| M Leake | M Bourn | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Michael Bourn grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.87 | 0.52 | 52.2 % | -.022 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | A Sanchez | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Angel Sanchez struck out looking. | 0.62 | 0.28 | 53.8 % | -.016 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | H Pence | 1 | 2 | ___ | 0-0 | Hunter Pence flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.40 | 0.11 | 54.9 % | -.010 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | D Stubbs | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Drew Stubbs grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.87 | 0.52 | 52.6 % | -.022 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | B Phillips | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Brandon Phillips singled to left (Grounder). | 0.62 | 0.28 | 55.1 % | .024 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | B Phillips | 1 | 1 | 1__ | 0-0 | Brandon Phillips advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 1.15 | 0.54 | 56.6 % | .015 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Votto | 1 | 1 | _2_ | 0-0 | Joey Votto walked. | 1.19 | 0.70 | 58.5 % | .019 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | S Rolen | 1 | 1 | 12_ | 1-0 | Scott Rolen singled to center (Liner). Brandon Phillips scored. Joey Votto advanced to 2B. | 1.88 | 0.94 | 67.7 % | .092 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Gomes | 1 | 1 | 12_ | 1-0 | Jonny Gomes walked. Joey Votto advanced to 3B. Scott Rolen advanced to 2B. | 1.63 | 0.94 | 72.6 % | .049 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | C Heisey | 1 | 1 | 123 | 2-0 | Chris Heisey walked. Joey Votto scored. Scott Rolen advanced to 3B. Jonny Gomes advanced to 2B. | 2.06 | 1.60 | 79.7 % | .071 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | R Hernandez | 1 | 1 | 123 | 3-0 | Ramon Hernandez reached on fielder's choice to second (Grounder). Scott Rolen scored. Jonny Gomes advanced to 3B. Chris Heisey out at second. | 1.67 | 1.60 | 80.4 % | .007 | -0.09 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | P Janish | 1 | 2 | 1_3 | 3-0 | Paul Janish flied out to first (Fly). | 0.99 | 0.51 | 77.7 % | -.028 | -0.51 | 0 | 1 |
| M Leake | C Lee | 2 | 0 | ___ | 3-0 | Carlos Lee grounded out to third (Grounder). | 0.81 | 0.52 | 79.7 % | -.021 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Hall | 2 | 1 | ___ | 3-0 | Bill Hall flied out to right (Fly). | 0.56 | 0.28 | 81.1 % | -.014 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Wallace | 2 | 2 | ___ | 3-0 | Brett Wallace singled to center (Liner). | 0.33 | 0.11 | 80.0 % | .011 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | C Johnson | 2 | 2 | 1__ | 3-0 | Chris Johnson reached on fielder's choice to shortstop (Grounder). Brett Wallace out at second. | 0.68 | 0.24 | 82.0 % | -.020 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | M Leake | 2 | 0 | ___ | 3-0 | Mike Leake flied out to second (Fly). | 0.47 | 0.52 | 80.8 % | -.012 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | D Stubbs | 2 | 1 | ___ | 3-0 | Drew Stubbs singled to left (Liner). | 0.35 | 0.28 | 82.1 % | .013 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | B Phillips | 2 | 1 | 1__ | 3-0 | Brandon Phillips walked. Drew Stubbs advanced to 2B. | 0.63 | 0.54 | 83.9 % | .018 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Votto | 2 | 1 | 12_ | 3-0 | Joey Votto singled to left (Fliner (Liner)). Drew Stubbs advanced to 3B. Brandon Phillips advanced to 2B. | 1.00 | 0.94 | 86.9 % | .030 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | S Rolen | 2 | 1 | 123 | 3-0 | Scott Rolen fouled out to catcher (Fly). | 1.25 | 1.60 | 83.1 % | -.038 | -0.81 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Gomes | 2 | 2 | 123 | 4-0 | Jonny Gomes walked. Drew Stubbs scored. Brandon Phillips advanced to 3B. Joey Votto advanced to 2B. | 1.47 | 0.79 | 88.4 % | .053 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | C Heisey | 2 | 2 | 123 | 5-0 | Chris Heisey was hit by a pitch. Brandon Phillips scored. Joey Votto advanced to 3B. Jonny Gomes advanced to 2B. | 1.07 | 0.79 | 92.3 % | .039 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | R Hernandez | 2 | 2 | 123 | 5-0 | Ramon Hernandez fouled out to first (Fly). | 0.73 | 0.79 | 90.4 % | -.019 | -0.79 | 0 | 1 |
| M Leake | H Quintero | 3 | 0 | ___ | 5-0 | Humberto Quintero walked. | 0.53 | 0.52 | 88.2 % | .023 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | J Happ | 3 | 0 | 1__ | 5-0 | J.A. Happ sacrificed to first (Bunt Grounder). Humberto Quintero advanced to 2B. | 0.92 | 0.91 | 89.6 % | -.015 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | M Bourn | 3 | 1 | _2_ | 5-0 | Michael Bourn flied out to left (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.70 | 0.70 | 91.6 % | -.020 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | A Sanchez | 3 | 2 | _2_ | 5-0 | Angel Sanchez walked. | 0.54 | 0.33 | 90.8 % | .008 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | H Pence | 3 | 2 | 12_ | 5-0 | Hunter Pence struck out swinging. | 0.91 | 0.45 | 93.2 % | -.024 | -0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | P Janish | 3 | 0 | ___ | 5-0 | Paul Janish struck out looking. | 0.21 | 0.52 | 92.6 % | -.005 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | M Leake | 3 | 1 | ___ | 5-0 | Mike Leake struck out swinging. | 0.15 | 0.28 | 92.2 % | -.004 | -0.17 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | D Stubbs | 3 | 2 | ___ | 5-0 | Drew Stubbs flied out to center (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.11 | 0.11 | 92.0 % | -.003 | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
| M Leake | C Lee | 4 | 0 | ___ | 5-0 | Carlos Lee flied out to catcher (Fly). | 0.50 | 0.52 | 93.3 % | -.013 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Hall | 4 | 1 | ___ | 5-0 | Bill Hall grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.33 | 0.28 | 94.1 % | -.008 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Wallace | 4 | 2 | ___ | 5-0 | Brett Wallace grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.17 | 0.11 | 94.6 % | -.005 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | B Phillips | 4 | 0 | ___ | 5-0 | Brandon Phillips singled to left (Grounder). | 0.17 | 0.52 | 95.2 % | .007 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Votto | 4 | 0 | 1__ | 6-0 | Joey Votto doubled to center (Fliner (Liner)). Brandon Phillips scored. | 0.27 | 0.91 | 97.5 % | .023 | 1.24 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | S Rolen | 4 | 0 | _2_ | 6-0 | Scott Rolen flied out to right (Fly). | 0.13 | 1.15 | 97.0 % | -.005 | -0.45 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Gomes | 4 | 1 | _2_ | 6-0 | Jonny Gomes flied out to center (Fly). Joey Votto advanced to 3B. | 0.15 | 0.70 | 96.6 % | -.004 | -0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | C Heisey | 4 | 2 | __3 | 7-0 | Chris Heisey singled to center (Liner). Joey Votto scored. | 0.18 | 0.37 | 97.9 % | .013 | 0.87 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | R Hernandez | 4 | 2 | 1__ | 7-0 | Ramon Hernandez reached on fielder's choice to shortstop (Grounder). Chris Heisey out at second. | 0.06 | 0.24 | 97.8 % | -.002 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| M Leake | C Johnson | 5 | 0 | ___ | 7-0 | Chris Johnson was hit by a pitch. | 0.20 | 0.52 | 96.8 % | .009 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | H Quintero | 5 | 0 | 1__ | 7-0 | Humberto Quintero struck out swinging. | 0.38 | 0.91 | 97.7 % | -.009 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | J Inglett | 5 | 1 | 1__ | 7-0 | Joe Inglett flied out to left (Fly). | 0.26 | 0.54 | 98.4 % | -.006 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | M Bourn | 5 | 2 | 1__ | 7-0 | Michael Bourn doubled to right (Fliner (Liner)). Chris Johnson advanced to 3B. | 0.14 | 0.24 | 97.6 % | .008 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | A Sanchez | 5 | 2 | _23 | 7-2 | Angel Sanchez singled to right (Fliner (Liner)). Chris Johnson scored. Michael Bourn scored. | 0.38 | 0.62 | 95.0 % | .027 | 1.62 | 1 | 0 |
| M Leake | H Pence | 5 | 2 | 1__ | 7-2 | Hunter Pence flied out to left (Fly). | 0.35 | 0.24 | 96.0 % | -.010 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| A Rodriguez | P Janish | 5 | 0 | ___ | 7-2 | Paul Janish flied out to center (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.14 | 0.52 | 95.6 % | -.004 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| A Rodriguez | M Leake | 5 | 1 | ___ | 7-2 | Mike Leake singled to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). | 0.11 | 0.28 | 96.0 % | .004 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| A Rodriguez | D Stubbs | 5 | 1 | 1__ | 7-2 | Drew Stubbs singled to right (Liner). Mike Leake advanced to 3B. | 0.18 | 0.54 | 97.0 % | .010 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| A Rodriguez | D Stubbs | 5 | 1 | 1_3 | 7-2 | Drew Stubbs advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 0.29 | 1.21 | 97.3 % | .003 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| A Rodriguez | M Cairo | 5 | 1 | _23 | 8-2 | Miguel Cairo hit a sacrifice fly to center (Fly). Mike Leake scored. | 0.23 | 1.43 | 97.6 % | .003 | -0.10 | 1 | 1 |
| A Rodriguez | J Votto | 5 | 2 | _2_ | 8-2 | Joey Votto flied out to right (Liner). | 0.12 | 0.33 | 97.3 % | -.003 | -0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| M Leake | C Lee | 6 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Carlos Lee flied out to center (Fly). | 0.28 | 0.52 | 98.0 % | -.007 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Hall | 6 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Bill Hall struck out swinging. | 0.16 | 0.28 | 98.4 % | -.004 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Leake | B Wallace | 6 | 2 | ___ | 8-2 | Brett Wallace flied out to center (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.08 | 0.11 | 98.6 % | -.002 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| W Lopez | S Rolen | 6 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Scott Rolen grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.05 | 0.52 | 98.5 % | -.001 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| W Lopez | J Gomes | 6 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Jonny Gomes struck out swinging. | 0.04 | 0.28 | 98.4 % | -.001 | -0.17 | 0 | 1 |
| W Lopez | C Heisey | 6 | 2 | ___ | 8-2 | Chris Heisey flied out to right (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.02 | 0.11 | 98.3 % | -.001 | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
| J Smith | C Johnson | 7 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Chris Johnson flied out to center (Fly). | 0.22 | 0.52 | 98.8 % | -.006 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | H Quintero | 7 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Humberto Quintero flied out to left (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.13 | 0.28 | 99.2 % | -.003 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | M Downs | 7 | 2 | ___ | 8-2 | Matt Downs struck out swinging. | 0.05 | 0.11 | 99.3 % | -.001 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| J Fulchino | R Hernandez | 7 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Ramon Hernandez struck out swinging. | 0.03 | 0.52 | 99.2 % | -.001 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Fulchino | P Janish | 7 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Paul Janish singled to first (Grounder). | 0.01 | 0.28 | 99.3 % | .001 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| J Fulchino | J Smith | 7 | 1 | 1__ | 8-2 | Jordan Smith flied out to right (Fly). | 0.03 | 0.54 | 99.2 % | -.001 | -0.31 | 0 | 1 |
| J Fulchino | D Stubbs | 7 | 2 | 1__ | 8-2 | Drew Stubbs grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.02 | 0.24 | 99.1 % | -.001 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Smith | M Bourn | 8 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Michael Bourn singled to left (Grounder). | 0.15 | 0.52 | 98.5 % | .007 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | A Sanchez | 8 | 0 | 1__ | 8-2 | Angel Sanchez struck out swinging. | 0.30 | 0.91 | 99.1 % | -.007 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | H Pence | 8 | 1 | 1__ | 8-2 | Hunter Pence singled to right (Liner). Michael Bourn advanced to 2B. | 0.16 | 0.54 | 98.5 % | .007 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | C Lee | 8 | 1 | 12_ | 8-2 | Carlos Lee fouled out to third (Fly). | 0.38 | 0.94 | 99.3 % | -.008 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| J Smith | J Michaels | 8 | 2 | 12_ | 8-2 | Jason Michaels struck out swinging. | 0.18 | 0.45 | 99.8 % | -.005 | -0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| B Lyon | M Cairo | 8 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Miguel Cairo grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.01 | 0.52 | 99.8 % | .000 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| B Lyon | J Votto | 8 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Joey Votto grounded out to first (Grounder). | 0.01 | 0.28 | 99.7 % | .000 | -0.17 | 0 | 1 |
| B Lyon | S Rolen | 8 | 2 | ___ | 8-2 | Scott Rolen struck out swinging. | 0.02 | 0.11 | 99.7 % | .000 | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
| M Maloney | B Wallace | 9 | 0 | ___ | 8-2 | Brett Wallace flied out to center (Liner). | 0.07 | 0.52 | 99.9 % | -.002 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| M Maloney | C Johnson | 9 | 1 | ___ | 8-2 | Chris Johnson flied out to center (Fly). | 0.03 | 0.28 | 100.0 % | -.001 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Maloney | H Quintero | 9 | 2 | ___ | 8-2 | Humberto Quintero grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.00 | 0.11 | 100.0 % | .000 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |