comment From Tom
Im going to read a book
9:24
Comment From Playoff Towel
so they just won the series. how lame. this was a lame series. where were the padres or brewers?
9:24
Comment From Nick
Stephen Drew is alive, this game is over
9:24
Comment From zmiko
IS he shouting USA?
9:24
Dave Cameron: And now Lance Lynn is getting up.
9:25
Comment From Gads
So Wacha is human after all.
9:25
Comment From gump
lol at thinking lynn is the best option here
9:25
Dave Cameron: It’s an elimination game. You have to stop them from scoring. He’s like the 6th best option.
9:26
Dave Cameron: Crushed again.
9:27
Comment From Gads
bad pitch, middle middle.
9:27
Comment From Catoblepas
cold the reason that didn’t go out? sounds like beltran/ellsbury gave up on a bit
9:27
Dave Cameron: Looked gone off the bat.
9:28
Comment From zmiko
Oh maness is up as well
9:28
Comment From red sox fan
His change is all world his curve is not
9:28
Comment From Tom
Not sure why Wacha is still in
9:29
Comment From semperty
Odds on seeing a lefty vs. Ortiz next?
9:29
Dave Cameron: Zero.
9:29
Comment From So Confused
What is up with Matheny? I thought the Cardinals (as an org) were loaded with really smart people.
9:29
Dave Cameron: Even good managers have blind spots. This is Matheny’s.
9:30
Comment From JP Musselboro
Tim McCarver, making sense.
9:30
Comment From gump
red sox have plenty of smart people and farrell has still done some stupid shit this post season
9:30
Comment From Old Falvey
Blind Spot? This is end of the earth darkness
9:31
Dave Cameron: Matheny learns nothing, repeats mistake.
9:32
Comment From chuckb
I think this is 1 of those spots Matt said the IBB was good.
9:32
Dave Cameron: It’s less bad now, because the diminishing returns on more runs.
9:32
Dave Cameron: But really, this should be Choate getting Ortiz out instead.
9:32
Comment From Joe
Dave, I get the whole wanting an ex-player that the players relate to and trust as a manager. But when is some organization with nothing to lose going to hire someone really smart to manage?
9:32
Dave Cameron: The Rays already have.
9:33
Comment From Robo
What are the odds that anyone other than Ortiz wins the series MVP award?
9:33
Dave Cameron: -100%.
9:33
Comment From Nick
The math checks out
9:34
Comment From red sox fan
Wife went to bed. Glad I still have people to talk to. Even if Cameron doesn’t post all my stuff!
9:34
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
If David Ortiz openly injected steroids before coming to the plate and then killed a child with a foul ball he’d still win the MVP.
9:34
Comment From Crusty
Ted’s girlfriend is kind of a whore.
9:34
Comment From person hscer
Wait how can I find the FG box for this? The scores tab still has Monday’s game
9:35
Dave Cameron: Napoli comes through.
9:36
Dave Cameron: And this game is getting very close to being over.
9:37
Comment From person hscer
94.5% WE
9:37
Comment From Matt Provenzano
Game 3 seems like forever ago.
9:38
Comment From pftl
I guess putting the game out of reach now lets the travel secretary arrange an earlier get away. Allow 90 minutes to Logan though as the party on the streets will tie up traffic
9:38
Comment From Crusty
Do we get a Shelby Miller sighting when the lead gets big enough?
9:38
Dave Cameron: I highly doubt it.
9:38
Comment From Andrew
Bases loaded. And Lynn is really looking bad. And here comes Victorino. It must suck to be a Cards fan.
9:39
Comment From Playoff Towel
yeah, 2 world series in the past decade sucks
9:39
Comment From Other Seth
The intentional walk scored
9:40
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
To the victorinos go the spoils
9:40
Dave Cameron: How has that not been a headline yet?
9:41
Comment From Catoblepas
the outcome is currently the same as if ortiz had hit a home run
9:41
Comment From Dan
It probably doesn’t matter now, but how do you not bring in your best pitcher?
9:41
Dave Cameron: Yeah, it’s an elimination game, you have to use your bullets here.
9:41
Comment From Frank
Carlos Martinez should have been pitching 20 minutes ago
9:42
Comment From gump
chances rosenthal doesn’t pitch tonight?
9:42
Dave Cameron: He’ll have to, because they’re going to burn through their arms getting 12 more outs.
9:42
Comment From Tim McCarver
Guys, you’re burying the lead. You like only have to listen to me for another hour or so and then I’m gone forever.
9:43
Comment From Matt Provenzano
I’m really disappointed this is a blow out. I was hoping the (possibly) last game of the season would hold my full attention until the very end, but I guess not.
9:44
Dave Cameron: Yeah, this is never how you want the season to end.
9:44
Comment From red sox fan
Not true
9:44
Comment From David
unless you dislike the Cardinals…
9:45
Comment From Guest
As a Cardinals fan, this is better than an Ortiz HR in the 7th to take a Cardinal lead away.
9:45
Comment From red sox fan
Still want to see Koji pitch though
9:45
Dave Cameron: There’s no way they don’t let Koji finish this.
9:46
Comment From NBarnes
I’m kinda hoping Lackey falls apart, Cards tie in, 12 inning game, Ortiz walk-off IBB.
9:48
Comment From Dennis
Lackey can starting pitching to score #LOLz
9:48
Comment From filihok
Drew. All bat, no glove
9:48
Dave Cameron: Haha, they ruled that a hit.
9:50
Comment From Crusty
Will Team Fangraphs grow beards during the off-season to foster unity and cohesiveness?
9:50
Dave Cameron: We work better when we’re angry.
9:50
Comment From Bubble Bass
Wouldn’t having a beard make you angry?
9:50
Dave Cameron: No, I would love to grow a beard. I just can’t.
9:51
Comment From Vin
It’s not in Dave’s programming to grow facial hair.
9:52
Comment From Greg
Why is everyone so confident?? I’m still very nervous…
9:52
Comment From David
This game isn’t over. Not with the Cardinals. I’m a Nats fan. I’ve seen this before. Still lots of outs to get.
9:52
Comment From Dennis
Update your files and let’s grow
9:53
Dave Cameron: My TV just froze…
9:53
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Beltran almost hit a dinger
9:53
Comment From David
Beltran just missed that.
9:54
Comment From red sox fan
Beltran fly out man on second tags up to 3rd
9:54
Comment From Sam
Beltran not going to HOF now.
9:54
Dave Cameron: Okay, TV’s backĀ
9:55
Comment From Lyle
I feel bad for Beltran I really wanted him to get a ring. He won’t have many more chances if any.
9:55
Dave Cameron: Or he could just sign with Boston this winter.
9:56
Comment From Dan
Stick Beltran in LF over Gomes?
9:56
Dave Cameron: Part-time OF (when Victorino plays CF), part-time 1B, part-time DH.
9:56
Comment From person hscer
At this point in that Cards-Nats game, it was 6-3.
9:57
Comment From Art
Let me check if Boston already has a full-time DH…
9:57
Dave Cameron: Dude isn’t invincible.
9:57
Comment From red sox fan
How would Beltran compare to Ells… moving Victorino back to center… huge downgrade?
9:57
Dave Cameron: Wouldn’t say huge. Probably +1 to +2 WAR.
9:58
Comment From person hscer
Did you know bleeding rarely leads to death? Thanks Xarelto ad.
9:59
Comment From Andrew
Siegrist on the mound.
9:59
Dave Cameron: A few innings too late.
10:00
Comment From Catoblepas
how is it 10pm. this game has been going on for 2 hours. good god.
10:00
Dave Cameron: Welcome to Red Sox games.
10:00
Comment From Scruffy, the janitor
To be fair, that Xarelto ad lasted a good twenty minutes.
10:01
Comment From AJT
Officer Steve!
10:01
Comment From Bobby V-Sox
The slower the game the more we get to chat!
10:01
Comment From pftl
Matheny has not had a great series but he can’t hit for his players. I guess you have to credit Red Sox pitching, but Lackey was very hittable the last couple of months and the Cardinals have made him look like a Cy Young pitcher.
10:01
Dave Cameron: The Cardinals offense relied heavily on sequencing, a fickle beast.
10:03
Comment From Casey
Is there any one reason why Red Sox games take so long to finish, or is it a combination of factors? It seems like its been this way for a long time…..
10:03
Dave Cameron: Their pitchers take an hour between pitches. Their hitters take a million pitches.
10:04
Comment From Guest
Adjust the batting gloves at least 4 times per PA.
10:04
Comment From Seth
they lead the league in runs scored
10:05
Dave Cameron: Carpenter made himself a pretty good second baseman. That error was atypical.
10:05
Comment From Gabe
Axford? Are they just throwing in the towel?
10:05
Dave Cameron: Wow.
10:05
Dave Cameron: That just sums up this game for STL.
10:06
Comment From person hscer
ARE YOU KIDDING
10:06
Comment From Jake
What the hell was that
10:06
Comment From Robo
FUNDAMENTALS!
10:06
Comment From filihok
Oops
10:06
Comment From Vin
I don’t like this game very much.
10:06
Comment From Shannon
What happened? No tv.
10:06
Dave Cameron: Ellsbury got picked off, but was safe on botched rundown.
10:07
Comment From person hscer
Jean Segura is envious.
10:07
Comment From Scruffy, the janitor
The Cardinal Way I’ve heard so much about.
10:07
Comment From Casey
This game is officially gone clownshoes.
10:08
Comment From Guest
why do you guys put those huge ads up that cover the whole page, i find them realaly distracting
10:08
Dave Cameron: Because we have bills to pay.
10:08
Dave Cameron: And everything on the site is free.
10:08
Comment From AJT
Get an adblocker. I can’t see ads.
10:09
Dave Cameron: Then you’re helping put places like FanGraphs like ours out of business.
10:09
Comment From williams .482
I just want to say that I have adblocker, but don’t use it on your site.
10:09
Dave Cameron: Thanks, but other people deserve your support too.
10:09
Comment From red sox fan
Fangraphs+ = not free!
10:09
Dave Cameron: Okay, yes, not EVERYTHING is free…
10:09
Dave Cameron: 99.99% of the things are free.
10:10
Comment From Ben
honestly the only ads that are really that bad are the ones that keep un-muting themselves
10:10
Dave Cameron: We work very hard to make sure we don’t have those on the site.
10:10
Comment From jorge
do you resent people with adblockers?
10:11
Dave Cameron: Resent, no. But I wish people wouldn’t use them.
10:11
Comment From Jake
What is Fangraphs+ anyway? Worth it if I don’t play/like fantasy?
10:11
Dave Cameron: We also put the articles we write for ESPN Insider there, since they have to be behind a paywall (ESPN would get mad at us giving them away…)
10:12
Comment From Bobby V-Sox
Maybe this is because I’m an old-school Sox fan, but this is precisely the late-game situation that scares the %$& out of me. With two outs Lackey coughs up four, lets Cards back in the game, Taztawa loads em up, Bogaerts boots a routine dribbler and… Viola! four months of misery.
10:12
Comment From Crusty
Gold Glove!
10:13
Comment From gump
not much hustle from the cards
10:13
Comment From Shannon
I think you might be confusing not much hustle with moves like a glacier over sandpaper.
10:13
Comment From person hscer
WE% is probably, if anything, understating how likely the Red Sox are to win this game…
10:14
Dave Cameron: Yep. Doesn’t include home field advantage, Uehara’s dominance, Cards using meh relievers.
10:14
Comment From Frank
Do any Fangraphs employees work there for their only job?
10:15
Dave Cameron: Eno, Jeff, Carson, Paul, and myself are all full-time employees. Toss in Appelman and there are six of us who are doing this for a living.
10:15
Comment From red sox fan
What’s WE% at now?
10:15
Dave Cameron: 99%
10:16
Comment From Casey
I was hoping Carson secretly had a side job at a French Arby’s.
10:16
Dave Cameron: I’d like a side of curly baguettes.
10:18
Comment From ralph
Do my eyes deceive me, or is Ortiz actually getting pitched to by a lefty?
10:18
Comment From Brandon
Upon turning adblock off, I have discovered that fangraphs t-shirts are a thing. And thus, advertisments have started depriving me of my money immediately (but it goes to a good cause, right!?).
10:19
Dave Cameron: Hey, look, Siegrist gets Ortiz out.
10:19
Comment From Kai John
At least I get to watch Carlos Martinez pitch one more time…
10:19
Comment From ralph
If you strike out the MVP, does that make you the MVP?
10:20
Comment From Jake
Whenever I wear my fangraphs t-shirt I”m always on the look out for approving nods. Think I got one the other day.
10:21
Comment From filihok
I find it amusing that the XXL shirts are sold out
10:21
Dave Cameron: I think we only made like 10 of them.
10:21
Comment From happyguy
Carson uses them as tents
10:22
Comment From chuckb
Wasn’t there some sort of girlfriend joke or something that was going to be added to the t-shirts?
10:22
Dave Cameron: “We’re all going dateless!” Those got made, but not for public sale.
10:22
Comment From stuck working
I want to buy Fangraphs pajamas that I can wear in my mom’s basement.
10:22
Comment From person hscer
Tony Reali, right?
10:22
Dave Cameron: Right.
10:23
Dave Cameron: Not a terrific night for Napoli overall.
10:23
Comment From Other Seth
Questionable strike 3
10:24
Comment From John
The main reason he is “Little Pedro” is because of his last name, no?
10:24
Dave Cameron: Body frame.
10:24
Dave Cameron: But it’s a terrible comp.
10:24
Comment From Chicago Mark
Not a terrific night for Napoli? I think he’s going to drink champagne! Great night!!!
10:24
Dave Cameron: Champagne is gross.
10:25
Comment From red sox fan
I bet Napoli drinks more beer tonight than champagne
10:26
Comment From CaseyB
Actually, he’s probably more likely to pour the champagne on himself and his teammates, and then have chicken and beer.
10:26
Comment From lowercase jeff
which Red Sox player has the worst hangover tomorrow?
10:26
Dave Cameron: Has to be Gomes, no
10:26
Comment From RF
Wait, you guys write for ESPN Insider? I have it and I don’t think I’ve found any of your stuff.
10:26
Dave Cameron: Petriello, Swydan, and I have weekly columns for them. Use their search for our names and it should come up.
10:27
Comment From Seth
Pedroia, he’s tiny
10:27
Dave Cameron: This chick’s voice is obnoxious.
10:28
Comment From red sox fan
Should Lackey be out there?
10:28
Dave Cameron: Big enough lead that it’s fine. They can get Tazawa warm in the time it takes to make this a problem.
10:29
Comment From ralph
Lackey gonna yell at Farrell when he takes him out for Koji?
10:30
Comment From The Stranger
Better not. Koji deserves to finish this
10:30
Comment From JW
Safe to say that everything in his life no longer sucks?
10:30
Comment From chuckb
Remember when the Sox were mocked for signing Lackey?
10:30
Comment From Andy
Remember in 2011 when the Sox tried to trade for Bruce Chen the last week of the season, because they didn’t trust Lackey? He’s come a long way.
10:31
Comment From Genco Olive Oil
Just started to read back from the start of tonight’s chat, Dave, and I’m very sorry to hear that your pup isn’t doing too well right now. We spoke at the seminar here in Boston back in Aug—I also have a golden lab and I was also unsure about adding a dog to the household. Now, I miss her big-time during the course of my eight-hour work day! I never thought I’d say this, but if something were to happen to her, I’d be beyond grief-stricken. Let us know how it goes tomorrow AM.
10:32
Dave Cameron: For what its worth, she seems to be doing a little better. Even managed to go outside and use the bushes. Not throwing up anymore. Progress!
10:32
Comment From Guest
2 out rally.
10:33
Comment From person hscer
Descalso scores there if he’s sent, like, 99/100 times…
10:33
Dave Cameron: Score dictates to be safe.
10:33
Comment From Ruki
If the Cardinals came back to win this game, where would it rank in all-time postseason comebacks?
10:33
Dave Cameron: The best ever.
10:33
Comment From Dionysus
OH god no. Not Beltran.
10:33
Comment From Other Seth
Guy in the front row down the left field line is wearing a Villanova hat.
10:33
Comment From The Stranger
Only like the 4th worst loss in Red Sox postseason history, really
10:34
Comment From Frank
Last batter either way for Lackey surely.
10:34
Dave Cameron: Would think so, yes.
10:34
Dave Cameron: Beltran, of course.
10:35
Comment From Guest
HR here would make things very interesting.
10:35
Comment From person hscer
well, it’s pretty over…but not over over
10:35
Comment From McGreevy
“This is my guy” -Lackey
10:35
Comment From Gabe
Leaving him in? Oh-kay…
10:35
Comment From Bobby V
Wow
10:35
Comment From Penny Lane
Grady Little is that you>
10:36
Comment From red sox fan
I don’t like this
10:36
Dave Cameron: This is a little nutty.
10:37
Comment From The Stranger
I’ve never felt worse about a 97% WE.
10:37
Comment From Andy
Hoem run please. I want to watch a game!
10:37
Comment From Scruffy, the janitor
Probalby shouldn’t ask the pitcher if he wants to come out.
10:38
Comment From Gads
I am about to stress eat this entire box of Cheez-Its
10:38
Comment From person hscer
TYING RUN IS ON DECK
10:39
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Guess he wasn’t your guy John
10:39
Comment From Bobby V-Sox
I stress-ate some carrots, does that count?
10:39
Comment From Genco Olive Oil
I like staring at hot chicks in the stands as much as anyone, but for the love of God, Fox, there is a time and a place for everything.
10:39
Comment From Grant
I hope it’s regular Cheez-its, they make waaay too many flavors now, mostly terrible
10:39
Comment From Guest
RISP stats incoming. Craig batted 1.200 with 2 outs and RISP this decade.
10:39
Comment From Gads
Family sized box of White Cheddar!
10:39
Comment From red sox fan
I feel better about a walk than pressing down the middle
10:39
Comment From Ruki
I went from eating 0 chips at the start of this inning to about a million during it.
10:40
Comment From ralph
So “This is my guy” is Beardese for “I am going to walk Matt Holliday to make this game very interesting.”
10:40
Comment From Go
I went through a bag of fun size Twix I was going to hand out for Halloween…
10:40
Comment From Crusty
This is what happens when no one smokes cigarettes anymore: stress eating! Just light em up, fellas. Live the good life.
10:40
Dave Cameron: I think you might light a mup.
10:41
Comment From Sgt. Pepper
Boston citizens agree to give out champagne for Halloween tomorrow if Red Sox win
10:41
Comment From person hscer
pretty sure a big mac with a milkshake and large fry is better for you than a pack of smokes
10:42
Comment From pftl
Tazawa is known for throwing the HR ball on occasion
10:42
Comment From Ka
The right thing to do is to bring in Koji here
10:43
Dave Cameron: In theory, agree, but probably something to the idea that he wouldn’t be prepared to pitch now.
10:43
Comment From Chicago Mark
See, easy stuff.
10:43
Dave Cameron: So the Cardinals will lose because they failed miserably at the thing they succeeded at more than anyone ever all season long.
10:44
Comment From person hscer
Because that thing they succeeded at is hard to succeed at for 7 months
10:44
Comment From The Dude
God Bless Victorino, outfielder that I love.
10:45
Comment From Gads
The rest of the food in the house is safe for now…
10:45
Comment From Andy
That’s nt the uniforms they wear on Glee’
10:45
Comment From Kirino Kousaka
Wow . . . these guys are really good. I’m . . . I’m tearing up.
10:45
Comment From ralph
Ha, “Grady Little” is trending worldwide on Twitter.
10:45
Dave Cameron: I’m not a huge fan of all these in-game songs, but that was pretty great.
10:47
Comment From Gabe
The best thing about this WS being over: never having to hear about Jeremy or his data bill ever again!
10:47
Comment From lowercase jeff
I bet Jeremy is a Mets fan.
10:48
Comment From Grant
anyone else hoping Jeremy has been Taken on his trip to Europe?
10:49
Comment From lowercase jeff
VICTORINO JUST DODGED A PITCH. WHAT AN INCREDIBLE NIGHT.
10:49
Comment From Grant
Gomes dives there
10:50
Comment From Bobby V-Sox
A Choate sighting!
10:51
Comment From person hscer
If 1 more Card reaches…Carlos Beltran could be the last out of this World Series.
10:51
Comment From Guy
Dave, do you think the Cubs will win the WS in my lifetime (born 1990)? This time of the year is kinda sad for me…
10:51
Dave Cameron: The Cubs future has to be top 5 in baseball. Be hopeful.
10:51
Comment From Penny Lane
Dave, here’s a teaching moment for “regression to the mean.” Note the term “mean,” or average. The Cardinals were able to sequence their offense at a better than average rate all season. Even assuming that they are literally average at this “skill” or that no such “skill” exists, they wouldn’t be expected to leave 9 men on base. They were not “due” for this and this is not their performance “evening out” or “regressing to the mean.”
10:52
Dave Cameron: Yes, I know. You just described the gambler’s fallacy. Everyone here is familiar with that. Thank you.
10:52
Comment From David
Could that comment by Penny Lane be any more condescending?
10:52
Dave Cameron: I don’t think so, no.
10:53
Comment From Grant
Seriously, I teach that to my fifth graders
10:53
Comment From The Dude
The Cubs have Theo. You must believe, Guy.
10:53
Comment From Andy
2 Shanes in this series. For reference, I searched “Shane” in fangraphs database. It is a recent name I guess, because there wasn’t a single one pre 1988, and there have been like 20 since then. Was a Beatle named “Shane” and I didn’t know it?
10:54
Comment From person hscer
There was a 50s (?) western called Shane!
10:54
Dave Cameron: Wasn’t he a bad guy in the lone ranger?
10:55
Comment From Genco Olive Oil
1953, Alan Ladd. Played the main character in ‘Shane.’ Shane was a winner, a la Jonny Gomes. Had the ‘It’ factor.
10:56
Dave Cameron: All these American Idol kids look like they just walked out of a Starbucks.
10:56
Comment From filihok
Oh man….no more baseball…American Idol time. #ThisIsRealSad
10:56
Comment From Jeff
CLUBHOUSE CONFIDENTIAL!
10:56
Dave Cameron: My first appearance is next Friday, FYI.
10:56
Comment From williams .482
wait, Workman?
10:57
Dave Cameron: Tazawa died, remember?
10:57
Comment From Gila Monster
Will you wear a vest again Dave?
10:57
Dave Cameron: I don’t own any vests.
10:57
Comment From chuckb
Practice blinking.
10:57
Dave Cameron: That would make it less fun for all of you.



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Dave is a co-founder of USSMariner.com and contributes to the Wall Street Journal.

4 Responses to “World Series Game 6 Live Blog”

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  1. JimHero says:

    Where can I watch a live WP chart?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Matt says:

    Is McCarver ascending to heaven or descending to hell?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Thufir says:

    Buzzkill. Thread cut short.

    Congrats boston though

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. LorenzoStDuBois says:

    Yeah seriously, why are all the chats suddenly cut short??

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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